TRIPLE FLAG PRECIOUS MET (TFPM) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:TFPM - CA89679M1041 - Common Stock
33.49 USD
+0.98 (+3.01%)
33.47 USD
-0.02 (-0.06%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10 to TFPM. TFPM was compared to 154 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. TFPM scores excellent points on both the profitability and health parts. This is a solid base for a good stock. TFPM is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate. This makes TFPM very considerable for quality investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year TFPM was profitable.
TFPM had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
TFPM had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years TFPM always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
TFPM's Return On Assets of 9.99% is amongst the best of the industry. TFPM outperforms 87.58% of its industry peers.
TFPM's Return On Equity of 10.32% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. TFPM outperforms 74.51% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of TFPM (7.74%) is better than 71.24% of its industry peers.
TFPM had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 3.48%. This is significantly below the industry average of 13.09%.
The 3 year average ROIC (3.48%) for TFPM is below the current ROIC(7.74%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 9.99% | ||
| ROE | 10.32% | ||
| ROIC | 7.74% |
ROA(3y)1.58%
ROA(5y)2.5%
ROE(3y)1.62%
ROE(5y)2.76%
ROIC(3y)3.48%
ROIC(5y)3.45%
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of TFPM (59.43%) is better than 98.04% of its industry peers.
The Operating Margin of TFPM (57.24%) is better than 96.73% of its industry peers.
TFPM's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of TFPM (64.74%) is better than 92.81% of its industry peers.
TFPM's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 57.24% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 59.43% | ||
| GM | 64.74% |
OM growth 3Y-10.48%
OM growth 5Y34.37%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.4%
GM growth 5Y22.86%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
TFPM has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for TFPM remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for TFPM has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, TFPM has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
TFPM has an Altman-Z score of 64.37. This indicates that TFPM is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 64.37, TFPM belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 90.85% of the companies in the same industry.
TFPM has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.21. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.21 years to pay back of all of its debts.
TFPM has a Debt to FCF ratio of 0.21. This is amongst the best in the industry. TFPM outperforms 93.46% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.01 indicates that TFPM is not too dependend on debt financing.
TFPM has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.01. This is in the better half of the industry: TFPM outperforms 75.16% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.01 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.21 | ||
| Altman-Z | 64.37 |
ROIC/WACC0.91
WACC8.55%
2.3 Liquidity
TFPM has a Current Ratio of 1.68. This is a normal value and indicates that TFPM is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
TFPM has a Current ratio of 1.68. This is in the lower half of the industry: TFPM underperforms 68.63% of its industry peers.
TFPM has a Quick Ratio of 1.68. This is a normal value and indicates that TFPM is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of TFPM (1.68) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
TFPM does not score too well on the current and quick ratio evaluation. However, as it has excellent solvency and profitability, these ratios do not necessarly indicate liquidity issues and need to be evaluated against the specifics of the business.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.68 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.68 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
TFPM shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 75.51%, which is quite impressive.
The Revenue has grown by 39.54% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
Measured over the past years, TFPM shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 35.38% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)75.51%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%60%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)39.54%
Revenue growth 3Y21.38%
Revenue growth 5Y35.38%
Sales Q2Q%26.86%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, TFPM will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 25.35% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, TFPM will show a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -16.66% on average per year.
EPS Next Y58.8%
EPS Next 2Y36.6%
EPS Next 3Y27.01%
EPS Next 5Y25.35%
Revenue Next Year34.7%
Revenue Next 2Y21.81%
Revenue Next 3Y14.65%
Revenue Next 5Y-16.66%
3.3 Evolution
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 38.94, which means the current valuation is very expensive for TFPM.
TFPM's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. TFPM is cheaper than 62.09% of the companies in the same industry.
TFPM is valuated rather expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.31, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
TFPM is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 30.95.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as TFPM.
TFPM is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 36.59, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 38.94 | ||
| Fwd PE | 30.95 |
4.2 Price Multiples
The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as TFPM.
TFPM's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 101.15 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 24.95 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
TFPM's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The excellent profitability rating of TFPM may justify a higher PE ratio.
TFPM's earnings are expected to grow with 27.01% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.66
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y36.6%
EPS Next 3Y27.01%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a yearly dividend of 0.69%, TFPM is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
TFPM's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.63.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.34, TFPM's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.69% |
5.2 History
TFPM has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
TFPM has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
TFPM pays out 22.03% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP22.03%
EPS Next 2Y36.6%
EPS Next 3Y27.01%
33.49
+0.98 (+3.01%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners86.26%
Inst Owner Change2.46%
Ins Owners2.89%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap6.92B
Revenue(TTM)344.00M
Net Income(TTM)204.45M
Analysts77.5
Price Target37.41 (11.7%)
Short Float %0.64%
Short Ratio2
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.69% |
Yearly Dividend0.22
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP22.03%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)13.41%
Min EPS beat(2)12.04%
Max EPS beat(2)14.78%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)9.54%
Min EPS beat(4)5.36%
Max EPS beat(4)14.78%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)9.4%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)2.78%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)0.59%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.05%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.36%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.45%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.12%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.36%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.45%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.42%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.64%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.33%
PT rev (1m)27.58%
PT rev (3m)26.37%
EPS NQ rev (1m)6.64%
EPS NQ rev (3m)15.27%
EPS NY rev (1m)3.67%
EPS NY rev (3m)4.15%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)12.48%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)20.1%
Revenue NY rev (1m)2.55%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.55%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 38.94 | ||
| Fwd PE | 30.95 | ||
| P/S | 20.11 | ||
| P/FCF | 101.15 | ||
| P/OCF | 24.12 | ||
| P/B | 3.49 | ||
| P/tB | 3.49 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 24.95 |
EPS(TTM)0.86
EY2.57%
EPS(NY)1.08
Fwd EY3.23%
FCF(TTM)0.33
FCFY0.99%
OCF(TTM)1.39
OCFY4.15%
SpS1.67
BVpS9.59
TBVpS9.59
PEG (NY)0.66
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number13.62
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 9.99% | ||
| ROE | 10.32% | ||
| ROCE | 9.8% | ||
| ROIC | 7.74% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.84% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.84% | ||
| OM | 57.24% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 59.43% | ||
| GM | 64.74% | ||
| FCFM | 19.88% |
ROA(3y)1.58%
ROA(5y)2.5%
ROE(3y)1.62%
ROE(5y)2.76%
ROIC(3y)3.48%
ROIC(5y)3.45%
ROICexc(3y)3.61%
ROICexc(5y)3.58%
ROICexgc(3y)3.61%
ROICexgc(5y)3.58%
ROCE(3y)4.41%
ROCE(5y)4.37%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-2.16%
ROICexgc growth 5Y48.72%
ROICexc growth 3Y-2.16%
ROICexc growth 5Y48.72%
OM growth 3Y-10.48%
OM growth 5Y34.37%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.4%
GM growth 5Y22.86%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.17
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.01 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.21 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.05 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 275.15% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 63.49% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 54.45 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 103.81% | ||
| Profit Quality | 33.45% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.68 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.68 | ||
| Altman-Z | 64.37 |
F-Score8
WACC8.55%
ROIC/WACC0.91
Cap/Depr(3y)156.97%
Cap/Depr(5y)385.26%
Cap/Sales(3y)49.79%
Cap/Sales(5y)166.31%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)75.51%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%60%
EPS Next Y58.8%
EPS Next 2Y36.6%
EPS Next 3Y27.01%
EPS Next 5Y25.35%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)39.54%
Revenue growth 3Y21.38%
Revenue growth 5Y35.38%
Sales Q2Q%26.86%
Revenue Next Year34.7%
Revenue Next 2Y21.81%
Revenue Next 3Y14.65%
Revenue Next 5Y-16.66%
EBIT growth 1Y234.47%
EBIT growth 3Y8.66%
EBIT growth 5Y81.91%
EBIT Next Year110.86%
EBIT Next 3Y29.88%
EBIT Next 5Y26.18%
FCF growth 1Y200.43%
FCF growth 3Y31.41%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y87.19%
OCF growth 3Y21.17%
OCF growth 5Y39.99%
TRIPLE FLAG PRECIOUS MET / TFPM FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for TFPM stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to TFPM.
What is the valuation status for TFPM stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to TRIPLE FLAG PRECIOUS MET (TFPM). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of TFPM stock?
TRIPLE FLAG PRECIOUS MET (TFPM) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of TRIPLE FLAG PRECIOUS MET (TFPM) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for TRIPLE FLAG PRECIOUS MET (TFPM) is 38.94 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 3.49.
Can you provide the financial health for TFPM stock?
The financial health rating of TRIPLE FLAG PRECIOUS MET (TFPM) is 7 / 10.