TRIUMPH GROUP INC (TGI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:TGI • US8968181011
Current stock price
26.01 USD
+0.16 (+0.62%)
At close:
26.01 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This TGI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. TGI Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- TGI had positive earnings in the past year.
- TGI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- In multiple years TGI reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
- In multiple years TGI reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- TGI has a Return On Assets of 2.51%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: TGI outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 11.13%, TGI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 89.71% of the companies in the same industry.
- TGI had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 8.29%. This is in line with the industry average of 9.34%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (8.29%) for TGI is below the current ROIC(11.13%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.51% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 11.13% |
ROA(3y)12.71%
ROA(5y)3.46%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)8.29%
ROIC(5y)7.37%
1.3 Margins
- TGI has a Profit Margin of 3.24%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: TGI outperforms 48.53% of its industry peers.
- TGI's Operating Margin of 12.56% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. TGI outperforms 79.41% of its industry peers.
- TGI's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 31.55%, TGI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 70.59% of the companies in the same industry.
- TGI's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 12.56% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.24% | ||
| GM | 31.55% |
OM growth 3Y14.98%
OM growth 5Y13.08%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.12%
GM growth 5Y9.07%
2. TGI Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), TGI is creating some value.
- TGI has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, TGI has more shares outstanding
- Compared to 1 year ago, TGI has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.60, we must say that TGI is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- TGI has a Altman-Z score of 1.60. This is in the lower half of the industry: TGI underperforms 73.53% of its industry peers.
- TGI has a debt to FCF ratio of 51.66. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as TGI would need 51.66 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- TGI has a Debt to FCF ratio (51.66) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 51.66 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.6 |
ROIC/WACC1.05
WACC10.57%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 2.22 indicates that TGI has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- TGI has a Current ratio (2.22) which is in line with its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.32 indicates that TGI should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- With a Quick ratio value of 1.32, TGI perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 47.06% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.22 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.32 |
3. TGI Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 1383.33% over the past year.
- The earnings per share for TGI have been decreasing by -18.53% on average. This is quite bad
- TGI shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -16.93%.
- The Revenue for TGI have been decreasing by -15.33% on average. This is quite bad
EPS 1Y (TTM)1383.33%
EPS 3Y4.05%
EPS 5Y-18.53%
EPS Q2Q%54.84%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-16.93%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.02%
Revenue growth 5Y-15.33%
Sales Q2Q%5.38%
3.2 Future
- TGI is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 28.85% yearly.
- Based on estimates for the next years, TGI will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 10.34% on average per year.
EPS Next Y23.07%
EPS Next 2Y29.74%
EPS Next 3Y28.85%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year13.53%
Revenue Next 2Y11.02%
Revenue Next 3Y8.63%
Revenue Next 5Y10.34%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. TGI Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- A Price/Earnings ratio of 29.22 indicates a quite expensive valuation of TGI.
- TGI's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. TGI is cheaper than 76.47% of the companies in the same industry.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of TGI to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.42), we can say TGI is valued inline with the index average.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.75, TGI is valued on the expensive side.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, TGI is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 67.65% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of TGI to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.24), we can say TGI is valued inline with the index average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 29.22 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.75 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, TGI is valued cheaper than 89.71% of the companies in the same industry.
- TGI's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 107.46 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.46 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as TGI's earnings are expected to grow with 28.85% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.27
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y29.74%
EPS Next 3Y28.85%
5. TGI Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- No dividends for TGI!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
TGI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
26.01
+0.16 (+0.62%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryAerospace & Defense
Earnings (Last)07-30 2025-07-30
Earnings (Next)11-10 2025-11-10
Inst Owners101.98%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners2.14%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.02B
Revenue(TTM)1.26B
Net Income(TTM)40.87M
Analysts70
Price Target21.81 (-16.15%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)37.56%
Min EPS beat(2)35.53%
Max EPS beat(2)39.6%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)783.17%
Min EPS beat(4)-10.77%
Max EPS beat(4)3068.32%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)380.69%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)529.14%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)402.98%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)8.81%
Min Revenue beat(2)6.92%
Max Revenue beat(2)10.7%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)5.31%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.55%
Max Revenue beat(4)10.7%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.74%
Revenue beat(12)11
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.32%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.05%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)305.17%
EPS NQ rev (3m)293.87%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.46%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.3%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.3%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.67%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.89%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 29.22 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.75 | ||
| P/S | 1.6 | ||
| P/FCF | 107.46 | ||
| P/OCF | 53.41 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.46 |
EPS(TTM)0.89
EY3.42%
EPS(NY)1.1
Fwd EY4.21%
FCF(TTM)0.24
FCFY0.93%
OCF(TTM)0.49
OCFY1.87%
SpS16.22
BVpS-0.98
TBVpS-8.29
PEG (NY)1.27
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number0 (-100%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.51% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 12.86% | ||
| ROIC | 11.13% | ||
| ROICexc | 14.36% | ||
| ROICexgc | 35.5% | ||
| OM | 12.56% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.24% | ||
| GM | 31.55% | ||
| FCFM | 1.49% |
ROA(3y)12.71%
ROA(5y)3.46%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)8.29%
ROIC(5y)7.37%
ROICexc(3y)10.84%
ROICexc(5y)9.74%
ROICexgc(3y)26.38%
ROICexgc(5y)24.28%
ROCE(3y)9.58%
ROCE(5y)8.52%
ROICexgc growth 3Y7.93%
ROICexgc growth 5Y4.96%
ROICexc growth 3Y13.48%
ROICexc growth 5Y4.89%
OM growth 3Y14.98%
OM growth 5Y13.08%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.12%
GM growth 5Y9.07%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.78
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 51.66 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.12 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 64.41% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.51% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.75 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 20.15% | ||
| Profit Quality | 46.07% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.22 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.32 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.6 |
F-Score5
WACC10.57%
ROIC/WACC1.05
Cap/Depr(3y)68.55%
Cap/Depr(5y)54.45%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.72%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)1383.33%
EPS 3Y4.05%
EPS 5Y-18.53%
EPS Q2Q%54.84%
EPS Next Y23.07%
EPS Next 2Y29.74%
EPS Next 3Y28.85%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-16.93%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.02%
Revenue growth 5Y-15.33%
Sales Q2Q%5.38%
Revenue Next Year13.53%
Revenue Next 2Y11.02%
Revenue Next 3Y8.63%
Revenue Next 5Y10.34%
EBIT growth 1Y16.86%
EBIT growth 3Y14.96%
EBIT growth 5Y-4.26%
EBIT Next Year56.27%
EBIT Next 3Y25.52%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y252.04%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-19.84%
OCF growth 1Y301.2%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-17.09%
TRIUMPH GROUP INC / TGI Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for TRIUMPH GROUP INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to TGI.
What is the valuation status of TRIUMPH GROUP INC (TGI) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to TRIUMPH GROUP INC (TGI). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is TRIUMPH GROUP INC (TGI) stock?
TRIUMPH GROUP INC (TGI) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
What is the financial health of TRIUMPH GROUP INC (TGI) stock?
The financial health rating of TRIUMPH GROUP INC (TGI) is 3 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for TGI stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of TRIUMPH GROUP INC (TGI) is expected to grow by 23.07% in the next year.