SHOPIFY INC - CLASS A (SHOP.CA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

TSX:SHOP • CA82509L1076

Current stock price

159.95 CAD
-3.77 (-2.3%)
Last:

This SHOP.CA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

7

1. SHOP.CA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year SHOP was profitable.
  • In the past year SHOP had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • SHOP had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • Of the past 5 years SHOP 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
SHOP.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSHOP.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B

1.2 Ratios

  • SHOP has a better Return On Assets (8.10%) than 81.82% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Equity of SHOP (9.14%) is better than 90.91% of its industry peers.
  • SHOP has a Return On Invested Capital of 9.24%. This is amongst the best in the industry. SHOP outperforms 81.82% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.1%
ROE 9.14%
ROIC 9.24%
ROA(3y)7.93%
ROA(5y)2.69%
ROE(3y)9.36%
ROE(5y)2.45%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
SHOP.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSHOP.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 -40

1.3 Margins

  • SHOP's Profit Margin of 10.65% is amongst the best of the industry. SHOP outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • SHOP's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • The Operating Margin of SHOP (12.82%) is better than 90.91% of its industry peers.
  • SHOP's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • SHOP has a better Gross Margin (48.07%) than 81.82% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SHOP has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 12.82%
PM (TTM) 10.65%
GM 48.07%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y20.39%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-0.47%
GM growth 3Y-0.76%
GM growth 5Y-1.79%
SHOP.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSHOP.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40 -40 60 -60

9

2. SHOP.CA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • SHOP has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
  • SHOP has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for SHOP has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • SHOP has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
SHOP.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingSHOP.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
SHOP.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSHOP.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B

2.2 Solvency

  • SHOP has an Altman-Z score of 54.61. This indicates that SHOP is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • SHOP's Altman-Z score of 54.61 is amongst the best of the industry. SHOP outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • SHOP has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Altman-Z 54.61
ROIC/WACC1.1
WACC8.44%
SHOP.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSHOP.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

  • SHOP has a Current Ratio of 5.96. This indicates that SHOP is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of SHOP (5.96) is better than 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • SHOP has a Quick Ratio of 5.96. This indicates that SHOP is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • SHOP has a better Quick ratio (5.96) than 100.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 5.96
Quick Ratio 5.96
SHOP.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSHOP.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B

9

3. SHOP.CA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 18.33% over the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, SHOP shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 29.16% on average per year.
  • The Revenue has grown by 30.14% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
  • The Revenue has been growing by 31.58% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)18.33%
EPS 3Y228.66%
EPS 5Y29.16%
EPS Q2Q%23.08%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)30.14%
Revenue growth 3Y27.31%
Revenue growth 5Y31.58%
Sales Q2Q%30.58%

3.2 Future

  • SHOP is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 24.29% yearly.
  • SHOP is expected to show a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 22.33% yearly.
EPS Next Y30.08%
EPS Next 2Y29.22%
EPS Next 3Y33.03%
EPS Next 5Y24.29%
Revenue Next Year27.64%
Revenue Next 2Y25.65%
Revenue Next 3Y25.21%
Revenue Next 5Y22.33%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
  • The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
SHOP.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSHOP.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B
SHOP.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSHOP.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 0 2 4 6

4

4. SHOP.CA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • SHOP is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 81.61.
  • SHOP's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. SHOP is cheaper than 72.73% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.23, SHOP is valued quite expensively.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 62.59, which means the current valuation is very expensive for SHOP.
  • SHOP's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. SHOP is cheaper than 72.73% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of SHOP to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.51), we can say SHOP is valued expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 81.61
Fwd PE 62.59
SHOP.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSHOP.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

  • SHOP's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, SHOP is valued a bit cheaper than 63.64% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 75.12
EV/EBITDA 93.1
SHOP.CA Per share dataSHOP.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • SHOP has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as SHOP's earnings are expected to grow with 33.03% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)2.71
PEG (5Y)2.8
EPS Next 2Y29.22%
EPS Next 3Y33.03%

0

5. SHOP.CA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for SHOP!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

SHOP.CA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

SHOPIFY INC - CLASS A

TSX:SHOP (3/26/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

159.95

-3.77 (-2.3%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustryIT Services
Earnings (Last)02-11
Earnings (Next)05-06
Inst Owners74.21%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.07%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap208.59B
Revenue(TTM)11.56B
Net Income(TTM)1.23B
Analysts78.18
Price Target224.63 (40.44%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-3.88%
Min EPS beat(2)-7.07%
Max EPS beat(2)-0.68%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)1.37%
Min EPS beat(4)-7.07%
Max EPS beat(4)18.96%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)7.7%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)36.56%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)51.73%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.68%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.19%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.17%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.94%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.72%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.12%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.43%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.9%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.28%
PT rev (1m)-9.17%
PT rev (3m)-8.7%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.65%
EPS NQ rev (3m)3.66%
EPS NY rev (1m)-2.42%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.12%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.19%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)4.45%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.5%
Revenue NY rev (3m)3.38%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 81.61
Fwd PE 62.59
P/S 13.05
P/FCF 75.12
P/OCF 74.16
P/B 11.19
P/tB 11.64
EV/EBITDA 93.1
EPS(TTM)1.96
EY1.23%
EPS(NY)2.56
Fwd EY1.6%
FCF(TTM)2.13
FCFY1.33%
OCF(TTM)2.16
OCFY1.35%
SpS12.26
BVpS14.29
TBVpS13.74
PEG (NY)2.71
PEG (5Y)2.8
Graham Number25.11
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.1%
ROE 9.14%
ROCE 10.73%
ROIC 9.24%
ROICexc 15.9%
ROICexgc 17.01%
OM 12.82%
PM (TTM) 10.65%
GM 48.07%
FCFM 17.37%
ROA(3y)7.93%
ROA(5y)2.69%
ROE(3y)9.36%
ROE(5y)2.45%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y-8.24%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y3.1%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y20.39%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-0.47%
GM growth 3Y-0.76%
GM growth 5Y-1.79%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.76
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Debt/EBITDA 0
Cap/Depr 83.87%
Cap/Sales 0.22%
Interest Coverage 1481
Cash Conversion 134.46%
Profit Quality 163.04%
Current Ratio 5.96
Quick Ratio 5.96
Altman-Z 54.61
F-Score6
WACC8.44%
ROIC/WACC1.1
Cap/Depr(3y)64.12%
Cap/Depr(5y)64.84%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.33%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.6%
Profit Quality(3y)307.53%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)18.33%
EPS 3Y228.66%
EPS 5Y29.16%
EPS Q2Q%23.08%
EPS Next Y30.08%
EPS Next 2Y29.22%
EPS Next 3Y33.03%
EPS Next 5Y24.29%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)30.14%
Revenue growth 3Y27.31%
Revenue growth 5Y31.58%
Sales Q2Q%30.58%
Revenue Next Year27.64%
Revenue Next 2Y25.65%
Revenue Next 3Y25.21%
Revenue Next 5Y22.33%
EBIT growth 1Y37.77%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y58.41%
EBIT Next Year41.16%
EBIT Next 3Y42.94%
EBIT Next 5Y33.43%
FCF growth 1Y25.67%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y39.28%
OCF growth 1Y25.8%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y36.76%

SHOPIFY INC - CLASS A / SHOP.CA Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of SHOPIFY INC - CLASS A (SHOP.CA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to SHOP.CA.


What is the valuation status for SHOP stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to SHOPIFY INC - CLASS A (SHOP.CA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of SHOP stock?

SHOPIFY INC - CLASS A (SHOP.CA) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


How financially healthy is SHOPIFY INC - CLASS A?

The financial health rating of SHOPIFY INC - CLASS A (SHOP.CA) is 9 / 10.