CARROLS RESTAURANT GROUP INC (TAST) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NASDAQ:TAST - US14574X1046 - Common Stock
9.54 USD
-0.01 (-0.1%)
9.56 USD
+0.02 (+0.21%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to TAST. TAST was compared to 134 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. While TAST is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. TAST has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year TAST was profitable.
TAST had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
TAST had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years TAST always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
TAST has a Return On Assets (2.13%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
TAST has a better Return On Equity (18.29%) than 71.64% of its industry peers.
TAST's Return On Invested Capital of 4.42% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. TAST outperforms 44.03% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.13% | ||
| ROE | 18.29% | ||
| ROIC | 4.42% |
ROA(3y)-1.71%
ROA(5y)-1.73%
ROE(3y)-17.32%
ROE(5y)-14.63%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
TAST has a worse Profit Margin (1.81%) than 60.45% of its industry peers.
TAST's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 3.70%, TAST is doing worse than 67.16% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of TAST has grown nicely.
TAST has a Gross Margin of 39.74%. This is in the lower half of the industry: TAST underperforms 65.67% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of TAST has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.7% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.81% | ||
| GM | 39.74% |
OM growth 3Y49.37%
OM growth 5Y2.77%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y21.87%
GM growth 3Y1.02%
GM growth 5Y-0.06%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
TAST has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
TAST has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, TAST has more shares outstanding
TAST has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.38, we must say that TAST is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
TAST has a Altman-Z score (1.38) which is in line with its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of TAST is 5.07, which is a neutral value as it means it would take TAST, 5.07 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
TAST has a better Debt to FCF ratio (5.07) than 73.88% of its industry peers.
TAST has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.28. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
TAST's Debt to Equity ratio of 2.28 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. TAST outperforms 50.75% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.07 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.38 |
ROIC/WACC0.49
WACC8.98%
2.3 Liquidity
TAST has a Current Ratio of 0.49. This is a bad value and indicates that TAST is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
TAST has a worse Current ratio (0.49) than 76.87% of its industry peers.
TAST has a Quick Ratio of 0.49. This is a bad value and indicates that TAST is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of TAST (0.41) is worse than 79.85% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.49 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.41 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 173.24% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, TAST shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 13.18% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, TAST shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 8.44% in the last year.
TAST shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 9.73% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)173.24%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y13.18%
EPS Q2Q%280%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.44%
Revenue growth 3Y6.64%
Revenue growth 5Y9.73%
Sales Q2Q%5.67%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 4.34% on average over the next years.
Based on estimates for the next years, TAST will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 1.38% on average per year.
EPS Next Y10.83%
EPS Next 2Y4.34%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year3.76%
Revenue Next 2Y2.88%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.54%
Revenue Next 5Y1.38%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 18.35, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of TAST.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of TAST indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: TAST is cheaper than 67.16% of the companies listed in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.02. TAST is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
TAST is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.55.
61.19% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than TAST, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
TAST is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.66, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.35 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.55 |
4.2 Price Multiples
TAST's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. TAST is cheaper than 86.57% of the companies in the same industry.
TAST's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. TAST is cheaper than 96.27% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 6.2 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.33 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
TAST's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)1.69
PEG (5Y)1.39
EPS Next 2Y4.34%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a yearly dividend of 0.84%, TAST is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
TAST's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 4.01.
With a Dividend Yield of 0.84, TAST pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.45.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.84% |
5.2 History
TAST has been paying a dividend for less than 5 years, so it still needs to build a track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
TAST pays out 3.77% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP3.77%
EPS Next 2Y4.34%
EPS Next 3YN/A
9.54
-0.01 (-0.1%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners5.14%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners5.93%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap524.03M
Analysts45.71
Price Target9.74 (2.1%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.84% |
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP3.77%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)147.43%
Min EPS beat(2)96.08%
Max EPS beat(2)198.79%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)451.87%
Min EPS beat(4)96.08%
Max EPS beat(4)1412.61%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)235.05%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)154.44%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)212.27%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.25%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.97%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.53%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.17%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.97%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.07%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.59%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.52%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.93%
PT rev (1m)-7.06%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-20%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)5.61%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.61%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.35 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.55 | ||
| P/S | 0.28 | ||
| P/FCF | 6.2 | ||
| P/OCF | 3.77 | ||
| P/B | 2.83 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.33 |
EPS(TTM)0.52
EY5.45%
EPS(NY)0.58
Fwd EY6.04%
FCF(TTM)1.54
FCFY16.14%
OCF(TTM)2.53
OCFY26.55%
SpS34.16
BVpS3.37
TBVpS-4.5
PEG (NY)1.69
PEG (5Y)1.39
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.13% | ||
| ROE | 18.29% | ||
| ROCE | 5.01% | ||
| ROIC | 4.42% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.57% | ||
| ROICexgc | 6.74% | ||
| OM | 3.7% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.81% | ||
| GM | 39.74% | ||
| FCFM | 4.51% |
ROA(3y)-1.71%
ROA(5y)-1.73%
ROE(3y)-17.32%
ROE(5y)-14.63%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y66.87%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-11.6%
ROICexc growth 3Y66.57%
ROICexc growth 5Y-6.92%
OM growth 3Y49.37%
OM growth 5Y2.77%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y21.87%
GM growth 3Y1.02%
GM growth 5Y-0.06%
F-Score9
Asset Turnover1.18
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.07 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.94 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 73.57% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.91% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.31 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 96.88% | ||
| Profit Quality | 249.68% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.49 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.41 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.38 |
F-Score9
WACC8.98%
ROIC/WACC0.49
Cap/Depr(3y)62.2%
Cap/Depr(5y)90.23%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.75%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.38%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)173.24%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y13.18%
EPS Q2Q%280%
EPS Next Y10.83%
EPS Next 2Y4.34%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.44%
Revenue growth 3Y6.64%
Revenue growth 5Y9.73%
Sales Q2Q%5.67%
Revenue Next Year3.76%
Revenue Next 2Y2.88%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.54%
Revenue Next 5Y1.38%
EBIT growth 1Y381.22%
EBIT growth 3Y59.29%
EBIT growth 5Y12.78%
EBIT Next Year121.36%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y586.12%
FCF growth 3Y21.64%
FCF growth 5Y75.37%
OCF growth 1Y568.98%
OCF growth 3Y10.23%
OCF growth 5Y11.48%