TRICON RESIDENTIAL INC (TCN) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:TCN - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - CA89612W1023 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
Overall TCN gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated TCN against 65 industry peers in the Real Estate Management & Development industry. While TCN is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. TCN has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
TCN had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year TCN had a positive cash flow from operations.
TCN had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
TCN had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 0.86%, TCN is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 69.23% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 2.96%, TCN is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 72.31% of the companies in the same industry.
TCN has a better Return On Invested Capital (1.64%) than 72.31% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.86% | ||
| ROE | 2.96% | ||
| ROIC | 1.64% |
ROA(3y)4.08%
ROA(5y)3.73%
ROE(3y)12.96%
ROE(5y)10.43%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
With an excellent Profit Margin value of 13.44%, TCN belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 90.77% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of TCN has declined.
The Operating Margin of TCN (29.82%) is better than 96.92% of its industry peers.
TCN's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of TCN (69.17%) is better than 87.69% of its industry peers.
TCN's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 29.82% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.44% | ||
| GM | 69.17% |
OM growth 3Y-5.22%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-21.94%
PM growth 5Y-54.81%
GM growth 3Y-0.28%
GM growth 5YN/A
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so TCN is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, TCN has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
TCN has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, TCN has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.49, we must say that TCN is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
TCN has a worse Altman-Z score (0.49) than 63.08% of its industry peers.
TCN has a debt to FCF ratio of 65.95. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as TCN would need 65.95 years to pay back of all of its debts.
TCN's Debt to FCF ratio of 65.95 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. TCN outperforms 58.46% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.48 is on the high side and indicates that TCN has dependencies on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of TCN (1.48) is worse than 69.23% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.48 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 65.95 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.49 |
ROIC/WACC0.22
WACC7.57%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.49 indicates that TCN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.49, TCN is doing worse than 86.15% of the companies in the same industry.
TCN has a Quick Ratio of 0.49. This is a bad value and indicates that TCN is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
TCN has a worse Quick ratio (0.49) than 83.08% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.49 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.49 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
TCN shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -66.47%.
Measured over the past years, TCN shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -17.03% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, TCN shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 5.48% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing by 94.79% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)-66.47%
EPS 3Y4.46%
EPS 5Y-17.03%
EPS Q2Q%36.36%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.48%
Revenue growth 3Y28.44%
Revenue growth 5Y94.79%
Sales Q2Q%15.69%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -15.81% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
Based on estimates for the next years, TCN will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 8.50% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-48.61%
EPS Next 2Y-15.81%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year6.66%
Revenue Next 2Y8.5%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 19.74 indicates a rather expensive valuation of TCN.
TCN's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. TCN is cheaper than 84.62% of the companies in the same industry.
TCN's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 27.45.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 38.41, which means the current valuation is very expensive for TCN.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of TCN indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: TCN is cheaper than 72.31% of the companies listed in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of TCN to the average of the S&P500 Index (21.90), we can say TCN is valued expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.74 | ||
| Fwd PE | 38.41 |
4.2 Price Multiples
64.62% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than TCN, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, TCN is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 70.77% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 36.46 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 33.96 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
TCN has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A cheap valuation may be justified as TCN's earnings are expected to decrease with -15.81% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-15.81%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for TCN!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
11.25
+0.02 (+0.18%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorReal Estate
GICS IndustryGroupEquity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
GICS IndustryReal Estate Management & Development
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst OwnersN/A
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap3.34B
Analysts71.11
Price Target8.93 (-20.62%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP84%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)172.28%
Min EPS beat(2)147.53%
Max EPS beat(2)197.03%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)110.4%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.99%
Max EPS beat(4)197.03%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)235.95%
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)85.19%
Min Revenue beat(2)79.44%
Max Revenue beat(2)90.95%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)80.48%
Min Revenue beat(4)72.02%
Max Revenue beat(4)90.95%
Revenue beat(8)8
Avg Revenue beat(8)71.53%
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-6.56%
PT rev (3m)2.48%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.74 | ||
| Fwd PE | 38.41 | ||
| P/S | 3.93 | ||
| P/FCF | 36.46 | ||
| P/OCF | 24.19 | ||
| P/B | 0.86 | ||
| P/tB | 0.87 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 33.96 |
EPS(TTM)0.57
EY5.07%
EPS(NY)0.29
Fwd EY2.6%
FCF(TTM)0.31
FCFY2.74%
OCF(TTM)0.47
OCFY4.13%
SpS2.86
BVpS13.02
TBVpS12.9
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.86% | ||
| ROE | 2.96% | ||
| ROCE | 2% | ||
| ROIC | 1.64% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.67% | ||
| ROICexgc | 1.67% | ||
| OM | 29.82% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.44% | ||
| GM | 69.17% | ||
| FCFM | 10.78% |
ROA(3y)4.08%
ROA(5y)3.73%
ROE(3y)12.96%
ROE(5y)10.43%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-1.7%
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-1.2%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-5.22%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-21.94%
PM growth 5Y-54.81%
GM growth 3Y-0.28%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.06
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.48 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 65.95 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 21.13 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 261.04% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.47% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 0.87 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 50.9% | ||
| Profit Quality | 80.17% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.49 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.49 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.49 |
F-Score5
WACC7.57%
ROIC/WACC0.22
Cap/Depr(3y)254.57%
Cap/Depr(5y)208.56%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.52%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.97%
Profit Quality(3y)42.83%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-66.47%
EPS 3Y4.46%
EPS 5Y-17.03%
EPS Q2Q%36.36%
EPS Next Y-48.61%
EPS Next 2Y-15.81%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.48%
Revenue growth 3Y28.44%
Revenue growth 5Y94.79%
Sales Q2Q%15.69%
Revenue Next Year6.66%
Revenue Next 2Y8.5%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y152.14%
EBIT growth 3Y21.74%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year27.82%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-60.91%
FCF growth 3Y-11.02%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-48.93%
OCF growth 3Y-1.17%
OCF growth 5YN/A