SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC (SMCI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:SMCI • US86800U3023
Current stock price
26.32 USD
-0.93 (-3.41%)
At close:
26.6 USD
+0.28 (+1.06%)
After Hours:
This SMCI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. SMCI Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year SMCI was profitable.
- In the past year SMCI had a positive cash flow from operations.
- SMCI had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- In multiple years SMCI reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- With a decent Return On Assets value of 3.12%, SMCI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 72.97% of the companies in the same industry.
- With an excellent Return On Equity value of 12.48%, SMCI belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.78% of the companies in the same industry.
- With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 7.44%, SMCI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 72.97% of the companies in the same industry.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for SMCI is above the industry average of 15.09%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (18.19%) for SMCI is well above the current ROIC(7.44%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.12% | ||
| ROE | 12.48% | ||
| ROIC | 7.44% |
ROA(3y)12.21%
ROA(5y)10.1%
ROE(3y)23.46%
ROE(5y)20.12%
ROIC(3y)18.19%
ROIC(5y)16.22%
1.3 Margins
- SMCI has a Profit Margin of 3.11%. This is in the better half of the industry: SMCI outperforms 72.97% of its industry peers.
- SMCI's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- SMCI has a Operating Margin of 3.68%. This is in the better half of the industry: SMCI outperforms 67.57% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SMCI has grown nicely.
- SMCI has a worse Gross Margin (8.02%) than 78.38% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SMCI has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.68% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.11% | ||
| GM | 8.02% |
OM growth 3Y-4.21%
OM growth 5Y17.33%
PM growth 3Y-4.54%
PM growth 5Y13.59%
GM growth 3Y-10.44%
GM growth 5Y-6.84%
2. SMCI Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so SMCI is creating value.
- SMCI has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, SMCI has more shares outstanding
- The debt/assets ratio for SMCI is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 2.25 indicates that SMCI is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- SMCI has a Altman-Z score of 2.25. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: SMCI outperforms 59.46% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of SMCI is 11.08, which is on the high side as it means it would take SMCI, 11.08 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- SMCI has a Debt to FCF ratio of 11.08. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: SMCI outperforms 54.05% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.67 indicates that SMCI is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
- With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.67, SMCI perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 45.95% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.67 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 11.08 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.25 |
ROIC/WACC0.99
WACC7.5%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.70 indicates that SMCI should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- SMCI has a Current ratio (1.70) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- SMCI has a Quick Ratio of 1.01. This is a normal value and indicates that SMCI is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- With a Quick ratio value of 1.01, SMCI perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 51.35% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.7 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.01 |
3. SMCI Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for SMCI have decreased strongly by -33.16% in the last year.
- SMCI shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 50.41% yearly.
- SMCI shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 34.76%.
- SMCI shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 45.76% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-33.16%
EPS 3Y54.17%
EPS 5Y50.41%
EPS Q2Q%14.43%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)34.76%
Revenue growth 3Y61.71%
Revenue growth 5Y45.76%
Sales Q2Q%123.36%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, SMCI will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 12.33% on average per year.
- Based on estimates for the next years, SMCI will show a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 24.74% on average per year.
EPS Next Y10.88%
EPS Next 2Y21.97%
EPS Next 3Y21.47%
EPS Next 5Y12.33%
Revenue Next Year86.95%
Revenue Next 2Y50.7%
Revenue Next 3Y36.51%
Revenue Next 5Y24.74%
3.3 Evolution
- The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
- Although the future Revenue growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
4. SMCI Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 14.95, the valuation of SMCI can be described as correct.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, SMCI is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 78.38% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.54. SMCI is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.58, the valuation of SMCI can be described as reasonable.
- SMCI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. SMCI is cheaper than 89.19% of the companies in the same industry.
- SMCI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 21.68.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14.95 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.58 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- SMCI's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. SMCI is cheaper than 72.97% of the companies in the same industry.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, SMCI is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 62.16% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 35.91 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.79 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- SMCI's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- The decent profitability rating of SMCI may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as SMCI's earnings are expected to grow with 21.47% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.37
PEG (5Y)0.3
EPS Next 2Y21.97%
EPS Next 3Y21.47%
5. SMCI Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- SMCI does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
SMCI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
26.32
-0.93 (-3.41%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorInformation Technology
GICS IndustryGroupTechnology Hardware & Equipment
GICS IndustryTechnology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals
Industry Strength62.73
Industry Growth76.4
Earnings (Last)02-03 2026-02-03/amc
Earnings (Next)05-05 2026-05-05/amc
Inst Owners56.31%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners11.31%
Ins Owner Change0.32%
Market Cap15.80B
Revenue(TTM)28.06B
Net Income(TTM)872.78M
Analysts67.69
Price Target35.46 (34.73%)
Short Float %16.78%
Short Ratio2.4
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)11.9%
Min EPS beat(2)-14.88%
Max EPS beat(2)38.67%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-5.97%
Min EPS beat(4)-39.29%
Max EPS beat(4)38.67%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-5.8%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-1.28%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)5.56%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.77%
Min Revenue beat(2)-17.98%
Max Revenue beat(2)21.51%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-4.36%
Min Revenue beat(4)-17.98%
Max Revenue beat(4)21.51%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-4.19%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.57%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.27%
PT rev (1m)-16.47%
PT rev (3m)-24.09%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.95%
EPS NQ rev (3m)14.44%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.86%
EPS NY rev (3m)8.85%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.87%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)22%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.91%
Revenue NY rev (3m)14.99%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14.95 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.58 | ||
| P/S | 0.56 | ||
| P/FCF | 35.91 | ||
| P/OCF | 28.79 | ||
| P/B | 2.26 | ||
| P/tB | 2.26 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.79 |
EPS(TTM)1.76
EY6.69%
EPS(NY)3.07
Fwd EY11.66%
FCF(TTM)0.73
FCFY2.78%
OCF(TTM)0.91
OCFY3.47%
SpS46.72
BVpS11.64
TBVpS11.64
PEG (NY)1.37
PEG (5Y)0.3
Graham Number21.4733 (-18.41%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.12% | ||
| ROE | 12.48% | ||
| ROCE | 8.19% | ||
| ROIC | 7.44% | ||
| ROICexc | 11.02% | ||
| ROICexgc | 11.02% | ||
| OM | 3.68% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.11% | ||
| GM | 8.02% | ||
| FCFM | 1.57% |
ROA(3y)12.21%
ROA(5y)10.1%
ROE(3y)23.46%
ROE(5y)20.12%
ROIC(3y)18.19%
ROIC(5y)16.22%
ROICexc(3y)24.56%
ROICexc(5y)21.08%
ROICexgc(3y)24.56%
ROICexgc(5y)21.08%
ROCE(3y)20%
ROCE(5y)17.84%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-5.7%
ROICexgc growth 5Y17.61%
ROICexc growth 3Y-5.7%
ROICexc growth 5Y17.61%
OM growth 3Y-4.21%
OM growth 5Y17.33%
PM growth 3Y-4.54%
PM growth 5Y13.59%
GM growth 3Y-10.44%
GM growth 5Y-6.84%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover1
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.67 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 11.08 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 4.3 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 198.9% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 0.39% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 21.97 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 50.53% | ||
| Profit Quality | 50.42% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.7 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.01 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.25 |
F-Score4
WACC7.5%
ROIC/WACC0.99
Cap/Depr(3y)208.9%
Cap/Depr(5y)194.33%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.64%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.88%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-33.16%
EPS 3Y54.17%
EPS 5Y50.41%
EPS Q2Q%14.43%
EPS Next Y10.88%
EPS Next 2Y21.97%
EPS Next 3Y21.47%
EPS Next 5Y12.33%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)34.76%
Revenue growth 3Y61.71%
Revenue growth 5Y45.76%
Sales Q2Q%123.36%
Revenue Next Year86.95%
Revenue Next 2Y50.7%
Revenue Next 3Y36.51%
Revenue Next 5Y24.74%
EBIT growth 1Y-33.21%
EBIT growth 3Y54.89%
EBIT growth 5Y71.02%
EBIT Next Year23.54%
EBIT Next 3Y30.06%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y360.06%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y504.5%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A
SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC / SMCI Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to SMCI.
What is the valuation status for SMCI stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC (SMCI). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC (SMCI) stock?
SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC (SMCI) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
How financially healthy is SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC?
The financial health rating of SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC (SMCI) is 3 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for SMCI stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC (SMCI) is expected to grow by 10.88% in the next year.