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TC ENERGY CORP (TRP.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:TRP - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA87807B1076 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD

66.48  -0.52 (-0.78%)

Fundamental Rating

4

We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to TRP. TRP was compared to 210 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. While TRP has a great profitability rating, there are quite some concerns on its financial health. TRP is valued expensive and it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year TRP was profitable.
TRP had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
TRP had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
TRP had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
TRP.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFTRP.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B -2B 4B 6B

1.2 Ratios

TRP has a Return On Assets of 3.62%. This is in the better half of the industry: TRP outperforms 69.52% of its industry peers.
TRP has a better Return On Equity (15.78%) than 85.71% of its industry peers.
TRP has a Return On Invested Capital of 3.94%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: TRP outperforms 53.33% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for TRP is below the industry average of 7.31%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.62%
ROE 15.78%
ROIC 3.94%
ROA(3y)2.24%
ROA(5y)2.58%
ROE(3y)9.37%
ROE(5y)9.55%
ROIC(3y)4.35%
ROIC(5y)4.58%
TRP.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICTRP.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 -5 10 15

1.3 Margins

TRP has a better Profit Margin (33.22%) than 89.05% of its industry peers.
TRP's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
TRP has a better Operating Margin (42.10%) than 90.95% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of TRP has remained more or less at the same level.
With an excellent Gross Margin value of 68.14%, TRP belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 80.48% of the companies in the same industry.
TRP's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 42.1%
PM (TTM) 33.22%
GM 68.14%
OM growth 3Y-1.61%
OM growth 5Y-0.76%
PM growth 3Y35%
PM growth 5Y2.15%
GM growth 3Y-0.69%
GM growth 5Y-0.74%
TRP.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsTRP.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40 60

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so TRP is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, TRP has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
Compared to 5 years ago, TRP has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, TRP has an improved debt to assets ratio.
TRP.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingTRP.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
TRP.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsTRP.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B

2.2 Solvency

TRP has an Altman-Z score of 0.62. This is a bad value and indicates that TRP is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
TRP has a Altman-Z score of 0.62. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: TRP outperforms 51.43% of its industry peers.
TRP has a debt to FCF ratio of 84.11. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as TRP would need 84.11 years to pay back of all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 84.11, TRP is in line with its industry, outperforming 50.48% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 2.15 is on the high side and indicates that TRP has dependencies on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of TRP (2.15) is worse than 82.86% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.15
Debt/FCF 84.11
Altman-Z 0.62
ROIC/WACC0.51
WACC7.65%
TRP.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFTRP.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20B 40B 60B

2.3 Liquidity

TRP has a Current Ratio of 0.70. This is a bad value and indicates that TRP is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 0.70, TRP is not doing good in the industry: 62.86% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
TRP has a Quick Ratio of 0.70. This is a bad value and indicates that TRP is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
TRP has a worse Quick ratio (0.63) than 64.76% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.7
Quick Ratio 0.63
TRP.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesTRP.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for TRP have decreased strongly by -24.40% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, TRP shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -2.06% on average per year.
The Revenue for TRP has decreased by -19.07% in the past year. This is quite bad
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 0.77% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-24.4%
EPS 3Y-4.48%
EPS 5Y-2.06%
EPS Q2Q%-23.39%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-19.07%
Revenue growth 3Y0.95%
Revenue growth 5Y0.77%
Sales Q2Q%-14.61%

3.2 Future

TRP is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 4.69% yearly.
TRP is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 3.22% yearly.
EPS Next Y2.08%
EPS Next 2Y4.59%
EPS Next 3Y3.37%
EPS Next 5Y4.69%
Revenue Next Year-7.6%
Revenue Next 2Y0.32%
Revenue Next 3Y1.15%
Revenue Next 5Y3.22%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
TRP.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesTRP.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 5B 10B 15B
TRP.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesTRP.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1 2 3 4 5

3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 19.33, the valuation of TRP can be described as rather expensive.
TRP's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of TRP to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.15), we can say TRP is valued slightly cheaper.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.29, the valuation of TRP can be described as correct.
TRP's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
TRP's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 21.60.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.33
Fwd PE 16.29
TRP.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsTRP.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

TRP's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
TRP's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 93.81
EV/EBITDA 15.28
TRP.CA Per share dataTRP.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15 20 25

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
TRP has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)9.28
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y4.59%
EPS Next 3Y3.37%

4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

TRP has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.50%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 6.19, TRP pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
TRP's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 2.42.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.5%

5.2 History

On average, the dividend of TRP grows each year by 13.09%, which is quite nice.
TRP has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)13.09%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
TRP.CA Yearly Dividends per shareTRP.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1 2 3 4

5.3 Sustainability

90.34% of the earnings are spent on dividend by TRP. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
TRP's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP90.34%
EPS Next 2Y4.59%
EPS Next 3Y3.37%
TRP.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendTRP.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B -2B 4B
TRP.CA Dividend Payout.TRP.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.TRP.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

TC ENERGY CORP

TSX:TRP (6/30/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

66.48

-0.52 (-0.78%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)05-01 2025-05-01/bmo
Earnings (Next)07-24 2025-07-24/bmo
Inst Owners78.66%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.09%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap69.14B
Analysts73.33
Price Target75.33 (13.31%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.5%
Yearly Dividend3.9
Dividend Growth(5Y)13.09%
DP90.34%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date06-30 2025-06-30 (0.85)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-25.85%
Min EPS beat(2)-48.32%
Max EPS beat(2)-3.38%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-10.64%
Min EPS beat(4)-48.32%
Max EPS beat(4)7.33%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)-1.64%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.13%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)0.35%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-29.46%
Min Revenue beat(2)-63.24%
Max Revenue beat(2)4.32%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)-12.67%
Min Revenue beat(4)-63.24%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.32%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)-6%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.83%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-3.32%
PT rev (1m)0.68%
PT rev (3m)2.05%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-11.17%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.83%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.68%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.78%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.33
Fwd PE 16.29
P/S 5.26
P/FCF 93.81
P/OCF 9.79
P/B 2.5
P/tB 4.92
EV/EBITDA 15.28
EPS(TTM)3.44
EY5.17%
EPS(NY)4.08
Fwd EY6.14%
FCF(TTM)0.71
FCFY1.07%
OCF(TTM)6.79
OCFY10.21%
SpS12.65
BVpS26.63
TBVpS13.51
PEG (NY)9.28
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.62%
ROE 15.78%
ROCE 5.02%
ROIC 3.94%
ROICexc 4.02%
ROICexgc 4.6%
OM 42.1%
PM (TTM) 33.22%
GM 68.14%
FCFM 5.6%
ROA(3y)2.24%
ROA(5y)2.58%
ROE(3y)9.37%
ROE(5y)9.55%
ROIC(3y)4.35%
ROIC(5y)4.58%
ROICexc(3y)4.42%
ROICexc(5y)4.65%
ROICexgc(3y)5.04%
ROICexgc(5y)5.34%
ROCE(3y)5.6%
ROCE(5y)5.97%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-4.34%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-4.28%
ROICexc growth 3Y-4.22%
ROICexc growth 5Y-3.48%
OM growth 3Y-1.61%
OM growth 5Y-0.76%
PM growth 3Y35%
PM growth 5Y2.15%
GM growth 3Y-0.69%
GM growth 5Y-0.74%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.11
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.15
Debt/FCF 84.11
Debt/EBITDA 7.18
Cap/Depr 230.18%
Cap/Sales 48.08%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 85.22%
Profit Quality 16.87%
Current Ratio 0.7
Quick Ratio 0.63
Altman-Z 0.62
F-Score4
WACC7.65%
ROIC/WACC0.51
Cap/Depr(3y)260.57%
Cap/Depr(5y)266.14%
Cap/Sales(3y)50.84%
Cap/Sales(5y)51.87%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-24.4%
EPS 3Y-4.48%
EPS 5Y-2.06%
EPS Q2Q%-23.39%
EPS Next Y2.08%
EPS Next 2Y4.59%
EPS Next 3Y3.37%
EPS Next 5Y4.69%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-19.07%
Revenue growth 3Y0.95%
Revenue growth 5Y0.77%
Sales Q2Q%-14.61%
Revenue Next Year-7.6%
Revenue Next 2Y0.32%
Revenue Next 3Y1.15%
Revenue Next 5Y3.22%
EBIT growth 1Y-19.58%
EBIT growth 3Y-0.68%
EBIT growth 5Y0%
EBIT Next Year30.13%
EBIT Next 3Y12.83%
EBIT Next 5Y10.98%
FCF growth 1Y267.5%
FCF growth 3Y11.47%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y4.72%
OCF growth 3Y3.76%
OCF growth 5Y1.68%