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TRIPLE FLAG PRECIOUS MET (TFPM.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:TFPM - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA89679M1041 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD

28.88  +0.29 (+1.01%)

Fundamental Rating

6

Overall TFPM gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. We evaluated TFPM against 802 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. TFPM gets an excellent profitability rating and is at the same time showing great financial health properties. TFPM has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively. This makes TFPM very considerable for quality investing!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

TFPM had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year TFPM had a positive cash flow from operations.
TFPM had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years TFPM always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
TFPM.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFTFPM.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M -400M -600M

1.2 Ratios

With an excellent Return On Assets value of -1.30%, TFPM belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 82.92% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of TFPM (-1.33%) is better than 83.92% of its industry peers.
TFPM has a Return On Invested Capital of 3.65%. This is amongst the best in the industry. TFPM outperforms 90.90% of its industry peers.
TFPM had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 3.17%. This is significantly below the industry average of 24.51%.
The 3 year average ROIC (3.17%) for TFPM is below the current ROIC(3.65%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -1.3%
ROE -1.33%
ROIC 3.66%
ROA(3y)1.58%
ROA(5y)2.5%
ROE(3y)1.62%
ROE(5y)2.76%
ROIC(3y)3.17%
ROIC(5y)3.15%
TFPM.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICTFPM.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2 -2 4

1.3 Margins

The Operating Margin of TFPM (32.89%) is better than 96.26% of its industry peers.
TFPM's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With an excellent Gross Margin value of 57.70%, TFPM belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 97.01% of the companies in the same industry.
TFPM's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 32.89%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 57.7%
OM growth 3Y-10.48%
OM growth 5Y34.37%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.4%
GM growth 5Y22.86%
TFPM.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsTFPM.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40

8

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so TFPM is destroying value.
TFPM has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for TFPM has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, TFPM has an improved debt to assets ratio.
TFPM.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingTFPM.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M
TFPM.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsTFPM.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

TFPM has an Altman-Z score of 73.90. This indicates that TFPM is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
TFPM's Altman-Z score of 73.90 is amongst the best of the industry. TFPM outperforms 93.14% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of TFPM is 0.01, which is an excellent value as it means it would take TFPM, only 0.01 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
TFPM has a better Debt to FCF ratio (0.01) than 97.76% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00 indicates that TFPM is not too dependend on debt financing.
TFPM's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.00 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. TFPM outperforms 58.98% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0.01
Altman-Z 73.9
ROIC/WACC0.41
WACC8.97%
TFPM.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFTFPM.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 2.79 indicates that TFPM has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of TFPM (2.79) is better than 63.34% of its industry peers.
TFPM has a Quick Ratio of 2.65. This indicates that TFPM is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
With a decent Quick ratio value of 2.65, TFPM is doing good in the industry, outperforming 64.59% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.79
Quick Ratio 2.65
TFPM.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesTFPM.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

TFPM shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 70.59%, which is quite impressive.
The Revenue has grown by 31.84% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
Measured over the past years, TFPM shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 35.38% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)70.59%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%100%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)31.84%
Revenue growth 3Y21.38%
Revenue growth 5Y35.38%
Sales Q2Q%43.44%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, TFPM will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 17.43% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -16.66% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
EPS Next Y32.68%
EPS Next 2Y17.87%
EPS Next 3Y15.23%
EPS Next 5Y17.43%
Revenue Next Year17.72%
Revenue Next 2Y8.88%
Revenue Next 3Y6.66%
Revenue Next 5Y-16.66%

3.3 Evolution

The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
TFPM.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesTFPM.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 100M 200M 300M
TFPM.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesTFPM.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 36.10, TFPM can be considered very expensive at the moment.
TFPM's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. TFPM is cheaper than 88.15% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 28.10, TFPM is valued a bit more expensive.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 27.18, the valuation of TFPM can be described as expensive.
TFPM's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. TFPM is cheaper than 88.53% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 20.74, TFPM is valued a bit more expensive.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 36.1
Fwd PE 27.18
TFPM.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsTFPM.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of TFPM indicates a rather cheap valuation: TFPM is cheaper than 89.28% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, TFPM is valued cheaper than 93.14% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 26.93
EV/EBITDA 25.31
TFPM.CA Per share dataTFPM.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of TFPM may justify a higher PE ratio.
TFPM's earnings are expected to grow with 15.23% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.1
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y17.87%
EPS Next 3Y15.23%

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.11%, TFPM has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
TFPM's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 2.90. TFPM pays more dividend than 96.26% of the companies in the same industry.
With a Dividend Yield of 1.11, TFPM pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.43.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.11%

5.2 History

TFPM has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
TFPM has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
TFPM.CA Yearly Dividends per shareTFPM.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2

5.3 Sustainability

The earnings of TFPM are negative and hence is the payout ratio. TFPM will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
DP-187.48%
EPS Next 2Y17.87%
EPS Next 3Y15.23%
TFPM.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendTFPM.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -200M -400M -600M

TRIPLE FLAG PRECIOUS MET

TSX:TFPM (5/2/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

28.88

+0.29 (+1.01%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)02-19 2025-02-19/amc
Earnings (Next)05-06 2025-05-06/amc
Inst Owners86.11%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners2.39%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap5.80B
Analysts81.25
Price Target34.61 (19.84%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.11%
Yearly Dividend0.3
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP-187.48%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date03-03 2025-03-03 (0.055)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)6.15%
Min EPS beat(2)5.36%
Max EPS beat(2)6.95%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)8.4%
Min EPS beat(4)5.36%
Max EPS beat(4)12.04%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)-1.19%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)-2.57%
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.48%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.88%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.84%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.21%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.88%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.84%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.05%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.9%
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)11.02%
PT rev (3m)13.22%
EPS NQ rev (1m)8.82%
EPS NQ rev (3m)10.45%
EPS NY rev (1m)8.64%
EPS NY rev (3m)4.35%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)7.21%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)14.24%
Revenue NY rev (1m)6.48%
Revenue NY rev (3m)5.82%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 36.1
Fwd PE 27.18
P/S 15.62
P/FCF 26.93
P/OCF 19.68
P/B 2.42
P/tB 2.42
EV/EBITDA 25.31
EPS(TTM)0.8
EY2.77%
EPS(NY)1.06
Fwd EY3.68%
FCF(TTM)1.07
FCFY3.71%
OCF(TTM)1.47
OCFY5.08%
SpS1.85
BVpS11.93
TBVpS11.93
PEG (NY)1.1
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -1.3%
ROE -1.33%
ROCE 5.08%
ROIC 3.66%
ROICexc 3.74%
ROICexgc 3.74%
OM 32.89%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 57.7%
FCFM 58%
ROA(3y)1.58%
ROA(5y)2.5%
ROE(3y)1.62%
ROE(5y)2.76%
ROIC(3y)3.17%
ROIC(5y)3.15%
ROICexc(3y)3.29%
ROICexc(5y)3.27%
ROICexgc(3y)3.29%
ROICexgc(5y)3.27%
ROCE(3y)4.41%
ROCE(5y)4.37%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-2.16%
ROICexcg growth 5Y48.72%
ROICexc growth 3Y-2.16%
ROICexc growth 5Y48.72%
OM growth 3Y-10.48%
OM growth 5Y34.37%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.4%
GM growth 5Y22.86%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.15
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0.01
Debt/EBITDA 0.01
Cap/Depr 75.74%
Cap/Sales 21.37%
Interest Coverage 17.14
Cash Conversion 129.89%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 2.79
Quick Ratio 2.65
Altman-Z 73.9
F-Score6
WACC8.97%
ROIC/WACC0.41
Cap/Depr(3y)156.97%
Cap/Depr(5y)385.26%
Cap/Sales(3y)49.79%
Cap/Sales(5y)166.31%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)70.59%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%100%
EPS Next Y32.68%
EPS Next 2Y17.87%
EPS Next 3Y15.23%
EPS Next 5Y17.43%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)31.84%
Revenue growth 3Y21.38%
Revenue growth 5Y35.38%
Sales Q2Q%43.44%
Revenue Next Year17.72%
Revenue Next 2Y8.88%
Revenue Next 3Y6.66%
Revenue Next 5Y-16.66%
EBIT growth 1Y31.64%
EBIT growth 3Y8.66%
EBIT growth 5Y81.91%
EBIT Next Year73.59%
EBIT Next 3Y22.8%
EBIT Next 5Y18.22%
FCF growth 1Y524.45%
FCF growth 3Y31.41%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y38.51%
OCF growth 3Y21.17%
OCF growth 5Y39.99%