Extended Stay America Inc (STAY) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:STAY

20.46
0 (0%)
At close: Jun 15, 2021
20.46
0 (0%)
After Hours: 6/15/2021, 8:00:00 PM
Overview Stock Chart Technical Analysis Fundamental Analysis Forecast Earnings Financials Ownership News

This STAY fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

1

STAY gets a fundamental rating of 1 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 126 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. STAY may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. STAY does not seem to be growing, but still is valued expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

0

1. STAY Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • STAY had positive earnings in the past year.

1.2 Ratios

Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.51%
ROE 1.82%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A

1.3 Margins

Industry RankSector Rank
OM 19.7%
PM (TTM) 1.99%
GM N/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

0

2. STAY Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • There is no outstanding debt for STAY. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.84, we must say that STAY is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.79 is on the high side and indicates that STAY has dependencies on debt financing.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.79
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.84
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A

2.3 Liquidity

  • STAY has a Current Ratio of 0.46. This is a bad value and indicates that STAY is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.46 indicates that STAY may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.46
Quick Ratio 0.46

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. STAY Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for STAY have decreased strongly by -59.30% in the last year.
  • The earnings per share for STAY have been decreasing by -16.92% on average. This is quite bad
  • STAY shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -14.19%.
  • STAY shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -4.10% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-59.3%
EPS 3Y-27.57%
EPS 5Y-16.92%
EPS Q2Q%-42.86%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-14.19%
Revenue growth 3Y-6.68%
Revenue growth 5Y-4.1%
Sales Q2Q%-2.53%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, STAY will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 35.49% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 5.70% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y61.05%
EPS Next 2Y46.61%
EPS Next 3Y39.9%
EPS Next 5Y35.49%
Revenue Next Year12%
Revenue Next 2Y8.4%
Revenue Next 3Y6.99%
Revenue Next 5Y5.7%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
STAY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSTAY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
STAY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSTAY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.5 1 1.5

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2

4. STAY Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 58.46, which means the current valuation is very expensive for STAY.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.46, STAY is valued quite expensively.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 25.05, the valuation of STAY can be described as expensive.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of STAY to the average of the S&P500 Index (24.65), we can say STAY is valued inline with the index average.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 58.46
Fwd PE 25.05
STAY Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSTAY Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40 50

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 14.42
STAY Per share dataSTAY EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as STAY's earnings are expected to grow with 39.90% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.96
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y46.61%
EPS Next 3Y39.9%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

2

5. STAY Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • STAY has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.76%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • STAY's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.76%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of STAY decreases each year by -9.61%.
  • STAY has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-9.61%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
STAY Yearly Dividends per shareSTAY Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0.5 1 1.5 2

5.3 Sustainability

DP0%
EPS Next 2Y46.61%
EPS Next 3Y39.9%

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STAY Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

Extended Stay America Inc

NASDAQ:STAY (6/15/2021, 8:00:00 PM)

After market: 20.46 0 (0%)

20.46

0 (0%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)N/A
Earnings (Next)N/A
Inst Owners0%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners1.77%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap3.74B
Revenue(TTM)1.04B
Net Income(TTM)20.63M
Analysts56.6
Price Target20.78 (1.56%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.76%
Yearly Dividend0.36
Dividend Growth(5Y)-9.61%
DP0%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)N/A
PT rev (3m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)N/A
EPS NY rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (3m)N/A
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 58.46
Fwd PE 25.05
P/S 3.61
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 3.3
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 14.42
EPS(TTM)0.35
EY1.71%
EPS(NY)0.82
Fwd EY3.99%
FCF(TTM)N/A
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)N/A
OCFYN/A
SpS5.66
BVpS6.21
TBVpSN/A
PEG (NY)0.96
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.51%
ROE 1.82%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM 19.7%
PM (TTM) 1.99%
GM N/A
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y0%
ROICexgc growth 5Y0%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.26
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.79
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.46
Quick Ratio 0.46
Altman-Z 0.84
F-Score6
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-59.3%
EPS 3Y-27.57%
EPS 5Y-16.92%
EPS Q2Q%-42.86%
EPS Next Y61.05%
EPS Next 2Y46.61%
EPS Next 3Y39.9%
EPS Next 5Y35.49%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-14.19%
Revenue growth 3Y-6.68%
Revenue growth 5Y-4.1%
Sales Q2Q%-2.53%
Revenue Next Year12%
Revenue Next 2Y8.4%
Revenue Next 3Y6.99%
Revenue Next 5Y5.7%
EBIT growth 1YN/A
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1YN/A
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1YN/A
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

Extended Stay America Inc / STAY FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for STAY stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to STAY.


What is the valuation status of Extended Stay America Inc (STAY) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to Extended Stay America Inc (STAY). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of STAY stock?

Extended Stay America Inc (STAY) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What is the valuation of Extended Stay America Inc based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for Extended Stay America Inc (STAY) is 58.46 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 3.3.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for STAY stock?

The dividend rating of Extended Stay America Inc (STAY) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.