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TRIPLE FLAG PRECIOUS MET (TFPM.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:TFPM - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA89679M1041 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD

34.14  +0.79 (+2.37%)

Fundamental Rating

6

Overall TFPM gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. We evaluated TFPM against 808 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. TFPM scores excellent points on both the profitability and health parts. This is a solid base for a good stock. TFPM is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate. These ratings would make TFPM suitable for quality investing!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year TFPM was profitable.
In the past year TFPM had a positive cash flow from operations.
Of the past 5 years TFPM 4 years were profitable.
TFPM had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
TFPM.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFTFPM.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M -400M -600M

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of TFPM (0.28%) is better than 84.76% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 0.28%, TFPM belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 85.25% of the companies in the same industry.
TFPM's Return On Invested Capital of 4.60% is amongst the best of the industry. TFPM outperforms 90.95% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for TFPM is significantly below the industry average of 12.32%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (4.60%) for TFPM is above the 3 year average (3.17%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.28%
ROE 0.28%
ROIC 4.6%
ROA(3y)1.58%
ROA(5y)2.5%
ROE(3y)1.62%
ROE(5y)2.76%
ROIC(3y)3.17%
ROIC(5y)3.15%
TFPM.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICTFPM.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2 -2 4

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of TFPM (1.71%) is better than 89.59% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 38.45%, TFPM belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 97.40% of the companies in the same industry.
TFPM's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
TFPM has a Gross Margin of 58.52%. This is amongst the best in the industry. TFPM outperforms 96.90% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of TFPM has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 38.45%
PM (TTM) 1.71%
GM 58.52%
OM growth 3Y-10.48%
OM growth 5Y34.37%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.4%
GM growth 5Y22.86%
TFPM.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsTFPM.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40

7

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

TFPM has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for TFPM remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
TFPM has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for TFPM has been reduced compared to a year ago.
TFPM.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingTFPM.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M
TFPM.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsTFPM.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

TFPM has an Altman-Z score of 93.66. This indicates that TFPM is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
TFPM's Altman-Z score of 93.66 is amongst the best of the industry. TFPM outperforms 94.18% of its industry peers.
TFPM has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.01. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.01 years to pay back of all of its debts.
TFPM has a better Debt to FCF ratio (0.01) than 97.27% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00 indicates that TFPM is not too dependend on debt financing.
TFPM has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.00) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0.01
Altman-Z 93.66
ROIC/WACC0.59
WACC7.77%
TFPM.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFTFPM.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 2.32 indicates that TFPM has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 2.32, TFPM perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 57.25% of the companies in the same industry.
TFPM has a Quick Ratio of 2.11. This indicates that TFPM is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 2.11, TFPM perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 57.87% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.32
Quick Ratio 2.11
TFPM.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesTFPM.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 69.23% over the past year.
Looking at the last year, TFPM shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 39.01%.
TFPM shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 35.38% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)69.23%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%66.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)39.01%
Revenue growth 3Y21.38%
Revenue growth 5Y35.38%
Sales Q2Q%42.97%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 15.92% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -16.66% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
EPS Next Y32.68%
EPS Next 2Y17.87%
EPS Next 3Y15.23%
EPS Next 5Y15.92%
Revenue Next Year17.48%
Revenue Next 2Y8.85%
Revenue Next 3Y6.77%
Revenue Next 5Y-16.66%

3.3 Evolution

The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
TFPM.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesTFPM.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 100M 200M 300M
TFPM.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesTFPM.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

TFPM is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 37.93.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, TFPM is valued cheaper than 87.61% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.32. TFPM is valued slightly more expensive when compared to this.
TFPM is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 31.09.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of TFPM indicates a rather cheap valuation: TFPM is cheaper than 86.99% of the companies listed in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.13. TFPM is valued slightly more expensive when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 37.93
Fwd PE 31.09
TFPM.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsTFPM.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

TFPM's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. TFPM is cheaper than 89.84% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, TFPM is valued cheaply inside the industry as 91.57% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 41.6
EV/EBITDA 26.12
TFPM.CA Per share dataTFPM.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
The excellent profitability rating of TFPM may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as TFPM's earnings are expected to grow with 15.23% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.16
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y17.87%
EPS Next 3Y15.23%

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a yearly dividend of 0.95%, TFPM is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
TFPM's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 2.52. TFPM pays more dividend than 96.28% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.40, TFPM's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.95%

5.2 History

TFPM has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
TFPM has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
TFPM.CA Yearly Dividends per shareTFPM.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2

5.3 Sustainability

TFPM pays out 873.09% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP873.09%
EPS Next 2Y17.87%
EPS Next 3Y15.23%
TFPM.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendTFPM.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -200M -400M -600M
TFPM.CA Dividend Payout.TFPM.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.TFPM.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

TRIPLE FLAG PRECIOUS MET

TSX:TFPM (6/13/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

34.14

+0.79 (+2.37%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)05-06 2025-05-06/amc
Earnings (Next)08-05 2025-08-05/amc
Inst Owners88.34%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners2.98%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap6.86B
Analysts81.25
Price Target34.84 (2.05%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.95%
Yearly Dividend0.29
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP873.09%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date05-30 2025-05-30 (0.055)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)5.67%
Min EPS beat(2)5.36%
Max EPS beat(2)5.99%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)6.88%
Min EPS beat(4)5.36%
Max EPS beat(4)9.24%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)4.21%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)-1.67%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)0.51%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.29%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.88%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.3%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.38%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.88%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.84%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.49%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.3%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.74%
PT rev (1m)0.65%
PT rev (3m)13.97%
EPS NQ rev (1m)17.73%
EPS NQ rev (3m)12.5%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)7.85%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)11.44%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.76%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)6.26%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 37.93
Fwd PE 31.09
P/S 17.13
P/FCF 41.6
P/OCF 20.92
P/B 2.86
P/tB 2.86
EV/EBITDA 26.12
EPS(TTM)0.9
EY2.64%
EPS(NY)1.1
Fwd EY3.22%
FCF(TTM)0.82
FCFY2.4%
OCF(TTM)1.63
OCFY4.78%
SpS1.99
BVpS11.96
TBVpS11.96
PEG (NY)1.16
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.28%
ROE 0.28%
ROCE 6.38%
ROIC 4.6%
ROICexc 4.66%
ROICexgc 4.66%
OM 38.45%
PM (TTM) 1.71%
GM 58.52%
FCFM 41.17%
ROA(3y)1.58%
ROA(5y)2.5%
ROE(3y)1.62%
ROE(5y)2.76%
ROIC(3y)3.17%
ROIC(5y)3.15%
ROICexc(3y)3.29%
ROICexc(5y)3.27%
ROICexgc(3y)3.29%
ROICexgc(5y)3.27%
ROCE(3y)4.41%
ROCE(5y)4.37%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-2.16%
ROICexcg growth 5Y48.72%
ROICexc growth 3Y-2.16%
ROICexc growth 5Y48.72%
OM growth 3Y-10.48%
OM growth 5Y34.37%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.4%
GM growth 5Y22.86%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.16
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0.01
Debt/EBITDA 0.01
Cap/Depr 151.88%
Cap/Sales 40.71%
Interest Coverage 25.43
Cash Conversion 125.48%
Profit Quality 2412.09%
Current Ratio 2.32
Quick Ratio 2.11
Altman-Z 93.66
F-Score7
WACC7.77%
ROIC/WACC0.59
Cap/Depr(3y)156.97%
Cap/Depr(5y)385.26%
Cap/Sales(3y)49.79%
Cap/Sales(5y)166.31%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)69.23%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%66.67%
EPS Next Y32.68%
EPS Next 2Y17.87%
EPS Next 3Y15.23%
EPS Next 5Y15.92%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)39.01%
Revenue growth 3Y21.38%
Revenue growth 5Y35.38%
Sales Q2Q%42.97%
Revenue Next Year17.48%
Revenue Next 2Y8.85%
Revenue Next 3Y6.77%
Revenue Next 5Y-16.66%
EBIT growth 1Y56.94%
EBIT growth 3Y8.66%
EBIT growth 5Y81.91%
EBIT Next Year89.59%
EBIT Next 3Y28.4%
EBIT Next 5Y18.07%
FCF growth 1Y307.59%
FCF growth 3Y31.41%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y83.73%
OCF growth 3Y21.17%
OCF growth 5Y39.99%