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TIMKENSTEEL CORP (TMST) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - NYSE:TMST - US8873991033 - Common Stock

20.4 USD
+0.21 (+1.04%)
Last: 2/26/2024, 8:04:32 PM
20.4 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 2/26/2024, 8:04:32 PM
Fundamental Rating

5

Overall TMST gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated TMST against 154 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. While TMST has a great health rating, its profitability is only average at the moment. TMST has a bad growth rate and is valued cheaply. This makes TMST very considerable for value investing!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year TMST was profitable.
In the past year TMST had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years TMST reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
In the past 5 years TMST always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
TMST Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFTMST Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100M -100M

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 5.90%, TMST is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 78.34% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 9.49%, TMST is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 77.71% of the companies in the same industry.
TMST's Return On Invested Capital of 7.54% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. TMST outperforms 73.89% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for TMST is significantly below the industry average of 12.58%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (7.54%) for TMST is above the 3 year average (7.32%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.9%
ROE 9.49%
ROIC 7.54%
ROA(3y)8.89%
ROA(5y)2.06%
ROE(3y)14.9%
ROE(5y)2.59%
ROIC(3y)7.32%
ROIC(5y)N/A
TMST Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICTMST Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10 -10 20

1.3 Margins

With a decent Profit Margin value of 5.09%, TMST is doing good in the industry, outperforming 70.06% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 7.48%, TMST is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 61.78% of the companies in the same industry.
TMST's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
TMST's Gross Margin of 13.69% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. TMST outperforms 49.04% of its industry peers.
TMST's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 7.48%
PM (TTM) 5.09%
GM 13.69%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y33.51%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y93.89%
GM growth 5Y11.73%
TMST Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsTMST Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5 -5 10 -10 15

7

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

TMST has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for TMST has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for TMST has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, TMST has an improved debt to assets ratio.
TMST Yearly Shares OutstandingTMST Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10M 20M 30M 40M
TMST Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsTMST Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.2 Solvency

TMST has an Altman-Z score of 2.99. This is not the best score and indicates that TMST is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
TMST's Altman-Z score of 2.99 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. TMST outperforms 59.87% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of TMST is 0.18, which is an excellent value as it means it would take TMST, only 0.18 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
TMST has a Debt to FCF ratio of 0.18. This is amongst the best in the industry. TMST outperforms 91.72% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.02 indicates that TMST is not too dependend on debt financing.
TMST's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.02 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. TMST outperforms 68.79% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.02
Debt/FCF 0.18
Altman-Z 2.99
ROIC/WACC0.86
WACC8.73%
TMST Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFTMST Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M 400M 600M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 2.64 indicates that TMST has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
TMST has a Current ratio (2.64) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
TMST has a Quick Ratio of 1.73. This is a normal value and indicates that TMST is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 1.73, TMST perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 53.50% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.64
Quick Ratio 1.73
TMST Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesTMST Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 36.18% over the past year.
TMST shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 2.44%.
Measured over the past years, TMST shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -3.29% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)36.18%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%104.24%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.44%
Revenue growth 3Y17.93%
Revenue growth 5Y-3.29%
Sales Q2Q%33.7%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, TMST will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 6.55% on average per year.
TMST is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 3.82% yearly.
EPS Next Y-1.1%
EPS Next 2Y6.55%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year1.87%
Revenue Next 2Y3.82%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
TMST Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesTMST Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B
TMST Yearly EPS VS EstimatesTMST Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1 -1 2 -2 3

7

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 13.88 indicates a correct valuation of TMST.
TMST's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. TMST is cheaper than 80.89% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of TMST to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.13), we can say TMST is valued slightly cheaper.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.09, the valuation of TMST can be described as very reasonable.
83.44% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than TMST, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
TMST is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.35, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.88
Fwd PE 11.09
TMST Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsTMST Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, TMST is valued cheaply inside the industry as 91.72% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, TMST is valued cheaper than 84.71% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 11.94
EV/EBITDA 3.78
TMST Per share dataTMST EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The decent profitability rating of TMST may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y6.55%
EPS Next 3YN/A

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

TMST does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

TIMKENSTEEL CORP

NYSE:TMST (2/26/2024, 8:04:32 PM)

After market: 20.4 0 (0%)

20.4

+0.21 (+1.04%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)02-27 2024-02-27/amc
Earnings (Next)05-02 2024-05-02/amc
Inst Owners82.12%
Inst Owner Change-0.38%
Ins Owners2.73%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap880.26M
Revenue(TTM)1.36B
Net Income(TTM)69.40M
Analysts43.33
Price Target28.56 (40%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.59%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.62%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.55%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.05%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.21%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.17%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-4.13%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.5%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-4.36%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)-6.08%
EPS NY rev (3m)-4.59%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.84%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.42%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.88
Fwd PE 11.09
P/S 0.65
P/FCF 11.94
P/OCF 7.03
P/B 1.2
P/tB 1.21
EV/EBITDA 3.78
EPS(TTM)1.47
EY7.21%
EPS(NY)1.84
Fwd EY9.02%
FCF(TTM)1.71
FCFY8.37%
OCF(TTM)2.9
OCFY14.23%
SpS31.57
BVpS16.95
TBVpS16.89
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.9%
ROE 9.49%
ROCE 10.99%
ROIC 7.54%
ROICexc 10.74%
ROICexgc 10.79%
OM 7.48%
PM (TTM) 5.09%
GM 13.69%
FCFM 5.41%
ROA(3y)8.89%
ROA(5y)2.06%
ROE(3y)14.9%
ROE(5y)2.59%
ROIC(3y)7.32%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)10.21%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)10.29%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)10.88%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y40.86%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y41.23%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y33.51%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y93.89%
GM growth 5Y11.73%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.16
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.02
Debt/FCF 0.18
Debt/EBITDA 0.08
Cap/Depr 90.69%
Cap/Sales 3.79%
Interest Coverage 48.52
Cash Conversion 78.9%
Profit Quality 106.2%
Current Ratio 2.64
Quick Ratio 1.73
Altman-Z 2.99
F-Score6
WACC8.73%
ROIC/WACC0.86
Cap/Depr(3y)52.17%
Cap/Depr(5y)46.47%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.26%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.39%
Profit Quality(3y)126.4%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)36.18%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%104.24%
EPS Next Y-1.1%
EPS Next 2Y6.55%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.44%
Revenue growth 3Y17.93%
Revenue growth 5Y-3.29%
Sales Q2Q%33.7%
Revenue Next Year1.87%
Revenue Next 2Y3.82%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y92.63%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y29.11%
EBIT Next Year58.45%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-31.38%
FCF growth 3Y-22.22%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-6.84%
OCF growth 3Y-10.28%
OCF growth 5Y46.61%

TIMKENSTEEL CORP / TMST FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for TIMKENSTEEL CORP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to TMST.


What is the valuation status for TMST stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to TIMKENSTEEL CORP (TMST). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for TIMKENSTEEL CORP?

TIMKENSTEEL CORP (TMST) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for TMST stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for TIMKENSTEEL CORP (TMST) is 13.88 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.2.


How financially healthy is TIMKENSTEEL CORP?

The financial health rating of TIMKENSTEEL CORP (TMST) is 7 / 10.