TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC (TRN) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:TRN • US8965221091
Current stock price
34.97 USD
+0.37 (+1.07%)
At close:
34.97 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This TRN fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. TRN Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- TRN had positive earnings in the past year.
- TRN had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- TRN had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- TRN had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- TRN has a Return On Assets (3.00%) which is in line with its industry peers.
- TRN's Return On Equity of 23.50% is amongst the best of the industry. TRN outperforms 90.84% of its industry peers.
- TRN has a Return On Invested Capital of 3.49%. This is in the lower half of the industry: TRN underperforms 62.60% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for TRN is significantly below the industry average of 10.00%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3% | ||
| ROE | 23.5% | ||
| ROIC | 3.49% |
ROA(3y)1.92%
ROA(5y)1.73%
ROE(3y)15.6%
ROE(5y)14.08%
ROIC(3y)3.55%
ROIC(5y)2.83%
1.3 Margins
- TRN has a Profit Margin of 11.73%. This is in the better half of the industry: TRN outperforms 79.39% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of TRN has grown nicely.
- TRN has a better Operating Margin (16.62%) than 79.39% of its industry peers.
- TRN's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- TRN's Gross Margin of 26.55% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. TRN is outperformed by 61.07% of its industry peers.
- TRN's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 16.62% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 11.73% | ||
| GM | 26.55% |
OM growth 3Y21.7%
OM growth 5Y4.82%
PM growth 3Y56.87%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y12.61%
GM growth 5Y1.57%
2. TRN Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so TRN is destroying value.
- TRN has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- TRN has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- TRN has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- TRN has an Altman-Z score of 0.88. This is a bad value and indicates that TRN is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 0.88, TRN is doing worse than 77.10% of the companies in the same industry.
- TRN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 5.05. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- The Debt to Equity ratio of TRN (5.05) is worse than 90.08% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.05 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.88 |
ROIC/WACC0.45
WACC7.81%
2.3 Liquidity
- TRN has a Current Ratio of 1.90. This is a normal value and indicates that TRN is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.90, TRN is in line with its industry, outperforming 44.27% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.08 indicates that TRN should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.08, TRN is doing worse than 64.12% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.9 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.08 |
3. TRN Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- TRN shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 77.71%, which is quite impressive.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 55.69% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
- Looking at the last year, TRN shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -29.95% in the last year.
- Measured over the past years, TRN shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 1.53% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)77.71%
EPS 3Y48.48%
EPS 5Y55.69%
EPS Q2Q%484.62%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-29.95%
Revenue growth 3Y2.94%
Revenue growth 5Y1.53%
Sales Q2Q%-2.89%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -15.47% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
- Based on estimates for the next years, TRN will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 9.04% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-37.48%
EPS Next 2Y-15.47%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year2.85%
Revenue Next 2Y9.04%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
- The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. TRN Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- TRN is valuated reasonably with a Price/Earnings ratio of 11.24.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, TRN is valued cheaply inside the industry as 97.71% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of TRN to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.18), we can say TRN is valued rather cheaply.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.99 indicates a rather expensive valuation of TRN.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, TRN is valued a bit cheaper than 73.28% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 37.96, TRN is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.24 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.99 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- 76.34% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than TRN, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.11 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The decent profitability rating of TRN may justify a higher PE ratio.
- TRN's earnings are expected to decrease with -15.47% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.2
EPS Next 2Y-15.47%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. TRN Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- TRN has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.60%.
- TRN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.08. TRN pays more dividend than 95.42% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, TRN pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.6% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of TRN grows each year by 8.97%, which is quite nice.
- TRN has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- TRN has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.97%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
- 39.00% of the earnings are spent on dividend by TRN. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP39%
EPS Next 2Y-15.47%
EPS Next 3YN/A
TRN Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
34.97
+0.37 (+1.07%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)02-12 2026-02-12/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-30 2026-04-30
Inst Owners91.53%
Inst Owner Change-0.01%
Ins Owners1.08%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.79B
Revenue(TTM)2.16B
Net Income(TTM)253.10M
Analysts46.67
Price Target34.17 (-2.29%)
Short Float %4.06%
Short Ratio4.35
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.6% |
Yearly Dividend1.22
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.97%
DP39%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date04-15 2026-04-15 (0.31)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-3.35%
Min EPS beat(2)-4.85%
Max EPS beat(2)-1.85%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-14.89%
Min EPS beat(4)-39.89%
Max EPS beat(4)-1.85%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)10.81%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)0.91%
EPS beat(16)5
Avg EPS beat(16)-5.23%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-4.76%
Min Revenue beat(2)-15.59%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.08%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-8.14%
Min Revenue beat(4)-16.54%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.08%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.78%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.52%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-3.4%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)31.37%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-11.67%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)24.19%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-16.5%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.3%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.24 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.99 | ||
| P/S | 1.29 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 7.76 | ||
| P/B | 2.59 | ||
| P/tB | 3.26 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.11 |
EPS(TTM)3.11
EY8.89%
EPS(NY)1.94
Fwd EY5.56%
FCF(TTM)-5.45
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)4.51
OCFY12.88%
SpS27.02
BVpS13.49
TBVpS10.72
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.2
Graham Number30.73
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3% | ||
| ROE | 23.5% | ||
| ROCE | 4.56% | ||
| ROIC | 3.49% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.58% | ||
| ROICexgc | 3.89% | ||
| OM | 16.62% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 11.73% | ||
| GM | 26.55% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)1.92%
ROA(5y)1.73%
ROE(3y)15.6%
ROE(5y)14.08%
ROIC(3y)3.55%
ROIC(5y)2.83%
ROICexc(3y)3.64%
ROICexc(5y)2.89%
ROICexgc(3y)3.89%
ROICexgc(5y)3.08%
ROCE(3y)4.64%
ROCE(5y)3.7%
ROICexgc growth 3Y27.88%
ROICexgc growth 5Y7.98%
ROICexc growth 3Y27.64%
ROICexc growth 5Y7.67%
OM growth 3Y21.7%
OM growth 5Y4.82%
PM growth 3Y56.87%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y12.61%
GM growth 5Y1.57%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.26
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.05 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 8.2 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 260.54% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 36.85% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.31 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 54.21% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.9 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.08 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.88 |
F-Score7
WACC7.81%
ROIC/WACC0.45
Cap/Depr(3y)235.16%
Cap/Depr(5y)254.02%
Cap/Sales(3y)26.67%
Cap/Sales(5y)33.31%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)77.71%
EPS 3Y48.48%
EPS 5Y55.69%
EPS Q2Q%484.62%
EPS Next Y-37.48%
EPS Next 2Y-15.47%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-29.95%
Revenue growth 3Y2.94%
Revenue growth 5Y1.53%
Sales Q2Q%-2.89%
Revenue Next Year2.85%
Revenue Next 2Y9.04%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-17.13%
EBIT growth 3Y25.27%
EBIT growth 5Y6.42%
EBIT Next Year23.25%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-1887.21%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-37.31%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-11.21%
TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC / TRN Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC (TRN) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to TRN.
What is the valuation status of TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC (TRN) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC (TRN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of TRN stock?
TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC (TRN) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
How financially healthy is TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC?
The financial health rating of TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC (TRN) is 2 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC (TRN) is expected to decline by -37.48% in the next year.