TIMKEN CO (TKR) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:TKR • US8873891043

103.695 USD
-1.9 (-1.79%)
Last: Mar 5, 2026, 11:35 AM
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This TKR fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

5

Taking everything into account, TKR scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. TKR was compared to 130 industry peers in the Machinery industry. TKR has an average financial health and profitability rating. TKR has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. TKR Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year TKR was profitable.
  • TKR had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Each year in the past 5 years TKR has been profitable.
  • TKR had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
TKR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFTKR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

  • TKR has a Return On Assets (4.32%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • TKR has a Return On Equity of 9.06%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: TKR outperforms 57.69% of its industry peers.
  • TKR has a Return On Invested Capital (7.93%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for TKR is in line with the industry average of 10.21%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.32%
ROE 9.06%
ROIC 7.93%
ROA(3y)5.28%
ROA(5y)6.01%
ROE(3y)12.27%
ROE(5y)14.17%
ROIC(3y)8.76%
ROIC(5y)9.16%
TKR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICTKR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5 10 15

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of TKR (6.29%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • TKR's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • With a decent Operating Margin value of 13.09%, TKR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 63.08% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of TKR has declined.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 31.15%, TKR is in line with its industry, outperforming 50.77% of the companies in the same industry.
  • TKR's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 13.09%
PM (TTM) 6.29%
GM 31.15%
OM growth 3Y-5.16%
OM growth 5Y-1.84%
PM growth 3Y-11.43%
PM growth 5Y-4.91%
GM growth 3Y2.01%
GM growth 5Y1.13%
TKR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsTKR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

5

2. TKR Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), TKR is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, TKR has less shares outstanding
  • The number of shares outstanding for TKR has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, TKR has an improved debt to assets ratio.
TKR Yearly Shares OutstandingTKR Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M
TKR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsTKR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

  • The Debt to FCF ratio of TKR is 4.73, which is a neutral value as it means it would take TKR, 4.73 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • TKR has a Debt to FCF ratio (4.73) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.59 indicates that TKR is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • TKR has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.59. This is in the lower half of the industry: TKR underperforms 60.77% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.59
Debt/FCF 4.73
Altman-Z N/A
ROIC/WACC0.9
WACC8.82%
TKR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFTKR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

2.3 Liquidity

  • TKR has a Current Ratio of 2.82. This indicates that TKR is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • TKR has a better Current ratio (2.82) than 73.85% of its industry peers.
  • TKR has a Quick Ratio of 1.47. This is a normal value and indicates that TKR is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • TKR has a better Quick ratio (1.47) than 62.31% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.82
Quick Ratio 1.47
TKR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesTKR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. TKR Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • TKR shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -7.94%.
  • TKR shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 5.39% yearly.
  • Looking at the last year, TKR shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 0.19% in the last year.
  • TKR shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 5.45% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-7.94%
EPS 3Y-3.98%
EPS 5Y5.39%
EPS Q2Q%-1.72%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.19%
Revenue growth 3Y0.63%
Revenue growth 5Y5.45%
Sales Q2Q%3.48%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, TKR will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 8.55% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, TKR will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 3.76% on average per year.
EPS Next Y13.14%
EPS Next 2Y11.91%
EPS Next 3Y8.55%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year4.18%
Revenue Next 2Y4.02%
Revenue Next 3Y3.76%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
TKR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesTKR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B
TKR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesTKR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2 4 6

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5

4. TKR Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 19.45 indicates a rather expensive valuation of TKR.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, TKR is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 77.69% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.03, TKR is valued a bit cheaper.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.20 indicates a rather expensive valuation of TKR.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, TKR is valued a bit cheaper than 78.46% of the companies in the same industry.
  • TKR's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 25.11.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.45
Fwd PE 17.2
TKR Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsTKR Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 83.08% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than TKR, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • 80.77% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than TKR, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 17.79
EV/EBITDA 10.74
TKR Per share dataTKR EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)1.48
PEG (5Y)3.61
EPS Next 2Y11.91%
EPS Next 3Y8.55%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

6

5. TKR Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • TKR has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.27%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • TKR's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 1.13.
  • Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, TKR is paying slightly less dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.27%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of TKR has a limited annual growth rate of 4.11%.
  • TKR has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • TKR has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)4.11%
Div Incr Years11
Div Non Decr Years15
TKR Yearly Dividends per shareTKR Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5.3 Sustainability

  • 34.08% of the earnings are spent on dividend by TKR. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of TKR is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP34.08%
EPS Next 2Y11.91%
EPS Next 3Y8.55%
TKR Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendTKR Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M
TKR Dividend Payout.TKR Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.TKR Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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TKR Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

TIMKEN CO

NYSE:TKR (3/5/2026, 11:35:44 AM)

103.695

-1.9 (-1.79%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)02-04
Earnings (Next)04-28
Inst Owners97.48%
Inst Owner Change-2.17%
Ins Owners3.47%
Ins Owner Change-0.86%
Market Cap7.22B
Revenue(TTM)4.58B
Net Income(TTM)288.40M
Analysts71.76
Price Target113.42 (9.38%)
Short Float %3.2%
Short Ratio2.58
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.27%
Yearly Dividend1.41
Dividend Growth(5Y)4.11%
DP34.08%
Div Incr Years11
Div Non Decr Years15
Ex-Date02-24
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)6.52%
Min EPS beat(2)3.89%
Max EPS beat(2)9.15%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)3%
Min EPS beat(4)-4.26%
Max EPS beat(4)9.15%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)4.12%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)3.78%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)8.12%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.49%
Min Revenue beat(2)2.4%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.59%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.54%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.03%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.59%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.89%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.25%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.32%
PT rev (1m)25.23%
PT rev (3m)27.23%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-3.01%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.2%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.06%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.01%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.17%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.08%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.93%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.01%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.45
Fwd PE 17.2
P/S 1.58
P/FCF 17.79
P/OCF 13.03
P/B 2.27
P/tB 10.38
EV/EBITDA 10.74
EPS(TTM)5.33
EY5.14%
EPS(NY)6.03
Fwd EY5.82%
FCF(TTM)5.83
FCFY5.62%
OCF(TTM)7.96
OCFY7.67%
SpS65.77
BVpS45.72
TBVpS9.99
PEG (NY)1.48
PEG (5Y)3.61
Graham Number74.04
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.32%
ROE 9.06%
ROCE 10.42%
ROIC 7.93%
ROICexc 8.47%
ROICexgc 15.74%
OM 13.09%
PM (TTM) 6.29%
GM 31.15%
FCFM 8.86%
ROA(3y)5.28%
ROA(5y)6.01%
ROE(3y)12.27%
ROE(5y)14.17%
ROIC(3y)8.76%
ROIC(5y)9.16%
ROICexc(3y)9.47%
ROICexc(5y)9.9%
ROICexgc(3y)18.38%
ROICexgc(5y)18.32%
ROCE(3y)11.54%
ROCE(5y)12.1%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-8.32%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-2.36%
ROICexc growth 3Y-10.57%
ROICexc growth 5Y-2.7%
OM growth 3Y-5.16%
OM growth 5Y-1.84%
PM growth 3Y-11.43%
PM growth 5Y-4.91%
GM growth 3Y2.01%
GM growth 5Y1.13%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.69
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.59
Debt/FCF 4.73
Debt/EBITDA 2.27
Cap/Depr 64.41%
Cap/Sales 3.23%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 66.78%
Profit Quality 140.81%
Current Ratio 2.82
Quick Ratio 1.47
Altman-Z N/A
F-Score5
WACC8.82%
ROIC/WACC0.9
Cap/Depr(3y)78.12%
Cap/Depr(5y)86.3%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.63%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.69%
Profit Quality(3y)106.06%
Profit Quality(5y)90.6%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-7.94%
EPS 3Y-3.98%
EPS 5Y5.39%
EPS Q2Q%-1.72%
EPS Next Y13.14%
EPS Next 2Y11.91%
EPS Next 3Y8.55%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.19%
Revenue growth 3Y0.63%
Revenue growth 5Y5.45%
Sales Q2Q%3.48%
Revenue Next Year4.18%
Revenue Next 2Y4.02%
Revenue Next 3Y3.76%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-1.77%
EBIT growth 3Y-4.56%
EBIT growth 5Y3.52%
EBIT Next Year43.99%
EBIT Next 3Y18.13%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y32.84%
FCF growth 3Y12.48%
FCF growth 5Y-2.29%
OCF growth 1Y16.52%
OCF growth 3Y6.12%
OCF growth 5Y-0.82%

TIMKEN CO / TKR FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of TIMKEN CO (TKR) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to TKR.


Can you provide the valuation status for TIMKEN CO?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to TIMKEN CO (TKR). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for TIMKEN CO?

TIMKEN CO (TKR) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for TKR stock?

The financial health rating of TIMKEN CO (TKR) is 5 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for TKR stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of TIMKEN CO (TKR) is expected to grow by 13.14% in the next year.