SHOPIFY INC - CLASS A (SHOP) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:SHOP • CA82509L1076

Current stock price

112.31 USD
-7.79 (-6.49%)
Last:

This SHOP fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. SHOP Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year SHOP was profitable.
  • In the past year SHOP had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Of the past 5 years SHOP 4 years were profitable.
  • Of the past 5 years SHOP 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
SHOP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSHOP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 8.10%, SHOP is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SHOP has a better Return On Equity (9.14%) than 65.91% of its industry peers.
  • SHOP has a Return On Invested Capital of 9.24%. This is in the better half of the industry: SHOP outperforms 71.59% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.1%
ROE 9.14%
ROIC 9.24%
ROA(3y)7.93%
ROA(5y)2.69%
ROE(3y)9.36%
ROE(5y)2.45%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
SHOP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSHOP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 -40

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of SHOP (10.65%) is better than 80.68% of its industry peers.
  • SHOP's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • The Operating Margin of SHOP (12.82%) is better than 76.14% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SHOP has grown nicely.
  • SHOP has a better Gross Margin (48.07%) than 69.32% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SHOP has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 12.82%
PM (TTM) 10.65%
GM 48.07%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y20.39%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-0.47%
GM growth 3Y-0.76%
GM growth 5Y-1.79%
SHOP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSHOP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40 -40 60 -60

9

2. SHOP Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so SHOP is still creating some value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for SHOP has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • SHOP has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • SHOP has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
SHOP Yearly Shares OutstandingSHOP Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
SHOP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSHOP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 56.66 indicates that SHOP is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • SHOP has a better Altman-Z score (56.66) than 97.73% of its industry peers.
  • SHOP has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Altman-Z 56.66
ROIC/WACC1.1
WACC8.44%
SHOP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSHOP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 5.96 indicates that SHOP has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • SHOP has a Current ratio of 5.96. This is amongst the best in the industry. SHOP outperforms 92.05% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 5.96 indicates that SHOP has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • SHOP has a better Quick ratio (5.96) than 92.05% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 5.96
Quick Ratio 5.96
SHOP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSHOP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B

9

3. SHOP Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • SHOP shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 18.33%, which is quite good.
  • SHOP shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 29.16% yearly.
  • Looking at the last year, SHOP shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 30.14%.
  • SHOP shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 31.58% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)18.33%
EPS 3Y228.66%
EPS 5Y29.16%
EPS Q2Q%23.08%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)30.14%
Revenue growth 3Y27.31%
Revenue growth 5Y31.58%
Sales Q2Q%30.58%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 24.29% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • SHOP is expected to show a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 22.33% yearly.
EPS Next Y30.08%
EPS Next 2Y29.22%
EPS Next 3Y33.03%
EPS Next 5Y24.29%
Revenue Next Year27.63%
Revenue Next 2Y25.65%
Revenue Next 3Y25.28%
Revenue Next 5Y22.33%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
  • The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
SHOP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSHOP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B
SHOP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSHOP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 0 2 4 6

3

4. SHOP Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 79.09, which means the current valuation is very expensive for SHOP.
  • SHOP's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • SHOP is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.91, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • SHOP is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 60.80.
  • SHOP's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of SHOP to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.69), we can say SHOP is valued expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 79.09
Fwd PE 60.8
SHOP Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSHOP Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of SHOP is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • SHOP's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 72.98
EV/EBITDA 96.97
SHOP Per share dataSHOP EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • SHOP has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • SHOP's earnings are expected to grow with 33.03% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)2.63
PEG (5Y)2.71
EPS Next 2Y29.22%
EPS Next 3Y33.03%

0

5. SHOP Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • SHOP does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

SHOP Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

SHOPIFY INC - CLASS A

NASDAQ:SHOP (4/9/2026, 3:45:06 PM)

112.31

-7.79 (-6.49%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustryIT Services
Earnings (Last)02-11
Earnings (Next)04-30
Inst Owners74.21%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.07%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap146.46B
Revenue(TTM)11.56B
Net Income(TTM)1.23B
Analysts78.21
Price Target163.41 (45.5%)
Short Float %1.48%
Short Ratio1.4
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-3.88%
Min EPS beat(2)-7.07%
Max EPS beat(2)-0.68%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)1.37%
Min EPS beat(4)-7.07%
Max EPS beat(4)18.96%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)7.7%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)36.56%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)51.73%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.68%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.19%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.17%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.94%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.72%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.12%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.43%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.9%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.28%
PT rev (1m)-0.34%
PT rev (3m)-8.11%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.3%
EPS NQ rev (3m)2.78%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.21%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.03%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)4.45%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.01%
Revenue NY rev (3m)3.23%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 79.09
Fwd PE 60.8
P/S 12.67
P/FCF 72.98
P/OCF 72.04
P/B 10.87
P/tB 11.31
EV/EBITDA 96.97
EPS(TTM)1.42
EY1.26%
EPS(NY)1.85
Fwd EY1.64%
FCF(TTM)1.54
FCFY1.37%
OCF(TTM)1.56
OCFY1.39%
SpS8.86
BVpS10.33
TBVpS9.93
PEG (NY)2.63
PEG (5Y)2.71
Graham Number18.17
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.1%
ROE 9.14%
ROCE 10.73%
ROIC 9.24%
ROICexc 15.9%
ROICexgc 17.01%
OM 12.82%
PM (TTM) 10.65%
GM 48.07%
FCFM 17.37%
ROA(3y)7.93%
ROA(5y)2.69%
ROE(3y)9.36%
ROE(5y)2.45%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y-8.24%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y3.1%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y20.39%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-0.47%
GM growth 3Y-0.76%
GM growth 5Y-1.79%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.76
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Debt/EBITDA 0
Cap/Depr 83.87%
Cap/Sales 0.22%
Interest Coverage 1481
Cash Conversion 134.46%
Profit Quality 163.04%
Current Ratio 5.96
Quick Ratio 5.96
Altman-Z 56.66
F-Score6
WACC8.44%
ROIC/WACC1.1
Cap/Depr(3y)64.12%
Cap/Depr(5y)64.84%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.33%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.6%
Profit Quality(3y)307.53%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)18.33%
EPS 3Y228.66%
EPS 5Y29.16%
EPS Q2Q%23.08%
EPS Next Y30.08%
EPS Next 2Y29.22%
EPS Next 3Y33.03%
EPS Next 5Y24.29%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)30.14%
Revenue growth 3Y27.31%
Revenue growth 5Y31.58%
Sales Q2Q%30.58%
Revenue Next Year27.63%
Revenue Next 2Y25.65%
Revenue Next 3Y25.28%
Revenue Next 5Y22.33%
EBIT growth 1Y37.77%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y58.41%
EBIT Next Year41.16%
EBIT Next 3Y42.94%
EBIT Next 5Y33.43%
FCF growth 1Y25.67%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y39.28%
OCF growth 1Y25.8%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y36.76%

SHOPIFY INC - CLASS A / SHOP Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of SHOPIFY INC - CLASS A (SHOP) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to SHOP.


What is the valuation status for SHOP stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to SHOPIFY INC - CLASS A (SHOP). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is SHOPIFY INC - CLASS A (SHOP) stock?

SHOPIFY INC - CLASS A (SHOP) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What is the financial health of SHOPIFY INC - CLASS A (SHOP) stock?

The financial health rating of SHOPIFY INC - CLASS A (SHOP) is 9 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for SHOP stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SHOPIFY INC - CLASS A (SHOP) is expected to grow by 30.08% in the next year.