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TRIUMPH GROUP INC (TGI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:TGI - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US8968181011 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

26.01  +0.16 (+0.62%)

After market: 26.01 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

4

Overall TGI gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated TGI against 68 industry peers in the Aerospace & Defense industry. There are concerns on the financial health of TGI while its profitability can be described as average. TGI has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

TGI had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year TGI had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years TGI reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
In multiple years TGI reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
TGI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFTGI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M -1B

1.2 Ratios

With a Return On Assets value of 2.51%, TGI perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
TGI has a Return On Invested Capital of 11.13%. This is amongst the best in the industry. TGI outperforms 89.71% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for TGI is in line with the industry average of 8.47%.
The 3 year average ROIC (8.29%) for TGI is below the current ROIC(11.13%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.51%
ROE N/A
ROIC 11.13%
ROA(3y)12.71%
ROA(5y)3.46%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)8.29%
ROIC(5y)7.37%
TGI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICTGI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -100 -200 -300 -400

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 3.24%, TGI is in line with its industry, outperforming 48.53% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 12.56%, TGI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 79.41% of the companies in the same industry.
TGI's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of TGI (31.55%) is better than 70.59% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of TGI has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 12.56%
PM (TTM) 3.24%
GM 31.55%
OM growth 3Y14.98%
OM growth 5Y13.08%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.12%
GM growth 5Y9.07%
TGI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsTGI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so TGI is still creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, TGI has more shares outstanding
TGI has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for TGI has been reduced compared to a year ago.
TGI Yearly Shares OutstandingTGI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M
TGI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsTGI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

2.2 Solvency

TGI has an Altman-Z score of 1.60. This is a bad value and indicates that TGI is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.60, TGI is doing worse than 73.53% of the companies in the same industry.
TGI has a debt to FCF ratio of 51.66. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as TGI would need 51.66 years to pay back of all of its debts.
With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 51.66, TGI perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 51.47% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 51.66
Altman-Z 1.6
ROIC/WACC1.05
WACC10.57%
TGI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFTGI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 2.22 indicates that TGI has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
TGI has a Current ratio of 2.22. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: TGI outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
TGI has a Quick Ratio of 1.32. This is a normal value and indicates that TGI is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
TGI has a Quick ratio (1.32) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.22
Quick Ratio 1.32
TGI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesTGI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 1383.33% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, TGI shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -18.53% on average per year.
The Revenue for TGI has decreased by -16.93% in the past year. This is quite bad
Measured over the past years, TGI shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -15.33% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)1383.33%
EPS 3Y4.05%
EPS 5Y-18.53%
EPS Q2Q%54.84%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-16.93%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.02%
Revenue growth 5Y-15.33%
Sales Q2Q%5.38%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 28.85% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
Based on estimates for the next years, TGI will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 10.34% on average per year.
EPS Next Y23.07%
EPS Next 2Y29.74%
EPS Next 3Y28.85%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year13.53%
Revenue Next 2Y11.02%
Revenue Next 3Y8.63%
Revenue Next 5Y10.34%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
TGI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesTGI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 1B 2B 3B
TGI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesTGI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 1 2 3 4 5

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 29.22, which means the current valuation is very expensive for TGI.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, TGI is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 76.47% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of TGI to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.82), we can say TGI is valued inline with the index average.
TGI is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.75.
67.65% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than TGI, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
TGI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 36.21.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 29.22
Fwd PE 23.75
TGI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsTGI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, TGI is valued cheaply inside the industry as 89.71% of the companies are valued more expensively.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as TGI.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 107.46
EV/EBITDA 14.46
TGI Per share dataTGI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 -5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

TGI's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
TGI's earnings are expected to grow with 28.85% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.27
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y29.74%
EPS Next 3Y28.85%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for TGI!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

TRIUMPH GROUP INC

NYSE:TGI (7/24/2025, 8:06:46 PM)

After market: 26.01 0 (0%)

26.01

+0.16 (+0.62%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryAerospace & Defense
Earnings (Last)07-30 2025-07-30
Earnings (Next)11-10 2025-11-10
Inst Owners101.98%
Inst Owner Change0.82%
Ins Owners2.14%
Ins Owner Change-53.37%
Market Cap2.02B
Analysts70
Price Target21.81 (-16.15%)
Short Float %13.28%
Short Ratio6.83
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)37.56%
Min EPS beat(2)35.53%
Max EPS beat(2)39.6%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)783.17%
Min EPS beat(4)-10.77%
Max EPS beat(4)3068.32%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)380.69%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)529.14%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)402.98%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)8.81%
Min Revenue beat(2)6.92%
Max Revenue beat(2)10.7%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)5.31%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.55%
Max Revenue beat(4)10.7%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.74%
Revenue beat(12)11
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.32%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.05%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)305.17%
EPS NQ rev (3m)293.87%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.46%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.3%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.3%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.67%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.89%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 29.22
Fwd PE 23.75
P/S 1.6
P/FCF 107.46
P/OCF 53.41
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 14.46
EPS(TTM)0.89
EY3.42%
EPS(NY)1.1
Fwd EY4.21%
FCF(TTM)0.24
FCFY0.93%
OCF(TTM)0.49
OCFY1.87%
SpS16.22
BVpS-0.98
TBVpS-8.29
PEG (NY)1.27
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.51%
ROE N/A
ROCE 12.86%
ROIC 11.13%
ROICexc 14.36%
ROICexgc 35.5%
OM 12.56%
PM (TTM) 3.24%
GM 31.55%
FCFM 1.49%
ROA(3y)12.71%
ROA(5y)3.46%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)8.29%
ROIC(5y)7.37%
ROICexc(3y)10.84%
ROICexc(5y)9.74%
ROICexgc(3y)26.38%
ROICexgc(5y)24.28%
ROCE(3y)9.58%
ROCE(5y)8.52%
ROICexcg growth 3Y7.93%
ROICexcg growth 5Y4.96%
ROICexc growth 3Y13.48%
ROICexc growth 5Y4.89%
OM growth 3Y14.98%
OM growth 5Y13.08%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.12%
GM growth 5Y9.07%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.78
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 51.66
Debt/EBITDA 5.12
Cap/Depr 64.41%
Cap/Sales 1.51%
Interest Coverage 1.75
Cash Conversion 20.15%
Profit Quality 46.07%
Current Ratio 2.22
Quick Ratio 1.32
Altman-Z 1.6
F-Score5
WACC10.57%
ROIC/WACC1.05
Cap/Depr(3y)68.55%
Cap/Depr(5y)54.45%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.72%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)1383.33%
EPS 3Y4.05%
EPS 5Y-18.53%
EPS Q2Q%54.84%
EPS Next Y23.07%
EPS Next 2Y29.74%
EPS Next 3Y28.85%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-16.93%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.02%
Revenue growth 5Y-15.33%
Sales Q2Q%5.38%
Revenue Next Year13.53%
Revenue Next 2Y11.02%
Revenue Next 3Y8.63%
Revenue Next 5Y10.34%
EBIT growth 1Y16.86%
EBIT growth 3Y14.96%
EBIT growth 5Y-4.26%
EBIT Next Year56.27%
EBIT Next 3Y25.52%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y252.04%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-19.84%
OCF growth 1Y301.2%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-17.09%