TRIUMPH GROUP INC (TGI) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:TGI - US8968181011 - Common Stock
26.01 USD
+0.16 (+0.62%)
26.01 USD
0 (0%)
Overall TGI gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated TGI against 71 industry peers in the Aerospace & Defense industry. While TGI is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. TGI has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year TGI was profitable.
TGI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: TGI reported negative net income in multiple years.
In multiple years TGI reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
TGI has a Return On Assets of 2.51%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: TGI outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of TGI (11.13%) is better than 89.71% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for TGI is in line with the industry average of 8.48%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (11.13%) for TGI is above the 3 year average (8.29%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.51% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 11.13% |
ROA(3y)12.71%
ROA(5y)3.46%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)8.29%
ROIC(5y)7.37%
1.3 Margins
TGI has a Profit Margin (3.24%) which is in line with its industry peers.
TGI has a better Operating Margin (12.56%) than 79.41% of its industry peers.
TGI's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of TGI (31.55%) is better than 70.59% of its industry peers.
TGI's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 12.56% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.24% | ||
| GM | 31.55% |
OM growth 3Y14.98%
OM growth 5Y13.08%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.12%
GM growth 5Y9.07%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
TGI has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
TGI has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
TGI has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
TGI has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.60, we must say that TGI is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of 1.60, TGI is not doing good in the industry: 73.53% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
TGI has a debt to FCF ratio of 51.66. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as TGI would need 51.66 years to pay back of all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of TGI (51.66) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 51.66 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.6 |
ROIC/WACC1.05
WACC10.57%
2.3 Liquidity
TGI has a Current Ratio of 2.22. This indicates that TGI is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
TGI has a Current ratio (2.22) which is in line with its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.32 indicates that TGI should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
TGI has a Quick ratio (1.32) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.22 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.32 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 1383.33% over the past year.
The earnings per share for TGI have been decreasing by -18.53% on average. This is quite bad
TGI shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -16.93%.
TGI shows a very negative growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -15.33% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)1383.33%
EPS 3Y4.05%
EPS 5Y-18.53%
EPS Q2Q%54.84%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-16.93%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.02%
Revenue growth 5Y-15.33%
Sales Q2Q%5.38%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 28.85% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue is expected to grow by 10.34% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y23.07%
EPS Next 2Y29.74%
EPS Next 3Y28.85%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year13.53%
Revenue Next 2Y11.02%
Revenue Next 3Y8.63%
Revenue Next 5Y10.34%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 29.22, which means the current valuation is very expensive for TGI.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of TGI indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: TGI is cheaper than 76.47% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.13, TGI is valued at the same level.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.75, the valuation of TGI can be described as rather expensive.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of TGI indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: TGI is cheaper than 67.65% of the companies listed in the same industry.
TGI is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.35, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 29.22 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.75 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of TGI indicates a rather cheap valuation: TGI is cheaper than 89.71% of the companies listed in the same industry.
TGI's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 107.46 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.46 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
TGI's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
TGI's earnings are expected to grow with 28.85% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.27
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y29.74%
EPS Next 3Y28.85%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
TGI does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
26.01
+0.16 (+0.62%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryAerospace & Defense
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners101.98%
Inst Owner Change-2.67%
Ins Owners2.14%
Ins Owner Change-58.46%
Market Cap2.02B
Revenue(TTM)1.26B
Net Income(TTM)40.87M
Analysts70
Price Target21.81 (-16.15%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)37.56%
Min EPS beat(2)35.53%
Max EPS beat(2)39.6%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)783.17%
Min EPS beat(4)-10.77%
Max EPS beat(4)3068.32%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)380.69%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)529.14%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)402.98%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)8.81%
Min Revenue beat(2)6.92%
Max Revenue beat(2)10.7%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)5.31%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.55%
Max Revenue beat(4)10.7%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.74%
Revenue beat(12)11
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.32%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.05%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)305.17%
EPS NQ rev (3m)293.87%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.46%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.3%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.3%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.67%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.89%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 29.22 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.75 | ||
| P/S | 1.6 | ||
| P/FCF | 107.46 | ||
| P/OCF | 53.41 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.46 |
EPS(TTM)0.89
EY3.42%
EPS(NY)1.1
Fwd EY4.21%
FCF(TTM)0.24
FCFY0.93%
OCF(TTM)0.49
OCFY1.87%
SpS16.22
BVpS-0.98
TBVpS-8.29
PEG (NY)1.27
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.51% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 12.86% | ||
| ROIC | 11.13% | ||
| ROICexc | 14.36% | ||
| ROICexgc | 35.5% | ||
| OM | 12.56% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.24% | ||
| GM | 31.55% | ||
| FCFM | 1.49% |
ROA(3y)12.71%
ROA(5y)3.46%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)8.29%
ROIC(5y)7.37%
ROICexc(3y)10.84%
ROICexc(5y)9.74%
ROICexgc(3y)26.38%
ROICexgc(5y)24.28%
ROCE(3y)9.58%
ROCE(5y)8.52%
ROICexgc growth 3Y7.93%
ROICexgc growth 5Y4.96%
ROICexc growth 3Y13.48%
ROICexc growth 5Y4.89%
OM growth 3Y14.98%
OM growth 5Y13.08%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.12%
GM growth 5Y9.07%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.78
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 51.66 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.12 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 64.41% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.51% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.75 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 20.15% | ||
| Profit Quality | 46.07% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.22 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.32 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.6 |
F-Score5
WACC10.57%
ROIC/WACC1.05
Cap/Depr(3y)68.55%
Cap/Depr(5y)54.45%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.72%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)1383.33%
EPS 3Y4.05%
EPS 5Y-18.53%
EPS Q2Q%54.84%
EPS Next Y23.07%
EPS Next 2Y29.74%
EPS Next 3Y28.85%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-16.93%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.02%
Revenue growth 5Y-15.33%
Sales Q2Q%5.38%
Revenue Next Year13.53%
Revenue Next 2Y11.02%
Revenue Next 3Y8.63%
Revenue Next 5Y10.34%
EBIT growth 1Y16.86%
EBIT growth 3Y14.96%
EBIT growth 5Y-4.26%
EBIT Next Year56.27%
EBIT Next 3Y25.52%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y252.04%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-19.84%
OCF growth 1Y301.2%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-17.09%
TRIUMPH GROUP INC / TGI FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for TRIUMPH GROUP INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to TGI.
Can you provide the valuation status for TRIUMPH GROUP INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to TRIUMPH GROUP INC (TGI). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of TGI stock?
TRIUMPH GROUP INC (TGI) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of TRIUMPH GROUP INC (TGI) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for TRIUMPH GROUP INC (TGI) is 29.22 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is -26.47.
What is the expected EPS growth for TRIUMPH GROUP INC (TGI) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of TRIUMPH GROUP INC (TGI) is expected to grow by 23.07% in the next year.