SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC (SMCI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:SMCI • US86800U3023
Current stock price
20.53 USD
-10.26 (-33.32%)
At close:
20.56 USD
+0.03 (+0.15%)
Pre-Market:
This SMCI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. SMCI Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year SMCI was profitable.
- In the past year SMCI had a positive cash flow from operations.
- SMCI had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- In multiple years SMCI reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- SMCI has a Return On Assets of 3.12%. This is in the better half of the industry: SMCI outperforms 72.97% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Equity of SMCI (12.48%) is better than 83.78% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Invested Capital of SMCI (7.44%) is better than 72.97% of its industry peers.
- SMCI had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 18.19%. This is above the industry average of 15.72%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (18.19%) for SMCI is well above the current ROIC(7.44%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.12% | ||
| ROE | 12.48% | ||
| ROIC | 7.44% |
ROA(3y)12.21%
ROA(5y)10.1%
ROE(3y)23.46%
ROE(5y)20.12%
ROIC(3y)18.19%
ROIC(5y)16.22%
1.3 Margins
- Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 3.11%, SMCI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 72.97% of the companies in the same industry.
- SMCI's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- SMCI has a better Operating Margin (3.68%) than 67.57% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SMCI has grown nicely.
- SMCI has a worse Gross Margin (8.02%) than 72.97% of its industry peers.
- SMCI's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.68% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.11% | ||
| GM | 8.02% |
OM growth 3Y-4.21%
OM growth 5Y17.33%
PM growth 3Y-4.54%
PM growth 5Y13.59%
GM growth 3Y-10.44%
GM growth 5Y-6.84%
2. SMCI Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- SMCI has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
- SMCI has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, SMCI has more shares outstanding
- Compared to 1 year ago, SMCI has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- SMCI has an Altman-Z score of 2.14. This is not the best score and indicates that SMCI is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- SMCI has a Altman-Z score (2.14) which is in line with its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of SMCI is 11.08, which is on the high side as it means it would take SMCI, 11.08 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- SMCI has a Debt to FCF ratio (11.08) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.67 indicates that SMCI is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
- Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.67, SMCI is in line with its industry, outperforming 48.65% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.67 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 11.08 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.14 |
ROIC/WACC1.03
WACC7.2%
2.3 Liquidity
- SMCI has a Current Ratio of 1.70. This is a normal value and indicates that SMCI is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- SMCI has a Current ratio (1.70) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- SMCI has a Quick Ratio of 1.01. This is a normal value and indicates that SMCI is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- The Quick ratio of SMCI (1.01) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.7 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.01 |
3. SMCI Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- SMCI shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -33.16%.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 50.41% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
- SMCI shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 34.76%.
- Measured over the past years, SMCI shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 45.76% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-33.16%
EPS 3Y54.17%
EPS 5Y50.41%
EPS Q2Q%14.43%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)34.76%
Revenue growth 3Y61.71%
Revenue growth 5Y45.76%
Sales Q2Q%123.36%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 12.33% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
- Based on estimates for the next years, SMCI will show a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 24.74% on average per year.
EPS Next Y9.94%
EPS Next 2Y21%
EPS Next 3Y20.92%
EPS Next 5Y12.33%
Revenue Next Year85.27%
Revenue Next 2Y48.96%
Revenue Next 3Y35.88%
Revenue Next 5Y24.74%
3.3 Evolution
- The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
- Although the future Revenue growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
4. SMCI Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 11.66, which indicates a very decent valuation of SMCI.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of SMCI indicates a rather cheap valuation: SMCI is cheaper than 89.19% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.23. SMCI is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 6.80 indicates a rather cheap valuation of SMCI.
- 89.19% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than SMCI, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
- SMCI is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.42, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.66 | ||
| Fwd PE | 6.8 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- SMCI's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. SMCI is cheaper than 75.68% of the companies in the same industry.
- 64.86% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than SMCI, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 28.01 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.07 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- SMCI's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- SMCI has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- SMCI's earnings are expected to grow with 20.92% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.17
PEG (5Y)0.23
EPS Next 2Y21%
EPS Next 3Y20.92%
5. SMCI Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- No dividends for SMCI!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
SMCI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
20.53
-10.26 (-33.32%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorInformation Technology
GICS IndustryGroupTechnology Hardware & Equipment
GICS IndustryTechnology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals
Earnings (Last)02-03 2026-02-03/amc
Earnings (Next)05-04 2026-05-04/amc
Inst Owners56.51%
Inst Owner Change-16.72%
Ins Owners13.89%
Ins Owner Change0.32%
Market Cap12.33B
Revenue(TTM)28.06B
Net Income(TTM)872.78M
Analysts71.54
Price Target42.45 (106.77%)
Short Float %17%
Short Ratio2.72
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)11.9%
Min EPS beat(2)-14.88%
Max EPS beat(2)38.67%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-5.97%
Min EPS beat(4)-39.29%
Max EPS beat(4)38.67%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-5.8%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-1.28%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)5.56%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.77%
Min Revenue beat(2)-17.98%
Max Revenue beat(2)21.51%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-4.36%
Min Revenue beat(4)-17.98%
Max Revenue beat(4)21.51%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-4.19%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.57%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.27%
PT rev (1m)-7.09%
PT rev (3m)-7.69%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.1%
EPS NQ rev (3m)13.23%
EPS NY rev (1m)9.16%
EPS NY rev (3m)7.85%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)20.87%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.04%
Revenue NY rev (3m)13.98%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.66 | ||
| Fwd PE | 6.8 | ||
| P/S | 0.44 | ||
| P/FCF | 28.01 | ||
| P/OCF | 22.46 | ||
| P/B | 1.76 | ||
| P/tB | 1.76 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.07 |
EPS(TTM)1.76
EY8.57%
EPS(NY)3.02
Fwd EY14.71%
FCF(TTM)0.73
FCFY3.57%
OCF(TTM)0.91
OCFY4.45%
SpS46.72
BVpS11.64
TBVpS11.64
PEG (NY)1.17
PEG (5Y)0.23
Graham Number21.47
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.12% | ||
| ROE | 12.48% | ||
| ROCE | 8.19% | ||
| ROIC | 7.44% | ||
| ROICexc | 11.02% | ||
| ROICexgc | 11.02% | ||
| OM | 3.68% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.11% | ||
| GM | 8.02% | ||
| FCFM | 1.57% |
ROA(3y)12.21%
ROA(5y)10.1%
ROE(3y)23.46%
ROE(5y)20.12%
ROIC(3y)18.19%
ROIC(5y)16.22%
ROICexc(3y)24.56%
ROICexc(5y)21.08%
ROICexgc(3y)24.56%
ROICexgc(5y)21.08%
ROCE(3y)20%
ROCE(5y)17.84%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-5.7%
ROICexgc growth 5Y17.61%
ROICexc growth 3Y-5.7%
ROICexc growth 5Y17.61%
OM growth 3Y-4.21%
OM growth 5Y17.33%
PM growth 3Y-4.54%
PM growth 5Y13.59%
GM growth 3Y-10.44%
GM growth 5Y-6.84%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover1
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.67 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 11.08 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 4.3 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 198.9% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 0.39% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 21.97 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 50.53% | ||
| Profit Quality | 50.42% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.7 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.01 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.14 |
F-Score4
WACC7.2%
ROIC/WACC1.03
Cap/Depr(3y)208.9%
Cap/Depr(5y)194.33%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.64%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.88%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-33.16%
EPS 3Y54.17%
EPS 5Y50.41%
EPS Q2Q%14.43%
EPS Next Y9.94%
EPS Next 2Y21%
EPS Next 3Y20.92%
EPS Next 5Y12.33%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)34.76%
Revenue growth 3Y61.71%
Revenue growth 5Y45.76%
Sales Q2Q%123.36%
Revenue Next Year85.27%
Revenue Next 2Y48.96%
Revenue Next 3Y35.88%
Revenue Next 5Y24.74%
EBIT growth 1Y-33.21%
EBIT growth 3Y54.89%
EBIT growth 5Y71.02%
EBIT Next Year22.74%
EBIT Next 3Y30.86%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y360.06%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y504.5%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A
SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC / SMCI Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to SMCI.
What is the valuation status for SMCI stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC (SMCI). This can be considered as Undervalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC?
SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC (SMCI) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What is the financial health of SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC (SMCI) stock?
The financial health rating of SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC (SMCI) is 3 / 10.