TRIUMPH GROUP INC (TGI) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:TGI - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US8968181011 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
TGI gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 67 industry peers in the Aerospace & Defense industry. TGI has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. TGI has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year TGI was profitable.
In the past year TGI had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: TGI reported negative net income in multiple years.
The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: TGI reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
1.2 Ratios
TGI's Return On Assets of 2.51% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. TGI outperforms 49.25% of its industry peers.
TGI's Return On Invested Capital of 11.13% is amongst the best of the industry. TGI outperforms 91.04% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for TGI is in line with the industry average of 8.47%.
The 3 year average ROIC (8.29%) for TGI is below the current ROIC(11.13%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.51% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 11.13% |
ROA(3y)12.71%
ROA(5y)3.46%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)8.29%
ROIC(5y)7.37%
1.3 Margins
TGI has a Profit Margin (3.24%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 12.56%, TGI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 79.10% of the companies in the same industry.
TGI's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
TGI has a Gross Margin of 31.55%. This is in the better half of the industry: TGI outperforms 70.15% of its industry peers.
TGI's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 12.56% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.24% | ||
| GM | 31.55% |
OM growth 3Y14.98%
OM growth 5Y13.08%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.12%
GM growth 5Y9.07%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so TGI is destroying value.
TGI has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for TGI has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, TGI has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.60, we must say that TGI is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of 1.60, TGI is not doing good in the industry: 73.13% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
The Debt to FCF ratio of TGI is 51.66, which is on the high side as it means it would take TGI, 51.66 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
TGI has a Debt to FCF ratio (51.66) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 51.66 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.6 |
ROIC/WACC0.99
WACC11.24%
2.3 Liquidity
TGI has a Current Ratio of 2.22. This indicates that TGI is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of TGI (2.22) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
TGI has a Quick Ratio of 1.32. This is a normal value and indicates that TGI is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of TGI (1.32) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.22 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.32 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 1383.33% over the past year.
The earnings per share for TGI have been decreasing by -18.53% on average. This is quite bad
The Revenue for TGI has decreased by -16.93% in the past year. This is quite bad
TGI shows a very negative growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -15.33% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)1383.33%
EPS 3Y4.05%
EPS 5Y-18.53%
EPS Q2Q%54.84%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-16.93%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.02%
Revenue growth 5Y-15.33%
Sales Q2Q%5.38%
3.2 Future
TGI is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 28.85% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, TGI will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 10.34% on average per year.
EPS Next Y23.07%
EPS Next 2Y29.74%
EPS Next 3Y28.85%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year11.67%
Revenue Next 2Y9.26%
Revenue Next 3Y8.88%
Revenue Next 5Y10.34%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
TGI is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 29.22.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of TGI indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: TGI is cheaper than 74.63% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.35, TGI is valued at the same level.
TGI is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.75.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, TGI is valued a bit cheaper than 71.64% of the companies in the same industry.
TGI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 37.54.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 29.22 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.75 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, TGI is valued cheaply inside the industry as 89.55% of the companies are valued more expensively.
TGI's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 107.36 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.38 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
TGI's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
TGI's earnings are expected to grow with 28.85% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.27
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y29.74%
EPS Next 3Y28.85%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
TGI does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
26.01
+0.16 (+0.62%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryAerospace & Defense
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners101.98%
Inst Owner Change0.92%
Ins Owners2.14%
Ins Owner Change4.16%
Market Cap2.02B
Analysts70
Price Target21.81 (-16.15%)
Short Float %12.36%
Short Ratio7
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)37.56%
Min EPS beat(2)35.53%
Max EPS beat(2)39.6%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)783.17%
Min EPS beat(4)-10.77%
Max EPS beat(4)3068.32%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)380.69%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)529.14%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)402.98%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)8.81%
Min Revenue beat(2)6.92%
Max Revenue beat(2)10.7%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)5.31%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.55%
Max Revenue beat(4)10.7%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.74%
Revenue beat(12)11
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.32%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.05%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)3.02%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-2.79%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.46%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.66%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 29.22 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.75 | ||
| P/S | 1.6 | ||
| P/FCF | 107.36 | ||
| P/OCF | 53.36 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.38 |
EPS(TTM)0.89
EY3.42%
EPS(NY)1.1
Fwd EY4.21%
FCF(TTM)0.24
FCFY0.93%
OCF(TTM)0.49
OCFY1.87%
SpS16.24
BVpS-0.98
TBVpS-8.3
PEG (NY)1.27
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.51% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 12.86% | ||
| ROIC | 11.13% | ||
| ROICexc | 14.36% | ||
| ROICexgc | 35.5% | ||
| OM | 12.56% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.24% | ||
| GM | 31.55% | ||
| FCFM | 1.49% |
ROA(3y)12.71%
ROA(5y)3.46%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)8.29%
ROIC(5y)7.37%
ROICexc(3y)10.84%
ROICexc(5y)9.74%
ROICexgc(3y)26.38%
ROICexgc(5y)24.28%
ROCE(3y)9.58%
ROCE(5y)8.52%
ROICexcg growth 3Y7.93%
ROICexcg growth 5Y4.96%
ROICexc growth 3Y13.48%
ROICexc growth 5Y4.89%
OM growth 3Y14.98%
OM growth 5Y13.08%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.12%
GM growth 5Y9.07%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.78
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 51.66 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.12 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 64.41% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.51% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.75 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 20.15% | ||
| Profit Quality | 46.07% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.22 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.32 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.6 |
F-Score5
WACC11.24%
ROIC/WACC0.99
Cap/Depr(3y)68.55%
Cap/Depr(5y)54.45%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.72%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)1383.33%
EPS 3Y4.05%
EPS 5Y-18.53%
EPS Q2Q%54.84%
EPS Next Y23.07%
EPS Next 2Y29.74%
EPS Next 3Y28.85%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-16.93%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.02%
Revenue growth 5Y-15.33%
Sales Q2Q%5.38%
Revenue Next Year11.67%
Revenue Next 2Y9.26%
Revenue Next 3Y8.88%
Revenue Next 5Y10.34%
EBIT growth 1Y16.86%
EBIT growth 3Y14.96%
EBIT growth 5Y-4.26%
EBIT Next Year56.27%
EBIT Next 3Y25.52%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y252.04%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-19.84%
OCF growth 1Y301.2%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-17.09%