TILLY'S INC-CLASS A SHRS (TLYS) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:TLYS - US8868851028 - Common Stock
1.82 USD
+0.02 (+1.11%)
1.6549 USD
-0.17 (-9.07%)
Overall TLYS gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. We evaluated TLYS against 122 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. The financial health of TLYS is average, but there are quite some concerns on its profitability. TLYS is valued expensive and it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
TLYS had negative earnings in the past year.
In the past year TLYS has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
In multiple years TLYS reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
In multiple years TLYS reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -10.74%, TLYS is doing worse than 76.23% of the companies in the same industry.
TLYS's Return On Equity of -41.73% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. TLYS is outperformed by 67.21% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -10.74% | ||
| ROE | -41.73% | ||
| ROIC | N/A |
ROA(3y)-6.5%
ROA(5y)-1.4%
ROE(3y)-21.38%
ROE(5y)-5.62%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
TLYS's Gross Margin of 27.71% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. TLYS is outperformed by 72.13% of its industry peers.
TLYS's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
TLYS does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 27.71% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-9.67%
GM growth 5Y-2.7%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
TLYS does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
The number of shares outstanding for TLYS has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
TLYS has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
TLYS has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.17, we must say that TLYS is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
TLYS has a Altman-Z score of 1.17. This is in the lower half of the industry: TLYS underperforms 68.03% of its industry peers.
TLYS has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.17 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC9.69%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.18 indicates that TLYS should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
TLYS has a worse Current ratio (1.18) than 62.30% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.48 indicates that TLYS may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.48, TLYS is in line with its industry, outperforming 47.54% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.18 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.48 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 8.65% over the past year.
Looking at the last year, TLYS shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -8.31% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, TLYS shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -1.66% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)8.65%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%88.32%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.31%
Revenue growth 3Y-9.79%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.66%
Sales Q2Q%-2.69%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, TLYS will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 27.10% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 2.41% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y45.26%
EPS Next 2Y21.63%
EPS Next 3Y27.1%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-6.7%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.84%
Revenue Next 3Y2.41%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for TLYS. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for TLYS. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | N/A |
4.2 Price Multiples
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
A more expensive valuation may be justified as TLYS's earnings are expected to grow with 27.10% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y21.63%
EPS Next 3Y27.1%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
TLYS does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
1.82
+0.02 (+1.11%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners92.77%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners3.25%
Ins Owner Change3.75%
Market Cap55.46M
Revenue(TTM)545.74M
Net Income(TTM)-34.06M
Analysts43.33
Price Target2.3 (26.37%)
Short Float %2.91%
Short Ratio3.21
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)214.38%
Min EPS beat(2)83.66%
Max EPS beat(2)345.1%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)92.32%
Min EPS beat(4)-49.55%
Max EPS beat(4)345.1%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)55.32%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)85.15%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)71.2%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.87%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.71%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.04%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.99%
Min Revenue beat(4)-9.69%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.04%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.69%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.04%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.74%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)53.13%
EPS NY rev (1m)34.4%
EPS NY rev (3m)34.4%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | N/A | ||
| P/S | 0.1 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | N/A | ||
| P/B | 0.68 | ||
| P/tB | 0.68 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
EPS(TTM)-1.14
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.8
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-0.43
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.27
OCFYN/A
SpS17.91
BVpS2.68
TBVpS2.68
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -10.74% | ||
| ROE | -41.73% | ||
| ROCE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | N/A | ||
| ROICexc | N/A | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 27.71% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)-6.5%
ROA(5y)-1.4%
ROE(3y)-21.38%
ROE(5y)-5.62%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-9.67%
GM growth 5Y-2.7%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.72
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | N/A | ||
| Cap/Depr | 43.25% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 0.9% | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.18 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.48 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.17 |
F-Score5
WACC9.69%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)93.39%
Cap/Depr(5y)80.87%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.98%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.85%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)8.65%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%88.32%
EPS Next Y45.26%
EPS Next 2Y21.63%
EPS Next 3Y27.1%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.31%
Revenue growth 3Y-9.79%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.66%
Sales Q2Q%-2.69%
Revenue Next Year-6.7%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.84%
Revenue Next 3Y2.41%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y14.17%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year35.77%
EBIT Next 3Y32.38%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y9.2%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-942.98%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A
TILLY'S INC-CLASS A SHRS / TLYS FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for TLYS stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to TLYS.
What is the valuation status for TLYS stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to TILLY'S INC-CLASS A SHRS (TLYS). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is TILLY'S INC-CLASS A SHRS (TLYS) stock?
TILLY'S INC-CLASS A SHRS (TLYS) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.
What is the financial health of TILLY'S INC-CLASS A SHRS (TLYS) stock?
The financial health rating of TILLY'S INC-CLASS A SHRS (TLYS) is 4 / 10.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for TLYS stock?
The dividend rating of TILLY'S INC-CLASS A SHRS (TLYS) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.