TEXAS PACIFIC LAND CORP (TPL) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:TPL • US88262P1021
Current stock price
416.77 USD
+6.8 (+1.66%)
At close:
418.39 USD
+1.62 (+0.39%)
After Hours:
This TPL fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. TPL Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year TPL was profitable.
- In the past year TPL had a positive cash flow from operations.
- In the past 5 years TPL has always been profitable.
- TPL had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- TPL has a Return On Assets of 29.65%. This is amongst the best in the industry. TPL outperforms 96.65% of its industry peers.
- With an excellent Return On Equity value of 33.00%, TPL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 92.82% of the companies in the same industry.
- TPL has a better Return On Invested Capital (30.78%) than 97.61% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for TPL is significantly above the industry average of 22.60%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 29.65% | ||
| ROE | 33% | ||
| ROIC | 30.78% |
ROA(3y)33.7%
ROA(5y)37.46%
ROE(3y)37.32%
ROE(5y)42.23%
ROIC(3y)33.51%
ROIC(5y)38.7%
1.3 Margins
- TPL has a Profit Margin of 60.31%. This is amongst the best in the industry. TPL outperforms 95.22% of its industry peers.
- TPL's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
- Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 74.19%, TPL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 97.13% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of TPL has remained more or less at the same level.
- The Gross Margin of TPL (93.29%) is better than 97.61% of its industry peers.
- TPL's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 74.19% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 60.31% | ||
| GM | 93.29% |
OM growth 3Y-4.15%
OM growth 5Y0.65%
PM growth 3Y-3.39%
PM growth 5Y0.72%
GM growth 3Y-1.42%
GM growth 5Y-0.42%
2. TPL Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), TPL is creating value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, TPL has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
- TPL has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- TPL has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
2.2 Solvency
- TPL has an Altman-Z score of 106.41. This indicates that TPL is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
- With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 106.41, TPL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 99.04% of the companies in the same industry.
- There is no outstanding debt for TPL. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 106.41 |
ROIC/WACC3.44
WACC8.95%
2.3 Liquidity
- TPL has a Current Ratio of 3.11. This indicates that TPL is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
- The Current ratio of TPL (3.11) is better than 83.73% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 3.11 indicates that TPL has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 3.11, TPL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 84.21% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 3.11 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.11 |
3. TPL Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 5.81% over the past year.
- Measured over the past years, TPL shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 40.58% on average per year.
- The Revenue has grown by 13.09% in the past year. This is quite good.
- Measured over the past years, TPL shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 21.41% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)5.81%
EPS 3Y29.21%
EPS 5Y40.58%
EPS Q2Q%-64.98%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)13.09%
Revenue growth 3Y6.15%
Revenue growth 5Y21.41%
Sales Q2Q%13.89%
3.2 Future
- TPL is expected to show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -12.05% yearly.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 22.11% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
EPS Next Y-30.27%
EPS Next 2Y-12.05%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year30.62%
Revenue Next 2Y22.11%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. TPL Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- TPL is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 30.09.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, TPL is valued a bit more expensive than 60.77% of the companies in the same industry.
- TPL's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 27.18.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 43.16, which means the current valuation is very expensive for TPL.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of TPL is on the same level as its industry peers.
- When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of TPL to the average of the S&P500 Index (37.96), we can say TPL is valued inline with the index average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 30.09 | ||
| Fwd PE | 43.16 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, TPL is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 70.33% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 42.95 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- TPL has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- TPL's earnings are expected to decrease with -12.05% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.74
EPS Next 2Y-12.05%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. TPL Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- TPL has a yearly dividend return of 0.63%, which is pretty low.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.23, TPL is paying slightly less dividend.
- With a Dividend Yield of 0.63, TPL pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.82.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.63% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of TPL decreases each year by -5.79%.
- TPL has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-5.79%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
- TPL pays out 30.70% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
- TPL's earnings and Dividend Rate are declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP30.7%
EPS Next 2Y-12.05%
EPS Next 3YN/A
TPL Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
416.77
+6.8 (+1.66%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-18 2026-02-18/amc
Earnings (Next)05-06 2026-05-06
Inst Owners73.06%
Inst Owner Change0.33%
Ins Owners0.17%
Ins Owner Change0.36%
Market Cap28.73B
Revenue(TTM)798.19M
Net Income(TTM)481.38M
Analysts75
Price Target452.65 (8.61%)
Short Float %6.05%
Short Ratio7.52
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.63% |
Yearly Dividend2.14
Dividend Growth(5Y)-5.79%
DP30.7%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date03-02 2026-03-02 (0.6)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-3.28%
Min EPS beat(2)-9.57%
Max EPS beat(2)3.02%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-37.47%
Min EPS beat(4)-72.72%
Max EPS beat(4)3.02%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-21.4%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-13.65%
EPS beat(16)5
Avg EPS beat(16)-10.95%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.49%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.86%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.11%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-4.33%
Min Revenue beat(4)-9.86%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.11%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.91%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.9%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.43%
PT rev (1m)11.42%
PT rev (3m)-53.38%
EPS NQ rev (1m)7.45%
EPS NQ rev (3m)2.63%
EPS NY rev (1m)15.74%
EPS NY rev (3m)-61.45%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.63%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.73%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)9.05%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 30.09 | ||
| Fwd PE | 43.16 | ||
| P/S | 36 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 52.63 | ||
| P/B | 19.69 | ||
| P/tB | 20.15 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 42.95 |
EPS(TTM)13.85
EY3.32%
EPS(NY)9.66
Fwd EY2.32%
FCF(TTM)-0.06
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)7.92
OCFY1.9%
SpS11.58
BVpS21.16
TBVpS20.69
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.74
Graham Number81.21
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 29.65% | ||
| ROE | 33% | ||
| ROCE | 39.14% | ||
| ROIC | 30.78% | ||
| ROICexc | 34.04% | ||
| ROICexgc | 34.88% | ||
| OM | 74.19% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 60.31% | ||
| GM | 93.29% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)33.7%
ROA(5y)37.46%
ROE(3y)37.32%
ROE(5y)42.23%
ROIC(3y)33.51%
ROIC(5y)38.7%
ROICexc(3y)61.43%
ROICexc(5y)84.23%
ROICexgc(3y)65.06%
ROICexgc(5y)86.71%
ROCE(3y)42.6%
ROCE(5y)49.21%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-36.57%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-11.59%
ROICexc growth 3Y-37%
ROICexc growth 5Y-11.73%
OM growth 3Y-4.15%
OM growth 5Y0.65%
PM growth 3Y-3.39%
PM growth 5Y0.72%
GM growth 3Y-1.42%
GM growth 5Y-0.42%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.49
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 879.1% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 68.87% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 83.38% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 3.11 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.11 | ||
| Altman-Z | 106.41 |
F-Score5
WACC8.95%
ROIC/WACC3.44
Cap/Depr(3y)994.61%
Cap/Depr(5y)644.53%
Cap/Sales(3y)46.29%
Cap/Sales(5y)29.13%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)5.81%
EPS 3Y29.21%
EPS 5Y40.58%
EPS Q2Q%-64.98%
EPS Next Y-30.27%
EPS Next 2Y-12.05%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)13.09%
Revenue growth 3Y6.15%
Revenue growth 5Y21.41%
Sales Q2Q%13.89%
Revenue Next Year30.62%
Revenue Next 2Y22.11%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y9.83%
EBIT growth 3Y1.74%
EBIT growth 5Y22.21%
EBIT Next Year60.13%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-105.97%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y11.26%
OCF growth 3Y6.88%
OCF growth 5Y21.4%
TEXAS PACIFIC LAND CORP / TPL Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for TPL stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to TPL.
What is the valuation status of TEXAS PACIFIC LAND CORP (TPL) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to TEXAS PACIFIC LAND CORP (TPL). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for TEXAS PACIFIC LAND CORP?
TEXAS PACIFIC LAND CORP (TPL) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for TEXAS PACIFIC LAND CORP (TPL) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of TEXAS PACIFIC LAND CORP (TPL) is expected to decline by -30.27% in the next year.
Is the dividend of TEXAS PACIFIC LAND CORP sustainable?
The dividend rating of TEXAS PACIFIC LAND CORP (TPL) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 30.7%.