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TIMKENSTEEL CORP (TMST) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - NYSE:TMST - US8873991033 - Common Stock

20.4 USD
+0.21 (+1.04%)
Last: 2/26/2024, 8:04:32 PM
20.4 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 2/26/2024, 8:04:32 PM
Fundamental Rating

5

Taking everything into account, TMST scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. TMST was compared to 155 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. TMST is in great health and has no worries on liquidiy or solvency at all, but the profibility rating is only average. TMST is cheap, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth. These ratings would make TMST suitable for value investing!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

TMST had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year TMST had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: TMST reported negative net income in multiple years.
In the past 5 years TMST always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
TMST Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFTMST Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100M -100M

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of TMST (5.90%) is better than 78.34% of its industry peers.
With a decent Return On Equity value of 9.49%, TMST is doing good in the industry, outperforming 77.71% of the companies in the same industry.
TMST's Return On Invested Capital of 7.54% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. TMST outperforms 73.89% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for TMST is below the industry average of 12.29%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (7.54%) for TMST is above the 3 year average (7.32%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.9%
ROE 9.49%
ROIC 7.54%
ROA(3y)8.89%
ROA(5y)2.06%
ROE(3y)14.9%
ROE(5y)2.59%
ROIC(3y)7.32%
ROIC(5y)N/A
TMST Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICTMST Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10 -10 20

1.3 Margins

TMST has a Profit Margin of 5.09%. This is in the better half of the industry: TMST outperforms 70.06% of its industry peers.
The Operating Margin of TMST (7.48%) is better than 61.78% of its industry peers.
TMST's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
TMST has a Gross Margin of 13.69%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: TMST outperforms 49.04% of its industry peers.
TMST's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 7.48%
PM (TTM) 5.09%
GM 13.69%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y33.51%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y93.89%
GM growth 5Y11.73%
TMST Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsTMST Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5 -5 10 -10 15

7

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), TMST is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for TMST has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
TMST has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, TMST has an improved debt to assets ratio.
TMST Yearly Shares OutstandingTMST Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10M 20M 30M 40M
TMST Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsTMST Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.2 Solvency

TMST has an Altman-Z score of 2.99. This is not the best score and indicates that TMST is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
TMST's Altman-Z score of 2.99 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. TMST outperforms 59.87% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of TMST is 0.18, which is an excellent value as it means it would take TMST, only 0.18 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of TMST (0.18) is better than 91.72% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.02 indicates that TMST is not too dependend on debt financing.
TMST's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.02 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. TMST outperforms 68.79% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.02
Debt/FCF 0.18
Altman-Z 2.99
ROIC/WACC0.86
WACC8.73%
TMST Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFTMST Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M 400M 600M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 2.64 indicates that TMST has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
TMST has a Current ratio (2.64) which is in line with its industry peers.
TMST has a Quick Ratio of 1.73. This is a normal value and indicates that TMST is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
TMST's Quick ratio of 1.73 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. TMST outperforms 53.50% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.64
Quick Ratio 1.73
TMST Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesTMST Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

TMST shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 36.18%, which is quite impressive.
Looking at the last year, TMST shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 2.44% in the last year.
The Revenue has been decreasing by -3.29% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)36.18%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%104.24%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.44%
Revenue growth 3Y17.93%
Revenue growth 5Y-3.29%
Sales Q2Q%33.7%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, TMST will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 6.55% on average per year.
TMST is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 3.82% yearly.
EPS Next Y-1.1%
EPS Next 2Y6.55%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year1.87%
Revenue Next 2Y3.82%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
TMST Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesTMST Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B
TMST Yearly EPS VS EstimatesTMST Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1 -1 2 -2 3

7

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 13.88, which indicates a correct valuation of TMST.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, TMST is valued cheaper than 80.89% of the companies in the same industry.
TMST is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.91, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
TMST is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.09.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, TMST is valued cheaper than 83.44% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.92, TMST is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.88
Fwd PE 11.09
TMST Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsTMST Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of TMST indicates a rather cheap valuation: TMST is cheaper than 91.72% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, TMST is valued cheaper than 84.71% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 11.94
EV/EBITDA 3.78
TMST Per share dataTMST EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The decent profitability rating of TMST may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y6.55%
EPS Next 3YN/A

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for TMST!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

TIMKENSTEEL CORP

NYSE:TMST (2/26/2024, 8:04:32 PM)

After market: 20.4 0 (0%)

20.4

+0.21 (+1.04%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)02-27 2024-02-27/amc
Earnings (Next)05-02 2024-05-02/amc
Inst Owners82.12%
Inst Owner Change-0.45%
Ins Owners2.73%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap880.26M
Revenue(TTM)1.36B
Net Income(TTM)69.40M
Analysts43.33
Price Target28.56 (40%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.59%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.62%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.55%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.05%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.21%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.17%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-4.13%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.5%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-4.36%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)-6.08%
EPS NY rev (3m)-4.59%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.84%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.42%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.88
Fwd PE 11.09
P/S 0.65
P/FCF 11.94
P/OCF 7.03
P/B 1.2
P/tB 1.21
EV/EBITDA 3.78
EPS(TTM)1.47
EY7.21%
EPS(NY)1.84
Fwd EY9.02%
FCF(TTM)1.71
FCFY8.37%
OCF(TTM)2.9
OCFY14.23%
SpS31.57
BVpS16.95
TBVpS16.89
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.9%
ROE 9.49%
ROCE 10.99%
ROIC 7.54%
ROICexc 10.74%
ROICexgc 10.79%
OM 7.48%
PM (TTM) 5.09%
GM 13.69%
FCFM 5.41%
ROA(3y)8.89%
ROA(5y)2.06%
ROE(3y)14.9%
ROE(5y)2.59%
ROIC(3y)7.32%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)10.21%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)10.29%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)10.88%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y40.86%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y41.23%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y33.51%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y93.89%
GM growth 5Y11.73%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.16
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.02
Debt/FCF 0.18
Debt/EBITDA 0.08
Cap/Depr 90.69%
Cap/Sales 3.79%
Interest Coverage 48.52
Cash Conversion 78.9%
Profit Quality 106.2%
Current Ratio 2.64
Quick Ratio 1.73
Altman-Z 2.99
F-Score6
WACC8.73%
ROIC/WACC0.86
Cap/Depr(3y)52.17%
Cap/Depr(5y)46.47%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.26%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.39%
Profit Quality(3y)126.4%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)36.18%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%104.24%
EPS Next Y-1.1%
EPS Next 2Y6.55%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.44%
Revenue growth 3Y17.93%
Revenue growth 5Y-3.29%
Sales Q2Q%33.7%
Revenue Next Year1.87%
Revenue Next 2Y3.82%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y92.63%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y29.11%
EBIT Next Year58.45%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-31.38%
FCF growth 3Y-22.22%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-6.84%
OCF growth 3Y-10.28%
OCF growth 5Y46.61%

TIMKENSTEEL CORP / TMST FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for TIMKENSTEEL CORP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to TMST.


What is the valuation status for TMST stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to TIMKENSTEEL CORP (TMST). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for TIMKENSTEEL CORP?

TIMKENSTEEL CORP (TMST) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for TMST stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for TIMKENSTEEL CORP (TMST) is 13.88 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.2.


How financially healthy is TIMKENSTEEL CORP?

The financial health rating of TIMKENSTEEL CORP (TMST) is 7 / 10.