SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:SPG • US8288061091
Current stock price
188.67 USD
+0.58 (+0.31%)
At close:
188.67 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This SPG fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. SPG Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year SPG was profitable.
- SPG had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- In the past 5 years SPG has always been profitable.
- SPG had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of SPG (11.39%) is better than 99.18% of its industry peers.
- SPG has a Return On Equity of 88.79%. This is amongst the best in the industry. SPG outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
- SPG has a Return On Invested Capital of 6.94%. This is amongst the best in the industry. SPG outperforms 97.54% of its industry peers.
- SPG had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 7.61%. This is above the industry average of 3.11%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 11.39% | ||
| ROE | 88.79% | ||
| ROIC | 6.94% |
ROA(3y)8.45%
ROA(5y)7.69%
ROE(3y)81.56%
ROE(5y)75.91%
ROIC(3y)7.61%
ROIC(5y)7.22%
1.3 Margins
- SPG's Profit Margin of 72.66% is amongst the best of the industry. SPG outperforms 98.36% of its industry peers.
- SPG's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 49.89%, SPG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 91.80% of the companies in the same industry.
- SPG's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- With an excellent Gross Margin value of 81.90%, SPG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 82.79% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SPG has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 49.89% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 72.66% | ||
| GM | 81.9% |
OM growth 3Y0.72%
OM growth 5Y3.12%
PM growth 3Y21.64%
PM growth 5Y24.72%
GM growth 3Y0.33%
GM growth 5Y0.28%
2. SPG Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so SPG is still creating some value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, SPG has less shares outstanding
- The number of shares outstanding for SPG has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, SPG has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.22, we must say that SPG is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- SPG has a Altman-Z score of 1.22. This is amongst the best in the industry. SPG outperforms 84.43% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of SPG is 8.88, which is on the high side as it means it would take SPG, 8.88 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- SPG's Debt to FCF ratio of 8.88 is amongst the best of the industry. SPG outperforms 91.80% of its industry peers.
- SPG has a Debt/Equity ratio of 5.46. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 5.46, SPG is not doing good in the industry: 84.43% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.46 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.88 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.22 |
ROIC/WACC0.97
WACC7.14%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 0.39 indicates that SPG may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- The Current ratio of SPG (0.39) is worse than 82.79% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.39 indicates that SPG may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- SPG's Quick ratio of 0.39 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. SPG is outperformed by 79.51% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.39 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.39 |
3. SPG Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for SPG have decreased strongly by -27.55% in the last year.
- SPG shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 6.38% yearly.
- Looking at the last year, SPG shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 6.72% in the last year.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.67% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.55%
EPS 3Y-6.91%
EPS 5Y6.38%
EPS Q2Q%-78.92%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.72%
Revenue growth 3Y6.35%
Revenue growth 5Y6.67%
Sales Q2Q%14.52%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, SPG will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 7.21% on average per year.
- Based on estimates for the next years, SPG will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.94% on average per year.
EPS Next Y51.73%
EPS Next 2Y24.78%
EPS Next 3Y9.83%
EPS Next 5Y7.21%
Revenue Next Year10.56%
Revenue Next 2Y6.9%
Revenue Next 3Y6.75%
Revenue Next 5Y4.94%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. SPG Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 35.87, which means the current valuation is very expensive for SPG.
- 62.30% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than SPG, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of SPG to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.60), we can say SPG is valued slightly more expensively.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.64, SPG is valued on the expensive side.
- 86.89% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than SPG, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
- When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of SPG to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.84), we can say SPG is valued inline with the index average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 35.87 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.64 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, SPG is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 78.69% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, SPG is valued a bit cheaper than 79.51% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 19.15 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 18.8 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- SPG's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- SPG has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.69
PEG (5Y)5.62
EPS Next 2Y24.78%
EPS Next 3Y9.83%
5. SPG Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.88%, SPG is a good candidate for dividend investing.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 7.55, SPG has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.90, SPG pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.88% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of SPG is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 13.52%!
- SPG has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- SPG has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)13.52%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
- 60.42% of the earnings are spent on dividend by SPG. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
- The dividend of SPG is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP60.42%
EPS Next 2Y24.78%
EPS Next 3Y9.83%
SPG Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
188.67
+0.58 (+0.31%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorReal Estate
GICS IndustryGroupEquity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
GICS IndustryDiversified REITs
Earnings (Last)02-02 2026-02-02/amc
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners93.1%
Inst Owner Change-3.84%
Ins Owners0.15%
Ins Owner Change1.32%
Market Cap61.31B
Revenue(TTM)6.36B
Net Income(TTM)4.62B
Analysts74.62
Price Target210.01 (11.31%)
Short Float %1.71%
Short Ratio3.07
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.88% |
Yearly Dividend8.58
Dividend Growth(5Y)13.52%
DP60.42%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date03-10 2026-03-10 (2.2)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-34.53%
Min EPS beat(2)-78.67%
Max EPS beat(2)9.62%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-18.58%
Min EPS beat(4)-78.67%
Max EPS beat(4)9.62%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-2.09%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)1.29%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)3.31%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)4.44%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.39%
Max Revenue beat(2)7.5%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.15%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.94%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.5%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.76%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.49%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.09%
PT rev (1m)1.9%
PT rev (3m)5.37%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-3.62%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.83%
EPS NY rev (1m)12.24%
EPS NY rev (3m)13.7%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.39%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)5.57%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.69%
Revenue NY rev (3m)6.12%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 35.87 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.64 | ||
| P/S | 9.63 | ||
| P/FCF | 19.15 | ||
| P/OCF | 14.82 | ||
| P/B | 11.77 | ||
| P/tB | 11.77 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 18.8 |
EPS(TTM)5.26
EY2.79%
EPS(NY)7.98
Fwd EY4.23%
FCF(TTM)9.85
FCFY5.22%
OCF(TTM)12.73
OCFY6.75%
SpS19.59
BVpS16.03
TBVpS16.03
PEG (NY)0.69
PEG (5Y)5.62
Graham Number43.55
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 11.39% | ||
| ROE | 88.79% | ||
| ROCE | 8.78% | ||
| ROIC | 6.94% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.1% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.52% | ||
| OM | 49.89% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 72.66% | ||
| GM | 81.9% | ||
| FCFM | 50.31% |
ROA(3y)8.45%
ROA(5y)7.69%
ROE(3y)81.56%
ROE(5y)75.91%
ROIC(3y)7.61%
ROIC(5y)7.22%
ROICexc(3y)7.91%
ROICexc(5y)7.45%
ROICexgc(3y)8.05%
ROICexgc(5y)7.54%
ROCE(3y)9.63%
ROCE(5y)9.14%
ROICexgc growth 3Y1.84%
ROICexgc growth 5Y7.57%
ROICexc growth 3Y-0.05%
ROICexc growth 5Y6.38%
OM growth 3Y0.72%
OM growth 5Y3.12%
PM growth 3Y21.64%
PM growth 5Y24.72%
GM growth 3Y0.33%
GM growth 5Y0.28%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.16
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.46 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.88 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 6.01 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 60.11% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 14.68% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.36 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 87.46% | ||
| Profit Quality | 69.25% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.39 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.39 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.22 |
F-Score5
WACC7.14%
ROIC/WACC0.97
Cap/Depr(3y)58.39%
Cap/Depr(5y)53.06%
Cap/Sales(3y)13.79%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.79%
Profit Quality(3y)112.03%
Profit Quality(5y)124.08%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.55%
EPS 3Y-6.91%
EPS 5Y6.38%
EPS Q2Q%-78.92%
EPS Next Y51.73%
EPS Next 2Y24.78%
EPS Next 3Y9.83%
EPS Next 5Y7.21%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.72%
Revenue growth 3Y6.35%
Revenue growth 5Y6.67%
Sales Q2Q%14.52%
Revenue Next Year10.56%
Revenue Next 2Y6.9%
Revenue Next 3Y6.75%
Revenue Next 5Y4.94%
EBIT growth 1Y2.67%
EBIT growth 3Y7.12%
EBIT growth 5Y10%
EBIT Next Year58.78%
EBIT Next 3Y19.01%
EBIT Next 5Y12.15%
FCF growth 1Y4.68%
FCF growth 3Y0.91%
FCF growth 5Y11.69%
OCF growth 1Y8.44%
OCF growth 3Y3.17%
OCF growth 5Y12.2%
SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC / SPG Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to SPG.
What is the valuation status of SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG) stock?
SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG) is 35.87 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 11.77.
What is the expected EPS growth for SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG) is expected to grow by 51.73% in the next year.