TRIUMPH GROUP INC (TGI) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:TGI - US8968181011 - Common Stock
26.01 USD
+0.16 (+0.62%)
26.01 USD
0 (0%)
TGI gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 72 industry peers in the Aerospace & Defense industry. While TGI is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. TGI has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year TGI was profitable.
In the past year TGI had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: TGI reported negative net income in multiple years.
In multiple years TGI reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
TGI has a Return On Assets of 2.51%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: TGI outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 11.13%, TGI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 89.71% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for TGI is in line with the industry average of 8.58%.
The 3 year average ROIC (8.29%) for TGI is below the current ROIC(11.13%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.51% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 11.13% |
ROA(3y)12.71%
ROA(5y)3.46%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)8.29%
ROIC(5y)7.37%
1.3 Margins
TGI has a Profit Margin of 3.24%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: TGI outperforms 48.53% of its industry peers.
The Operating Margin of TGI (12.56%) is better than 79.41% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of TGI has grown nicely.
The Gross Margin of TGI (31.55%) is better than 70.59% of its industry peers.
TGI's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 12.56% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.24% | ||
| GM | 31.55% |
OM growth 3Y14.98%
OM growth 5Y13.08%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.12%
GM growth 5Y9.07%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
TGI has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
TGI has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for TGI has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
TGI has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
TGI has an Altman-Z score of 1.60. This is a bad value and indicates that TGI is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of 1.60, TGI is not doing good in the industry: 73.53% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
The Debt to FCF ratio of TGI is 51.66, which is on the high side as it means it would take TGI, 51.66 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 51.66, TGI is in line with its industry, outperforming 51.47% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 51.66 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.6 |
ROIC/WACC1.05
WACC10.57%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 2.22 indicates that TGI has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of TGI (2.22) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
TGI has a Quick Ratio of 1.32. This is a normal value and indicates that TGI is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
TGI's Quick ratio of 1.32 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. TGI outperforms 47.06% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.22 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.32 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 1383.33% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, TGI shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -18.53% on average per year.
TGI shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -16.93%.
Measured over the past years, TGI shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -15.33% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)1383.33%
EPS 3Y4.05%
EPS 5Y-18.53%
EPS Q2Q%54.84%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-16.93%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.02%
Revenue growth 5Y-15.33%
Sales Q2Q%5.38%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, TGI will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 28.85% on average per year.
TGI is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 10.34% yearly.
EPS Next Y23.07%
EPS Next 2Y29.74%
EPS Next 3Y28.85%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year13.53%
Revenue Next 2Y11.02%
Revenue Next 3Y8.63%
Revenue Next 5Y10.34%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 29.22, which means the current valuation is very expensive for TGI.
TGI's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. TGI is cheaper than 76.47% of the companies in the same industry.
TGI's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 26.76.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.75, the valuation of TGI can be described as rather expensive.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, TGI is valued a bit cheaper than 67.65% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.96. TGI is around the same levels.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 29.22 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.75 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of TGI indicates a rather cheap valuation: TGI is cheaper than 89.71% of the companies listed in the same industry.
TGI's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 107.46 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.46 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as TGI's earnings are expected to grow with 28.85% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.27
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y29.74%
EPS Next 3Y28.85%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for TGI!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
26.01
+0.16 (+0.62%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryAerospace & Defense
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners101.98%
Inst Owner Change-98.38%
Ins Owners2.14%
Ins Owner Change-59.23%
Market Cap2.02B
Revenue(TTM)1.26B
Net Income(TTM)40.87M
Analysts70
Price Target21.81 (-16.15%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)37.56%
Min EPS beat(2)35.53%
Max EPS beat(2)39.6%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)783.17%
Min EPS beat(4)-10.77%
Max EPS beat(4)3068.32%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)380.69%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)529.14%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)402.98%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)8.81%
Min Revenue beat(2)6.92%
Max Revenue beat(2)10.7%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)5.31%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.55%
Max Revenue beat(4)10.7%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.74%
Revenue beat(12)11
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.32%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.05%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)305.17%
EPS NQ rev (3m)293.87%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.46%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.3%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.3%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.67%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.89%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 29.22 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.75 | ||
| P/S | 1.6 | ||
| P/FCF | 107.46 | ||
| P/OCF | 53.41 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.46 |
EPS(TTM)0.89
EY3.42%
EPS(NY)1.1
Fwd EY4.21%
FCF(TTM)0.24
FCFY0.93%
OCF(TTM)0.49
OCFY1.87%
SpS16.22
BVpS-0.98
TBVpS-8.29
PEG (NY)1.27
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.51% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 12.86% | ||
| ROIC | 11.13% | ||
| ROICexc | 14.36% | ||
| ROICexgc | 35.5% | ||
| OM | 12.56% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.24% | ||
| GM | 31.55% | ||
| FCFM | 1.49% |
ROA(3y)12.71%
ROA(5y)3.46%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)8.29%
ROIC(5y)7.37%
ROICexc(3y)10.84%
ROICexc(5y)9.74%
ROICexgc(3y)26.38%
ROICexgc(5y)24.28%
ROCE(3y)9.58%
ROCE(5y)8.52%
ROICexgc growth 3Y7.93%
ROICexgc growth 5Y4.96%
ROICexc growth 3Y13.48%
ROICexc growth 5Y4.89%
OM growth 3Y14.98%
OM growth 5Y13.08%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.12%
GM growth 5Y9.07%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.78
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 51.66 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.12 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 64.41% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.51% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.75 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 20.15% | ||
| Profit Quality | 46.07% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.22 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.32 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.6 |
F-Score5
WACC10.57%
ROIC/WACC1.05
Cap/Depr(3y)68.55%
Cap/Depr(5y)54.45%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.72%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)1383.33%
EPS 3Y4.05%
EPS 5Y-18.53%
EPS Q2Q%54.84%
EPS Next Y23.07%
EPS Next 2Y29.74%
EPS Next 3Y28.85%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-16.93%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.02%
Revenue growth 5Y-15.33%
Sales Q2Q%5.38%
Revenue Next Year13.53%
Revenue Next 2Y11.02%
Revenue Next 3Y8.63%
Revenue Next 5Y10.34%
EBIT growth 1Y16.86%
EBIT growth 3Y14.96%
EBIT growth 5Y-4.26%
EBIT Next Year56.27%
EBIT Next 3Y25.52%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y252.04%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-19.84%
OCF growth 1Y301.2%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-17.09%
TRIUMPH GROUP INC / TGI FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for TRIUMPH GROUP INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to TGI.
Can you provide the valuation status for TRIUMPH GROUP INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to TRIUMPH GROUP INC (TGI). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of TGI stock?
TRIUMPH GROUP INC (TGI) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of TRIUMPH GROUP INC (TGI) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for TRIUMPH GROUP INC (TGI) is 29.22 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is -26.47.
What is the expected EPS growth for TRIUMPH GROUP INC (TGI) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of TRIUMPH GROUP INC (TGI) is expected to grow by 23.07% in the next year.