SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC (SMCI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:SMCI • US86800U3023
Current stock price
27.09 USD
-0.31 (-1.13%)
At close:
27.1798 USD
+0.09 (+0.33%)
After Hours:
This SMCI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. SMCI Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year SMCI was profitable.
- SMCI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- Each year in the past 5 years SMCI has been profitable.
- In multiple years SMCI reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of SMCI (3.12%) is better than 72.97% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 12.48%, SMCI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.78% of the companies in the same industry.
- SMCI has a better Return On Invested Capital (7.44%) than 72.97% of its industry peers.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for SMCI is above the industry average of 15.34%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (7.44%) for SMCI is well below the 3 year average (18.19%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that SMCI had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.12% | ||
| ROE | 12.48% | ||
| ROIC | 7.44% |
ROA(3y)12.21%
ROA(5y)10.1%
ROE(3y)23.46%
ROE(5y)20.12%
ROIC(3y)18.19%
ROIC(5y)16.22%
1.3 Margins
- SMCI has a Profit Margin of 3.11%. This is in the better half of the industry: SMCI outperforms 72.97% of its industry peers.
- SMCI's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- SMCI has a better Operating Margin (3.68%) than 67.57% of its industry peers.
- SMCI's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- With a Gross Margin value of 8.02%, SMCI is not doing good in the industry: 78.38% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SMCI has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.68% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.11% | ||
| GM | 8.02% |
OM growth 3Y-4.21%
OM growth 5Y17.33%
PM growth 3Y-4.54%
PM growth 5Y13.59%
GM growth 3Y-10.44%
GM growth 5Y-6.84%
2. SMCI Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so SMCI is creating value.
- SMCI has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, SMCI has more shares outstanding
- SMCI has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 2.25 indicates that SMCI is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- SMCI has a Altman-Z score (2.25) which is in line with its industry peers.
- SMCI has a debt to FCF ratio of 11.08. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as SMCI would need 11.08 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- SMCI has a Debt to FCF ratio (11.08) which is in line with its industry peers.
- SMCI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.67. This is a neutral value indicating SMCI is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
- Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.67, SMCI is in line with its industry, outperforming 45.95% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.67 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 11.08 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.25 |
ROIC/WACC0.98
WACC7.56%
2.3 Liquidity
- SMCI has a Current Ratio of 1.70. This is a normal value and indicates that SMCI is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- SMCI has a Current ratio (1.70) which is in line with its industry peers.
- SMCI has a Quick Ratio of 1.01. This is a normal value and indicates that SMCI is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- SMCI has a Quick ratio (1.01) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.7 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.01 |
3. SMCI Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for SMCI have decreased strongly by -33.16% in the last year.
- SMCI shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 50.41% yearly.
- The Revenue has grown by 34.76% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
- Measured over the past years, SMCI shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 45.76% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-33.16%
EPS 3Y54.17%
EPS 5Y50.41%
EPS Q2Q%14.43%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)34.76%
Revenue growth 3Y61.71%
Revenue growth 5Y45.76%
Sales Q2Q%123.36%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 12.33% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
- Based on estimates for the next years, SMCI will show a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 24.74% on average per year.
EPS Next Y10.88%
EPS Next 2Y21.97%
EPS Next 3Y21.47%
EPS Next 5Y12.33%
Revenue Next Year86.95%
Revenue Next 2Y50.7%
Revenue Next 3Y36.51%
Revenue Next 5Y24.74%
3.3 Evolution
- Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
- Although the future Revenue growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
4. SMCI Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- A Price/Earnings ratio of 15.39 indicates a correct valuation of SMCI.
- SMCI's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. SMCI is cheaper than 78.38% of the companies in the same industry.
- SMCI is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.64, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- SMCI is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.83.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, SMCI is valued cheaply inside the industry as 86.49% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.36, SMCI is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.39 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.83 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- 72.97% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than SMCI, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
- SMCI's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. SMCI is cheaper than 62.16% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 36.96 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.87 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- SMCI's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- SMCI has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- SMCI's earnings are expected to grow with 21.47% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.41
PEG (5Y)0.31
EPS Next 2Y21.97%
EPS Next 3Y21.47%
5. SMCI Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- No dividends for SMCI!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
SMCI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
27.09
-0.31 (-1.13%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorInformation Technology
GICS IndustryGroupTechnology Hardware & Equipment
GICS IndustryTechnology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals
Industry Strength67.08
Industry Growth74.53
Earnings (Last)02-03 2026-02-03/amc
Earnings (Next)05-05 2026-05-05/amc
Inst Owners56.31%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners11.31%
Ins Owner Change0.32%
Market Cap16.27B
Revenue(TTM)28.06B
Net Income(TTM)872.78M
Analysts67.69
Price Target35.1 (29.57%)
Short Float %16.78%
Short Ratio2.4
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)11.9%
Min EPS beat(2)-14.88%
Max EPS beat(2)38.67%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-5.97%
Min EPS beat(4)-39.29%
Max EPS beat(4)38.67%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-5.8%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-1.28%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)5.56%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.77%
Min Revenue beat(2)-17.98%
Max Revenue beat(2)21.51%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-4.36%
Min Revenue beat(4)-17.98%
Max Revenue beat(4)21.51%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-4.19%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.57%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.27%
PT rev (1m)-16.47%
PT rev (3m)-24.09%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.95%
EPS NQ rev (3m)14.44%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.86%
EPS NY rev (3m)8.85%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.87%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)22%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.91%
Revenue NY rev (3m)14.99%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.39 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.83 | ||
| P/S | 0.58 | ||
| P/FCF | 36.96 | ||
| P/OCF | 29.63 | ||
| P/B | 2.33 | ||
| P/tB | 2.33 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.87 |
EPS(TTM)1.76
EY6.5%
EPS(NY)3.07
Fwd EY11.33%
FCF(TTM)0.73
FCFY2.71%
OCF(TTM)0.91
OCFY3.37%
SpS46.72
BVpS11.64
TBVpS11.64
PEG (NY)1.41
PEG (5Y)0.31
Graham Number21.4733 (-20.73%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.12% | ||
| ROE | 12.48% | ||
| ROCE | 8.19% | ||
| ROIC | 7.44% | ||
| ROICexc | 11.02% | ||
| ROICexgc | 11.02% | ||
| OM | 3.68% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.11% | ||
| GM | 8.02% | ||
| FCFM | 1.57% |
ROA(3y)12.21%
ROA(5y)10.1%
ROE(3y)23.46%
ROE(5y)20.12%
ROIC(3y)18.19%
ROIC(5y)16.22%
ROICexc(3y)24.56%
ROICexc(5y)21.08%
ROICexgc(3y)24.56%
ROICexgc(5y)21.08%
ROCE(3y)20%
ROCE(5y)17.84%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-5.7%
ROICexgc growth 5Y17.61%
ROICexc growth 3Y-5.7%
ROICexc growth 5Y17.61%
OM growth 3Y-4.21%
OM growth 5Y17.33%
PM growth 3Y-4.54%
PM growth 5Y13.59%
GM growth 3Y-10.44%
GM growth 5Y-6.84%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover1
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.67 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 11.08 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 4.3 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 198.9% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 0.39% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 21.97 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 50.53% | ||
| Profit Quality | 50.42% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.7 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.01 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.25 |
F-Score4
WACC7.56%
ROIC/WACC0.98
Cap/Depr(3y)208.9%
Cap/Depr(5y)194.33%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.64%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.88%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-33.16%
EPS 3Y54.17%
EPS 5Y50.41%
EPS Q2Q%14.43%
EPS Next Y10.88%
EPS Next 2Y21.97%
EPS Next 3Y21.47%
EPS Next 5Y12.33%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)34.76%
Revenue growth 3Y61.71%
Revenue growth 5Y45.76%
Sales Q2Q%123.36%
Revenue Next Year86.95%
Revenue Next 2Y50.7%
Revenue Next 3Y36.51%
Revenue Next 5Y24.74%
EBIT growth 1Y-33.21%
EBIT growth 3Y54.89%
EBIT growth 5Y71.02%
EBIT Next Year23.54%
EBIT Next 3Y30.06%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y360.06%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y504.5%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A
SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC / SMCI Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to SMCI.
What is the valuation status for SMCI stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC (SMCI). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC (SMCI) stock?
SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC (SMCI) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
How financially healthy is SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC?
The financial health rating of SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC (SMCI) is 3 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for SMCI stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC (SMCI) is expected to grow by 10.88% in the next year.