SUN COUNTRY AIRLINES HOLDING (SNCY) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:SNCY • US8666831057

Current stock price

16.15 USD
-0.29 (-1.76%)
At close:
16.175 USD
+0.03 (+0.15%)
After Hours:

This SNCY fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

7

1. SNCY Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • SNCY had positive earnings in the past year.
  • SNCY had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • SNCY had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years SNCY always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
SNCY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSNCY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50M -50M 100M 150M

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 3.14%, SNCY is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 63.64% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SNCY has a better Return On Equity (8.45%) than 68.18% of its industry peers.
  • SNCY has a Return On Invested Capital (6.30%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for SNCY is significantly below the industry average of 28.18%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.14%
ROE 8.45%
ROIC 6.3%
ROA(3y)3.61%
ROA(5y)3.58%
ROE(3y)10.58%
ROE(5y)10.38%
ROIC(3y)6.98%
ROIC(5y)5.47%
SNCY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSNCY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 10 15

1.3 Margins

  • SNCY has a Profit Margin of 4.69%. This is in the better half of the industry: SNCY outperforms 63.64% of its industry peers.
  • SNCY's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • SNCY has a better Operating Margin (9.09%) than 77.27% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SNCY has grown nicely.
  • SNCY has a Gross Margin of 64.21%. This is in the better half of the industry: SNCY outperforms 72.73% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SNCY has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 9.09%
PM (TTM) 4.69%
GM 64.21%
OM growth 3Y13.45%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y33.29%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y3.03%
GM growth 5Y2.45%
SNCY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSNCY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40 60

5

2. SNCY Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so SNCY is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, SNCY has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
  • SNCY has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, SNCY has an improved debt to assets ratio.
SNCY Yearly Shares OutstandingSNCY Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10M 20M 30M 40M 50M
SNCY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSNCY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.49, we must say that SNCY is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • The Altman-Z score of SNCY (1.49) is better than 68.18% of its industry peers.
  • SNCY has a debt to FCF ratio of 6.84. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as SNCY would need 6.84 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • SNCY has a Debt to FCF ratio of 6.84. This is amongst the best in the industry. SNCY outperforms 81.82% of its industry peers.
  • SNCY has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.71. This is a neutral value indicating SNCY is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • SNCY has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.71. This is in the better half of the industry: SNCY outperforms 72.73% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.71
Debt/FCF 6.84
Altman-Z 1.49
ROIC/WACC0.69
WACC9.13%
SNCY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSNCY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M 400M 600M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.82 indicates that SNCY may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • SNCY has a better Current ratio (0.82) than 86.36% of its industry peers.
  • SNCY has a Quick Ratio of 0.82. This is a bad value and indicates that SNCY is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • SNCY has a better Quick ratio (0.79) than 86.36% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.82
Quick Ratio 0.79
SNCY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSNCY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M

7

3. SNCY Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 4.76% over the past year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 37.84% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
  • Looking at the last year, SNCY shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 4.74% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 22.92% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)4.76%
EPS 3Y37.84%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-37.04%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.74%
Revenue growth 3Y8%
Revenue growth 5Y22.92%
Sales Q2Q%7.89%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 30.18% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • Based on estimates for the next years, SNCY will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 9.01% on average per year.
EPS Next Y25.44%
EPS Next 2Y36.58%
EPS Next 3Y30.18%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year10.87%
Revenue Next 2Y9.18%
Revenue Next 3Y9.01%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
SNCY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSNCY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 500M 1B
SNCY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSNCY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0.5 1 1.5 2

7

4. SNCY Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 14.68, the valuation of SNCY can be described as correct.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, SNCY is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 72.73% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.91. SNCY is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.70 indicates a reasonable valuation of SNCY.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as SNCY.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 21.99. SNCY is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.68
Fwd PE 11.7
SNCY Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSNCY Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • SNCY's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, SNCY is valued cheaply inside the industry as 81.82% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 10.42
EV/EBITDA 5.67
SNCY Per share dataSNCY EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • SNCY's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • The decent profitability rating of SNCY may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • SNCY's earnings are expected to grow with 30.18% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.58
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y36.58%
EPS Next 3Y30.18%

0

5. SNCY Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • SNCY does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

SNCY Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

SUN COUNTRY AIRLINES HOLDING

NASDAQ:SNCY (4/28/2026, 4:30:03 PM)

After market: 16.175 +0.03 (+0.15%)

16.15

-0.29 (-1.76%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryPassenger Airlines
Earnings (Last)02-05
Earnings (Next)04-29
Inst Owners114.07%
Inst Owner Change3.22%
Ins Owners4.13%
Ins Owner Change8.5%
Market Cap875.17M
Revenue(TTM)1.13B
Net Income(TTM)52.81M
Analysts75.71
Price Target20.91 (29.47%)
Short Float %7.2%
Short Ratio4.5
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)13.23%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.86%
Max EPS beat(2)27.32%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)10.45%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.86%
Max EPS beat(4)27.32%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)11.64%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)21.24%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)20.73%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.57%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.92%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.79%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.77%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.91%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.95%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.6%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.32%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.12%
PT rev (1m)1.77%
PT rev (3m)8.61%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-7.79%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.58%
EPS NY rev (1m)-15.24%
EPS NY rev (3m)-16.4%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.01%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.21%
Revenue NY rev (1m)2.51%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.1%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.68
Fwd PE 11.7
P/S 0.78
P/FCF 10.42
P/OCF 5.57
P/B 1.4
P/tB 2.65
EV/EBITDA 5.67
EPS(TTM)1.1
EY6.81%
EPS(NY)1.38
Fwd EY8.54%
FCF(TTM)1.55
FCFY9.6%
OCF(TTM)2.9
OCFY17.95%
SpS20.79
BVpS11.54
TBVpS6.08
PEG (NY)0.58
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number16.8975 (4.63%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.14%
ROE 8.45%
ROCE 8.33%
ROIC 6.3%
ROICexc 7.79%
ROICexgc 11.08%
OM 9.09%
PM (TTM) 4.69%
GM 64.21%
FCFM 7.45%
ROA(3y)3.61%
ROA(5y)3.58%
ROE(3y)10.58%
ROE(5y)10.38%
ROIC(3y)6.98%
ROIC(5y)5.47%
ROICexc(3y)8.37%
ROICexc(5y)6.75%
ROICexgc(3y)11.92%
ROICexgc(5y)9.9%
ROCE(3y)9.23%
ROCE(5y)7.23%
ROICexgc growth 3Y14.37%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y17.45%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y13.45%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y33.29%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y3.03%
GM growth 5Y2.45%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.67
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.71
Debt/FCF 6.84
Debt/EBITDA 2.21
Cap/Depr 73.96%
Cap/Sales 6.49%
Interest Coverage 2.93
Cash Conversion 78.03%
Profit Quality 159.02%
Current Ratio 0.82
Quick Ratio 0.79
Altman-Z 1.49
F-Score7
WACC9.13%
ROIC/WACC0.69
Cap/Depr(3y)122.26%
Cap/Depr(5y)171.28%
Cap/Sales(3y)10.56%
Cap/Sales(5y)14.27%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)4.76%
EPS 3Y37.84%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-37.04%
EPS Next Y25.44%
EPS Next 2Y36.58%
EPS Next 3Y30.18%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.74%
Revenue growth 3Y8%
Revenue growth 5Y22.92%
Sales Q2Q%7.89%
Revenue Next Year10.87%
Revenue Next 2Y9.18%
Revenue Next 3Y9.01%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-2.92%
EBIT growth 3Y22.53%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year107.61%
EBIT Next 3Y40.09%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-28.55%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-4.7%
OCF growth 3Y7.24%
OCF growth 5Y230.24%

SUN COUNTRY AIRLINES HOLDING / SNCY Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for SUN COUNTRY AIRLINES HOLDING?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to SNCY.


Can you provide the valuation status for SUN COUNTRY AIRLINES HOLDING?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to SUN COUNTRY AIRLINES HOLDING (SNCY). This can be considered as Undervalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for SUN COUNTRY AIRLINES HOLDING?

SUN COUNTRY AIRLINES HOLDING (SNCY) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


What is the financial health of SUN COUNTRY AIRLINES HOLDING (SNCY) stock?

The financial health rating of SUN COUNTRY AIRLINES HOLDING (SNCY) is 5 / 10.