TIMKENSTEEL CORP (TMST) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:TMST - US8873991033 - Common Stock
20.4 USD
+0.21 (+1.04%)
20.4 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to TMST. TMST was compared to 154 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. While TMST has a great health rating, its profitability is only average at the moment. TMST is cheap, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth. These ratings could make TMST a good candidate for value investing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
TMST had positive earnings in the past year.
TMST had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years TMST reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years TMST had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
With a decent Return On Assets value of 5.90%, TMST is doing good in the industry, outperforming 78.34% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of TMST (9.49%) is better than 77.71% of its industry peers.
With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 7.54%, TMST is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.89% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for TMST is significantly below the industry average of 13.20%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (7.54%) for TMST is above the 3 year average (7.32%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.9% | ||
| ROE | 9.49% | ||
| ROIC | 7.54% |
ROA(3y)8.89%
ROA(5y)2.06%
ROE(3y)14.9%
ROE(5y)2.59%
ROIC(3y)7.32%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
With a decent Profit Margin value of 5.09%, TMST is doing good in the industry, outperforming 70.06% of the companies in the same industry.
TMST has a better Operating Margin (7.48%) than 61.78% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of TMST has grown nicely.
The Gross Margin of TMST (13.69%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
TMST's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 7.48% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.09% | ||
| GM | 13.69% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y33.51%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y93.89%
GM growth 5Y11.73%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), TMST is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for TMST has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for TMST has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, TMST has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
TMST has an Altman-Z score of 2.99. This is not the best score and indicates that TMST is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
TMST has a Altman-Z score (2.99) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of TMST is 0.18, which is an excellent value as it means it would take TMST, only 0.18 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 0.18, TMST belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 91.72% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.02 indicates that TMST is not too dependend on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of TMST (0.02) is better than 68.79% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.02 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.18 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.99 |
ROIC/WACC0.86
WACC8.73%
2.3 Liquidity
TMST has a Current Ratio of 2.64. This indicates that TMST is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 2.64, TMST perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 52.87% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.73 indicates that TMST should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.73, TMST is in line with its industry, outperforming 53.50% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.64 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.73 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 36.18% over the past year.
TMST shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 2.44%.
The Revenue has been decreasing by -3.29% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)36.18%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%104.24%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.44%
Revenue growth 3Y17.93%
Revenue growth 5Y-3.29%
Sales Q2Q%33.7%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, TMST will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 6.55% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, TMST will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 3.82% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-1.1%
EPS Next 2Y6.55%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year1.87%
Revenue Next 2Y3.82%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 13.88, which indicates a correct valuation of TMST.
TMST's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. TMST is cheaper than 80.89% of the companies in the same industry.
TMST's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 26.31.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 11.09, which indicates a very decent valuation of TMST.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of TMST indicates a rather cheap valuation: TMST is cheaper than 83.44% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 36.56, TMST is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.88 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.09 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of TMST indicates a rather cheap valuation: TMST is cheaper than 91.72% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of TMST indicates a rather cheap valuation: TMST is cheaper than 84.71% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 11.94 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 3.78 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The decent profitability rating of TMST may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y6.55%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for TMST!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
20.4
+0.21 (+1.04%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners82.12%
Inst Owner Change-2.94%
Ins Owners2.73%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap880.26M
Revenue(TTM)1.36B
Net Income(TTM)69.40M
Analysts43.33
Price Target28.56 (40%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.59%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.62%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.55%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.05%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.21%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.17%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-4.13%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.5%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-4.36%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)-6.08%
EPS NY rev (3m)-4.59%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.84%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.42%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.88 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.09 | ||
| P/S | 0.65 | ||
| P/FCF | 11.94 | ||
| P/OCF | 7.03 | ||
| P/B | 1.2 | ||
| P/tB | 1.21 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 3.78 |
EPS(TTM)1.47
EY7.21%
EPS(NY)1.84
Fwd EY9.02%
FCF(TTM)1.71
FCFY8.37%
OCF(TTM)2.9
OCFY14.23%
SpS31.57
BVpS16.95
TBVpS16.89
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.9% | ||
| ROE | 9.49% | ||
| ROCE | 10.99% | ||
| ROIC | 7.54% | ||
| ROICexc | 10.74% | ||
| ROICexgc | 10.79% | ||
| OM | 7.48% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.09% | ||
| GM | 13.69% | ||
| FCFM | 5.41% |
ROA(3y)8.89%
ROA(5y)2.06%
ROE(3y)14.9%
ROE(5y)2.59%
ROIC(3y)7.32%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)10.21%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)10.29%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)10.88%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y40.86%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y41.23%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y33.51%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y93.89%
GM growth 5Y11.73%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.16
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.02 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.18 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.08 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 90.69% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.79% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 48.52 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 78.9% | ||
| Profit Quality | 106.2% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.64 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.73 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.99 |
F-Score6
WACC8.73%
ROIC/WACC0.86
Cap/Depr(3y)52.17%
Cap/Depr(5y)46.47%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.26%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.39%
Profit Quality(3y)126.4%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)36.18%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%104.24%
EPS Next Y-1.1%
EPS Next 2Y6.55%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.44%
Revenue growth 3Y17.93%
Revenue growth 5Y-3.29%
Sales Q2Q%33.7%
Revenue Next Year1.87%
Revenue Next 2Y3.82%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y92.63%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y29.11%
EBIT Next Year58.45%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-31.38%
FCF growth 3Y-22.22%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-6.84%
OCF growth 3Y-10.28%
OCF growth 5Y46.61%
TIMKENSTEEL CORP / TMST FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for TIMKENSTEEL CORP?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to TMST.
What is the valuation status for TMST stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to TIMKENSTEEL CORP (TMST). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for TIMKENSTEEL CORP?
TIMKENSTEEL CORP (TMST) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for TMST stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for TIMKENSTEEL CORP (TMST) is 13.88 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.2.
How financially healthy is TIMKENSTEEL CORP?
The financial health rating of TIMKENSTEEL CORP (TMST) is 7 / 10.