TRIUMPH GROUP INC (TGI)
US8968181011 - Common Stock
Taking everything into account, TGI scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. TGI was compared to 65 industry peers in the Aerospace & Defense industry. There are concerns on the financial health of TGI while its profitability can be described as average. TGI is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year TGI was profitable.
TGI had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
TGI had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years TGI reported 4 times negative operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of TGI (-4.24%) is worse than 62.50% of its industry peers.
TGI's Return On Invested Capital of 8.32% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. TGI outperforms 76.56% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for TGI is in line with the industry average of 8.69%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (8.32%) for TGI is above the 3 year average (7.18%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -4.24% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 8.32% |
ROA(3y)-5.2%
ROA(5y)-5.61%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)7.18%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
TGI has a better Operating Margin (8.99%) than 67.19% of its industry peers.
TGI's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 27.25%, TGI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 68.75% of the companies in the same industry.
TGI's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.99% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 27.25% |
OM growth 3Y14.74%
OM growth 5Y8.54%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y11.2%
GM growth 5Y6.19%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so TGI is destroying value.
TGI has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
TGI has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
TGI has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
TGI has an Altman-Z score of 0.87. This is a bad value and indicates that TGI is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
TGI has a Altman-Z score of 0.87. This is in the lower half of the industry: TGI underperforms 70.31% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.87 |
ROIC/WACC0.85
WACC9.75%
2.3 Liquidity
TGI has a Current Ratio of 2.66. This indicates that TGI is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
TGI's Current ratio of 2.66 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. TGI outperforms 67.19% of its industry peers.
TGI has a Quick Ratio of 1.65. This is a normal value and indicates that TGI is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
TGI has a Quick ratio of 1.65. This is in the better half of the industry: TGI outperforms 71.88% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.66 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.65 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for TGI have decreased strongly by -80.00% in the last year.
The earnings per share for TGI have been decreasing by -20.83% on average. This is quite bad
The Revenue has grown by 13.22% in the past year. This is quite good.
TGI shows a very negative growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -15.49% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-80%
EPS 3Y-34.4%
EPS 5Y-20.83%
EPS growth Q2Q-233.33%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)13.22%
Revenue growth 3Y-21.95%
Revenue growth 5Y-15.49%
Revenue growth Q2Q-13.35%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, TGI will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 23.92% on average per year.
TGI is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.33% yearly.
EPS Next Y-114.07%
EPS Next 2Y3.93%
EPS Next 3Y21.14%
EPS Next 5Y23.92%
Revenue Next Year-9.87%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.18%
Revenue Next 3Y0.98%
Revenue Next 5Y4.33%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 105.64 indicates a quite expensive valuation of TGI.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of TGI is on the same level as its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 28.83, TGI is valued quite expensively.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 19.56, TGI is valued on the expensive side.
79.69% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than TGI, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 20.47. TGI is around the same levels.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 105.64 | ||
| Fwd PE | 19.56 |
4.2 Price Multiples
76.56% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than TGI, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.91 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
A more expensive valuation may be justified as TGI's earnings are expected to grow with 21.14% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y3.93%
EPS Next 3Y21.14%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
TGI does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
TRIUMPH GROUP INC
NYSE:TGI (5/16/2024, 7:20:38 PM)
After market: 14.79 0 (0%)14.79
+0.16 (+1.09%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryAerospace & Defense
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners
Inst Owner Change
Ins Owners
Ins Owner Change
Market Cap1.14B
Analysts
Price Target
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Dividend Growth(5Y)
DP
Div Incr Years
Div Non Decr Years
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)
Avg EPS beat(2)
Min EPS beat(2)
Max EPS beat(2)
EPS beat(4)
Avg EPS beat(4)
Min EPS beat(4)
Max EPS beat(4)
EPS beat(8)
Avg EPS beat(8)
EPS beat(12)
Avg EPS beat(12)
EPS beat(16)
Avg EPS beat(16)
Revenue beat(2)
Avg Revenue beat(2)
Min Revenue beat(2)
Max Revenue beat(2)
Revenue beat(4)
Avg Revenue beat(4)
Min Revenue beat(4)
Max Revenue beat(4)
Revenue beat(8)
Avg Revenue beat(8)
Revenue beat(12)
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Revenue beat(16)
Avg Revenue beat(16)
PT rev (1m)
PT rev (3m)
EPS NQ rev (1m)
EPS NQ rev (3m)
EPS NY rev (1m)
EPS NY rev (3m)
Revenue NQ rev (1m)
Revenue NQ rev (3m)
Revenue NY rev (1m)
Revenue NY rev (3m)
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 105.64 | ||
| Fwd PE | 19.56 | ||
| P/S | |||
| P/FCF | |||
| P/OCF | |||
| P/B | |||
| P/tB | |||
| EV/EBITDA |
EPS(TTM)
EY
EPS(NY)
Fwd EY
FCF(TTM)
FCFY
OCF(TTM)
OCFY
SpS
BVpS
TBVpS
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -4.24% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | |||
| ROIC | |||
| ROICexc | |||
| ROICexgc | |||
| OM | 8.99% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 27.25% | ||
| FCFM |
ROA(3y)
ROA(5y)
ROE(3y)
ROE(5y)
ROIC(3y)
ROIC(5y)
ROICexc(3y)
ROICexc(5y)
ROICexgc(3y)
ROICexgc(5y)
ROCE(3y)
ROCE(5y)
ROICexcg growth 3Y
ROICexcg growth 5Y
ROICexc growth 3Y
ROICexc growth 5Y
OM growth 3Y
OM growth 5Y
PM growth 3Y
PM growth 5Y
GM growth 3Y
GM growth 5Y
F-Score
Asset Turnover0.93
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | |||
| Debt/EBITDA | |||
| Cap/Depr | |||
| Cap/Sales | |||
| Interest Coverage | |||
| Cash Conversion | |||
| Profit Quality | |||
| Current Ratio | 2.66 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.65 | ||
| Altman-Z |
F-Score
WACC
ROIC/WACC
Cap/Depr(3y)
Cap/Depr(5y)
Cap/Sales(3y)
Cap/Sales(5y)
Profit Quality(3y)
Profit Quality(5y)
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-80%
EPS 3Y-34.4%
EPS 5Y
EPS growth Q2Q
EPS Next Y-114.07%
EPS Next 2Y
EPS Next 3Y
EPS Next 5Y
Revenue 1Y (TTM)13.22%
Revenue growth 3Y-21.95%
Revenue growth 5Y
Revenue growth Q2Q
Revenue Next Year
Revenue Next 2Y
Revenue Next 3Y
Revenue Next 5Y
EBIT growth 1Y
EBIT growth 3Y
EBIT growth 5Y
EBIT Next Year
EBIT Next 3Y
EBIT Next 5Y
FCF growth 1Y
FCF growth 3Y
FCF growth 5Y
OCF growth 1Y
OCF growth 3Y
OCF growth 5Y