TILLY'S INC-CLASS A SHRS (TLYS) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:TLYS - US8868851028 - Common Stock
1.62 USD
-0.06 (-3.57%)
TLYS gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 121 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. The financial health of TLYS is average, but there are quite some concerns on its profitability. TLYS has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
- TLYS had negative earnings in the past year.
- TLYS had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
- The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: TLYS reported negative net income in multiple years.
- In multiple years TLYS reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- TLYS has a Return On Assets of -10.74%. This is in the lower half of the industry: TLYS underperforms 76.03% of its industry peers.
- TLYS's Return On Equity of -41.73% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. TLYS is outperformed by 66.94% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -10.74% | ||
| ROE | -41.73% | ||
| ROIC | N/A |
ROA(3y)-6.5%
ROA(5y)-1.4%
ROE(3y)-21.38%
ROE(5y)-5.62%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- TLYS has a Gross Margin of 27.71%. This is in the lower half of the industry: TLYS underperforms 71.90% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of TLYS has declined.
- TLYS does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 27.71% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-9.67%
GM growth 5Y-2.7%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
- TLYS does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
- TLYS has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- TLYS has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- TLYS has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.16, we must say that TLYS is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.16, TLYS is doing worse than 68.59% of the companies in the same industry.
- There is no outstanding debt for TLYS. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.16 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC9.77%
2.3 Liquidity
- TLYS has a Current Ratio of 1.18. This is a normal value and indicates that TLYS is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- TLYS's Current ratio of 1.18 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. TLYS is outperformed by 61.98% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.48 indicates that TLYS may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- TLYS has a Quick ratio of 0.48. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: TLYS outperforms 47.93% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.18 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.48 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 8.65% over the past year.
- The Revenue has decreased by -8.31% in the past year.
- The Revenue has been decreasing by -1.66% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)8.65%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%88.32%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.31%
Revenue growth 3Y-9.79%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.66%
Sales Q2Q%-2.69%
3.2 Future
- TLYS is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 27.10% yearly.
- TLYS is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.41% yearly.
EPS Next Y45.26%
EPS Next 2Y21.63%
EPS Next 3Y27.1%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-6.7%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.84%
Revenue Next 3Y2.41%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for TLYS. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
- Also next year TLYS is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | N/A |
4.2 Price Multiples
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- TLYS's earnings are expected to grow with 27.10% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y21.63%
EPS Next 3Y27.1%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
- No dividends for TLYS!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
TILLY'S INC-CLASS A SHRS / TLYS FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for TLYS stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to TLYS.
What is the valuation status for TLYS stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to TILLY'S INC-CLASS A SHRS (TLYS). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is TILLY'S INC-CLASS A SHRS (TLYS) stock?
TILLY'S INC-CLASS A SHRS (TLYS) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.
What is the financial health of TILLY'S INC-CLASS A SHRS (TLYS) stock?
The financial health rating of TILLY'S INC-CLASS A SHRS (TLYS) is 4 / 10.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for TLYS stock?
The dividend rating of TILLY'S INC-CLASS A SHRS (TLYS) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.