SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:SPG • US8288061091
Current stock price
189.33 USD
+2.51 (+1.34%)
At close:
189.33 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This SPG fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. SPG Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- SPG had positive earnings in the past year.
- SPG had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- Each year in the past 5 years SPG has been profitable.
- SPG had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of SPG (11.39%) is better than 99.19% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 88.79%, SPG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 6.94%, SPG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 97.56% of the companies in the same industry.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for SPG is above the industry average of 3.11%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 11.39% | ||
| ROE | 88.79% | ||
| ROIC | 6.94% |
ROA(3y)8.45%
ROA(5y)7.69%
ROE(3y)81.56%
ROE(5y)75.91%
ROIC(3y)7.61%
ROIC(5y)7.22%
1.3 Margins
- SPG has a better Profit Margin (72.66%) than 98.37% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of SPG has grown nicely.
- SPG's Operating Margin of 49.89% is amongst the best of the industry. SPG outperforms 91.87% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SPG has grown nicely.
- SPG has a Gross Margin of 81.90%. This is amongst the best in the industry. SPG outperforms 82.93% of its industry peers.
- SPG's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 49.89% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 72.66% | ||
| GM | 81.9% |
OM growth 3Y0.72%
OM growth 5Y3.12%
PM growth 3Y21.64%
PM growth 5Y24.72%
GM growth 3Y0.33%
GM growth 5Y0.28%
2. SPG Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- SPG has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
- SPG has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, SPG has less shares outstanding
- Compared to 1 year ago, SPG has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- SPG has an Altman-Z score of 1.22. This is a bad value and indicates that SPG is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- SPG has a better Altman-Z score (1.22) than 82.93% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of SPG is 8.88, which is on the high side as it means it would take SPG, 8.88 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 8.88, SPG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 91.87% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 5.46 is on the high side and indicates that SPG has dependencies on debt financing.
- SPG's Debt to Equity ratio of 5.46 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. SPG is outperformed by 84.55% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.46 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.88 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.22 |
ROIC/WACC0.98
WACC7.1%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 0.39 indicates that SPG may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- With a Current ratio value of 0.39, SPG is not doing good in the industry: 83.74% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- SPG has a Quick Ratio of 0.39. This is a bad value and indicates that SPG is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- SPG has a worse Quick ratio (0.39) than 80.49% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.39 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.39 |
3. SPG Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for SPG have decreased strongly by -27.55% in the last year.
- SPG shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 6.38% yearly.
- SPG shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 6.72%.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.67% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.55%
EPS 3Y-6.91%
EPS 5Y6.38%
EPS Q2Q%-78.92%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.72%
Revenue growth 3Y6.35%
Revenue growth 5Y6.67%
Sales Q2Q%14.52%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 7.21% on average over the next years.
- SPG is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.94% yearly.
EPS Next Y51.73%
EPS Next 2Y24.78%
EPS Next 3Y9.83%
EPS Next 5Y7.21%
Revenue Next Year10.35%
Revenue Next 2Y6.76%
Revenue Next 3Y6.93%
Revenue Next 5Y4.94%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. SPG Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 35.99, the valuation of SPG can be described as expensive.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as SPG.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.96. SPG is valued slightly more expensive when compared to this.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.72 indicates a rather expensive valuation of SPG.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, SPG is valued cheaply inside the industry as 90.24% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of SPG to the average of the S&P500 Index (24.04), we can say SPG is valued inline with the index average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 35.99 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.72 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of SPG indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: SPG is more expensive than 77.24% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, SPG is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 79.67% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 19.21 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 18.84 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- The excellent profitability rating of SPG may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.7
PEG (5Y)5.64
EPS Next 2Y24.78%
EPS Next 3Y9.83%
5. SPG Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.69%, SPG is a good candidate for dividend investing.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 7.30, SPG has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
- SPG's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.91.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.69% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of SPG grows each year by 13.52%, which is quite nice.
- SPG has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- SPG has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)13.52%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
- SPG pays out 60.42% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
- SPG's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP60.42%
EPS Next 2Y24.78%
EPS Next 3Y9.83%
SPG Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
189.33
+2.51 (+1.34%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorReal Estate
GICS IndustryGroupEquity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
GICS IndustryDiversified REITs
Earnings (Last)02-02 2026-02-02/amc
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners93.1%
Inst Owner Change-3.84%
Ins Owners0.15%
Ins Owner Change1.32%
Market Cap61.52B
Revenue(TTM)6.36B
Net Income(TTM)4.62B
Analysts74.62
Price Target206.09 (8.85%)
Short Float %1.73%
Short Ratio3.38
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.69% |
Yearly Dividend8.58
Dividend Growth(5Y)13.52%
DP60.42%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date03-10 2026-03-10 (2.2)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-34.53%
Min EPS beat(2)-78.67%
Max EPS beat(2)9.62%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-18.58%
Min EPS beat(4)-78.67%
Max EPS beat(4)9.62%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-2.09%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)1.29%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)3.31%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)4.44%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.39%
Max Revenue beat(2)7.5%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.15%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.94%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.5%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.76%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.49%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.09%
PT rev (1m)1.17%
PT rev (3m)3.72%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-3.62%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-4.65%
EPS NY rev (1m)12.24%
EPS NY rev (3m)13.25%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.39%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)5.94%
Revenue NY rev (1m)4.64%
Revenue NY rev (3m)6.08%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 35.99 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.72 | ||
| P/S | 9.67 | ||
| P/FCF | 19.21 | ||
| P/OCF | 14.87 | ||
| P/B | 11.81 | ||
| P/tB | 11.81 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 18.84 |
EPS(TTM)5.26
EY2.78%
EPS(NY)7.98
Fwd EY4.22%
FCF(TTM)9.85
FCFY5.2%
OCF(TTM)12.73
OCFY6.72%
SpS19.59
BVpS16.03
TBVpS16.03
PEG (NY)0.7
PEG (5Y)5.64
Graham Number43.55
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 11.39% | ||
| ROE | 88.79% | ||
| ROCE | 8.78% | ||
| ROIC | 6.94% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.1% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.52% | ||
| OM | 49.89% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 72.66% | ||
| GM | 81.9% | ||
| FCFM | 50.31% |
ROA(3y)8.45%
ROA(5y)7.69%
ROE(3y)81.56%
ROE(5y)75.91%
ROIC(3y)7.61%
ROIC(5y)7.22%
ROICexc(3y)7.91%
ROICexc(5y)7.45%
ROICexgc(3y)8.05%
ROICexgc(5y)7.54%
ROCE(3y)9.63%
ROCE(5y)9.14%
ROICexgc growth 3Y1.84%
ROICexgc growth 5Y7.57%
ROICexc growth 3Y-0.05%
ROICexc growth 5Y6.38%
OM growth 3Y0.72%
OM growth 5Y3.12%
PM growth 3Y21.64%
PM growth 5Y24.72%
GM growth 3Y0.33%
GM growth 5Y0.28%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.16
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.46 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.88 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 6.01 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 60.11% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 14.68% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.36 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 87.46% | ||
| Profit Quality | 69.25% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.39 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.39 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.22 |
F-Score5
WACC7.1%
ROIC/WACC0.98
Cap/Depr(3y)58.39%
Cap/Depr(5y)53.06%
Cap/Sales(3y)13.79%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.79%
Profit Quality(3y)112.03%
Profit Quality(5y)124.08%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.55%
EPS 3Y-6.91%
EPS 5Y6.38%
EPS Q2Q%-78.92%
EPS Next Y51.73%
EPS Next 2Y24.78%
EPS Next 3Y9.83%
EPS Next 5Y7.21%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.72%
Revenue growth 3Y6.35%
Revenue growth 5Y6.67%
Sales Q2Q%14.52%
Revenue Next Year10.35%
Revenue Next 2Y6.76%
Revenue Next 3Y6.93%
Revenue Next 5Y4.94%
EBIT growth 1Y2.67%
EBIT growth 3Y7.12%
EBIT growth 5Y10%
EBIT Next Year58.78%
EBIT Next 3Y19.01%
EBIT Next 5Y12.15%
FCF growth 1Y4.68%
FCF growth 3Y0.91%
FCF growth 5Y11.69%
OCF growth 1Y8.44%
OCF growth 3Y3.17%
OCF growth 5Y12.2%
SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC / SPG Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to SPG.
Can you provide the valuation status for SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of SPG stock?
SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for SPG stock?
The financial health rating of SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG) is 4 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for SPG stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG) is expected to grow by 51.73% in the next year.