SEAGATE TECHNOLOGY HOLDINGS (STX) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:STX • IE00BKVD2N49

Current stock price

383.74 USD
-29.48 (-7.13%)
Last:

This STX fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

8

1. STX Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • STX had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year STX had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • STX had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years STX always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
STX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSTX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B 2B

1.2 Ratios

  • STX has a Return On Assets of 22.62%. This is amongst the best in the industry. STX outperforms 94.59% of its industry peers.
  • With an excellent Return On Equity value of 429.19%, STX belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • STX's Return On Invested Capital of 45.09% is amongst the best of the industry. STX outperforms 97.30% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for STX is below the industry average of 15.72%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (13.27%) for STX is below the current ROIC(45.09%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 22.62%
ROE 429.19%
ROIC 45.09%
ROA(3y)5.21%
ROA(5y)9.84%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)13.27%
ROIC(5y)18.72%
STX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSTX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500 1K 1.5K

1.3 Margins

  • With an excellent Profit Margin value of 19.59%, STX belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 94.59% of the companies in the same industry.
  • STX's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • The Operating Margin of STX (25.73%) is better than 94.59% of its industry peers.
  • STX's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • STX has a Gross Margin of 38.78%. This is in the better half of the industry: STX outperforms 75.68% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of STX has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 25.73%
PM (TTM) 19.59%
GM 38.78%
OM growth 3Y8.07%
OM growth 5Y10.02%
PM growth 3Y4.52%
PM growth 5Y11.07%
GM growth 3Y5.89%
GM growth 5Y5.48%
STX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSTX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30

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4

2. STX Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • STX has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
  • STX has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, STX has less shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, STX has an improved debt to assets ratio.
STX Yearly Shares OutstandingSTX Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
STX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSTX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.2 Solvency

  • STX has a debt to FCF ratio of 2.69. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as STX would need 2.69 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • STX's Debt to FCF ratio of 2.69 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. STX outperforms 75.68% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 7.63 is on the high side and indicates that STX has dependencies on debt financing.
  • STX has a Debt to Equity ratio of 7.63. This is in the lower half of the industry: STX underperforms 70.27% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 7.63
Debt/FCF 2.69
Altman-Z N/A
ROIC/WACC5.14
WACC8.77%
STX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSTX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.12 indicates that STX should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • STX has a Current ratio of 1.12. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: STX outperforms 40.54% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.72 indicates that STX may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of STX (0.72) is worse than 67.57% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.12
Quick Ratio 0.72
STX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSTX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

7

3. STX Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 104.61% over the past year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 10.31% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
  • Looking at the last year, STX shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 25.18%.
  • The Revenue has been decreasing by -2.84% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)104.61%
EPS 3Y-0.25%
EPS 5Y10.31%
EPS Q2Q%53.2%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)25.18%
Revenue growth 3Y-7.94%
Revenue growth 5Y-2.84%
Sales Q2Q%21.51%

3.2 Future

  • STX is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 32.72% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, STX will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 18.26% on average per year.
EPS Next Y62.06%
EPS Next 2Y59.19%
EPS Next 3Y44.73%
EPS Next 5Y32.72%
Revenue Next Year26.72%
Revenue Next 2Y25.89%
Revenue Next 3Y21.66%
Revenue Next 5Y18.26%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
STX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSTX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 5B 10B 15B 20B
STX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSTX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 10 20 30

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5

4. STX Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 37.58, the valuation of STX can be described as expensive.
  • STX's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.61, STX is valued a bit more expensive.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 18.69 indicates a rather expensive valuation of STX.
  • STX's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. STX is cheaper than 62.16% of the companies in the same industry.
  • STX is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.79, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 37.58
Fwd PE 18.69
STX Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSTX Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, STX is valued a bit cheaper than 62.16% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of STX is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 51.32
EV/EBITDA 33.67
STX Per share dataSTX EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • STX's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • The excellent profitability rating of STX may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • STX's earnings are expected to grow with 44.73% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.61
PEG (5Y)3.65
EPS Next 2Y59.19%
EPS Next 3Y44.73%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

6

5. STX Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a yearly dividend of 0.68%, STX is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 0.63, STX pays a better dividend. On top of this STX pays more dividend than 81.08% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.89, STX's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.68%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of STX has a limited annual growth rate of 2.08%.
  • STX has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • STX has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)2.08%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years11
STX Yearly Dividends per shareSTX Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • 31.07% of the earnings are spent on dividend by STX. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of STX is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP31.07%
EPS Next 2Y59.19%
EPS Next 3Y44.73%
STX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendSTX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B 2B
STX Dividend Payout.STX Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.STX Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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STX Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

SEAGATE TECHNOLOGY HOLDINGS

NASDAQ:STX (3/26/2026, 12:46:10 PM)

383.74

-29.48 (-7.13%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupTechnology Hardware & Equipment
GICS IndustryTechnology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals
Earnings (Last)01-27
Earnings (Next)04-27
Inst Owners89.35%
Inst Owner Change-2.52%
Ins Owners0.27%
Ins Owner Change-7.59%
Market Cap85.97B
Revenue(TTM)10.06B
Net Income(TTM)1.97B
Analysts80.69
Price Target482.48 (25.73%)
Short Float %4.41%
Short Ratio2.36
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.68%
Yearly Dividend2.84
Dividend Growth(5Y)2.08%
DP31.07%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years11
Ex-Date03-25
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)9.14%
Min EPS beat(2)8.88%
Max EPS beat(2)9.41%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)7.75%
Min EPS beat(4)4.67%
Max EPS beat(4)9.41%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)11.86%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)14.56%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)11.53%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.29%
Min Revenue beat(2)2.28%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.3%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.23%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.37%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.3%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.3%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.33%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.57%
PT rev (1m)6.04%
PT rev (3m)63%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.11%
EPS NQ rev (3m)22.21%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.4%
EPS NY rev (3m)14.45%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.07%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)7.34%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.03%
Revenue NY rev (3m)5.12%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 37.58
Fwd PE 18.69
P/S 8.55
P/FCF 51.32
P/OCF 42.52
P/B 187.3
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 33.67
EPS(TTM)10.21
EY2.66%
EPS(NY)20.53
Fwd EY5.35%
FCF(TTM)7.48
FCFY1.95%
OCF(TTM)9.03
OCFY2.35%
SpS44.9
BVpS2.05
TBVpS-3.4
PEG (NY)0.61
PEG (5Y)3.65
Graham Number21.69
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 22.62%
ROE 429.19%
ROCE 52.31%
ROIC 45.09%
ROICexc 57.18%
ROICexgc 83.23%
OM 25.73%
PM (TTM) 19.59%
GM 38.78%
FCFM 16.65%
ROA(3y)5.21%
ROA(5y)9.84%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)13.27%
ROIC(5y)18.72%
ROICexc(3y)16.46%
ROICexc(5y)22.64%
ROICexgc(3y)23.54%
ROICexgc(5y)31.58%
ROCE(3y)15.39%
ROCE(5y)21.72%
ROICexgc growth 3Y2.29%
ROICexgc growth 5Y6.53%
ROICexc growth 3Y1.57%
ROICexc growth 5Y6.9%
OM growth 3Y8.07%
OM growth 5Y10.02%
PM growth 3Y4.52%
PM growth 5Y11.07%
GM growth 3Y5.89%
GM growth 5Y5.48%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.16
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 7.63
Debt/FCF 2.69
Debt/EBITDA 1.23
Cap/Depr 131.44%
Cap/Sales 3.45%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 70.9%
Profit Quality 85.03%
Current Ratio 1.12
Quick Ratio 0.72
Altman-Z N/A
F-Score7
WACC8.77%
ROIC/WACC5.14
Cap/Depr(3y)87.8%
Cap/Depr(5y)94.66%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.69%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.8%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)104.61%
EPS 3Y-0.25%
EPS 5Y10.31%
EPS Q2Q%53.2%
EPS Next Y62.06%
EPS Next 2Y59.19%
EPS Next 3Y44.73%
EPS Next 5Y32.72%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)25.18%
Revenue growth 3Y-7.94%
Revenue growth 5Y-2.84%
Sales Q2Q%21.51%
Revenue Next Year26.72%
Revenue Next 2Y25.89%
Revenue Next 3Y21.66%
Revenue Next 5Y18.26%
EBIT growth 1Y91.85%
EBIT growth 3Y-0.51%
EBIT growth 5Y6.89%
EBIT Next Year94.94%
EBIT Next 3Y51.4%
EBIT Next 5Y34.55%
FCF growth 1Y236.35%
FCF growth 3Y-13.77%
FCF growth 5Y-6.24%
OCF growth 1Y172.51%
OCF growth 3Y-13.22%
OCF growth 5Y-8.77%

SEAGATE TECHNOLOGY HOLDINGS / STX Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for STX stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to STX.


Can you provide the valuation status for SEAGATE TECHNOLOGY HOLDINGS?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to SEAGATE TECHNOLOGY HOLDINGS (STX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for SEAGATE TECHNOLOGY HOLDINGS?

SEAGATE TECHNOLOGY HOLDINGS (STX) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


How financially healthy is SEAGATE TECHNOLOGY HOLDINGS?

The financial health rating of SEAGATE TECHNOLOGY HOLDINGS (STX) is 4 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for STX stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SEAGATE TECHNOLOGY HOLDINGS (STX) is expected to grow by 62.06% in the next year.