SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:SIRI - US8299331004 - Common Stock
21.71 USD
+0.08 (+0.37%)
21.8091 USD
+0.1 (+0.46%)
Overall SIRI gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated SIRI against 95 industry peers in the Media industry. SIRI scores excellent on profitability, but there are concerns on its financial health. SIRI is valued quite cheap, but it does not seem to be growing. SIRI also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
SIRI had positive earnings in the past year.
SIRI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
SIRI had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years SIRI always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
With a decent Return On Assets value of 3.62%, SIRI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 71.58% of the companies in the same industry.
SIRI has a better Return On Equity (8.59%) than 70.53% of its industry peers.
SIRI has a better Return On Invested Capital (6.67%) than 71.58% of its industry peers.
SIRI had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 12.54%. This is above the industry average of 8.55%.
The 3 year average ROIC (12.54%) for SIRI is well above the current ROIC(6.67%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.62% | ||
| ROE | 8.59% | ||
| ROIC | 6.67% |
ROA(3y)2.92%
ROA(5y)4.56%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)12.54%
ROIC(5y)16.46%
1.3 Margins
SIRI has a Profit Margin of 11.61%. This is amongst the best in the industry. SIRI outperforms 81.05% of its industry peers.
SIRI has a Operating Margin of 22.52%. This is amongst the best in the industry. SIRI outperforms 95.79% of its industry peers.
SIRI's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
SIRI has a Gross Margin (51.85%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
SIRI's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 22.52% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 11.61% | ||
| GM | 51.85% |
OM growth 3Y-1.66%
OM growth 5Y0.04%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.14%
GM growth 5Y-1.28%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
SIRI has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
The number of shares outstanding for SIRI has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, SIRI has less shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, SIRI has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
SIRI has an Altman-Z score of 1.31. This is a bad value and indicates that SIRI is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
SIRI has a Altman-Z score (1.31) which is in line with its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of SIRI is 8.24, which is on the high side as it means it would take SIRI, 8.24 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of SIRI (8.24) is better than 62.11% of its industry peers.
SIRI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.78. This is a neutral value indicating SIRI is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
SIRI has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.78. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: SIRI outperforms 52.63% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.78 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.24 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.31 |
ROIC/WACC0.99
WACC6.71%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.31 indicates that SIRI may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
SIRI has a Current ratio of 0.31. This is amonst the worse of the industry: SIRI underperforms 88.42% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.31 indicates that SIRI may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
SIRI's Quick ratio of 0.31 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. SIRI is outperformed by 88.42% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.31 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.31 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for SIRI have decreased strongly by -21.17% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 10.88% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
Looking at the last year, SIRI shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -2.80% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, SIRI shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 2.22% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-21.17%
EPS 3Y3.23%
EPS 5Y10.88%
EPS Q2Q%-29.41%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.8%
Revenue growth 3Y0.01%
Revenue growth 5Y2.22%
Sales Q2Q%-0.55%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -2.10% on average over the next years.
Based on estimates for the next years, SIRI will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -0.28% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-19.57%
EPS Next 2Y-5.3%
EPS Next 3Y-2.49%
EPS Next 5Y-2.1%
Revenue Next Year-1.81%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.92%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.54%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.28%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 7.67, the valuation of SIRI can be described as very cheap.
SIRI's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. SIRI is cheaper than 83.16% of the companies in the same industry.
SIRI is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.83, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 6.88 indicates a rather cheap valuation of SIRI.
SIRI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. SIRI is cheaper than 77.89% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 32.68, SIRI is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.67 | ||
| Fwd PE | 6.88 |
4.2 Price Multiples
SIRI's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. SIRI is cheaper than 71.58% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, SIRI is valued a bit cheaper than 77.89% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 5.98 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.04 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
SIRI has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
SIRI's earnings are expected to decrease with -2.49% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.7
EPS Next 2Y-5.3%
EPS Next 3Y-2.49%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
SIRI has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.92%, which is a nice return.
SIRI's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 4.37. SIRI pays more dividend than 90.53% of the companies in the same industry.
SIRI's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.39.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.92% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of SIRI grows each year by 77.68%, which is quite nice.
SIRI has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
SIRI has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)77.68%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
SIRI pays out 41.99% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
DP41.99%
EPS Next 2Y-5.3%
EPS Next 3Y-2.49%
21.71
+0.08 (+0.37%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorCommunication Services
GICS IndustryGroupMedia & Entertainment
GICS IndustryMedia
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners39.01%
Inst Owner Change-0.24%
Ins Owners1.86%
Ins Owner Change0.04%
Market Cap7.31B
Revenue(TTM)8.55B
Net Income(TTM)993.00M
Analysts54
Price Target24.27 (11.79%)
Short Float %13.6%
Short Ratio7.92
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.92% |
Yearly Dividend0.91
Dividend Growth(5Y)77.68%
DP41.99%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-9.67%
Min EPS beat(2)-24.99%
Max EPS beat(2)5.65%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-1.7%
Min EPS beat(4)-24.99%
Max EPS beat(4)25.26%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)8.16%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)6.77%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)2.79%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.29%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.47%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.1%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.55%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.45%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.1%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.75%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.06%
Revenue beat(16)0
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.79%
PT rev (1m)0.07%
PT rev (3m)0.61%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.12%
EPS NQ rev (3m)3.26%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.01%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.6%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.09%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.15%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.67 | ||
| Fwd PE | 6.88 | ||
| P/S | 0.85 | ||
| P/FCF | 5.98 | ||
| P/OCF | 3.85 | ||
| P/B | 0.63 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.04 |
EPS(TTM)2.83
EY13.04%
EPS(NY)3.16
Fwd EY14.54%
FCF(TTM)3.63
FCFY16.73%
OCF(TTM)5.63
OCFY25.95%
SpS25.4
BVpS34.32
TBVpS-32.46
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.7
Graham Number46.75
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.62% | ||
| ROE | 8.59% | ||
| ROCE | 8.05% | ||
| ROIC | 6.67% | ||
| ROICexc | 6.69% | ||
| ROICexgc | 116.08% | ||
| OM | 22.52% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 11.61% | ||
| GM | 51.85% | ||
| FCFM | 14.3% |
ROA(3y)2.92%
ROA(5y)4.56%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)12.54%
ROIC(5y)16.46%
ROICexc(3y)12.64%
ROICexc(5y)16.68%
ROICexgc(3y)262.2%
ROICexgc(5y)250.11%
ROCE(3y)15.13%
ROCE(5y)19.86%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-29.15%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-24.82%
ROICexc growth 3Y-35.02%
ROICexc growth 5Y-18.85%
OM growth 3Y-1.66%
OM growth 5Y0.04%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.14%
GM growth 5Y-1.28%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.31
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.78 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.24 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.67 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 127.41% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 7.88% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.95 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 77.27% | ||
| Profit Quality | 123.16% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.31 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.31 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.31 |
F-Score6
WACC6.71%
ROIC/WACC0.99
Cap/Depr(3y)103.2%
Cap/Depr(5y)90.31%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.79%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.84%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-21.17%
EPS 3Y3.23%
EPS 5Y10.88%
EPS Q2Q%-29.41%
EPS Next Y-19.57%
EPS Next 2Y-5.3%
EPS Next 3Y-2.49%
EPS Next 5Y-2.1%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.8%
Revenue growth 3Y0.01%
Revenue growth 5Y2.22%
Sales Q2Q%-0.55%
Revenue Next Year-1.81%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.92%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.54%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.28%
EBIT growth 1Y-0.52%
EBIT growth 3Y-1.65%
EBIT growth 5Y2.26%
EBIT Next Year558.84%
EBIT Next 3Y88.69%
EBIT Next 5Y47.08%
FCF growth 1Y-5.05%
FCF growth 3Y-14.31%
FCF growth 5Y-9.34%
OCF growth 1Y-2.97%
OCF growth 3Y-4.49%
OCF growth 5Y-2.9%
SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC / SIRI FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to SIRI.
What is the valuation status of SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI). This can be considered as Undervalued.
What is the profitability of SIRI stock?
SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for SIRI stock?
The financial health rating of SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) is 3 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) is expected to decline by -19.57% in the next year.