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CARROLS RESTAURANT GROUP INC (TAST) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - Nasdaq - NASDAQ:TAST - US14574X1046 - Common Stock

9.54 USD
-0.01 (-0.1%)
Last: 5/15/2024, 8:11:18 PM
9.56 USD
+0.02 (+0.21%)
After Hours: 5/15/2024, 8:11:18 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

TAST gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 133 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. While TAST is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. TAST has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year TAST was profitable.
TAST had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
TAST had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
TAST had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
TAST Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFTAST Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50M -50M 100M

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of TAST (2.13%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 18.29%, TAST is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 71.64% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Invested Capital of TAST (4.42%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.13%
ROE 18.29%
ROIC 4.42%
ROA(3y)-1.71%
ROA(5y)-1.73%
ROE(3y)-17.32%
ROE(5y)-14.63%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
TAST Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICTAST Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20 -40

1.3 Margins

With a Profit Margin value of 1.81%, TAST is not doing good in the industry: 60.45% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of TAST has grown nicely.
TAST has a worse Operating Margin (3.70%) than 67.16% of its industry peers.
TAST's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
TAST's Gross Margin of 39.74% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. TAST is outperformed by 65.67% of its industry peers.
TAST's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 3.7%
PM (TTM) 1.81%
GM 39.74%
OM growth 3Y49.37%
OM growth 5Y2.77%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y21.87%
GM growth 3Y1.02%
GM growth 5Y-0.06%
TAST Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsTAST Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10 20 30 40

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), TAST is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for TAST has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
TAST has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for TAST has been reduced compared to a year ago.
TAST Yearly Shares OutstandingTAST Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10M 20M 30M 40M 50M
TAST Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsTAST Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.38, we must say that TAST is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of TAST (1.38) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of TAST is 5.07, which is a neutral value as it means it would take TAST, 5.07 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 5.07, TAST is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.88% of the companies in the same industry.
TAST has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.28. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of TAST (2.28) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.28
Debt/FCF 5.07
Altman-Z 1.38
ROIC/WACC0.49
WACC8.98%
TAST Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFTAST Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100M 200M 300M 400M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.49 indicates that TAST may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
TAST has a worse Current ratio (0.49) than 76.87% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.41 indicates that TAST may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.41, TAST is not doing good in the industry: 79.85% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.49
Quick Ratio 0.41
TAST Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesTAST Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M 200M

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

TAST shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 173.24%, which is quite impressive.
TAST shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 13.18% yearly.
Looking at the last year, TAST shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 8.44% in the last year.
TAST shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 9.73% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)173.24%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y13.18%
EPS Q2Q%280%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.44%
Revenue growth 3Y6.64%
Revenue growth 5Y9.73%
Sales Q2Q%5.67%

3.2 Future

TAST is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 4.34% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 1.38% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y10.83%
EPS Next 2Y4.34%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year3.76%
Revenue Next 2Y2.88%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.54%
Revenue Next 5Y1.38%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
TAST Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesTAST Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
TAST Yearly EPS VS EstimatesTAST Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 0.5 -0.5

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 18.35 indicates a rather expensive valuation of TAST.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, TAST is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 67.16% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.39, TAST is valued a bit cheaper.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.55, TAST is valued correctly.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, TAST is valued a bit cheaper than 61.19% of the companies in the same industry.
TAST is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.84, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.35
Fwd PE 16.55
TAST Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsTAST Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of TAST indicates a rather cheap valuation: TAST is cheaper than 86.57% of the companies listed in the same industry.
96.27% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than TAST, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 6.2
EV/EBITDA 6.33
TAST Per share dataTAST EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

TAST's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)1.69
PEG (5Y)1.39
EPS Next 2Y4.34%
EPS Next 3YN/A

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

TAST has a yearly dividend return of 0.84%, which is pretty low.
TAST's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 1.54.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.87, TAST's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.84%

5.2 History

TAST has paid a dividend for less than 5 years, so there is no long track record yet.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years1
TAST Yearly Dividends per shareTAST Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2021 2023 2024 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4

5.3 Sustainability

TAST pays out 3.77% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP3.77%
EPS Next 2Y4.34%
EPS Next 3YN/A
TAST Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendTAST Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50M -50M
TAST Dividend Payout.TAST Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.TAST Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

CARROLS RESTAURANT GROUP INC

NASDAQ:TAST (5/15/2024, 8:11:18 PM)

After market: 9.56 +0.02 (+0.21%)

9.54

-0.01 (-0.1%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)05-09 2024-05-09/amc
Earnings (Next)08-08 2024-08-08/amc
Inst Owners5.14%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners5.93%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap524.03M
Revenue(TTM)1.88B
Net Income(TTM)33.88M
Analysts45.71
Price Target9.74 (2.1%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.84%
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP3.77%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)147.43%
Min EPS beat(2)96.08%
Max EPS beat(2)198.79%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)451.87%
Min EPS beat(4)96.08%
Max EPS beat(4)1412.61%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)235.05%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)154.44%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)212.27%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.25%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.97%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.53%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.17%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.97%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.07%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.59%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.52%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.93%
PT rev (1m)-7.06%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-20%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)5.61%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.61%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.35
Fwd PE 16.55
P/S 0.28
P/FCF 6.2
P/OCF 3.77
P/B 2.83
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 6.33
EPS(TTM)0.52
EY5.45%
EPS(NY)0.58
Fwd EY6.04%
FCF(TTM)1.54
FCFY16.14%
OCF(TTM)2.53
OCFY26.55%
SpS34.16
BVpS3.37
TBVpS-4.5
PEG (NY)1.69
PEG (5Y)1.39
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.13%
ROE 18.29%
ROCE 5.01%
ROIC 4.42%
ROICexc 4.57%
ROICexgc 6.74%
OM 3.7%
PM (TTM) 1.81%
GM 39.74%
FCFM 4.51%
ROA(3y)-1.71%
ROA(5y)-1.73%
ROE(3y)-17.32%
ROE(5y)-14.63%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y66.87%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-11.6%
ROICexc growth 3Y66.57%
ROICexc growth 5Y-6.92%
OM growth 3Y49.37%
OM growth 5Y2.77%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y21.87%
GM growth 3Y1.02%
GM growth 5Y-0.06%
F-Score9
Asset Turnover1.18
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.28
Debt/FCF 5.07
Debt/EBITDA 2.94
Cap/Depr 73.57%
Cap/Sales 2.91%
Interest Coverage 2.31
Cash Conversion 96.88%
Profit Quality 249.68%
Current Ratio 0.49
Quick Ratio 0.41
Altman-Z 1.38
F-Score9
WACC8.98%
ROIC/WACC0.49
Cap/Depr(3y)62.2%
Cap/Depr(5y)90.23%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.75%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.38%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)173.24%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y13.18%
EPS Q2Q%280%
EPS Next Y10.83%
EPS Next 2Y4.34%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.44%
Revenue growth 3Y6.64%
Revenue growth 5Y9.73%
Sales Q2Q%5.67%
Revenue Next Year3.76%
Revenue Next 2Y2.88%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.54%
Revenue Next 5Y1.38%
EBIT growth 1Y381.22%
EBIT growth 3Y59.29%
EBIT growth 5Y12.78%
EBIT Next Year121.36%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y586.12%
FCF growth 3Y21.64%
FCF growth 5Y75.37%
OCF growth 1Y568.98%
OCF growth 3Y10.23%
OCF growth 5Y11.48%

CARROLS RESTAURANT GROUP INC / TAST FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for TAST stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to TAST.


What is the valuation status for TAST stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to CARROLS RESTAURANT GROUP INC (TAST). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of TAST stock?

CARROLS RESTAURANT GROUP INC (TAST) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for TAST stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CARROLS RESTAURANT GROUP INC (TAST) is 18.35 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.83.


Can you provide the financial health for TAST stock?

The financial health rating of CARROLS RESTAURANT GROUP INC (TAST) is 2 / 10.