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TRICON RESIDENTIAL INC (TCN) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:TCN - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - CA89612W1023 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

11.25  +0.02 (+0.18%)

After market: 11.23 -0.02 (-0.18%)

Fundamental Rating

3

We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to TCN. TCN was compared to 64 industry peers in the Real Estate Management & Development industry. While TCN is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. TCN is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

TCN had positive earnings in the past year.
TCN had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
TCN had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
Of the past 5 years TCN 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
TCN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFTCN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M 400M 600M 800M

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 0.86%, TCN is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 69.23% of the companies in the same industry.
TCN has a Return On Equity of 2.96%. This is in the better half of the industry: TCN outperforms 72.31% of its industry peers.
TCN has a better Return On Invested Capital (1.64%) than 72.31% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.86%
ROE 2.96%
ROIC 1.64%
ROA(3y)4.08%
ROA(5y)3.73%
ROE(3y)12.96%
ROE(5y)10.43%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
TCN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICTCN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5 10 15 20

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 13.44%, TCN belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 90.77% of the companies in the same industry.
TCN's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
TCN has a Operating Margin of 29.82%. This is amongst the best in the industry. TCN outperforms 96.92% of its industry peers.
TCN's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 69.17%, TCN belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 87.69% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of TCN has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 29.82%
PM (TTM) 13.44%
GM 69.17%
OM growth 3Y-5.22%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-21.94%
PM growth 5Y-54.81%
GM growth 3Y-0.28%
GM growth 5YN/A
TCN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsTCN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200 400 600

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1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

TCN has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for TCN remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for TCN has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, TCN has an improved debt to assets ratio.
TCN Yearly Shares OutstandingTCN Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
TCN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsTCN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

TCN has an Altman-Z score of 0.49. This is a bad value and indicates that TCN is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
TCN's Altman-Z score of 0.49 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. TCN is outperformed by 63.08% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of TCN is 65.95, which is on the high side as it means it would take TCN, 65.95 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
TCN has a Debt to FCF ratio (65.95) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.48 is on the high side and indicates that TCN has dependencies on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.48, TCN is doing worse than 69.23% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.48
Debt/FCF 65.95
Altman-Z 0.49
ROIC/WACC0.22
WACC7.57%
TCN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFTCN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.49 indicates that TCN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
TCN has a Current ratio of 0.49. This is amonst the worse of the industry: TCN underperforms 86.15% of its industry peers.
TCN has a Quick Ratio of 0.49. This is a bad value and indicates that TCN is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of TCN (0.49) is worse than 83.08% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.49
Quick Ratio 0.49
TCN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesTCN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M

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4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for TCN have decreased strongly by -66.47% in the last year.
TCN shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -17.03% yearly.
Looking at the last year, TCN shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 5.48% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, TCN shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 94.79% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-66.47%
EPS 3Y4.46%
EPS 5Y-17.03%
EPS Q2Q%36.36%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.48%
Revenue growth 3Y28.44%
Revenue growth 5Y94.79%
Sales Q2Q%15.69%

3.2 Future

TCN is expected to show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -15.81% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 8.50% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y-48.61%
EPS Next 2Y-15.81%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year6.66%
Revenue Next 2Y8.5%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
TCN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesTCN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M
TCN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesTCN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.5 1 1.5 2

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4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 19.74 indicates a rather expensive valuation of TCN.
TCN's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. TCN is cheaper than 84.62% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.61, TCN is valued a bit cheaper.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 38.41, which means the current valuation is very expensive for TCN.
72.31% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than TCN, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 37.13. TCN is around the same levels.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.74
Fwd PE 38.41
TCN Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsTCN Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, TCN is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 64.62% of the companies are valued more expensively.
TCN's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. TCN is cheaper than 70.77% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 36.46
EV/EBITDA 33.96
TCN Per share dataTCN EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

TCN has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
TCN's earnings are expected to decrease with -15.81% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-15.81%
EPS Next 3YN/A

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

TCN does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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TRICON RESIDENTIAL INC

NYSE:TCN (5/1/2024, 8:25:04 PM)

After market: 11.23 -0.02 (-0.18%)

11.25

+0.02 (+0.18%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorReal Estate
GICS IndustryGroupEquity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
GICS IndustryReal Estate Management & Development
Earnings (Last)02-27 2024-02-27/amc
Earnings (Next)05-07 2024-05-07/bmo
Inst OwnersN/A
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap3.34B
Analysts71.11
Price Target8.93 (-20.62%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP84%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)172.28%
Min EPS beat(2)147.53%
Max EPS beat(2)197.03%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)110.4%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.99%
Max EPS beat(4)197.03%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)235.95%
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)85.19%
Min Revenue beat(2)79.44%
Max Revenue beat(2)90.95%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)80.48%
Min Revenue beat(4)72.02%
Max Revenue beat(4)90.95%
Revenue beat(8)8
Avg Revenue beat(8)71.53%
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-6.56%
PT rev (3m)2.48%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.74
Fwd PE 38.41
P/S 3.93
P/FCF 36.46
P/OCF 24.19
P/B 0.86
P/tB 0.87
EV/EBITDA 33.96
EPS(TTM)0.57
EY5.07%
EPS(NY)0.29
Fwd EY2.6%
FCF(TTM)0.31
FCFY2.74%
OCF(TTM)0.47
OCFY4.13%
SpS2.86
BVpS13.02
TBVpS12.9
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.86%
ROE 2.96%
ROCE 2%
ROIC 1.64%
ROICexc 1.67%
ROICexgc 1.67%
OM 29.82%
PM (TTM) 13.44%
GM 69.17%
FCFM 10.78%
ROA(3y)4.08%
ROA(5y)3.73%
ROE(3y)12.96%
ROE(5y)10.43%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-1.7%
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-1.2%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-5.22%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-21.94%
PM growth 5Y-54.81%
GM growth 3Y-0.28%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.06
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.48
Debt/FCF 65.95
Debt/EBITDA 21.13
Cap/Depr 261.04%
Cap/Sales 5.47%
Interest Coverage 0.87
Cash Conversion 50.9%
Profit Quality 80.17%
Current Ratio 0.49
Quick Ratio 0.49
Altman-Z 0.49
F-Score5
WACC7.57%
ROIC/WACC0.22
Cap/Depr(3y)254.57%
Cap/Depr(5y)208.56%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.52%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.97%
Profit Quality(3y)42.83%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-66.47%
EPS 3Y4.46%
EPS 5Y-17.03%
EPS Q2Q%36.36%
EPS Next Y-48.61%
EPS Next 2Y-15.81%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.48%
Revenue growth 3Y28.44%
Revenue growth 5Y94.79%
Sales Q2Q%15.69%
Revenue Next Year6.66%
Revenue Next 2Y8.5%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y152.14%
EBIT growth 3Y21.74%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year27.82%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-60.91%
FCF growth 3Y-11.02%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-48.93%
OCF growth 3Y-1.17%
OCF growth 5YN/A