TRIUMPH GROUP INC (TGI) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:TGI - US8968181011 - Common Stock
26.01 USD
+0.16 (+0.62%)
26.01 USD
0 (0%)
TGI gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 68 industry peers in the Aerospace & Defense industry. There are concerns on the financial health of TGI while its profitability can be described as average. TGI has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year TGI was profitable.
TGI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: TGI reported negative net income in multiple years.
The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: TGI reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
1.2 Ratios
TGI has a Return On Assets (2.51%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 11.13%, TGI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 89.71% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for TGI is in line with the industry average of 8.61%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (11.13%) for TGI is above the 3 year average (8.29%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.51% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 11.13% |
ROA(3y)12.71%
ROA(5y)3.46%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)8.29%
ROIC(5y)7.37%
1.3 Margins
With a Profit Margin value of 3.24%, TGI perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 48.53% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 12.56%, TGI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 79.41% of the companies in the same industry.
TGI's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With a decent Gross Margin value of 31.55%, TGI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 70.59% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of TGI has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 12.56% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.24% | ||
| GM | 31.55% |
OM growth 3Y14.98%
OM growth 5Y13.08%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.12%
GM growth 5Y9.07%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so TGI is still creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for TGI has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, TGI has more shares outstanding
TGI has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
TGI has an Altman-Z score of 1.60. This is a bad value and indicates that TGI is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
TGI has a Altman-Z score of 1.60. This is in the lower half of the industry: TGI underperforms 73.53% of its industry peers.
TGI has a debt to FCF ratio of 51.66. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as TGI would need 51.66 years to pay back of all of its debts.
TGI has a Debt to FCF ratio (51.66) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 51.66 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.6 |
ROIC/WACC1.05
WACC10.57%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 2.22 indicates that TGI has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 2.22, TGI is in line with its industry, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
TGI has a Quick Ratio of 1.32. This is a normal value and indicates that TGI is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of TGI (1.32) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.22 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.32 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 1383.33% over the past year.
TGI shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -18.53% yearly.
The Revenue for TGI has decreased by -16.93% in the past year. This is quite bad
The Revenue for TGI have been decreasing by -15.33% on average. This is quite bad
EPS 1Y (TTM)1383.33%
EPS 3Y4.05%
EPS 5Y-18.53%
EPS Q2Q%54.84%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-16.93%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.02%
Revenue growth 5Y-15.33%
Sales Q2Q%5.38%
3.2 Future
TGI is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 28.85% yearly.
TGI is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 10.34% yearly.
EPS Next Y23.07%
EPS Next 2Y29.74%
EPS Next 3Y28.85%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year13.53%
Revenue Next 2Y11.02%
Revenue Next 3Y8.63%
Revenue Next 5Y10.34%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 29.22, which means the current valuation is very expensive for TGI.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of TGI indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: TGI is cheaper than 76.47% of the companies listed in the same industry.
TGI's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 27.24.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 23.75, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of TGI.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of TGI indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: TGI is cheaper than 67.65% of the companies listed in the same industry.
TGI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 22.81.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 29.22 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.75 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, TGI is valued cheaply inside the industry as 89.71% of the companies are valued more expensively.
TGI's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 107.46 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.46 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
TGI's earnings are expected to grow with 28.85% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.27
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y29.74%
EPS Next 3Y28.85%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
TGI does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
26.01
+0.16 (+0.62%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryAerospace & Defense
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners101.98%
Inst Owner Change6.82%
Ins Owners2.14%
Ins Owner Change-53.37%
Market Cap2.02B
Analysts70
Price Target21.81 (-16.15%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)37.56%
Min EPS beat(2)35.53%
Max EPS beat(2)39.6%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)783.17%
Min EPS beat(4)-10.77%
Max EPS beat(4)3068.32%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)380.69%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)529.14%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)402.98%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)8.81%
Min Revenue beat(2)6.92%
Max Revenue beat(2)10.7%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)5.31%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.55%
Max Revenue beat(4)10.7%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.74%
Revenue beat(12)11
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.32%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.05%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)305.17%
EPS NQ rev (3m)293.87%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.46%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.3%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.3%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.67%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.89%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 29.22 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.75 | ||
| P/S | 1.6 | ||
| P/FCF | 107.46 | ||
| P/OCF | 53.41 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.46 |
EPS(TTM)0.89
EY3.42%
EPS(NY)1.1
Fwd EY4.21%
FCF(TTM)0.24
FCFY0.93%
OCF(TTM)0.49
OCFY1.87%
SpS16.22
BVpS-0.98
TBVpS-8.29
PEG (NY)1.27
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.51% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 12.86% | ||
| ROIC | 11.13% | ||
| ROICexc | 14.36% | ||
| ROICexgc | 35.5% | ||
| OM | 12.56% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.24% | ||
| GM | 31.55% | ||
| FCFM | 1.49% |
ROA(3y)12.71%
ROA(5y)3.46%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)8.29%
ROIC(5y)7.37%
ROICexc(3y)10.84%
ROICexc(5y)9.74%
ROICexgc(3y)26.38%
ROICexgc(5y)24.28%
ROCE(3y)9.58%
ROCE(5y)8.52%
ROICexcg growth 3Y7.93%
ROICexcg growth 5Y4.96%
ROICexc growth 3Y13.48%
ROICexc growth 5Y4.89%
OM growth 3Y14.98%
OM growth 5Y13.08%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.12%
GM growth 5Y9.07%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.78
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 51.66 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.12 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 64.41% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.51% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.75 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 20.15% | ||
| Profit Quality | 46.07% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.22 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.32 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.6 |
F-Score5
WACC10.57%
ROIC/WACC1.05
Cap/Depr(3y)68.55%
Cap/Depr(5y)54.45%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.72%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)1383.33%
EPS 3Y4.05%
EPS 5Y-18.53%
EPS Q2Q%54.84%
EPS Next Y23.07%
EPS Next 2Y29.74%
EPS Next 3Y28.85%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-16.93%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.02%
Revenue growth 5Y-15.33%
Sales Q2Q%5.38%
Revenue Next Year13.53%
Revenue Next 2Y11.02%
Revenue Next 3Y8.63%
Revenue Next 5Y10.34%
EBIT growth 1Y16.86%
EBIT growth 3Y14.96%
EBIT growth 5Y-4.26%
EBIT Next Year56.27%
EBIT Next 3Y25.52%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y252.04%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-19.84%
OCF growth 1Y301.2%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-17.09%