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TRIPLE FLAG PRECIOUS MET (TFPM) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:TFPM - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - CA89679M1041 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

21.05  +0.24 (+1.15%)

Fundamental Rating

6

TFPM gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 154 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. TFPM has an excellent financial health rating, but there are some minor concerns on its profitability. TFPM has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

TFPM had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year TFPM had a positive cash flow from operations.
TFPM had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years TFPM always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
TFPM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFTFPM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M -400M -600M

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of TFPM (-1.30%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of -1.33%, TFPM is in line with its industry, outperforming 50.65% of the companies in the same industry.
TFPM's Return On Invested Capital of 4.01% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. TFPM outperforms 61.69% of its industry peers.
TFPM had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 3.48%. This is significantly below the industry average of 8.83%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (4.01%) for TFPM is above the 3 year average (3.48%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -1.3%
ROE -1.33%
ROIC 4.01%
ROA(3y)1.58%
ROA(5y)2.5%
ROE(3y)1.62%
ROE(5y)2.76%
ROIC(3y)3.48%
ROIC(5y)3.45%
TFPM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICTFPM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2 -2 4

1.3 Margins

TFPM's Operating Margin of 32.89% is amongst the best of the industry. TFPM outperforms 89.61% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of TFPM has grown nicely.
TFPM has a Gross Margin of 57.70%. This is amongst the best in the industry. TFPM outperforms 91.56% of its industry peers.
TFPM's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 32.89%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 57.7%
OM growth 3Y-10.48%
OM growth 5Y34.37%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.4%
GM growth 5Y22.86%
TFPM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsTFPM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40

8

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), TFPM is destroying value.
TFPM has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, TFPM has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for TFPM has been reduced compared to a year ago.
TFPM Yearly Shares OutstandingTFPM Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M
TFPM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsTFPM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

TFPM has an Altman-Z score of 73.52. This indicates that TFPM is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 73.52, TFPM belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 96.10% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of TFPM is 0.01, which is an excellent value as it means it would take TFPM, only 0.01 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
TFPM's Debt to FCF ratio of 0.01 is amongst the best of the industry. TFPM outperforms 96.10% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00 indicates that TFPM is not too dependend on debt financing.
TFPM's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.00 is amongst the best of the industry. TFPM outperforms 85.71% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0.01
Altman-Z 73.52
ROIC/WACC0.45
WACC8.84%
TFPM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFTFPM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 2.79 indicates that TFPM has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
TFPM's Current ratio of 2.79 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. TFPM outperforms 61.69% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 2.65 indicates that TFPM has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 2.65, TFPM is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 70.13% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.79
Quick Ratio 2.65
TFPM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesTFPM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 69.23% over the past year.
Looking at the last year, TFPM shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 31.84%.
TFPM shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 35.38% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)69.23%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%66.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)31.84%
Revenue growth 3Y21.38%
Revenue growth 5Y35.38%
Sales Q2Q%42.97%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, TFPM will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 17.43% on average per year.
TFPM is expected to show a very negative growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -16.66% yearly.
EPS Next Y32.68%
EPS Next 2Y17.87%
EPS Next 3Y15.23%
EPS Next 5Y17.43%
Revenue Next Year17.48%
Revenue Next 2Y8.85%
Revenue Next 3Y6.77%
Revenue Next 5Y-16.66%

3.3 Evolution

The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
TFPM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesTFPM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 100M 200M 300M
TFPM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesTFPM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 31.89, TFPM can be considered very expensive at the moment.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, TFPM is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 63.64% of the companies are valued more expensively.
TFPM is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.60, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 26.12, TFPM can be considered very expensive at the moment.
TFPM's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of TFPM to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.43), we can say TFPM is valued inline with the index average.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 31.89
Fwd PE 26.12
TFPM Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsTFPM Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of TFPM is on the same level as its industry peers.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, TFPM is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 72.08% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 27.1
EV/EBITDA 25.18
TFPM Per share dataTFPM EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

TFPM's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
TFPM has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as TFPM's earnings are expected to grow with 15.23% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.98
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y17.87%
EPS Next 3Y15.23%

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

TFPM has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.14%.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.00, TFPM pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.36, TFPM's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.14%

5.2 History

TFPM has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
TFPM has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
TFPM Yearly Dividends per shareTFPM Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2

5.3 Sustainability

The earnings of TFPM are negative and hence is the payout ratio. TFPM will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
DP-187.48%
EPS Next 2Y17.87%
EPS Next 3Y15.23%
TFPM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendTFPM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -200M -400M -600M

TRIPLE FLAG PRECIOUS MET

NYSE:TFPM (5/21/2025, 10:37:03 AM)

21.05

+0.24 (+1.15%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)05-06 2025-05-06/amc
Earnings (Next)08-05 2025-08-05/amc
Inst Owners86.11%
Inst Owner Change1.69%
Ins Owners2.39%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap4.23B
Analysts81.25
Price Target25.08 (19.14%)
Short Float %0.41%
Short Ratio2.02
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.14%
Yearly Dividend0.22
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP-187.48%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date05-30 2025-05-30 (0.055)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)6.15%
Min EPS beat(2)5.36%
Max EPS beat(2)6.95%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)8.4%
Min EPS beat(4)5.36%
Max EPS beat(4)12.04%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)-1.19%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)-2.57%
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.48%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.88%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.84%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.21%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.88%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.84%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.05%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.9%
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)19.78%
PT rev (3m)18.04%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.89%
EPS NQ rev (3m)10.45%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)4.35%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)14.24%
Revenue NY rev (1m)6.26%
Revenue NY rev (3m)5.61%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 31.89
Fwd PE 26.12
P/S 15.72
P/FCF 27.1
P/OCF 19.8
P/B 2.44
P/tB 2.44
EV/EBITDA 25.18
EPS(TTM)0.66
EY3.14%
EPS(NY)0.81
Fwd EY3.83%
FCF(TTM)0.78
FCFY3.69%
OCF(TTM)1.06
OCFY5.05%
SpS1.34
BVpS8.64
TBVpS8.64
PEG (NY)0.98
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -1.3%
ROE -1.33%
ROCE 5.08%
ROIC 4.01%
ROICexc 4.1%
ROICexgc 4.1%
OM 32.89%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 57.7%
FCFM 58%
ROA(3y)1.58%
ROA(5y)2.5%
ROE(3y)1.62%
ROE(5y)2.76%
ROIC(3y)3.48%
ROIC(5y)3.45%
ROICexc(3y)3.61%
ROICexc(5y)3.58%
ROICexgc(3y)3.61%
ROICexgc(5y)3.58%
ROCE(3y)4.41%
ROCE(5y)4.37%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-2.16%
ROICexcg growth 5Y48.72%
ROICexc growth 3Y-2.16%
ROICexc growth 5Y48.72%
OM growth 3Y-10.48%
OM growth 5Y34.37%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.4%
GM growth 5Y22.86%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.15
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0.01
Debt/EBITDA 0.01
Cap/Depr 75.74%
Cap/Sales 21.37%
Interest Coverage 17.14
Cash Conversion 129.89%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 2.79
Quick Ratio 2.65
Altman-Z 73.52
F-Score6
WACC8.84%
ROIC/WACC0.45
Cap/Depr(3y)156.97%
Cap/Depr(5y)385.26%
Cap/Sales(3y)49.79%
Cap/Sales(5y)166.31%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)69.23%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%66.67%
EPS Next Y32.68%
EPS Next 2Y17.87%
EPS Next 3Y15.23%
EPS Next 5Y17.43%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)31.84%
Revenue growth 3Y21.38%
Revenue growth 5Y35.38%
Sales Q2Q%42.97%
Revenue Next Year17.48%
Revenue Next 2Y8.85%
Revenue Next 3Y6.77%
Revenue Next 5Y-16.66%
EBIT growth 1Y31.64%
EBIT growth 3Y8.66%
EBIT growth 5Y81.91%
EBIT Next Year73.59%
EBIT Next 3Y22.8%
EBIT Next 5Y18.22%
FCF growth 1Y524.45%
FCF growth 3Y31.41%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y38.51%
OCF growth 3Y21.17%
OCF growth 5Y39.99%