TILLY'S INC-CLASS A SHRS (TLYS) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:TLYSUS8868851028

Current stock price

5.15 USD
+0.05 (+0.98%)
At close:
5.1532 USD
+0 (+0.06%)
After Hours:

This TLYS fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

2

1. TLYS Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • TLYS had negative earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year TLYS had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In multiple years TLYS reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
  • In multiple years TLYS reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
TLYS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFTLYS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 20M -20M 40M -40M 60M 80M

1.2 Ratios

  • TLYS's Return On Assets of -5.62% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. TLYS is outperformed by 63.93% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of -20.50%, TLYS is in line with its industry, outperforming 42.62% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -5.62%
ROE -20.5%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-9.05%
ROA(5y)-2.48%
ROE(3y)-30.05%
ROE(5y)-9.58%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
TLYS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICTLYS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 20 -20 -40

1.3 Margins

  • With a Gross Margin value of 29.71%, TLYS is not doing good in the industry: 68.03% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of TLYS has grown nicely.
  • The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for TLYS so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 29.71%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.49%
GM growth 5Y2.11%
TLYS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsTLYS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 10 20 30

5

2. TLYS Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • TLYS does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • TLYS has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, TLYS has more shares outstanding
  • There is no outstanding debt for TLYS. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
TLYS Yearly Shares OutstandingTLYS Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 10M 20M 30M
TLYS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsTLYS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M

2.2 Solvency

  • TLYS has an Altman-Z score of 1.69. This is a bad value and indicates that TLYS is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • TLYS's Altman-Z score of 1.69 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. TLYS outperforms 40.16% of its industry peers.
  • There is no outstanding debt for TLYS. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.69
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC8.9%
TLYS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFTLYS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 50M -50M 100M 150M

2.3 Liquidity

  • TLYS has a Current Ratio of 1.25. This is a normal value and indicates that TLYS is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • TLYS has a Current ratio (1.25) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.63 indicates that TLYS may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • TLYS has a Quick ratio (0.63) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.25
Quick Ratio 0.63
TLYS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesTLYS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 50M 100M 150M 200M

4

3. TLYS Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • TLYS shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 61.39%, which is quite impressive.
  • The Revenue has decreased by -2.79% in the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, TLYS shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 0.83% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)61.39%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%122.22%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.79%
Revenue growth 3Y-6.27%
Revenue growth 5Y0.83%
Sales Q2Q%5.32%

3.2 Future

  • TLYS is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 31.28% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 3.28% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y70.61%
EPS Next 2Y31.28%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year4.83%
Revenue Next 2Y3.28%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
TLYS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesTLYS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 200M 400M 600M
TLYS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesTLYS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 1 -1 2

1

4. TLYS Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • TLYS reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
  • Also next year TLYS is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
TLYS Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsTLYS Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 -20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
TLYS Per share dataTLYS EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as TLYS's earnings are expected to grow with 31.28% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y31.28%
EPS Next 3YN/A

0

5. TLYS Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • TLYS does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

TLYS Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

TILLY'S INC-CLASS A SHRS

NYSE:TLYS (4/17/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 5.1532 +0 (+0.06%)

5.15

+0.05 (+0.98%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)03-11
Earnings (Next)06-02
Inst Owners97.28%
Inst Owner Change0.11%
Ins Owners3.68%
Ins Owner Change-32.48%
Market Cap156.92M
Revenue(TTM)553.59M
Net Income(TTM)-17.45M
Analysts43.33
Price Target3.06 (-40.58%)
Short Float %3.99%
Short Ratio0.55
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)124.51%
Min EPS beat(2)83.66%
Max EPS beat(2)165.36%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)146.05%
Min EPS beat(4)-9.92%
Max EPS beat(4)345.1%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)72.96%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)60.88%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)82.14%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.03%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.04%
Max Revenue beat(2)4.1%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.54%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.71%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.1%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.03%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.6%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.38%
PT rev (1m)33.33%
PT rev (3m)33.33%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)52.86%
EPS NY rev (1m)78.21%
EPS NY rev (3m)78.21%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)12.32%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)3.61%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.28
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 38.29
P/B 1.84
P/tB 1.84
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-0.59
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.17
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-0.02
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.13
OCFY2.61%
SpS18.17
BVpS2.79
TBVpS2.79
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number0 (-100%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -5.62%
ROE -20.5%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 29.71%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-9.05%
ROA(5y)-2.48%
ROE(3y)-30.05%
ROE(5y)-9.58%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.49%
GM growth 5Y2.11%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.78
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 44.28%
Cap/Sales 0.85%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.25
Quick Ratio 0.63
Altman-Z 1.69
F-Score6
WACC8.9%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)72.48%
Cap/Depr(5y)80.84%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.51%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.7%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)61.39%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%122.22%
EPS Next Y70.61%
EPS Next 2Y31.28%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.79%
Revenue growth 3Y-6.27%
Revenue growth 5Y0.83%
Sales Q2Q%5.32%
Revenue Next Year4.83%
Revenue Next 2Y3.28%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y59.87%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year107.87%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y98.83%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y109.75%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-36.24%

TILLY'S INC-CLASS A SHRS / TLYS Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for TLYS stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to TLYS.


What is the valuation status for TLYS stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to TILLY'S INC-CLASS A SHRS (TLYS). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of TLYS stock?

TILLY'S INC-CLASS A SHRS (TLYS) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for TLYS stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of TILLY'S INC-CLASS A SHRS (TLYS) is expected to grow by 70.61% in the next year.