TIMKENSTEEL CORP (TMST) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:TMST - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US8873991033 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to TMST. TMST was compared to 153 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. While TMST has a great health rating, its profitability is only average at the moment. TMST is valued quite cheap, but it does not seem to be growing. These ratings would make TMST suitable for value investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
TMST had positive earnings in the past year.
TMST had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: TMST reported negative net income in multiple years.
Each year in the past 5 years TMST had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 5.90%, TMST is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 78.34% of the companies in the same industry.
With a decent Return On Equity value of 9.49%, TMST is doing good in the industry, outperforming 77.71% of the companies in the same industry.
With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 7.54%, TMST is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.89% of the companies in the same industry.
TMST had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 7.32%. This is in line with the industry average of 8.54%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (7.54%) for TMST is above the 3 year average (7.32%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.9% | ||
| ROE | 9.49% | ||
| ROIC | 7.54% |
ROA(3y)8.89%
ROA(5y)2.06%
ROE(3y)14.9%
ROE(5y)2.59%
ROIC(3y)7.32%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of TMST (5.09%) is better than 70.06% of its industry peers.
TMST has a Operating Margin of 7.48%. This is in the better half of the industry: TMST outperforms 61.78% of its industry peers.
TMST's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
TMST has a Gross Margin of 13.69%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: TMST outperforms 49.04% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of TMST has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 7.48% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.09% | ||
| GM | 13.69% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y33.51%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y93.89%
GM growth 5Y11.73%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), TMST is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, TMST has less shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for TMST has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for TMST has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 2.99 indicates that TMST is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
TMST has a Altman-Z score (2.99) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
TMST has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.18. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.18 years to pay back of all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 0.18, TMST belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 91.72% of the companies in the same industry.
TMST has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.02. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.02, TMST is doing good in the industry, outperforming 68.79% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.02 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.18 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.99 |
ROIC/WACC0.86
WACC8.73%
2.3 Liquidity
TMST has a Current Ratio of 2.64. This indicates that TMST is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of TMST (2.64) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
TMST has a Quick Ratio of 1.73. This is a normal value and indicates that TMST is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
TMST has a Quick ratio of 1.73. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: TMST outperforms 53.50% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.64 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.73 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
TMST shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 36.18%, which is quite impressive.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.44% in the past year.
TMST shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -3.29% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)36.18%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%104.24%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.44%
Revenue growth 3Y17.93%
Revenue growth 5Y-3.29%
Sales Q2Q%33.7%
3.2 Future
TMST is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 6.55% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, TMST will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 3.82% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-1.1%
EPS Next 2Y6.55%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year1.87%
Revenue Next 2Y3.82%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 13.88 indicates a correct valuation of TMST.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, TMST is valued cheaper than 80.89% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 28.18, TMST is valued rather cheaply.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.09, the valuation of TMST can be described as reasonable.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, TMST is valued cheaply inside the industry as 83.44% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 20.81, TMST is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.88 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.09 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, TMST is valued cheaply inside the industry as 91.72% of the companies are valued more expensively.
TMST's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. TMST is cheaper than 84.71% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 11.94 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 3.78 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The decent profitability rating of TMST may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y6.55%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for TMST!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
20.4
+0.21 (+1.04%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners82.12%
Inst Owner Change-2.08%
Ins Owners2.73%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap880.26M
Analysts43.33
Price Target28.56 (40%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.59%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.62%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.55%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.05%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.21%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.17%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-4.13%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.5%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-4.36%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)-6.08%
EPS NY rev (3m)-4.59%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.84%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.42%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.88 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.09 | ||
| P/S | 0.65 | ||
| P/FCF | 11.94 | ||
| P/OCF | 7.03 | ||
| P/B | 1.2 | ||
| P/tB | 1.21 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 3.78 |
EPS(TTM)1.47
EY7.21%
EPS(NY)1.84
Fwd EY9.02%
FCF(TTM)1.71
FCFY8.37%
OCF(TTM)2.9
OCFY14.23%
SpS31.57
BVpS16.95
TBVpS16.89
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.9% | ||
| ROE | 9.49% | ||
| ROCE | 10.99% | ||
| ROIC | 7.54% | ||
| ROICexc | 10.74% | ||
| ROICexgc | 10.79% | ||
| OM | 7.48% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.09% | ||
| GM | 13.69% | ||
| FCFM | 5.41% |
ROA(3y)8.89%
ROA(5y)2.06%
ROE(3y)14.9%
ROE(5y)2.59%
ROIC(3y)7.32%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)10.21%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)10.29%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)10.88%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y40.86%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y41.23%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y33.51%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y93.89%
GM growth 5Y11.73%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.16
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.02 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.18 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.08 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 90.69% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.79% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 48.52 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 78.9% | ||
| Profit Quality | 106.2% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.64 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.73 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.99 |
F-Score6
WACC8.73%
ROIC/WACC0.86
Cap/Depr(3y)52.17%
Cap/Depr(5y)46.47%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.26%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.39%
Profit Quality(3y)126.4%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)36.18%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%104.24%
EPS Next Y-1.1%
EPS Next 2Y6.55%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.44%
Revenue growth 3Y17.93%
Revenue growth 5Y-3.29%
Sales Q2Q%33.7%
Revenue Next Year1.87%
Revenue Next 2Y3.82%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y92.63%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y29.11%
EBIT Next Year58.45%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-31.38%
FCF growth 3Y-22.22%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-6.84%
OCF growth 3Y-10.28%
OCF growth 5Y46.61%