SAIA INC (SAIA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:SAIA • US78709Y1055

Current stock price

351.28 USD
+15.27 (+4.54%)
At close:
351.28 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This SAIA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

8

1. SAIA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • SAIA had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year SAIA had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • SAIA had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years SAIA had a positive operating cash flow.
SAIA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSAIA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M 400M -400M

1.2 Ratios

  • SAIA's Return On Assets of 7.32% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SAIA outperforms 78.57% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Equity of SAIA (9.89%) is better than 61.90% of its industry peers.
  • SAIA's Return On Invested Capital of 7.98% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SAIA outperforms 73.81% of its industry peers.
  • SAIA had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 12.18%. This is significantly above the industry average of 7.15%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (7.98%) for SAIA is well below the 3 year average (12.18%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that SAIA had better years and this may not be a problem.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.32%
ROE 9.89%
ROIC 7.98%
ROA(3y)10.83%
ROA(5y)12.53%
ROE(3y)14.61%
ROE(5y)17.44%
ROIC(3y)12.18%
ROIC(5y)14.36%
SAIA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSAIA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5 10 15 20

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 7.89%, SAIA is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.81% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of SAIA has remained more or less at the same level.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 10.47%, SAIA is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 76.19% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SAIA's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • SAIA's Gross Margin of 72.50% is amongst the best of the industry. SAIA outperforms 85.71% of its industry peers.
  • SAIA's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 10.47%
PM (TTM) 7.89%
GM 72.5%
OM growth 3Y-13.55%
OM growth 5Y2.22%
PM growth 3Y-14.91%
PM growth 5Y0.77%
GM growth 3Y1.82%
GM growth 5Y-0.89%
SAIA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSAIA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20 40 60

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7

2. SAIA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), SAIA is creating some value.
  • SAIA has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, SAIA has more shares outstanding
  • SAIA has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
SAIA Yearly Shares OutstandingSAIA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5M 10M 15M 20M 25M
SAIA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSAIA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

  • SAIA has an Altman-Z score of 8.17. This indicates that SAIA is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 8.17, SAIA belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 88.10% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of SAIA is 6.00, which is a neutral value as it means it would take SAIA, 6.00 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 6.00, SAIA is doing good in the industry, outperforming 71.43% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.06 indicates that SAIA is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • With an excellent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.06, SAIA belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 80.95% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.06
Debt/FCF 6
Altman-Z 8.17
ROIC/WACC0.77
WACC10.36%
SAIA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSAIA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • SAIA has a Current Ratio of 1.64. This is a normal value and indicates that SAIA is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a decent Current ratio value of 1.64, SAIA is doing good in the industry, outperforming 71.43% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.64 indicates that SAIA should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a decent Quick ratio value of 1.64, SAIA is doing good in the industry, outperforming 71.43% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.64
Quick Ratio 1.64
SAIA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSAIA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. SAIA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for SAIA have decreased strongly by -29.53% in the last year.
  • SAIA shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 12.86% yearly.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 0.79% in the past year.
  • SAIA shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 12.16% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-29.53%
EPS 3Y-10.77%
EPS 5Y12.86%
EPS Q2Q%-37.68%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.79%
Revenue growth 3Y5.02%
Revenue growth 5Y12.16%
Sales Q2Q%0.13%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, SAIA will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 20.80% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, SAIA will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 7.62% on average per year.
EPS Next Y13.68%
EPS Next 2Y21.05%
EPS Next 3Y19.66%
EPS Next 5Y20.8%
Revenue Next Year4.69%
Revenue Next 2Y7%
Revenue Next 3Y7.19%
Revenue Next 5Y7.62%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
SAIA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSAIA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 1B 2B 3B 4B
SAIA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSAIA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 5 10 15 20

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2

4. SAIA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 36.90, which means the current valuation is very expensive for SAIA.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as SAIA.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.35, SAIA is valued a bit more expensive.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 32.46, SAIA can be considered very expensive at the moment.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as SAIA.
  • SAIA is valuated rather expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.61, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 36.9
Fwd PE 32.46
SAIA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSAIA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80 100

4.2 Price Multiples

  • SAIA's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as SAIA.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 342.75
EV/EBITDA 15.51
SAIA Per share dataSAIA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60 80 100

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates SAIA does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
  • The excellent profitability rating of SAIA may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • SAIA's earnings are expected to grow with 19.66% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)2.7
PEG (5Y)2.87
EPS Next 2Y21.05%
EPS Next 3Y19.66%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. SAIA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • SAIA does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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SAIA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

SAIA INC

NASDAQ:SAIA (3/31/2026, 8:06:15 PM)

After market: 351.28 0 (0%)

351.28

+15.27 (+4.54%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryGround Transportation
Earnings (Last)02-10
Earnings (Next)04-24
Inst Owners108.6%
Inst Owner Change-3.07%
Ins Owners0.21%
Ins Owner Change1.74%
Market Cap9.37B
Revenue(TTM)3.23B
Net Income(TTM)255.04M
Analysts74.07
Price Target405.01 (15.3%)
Short Float %5.71%
Short Ratio2.58
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)7.71%
Min EPS beat(2)-8.77%
Max EPS beat(2)24.19%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-2.27%
Min EPS beat(4)-33.92%
Max EPS beat(4)24.19%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-2.91%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-1.29%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)-0.33%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.23%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.53%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.06%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.61%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.79%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.06%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.02%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.83%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.37%
PT rev (1m)1.17%
PT rev (3m)19.2%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.82%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-8.51%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.63%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.09%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.23%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.11%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.03%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.38%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 36.9
Fwd PE 32.46
P/S 2.9
P/FCF 342.75
P/OCF 15.75
P/B 3.63
P/tB 3.66
EV/EBITDA 15.51
EPS(TTM)9.52
EY2.71%
EPS(NY)10.82
Fwd EY3.08%
FCF(TTM)1.02
FCFY0.29%
OCF(TTM)22.31
OCFY6.35%
SpS121.27
BVpS96.65
TBVpS96.07
PEG (NY)2.7
PEG (5Y)2.87
Graham Number143.89
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.32%
ROE 9.89%
ROCE 10.52%
ROIC 7.98%
ROICexc 8.03%
ROICexgc 8.07%
OM 10.47%
PM (TTM) 7.89%
GM 72.5%
FCFM 0.85%
ROA(3y)10.83%
ROA(5y)12.53%
ROE(3y)14.61%
ROE(5y)17.44%
ROIC(3y)12.18%
ROIC(5y)14.36%
ROICexc(3y)13.01%
ROICexc(5y)15.51%
ROICexgc(3y)13.1%
ROICexgc(5y)15.66%
ROCE(3y)16.07%
ROCE(5y)18.94%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-26.4%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-5.24%
ROICexc growth 3Y-26.26%
ROICexc growth 5Y-5.02%
OM growth 3Y-13.55%
OM growth 5Y2.22%
PM growth 3Y-14.91%
PM growth 5Y0.77%
GM growth 3Y1.82%
GM growth 5Y-0.89%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.93
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.06
Debt/FCF 6
Debt/EBITDA 0.28
Cap/Depr 228.36%
Cap/Sales 17.55%
Interest Coverage 21.43
Cash Conversion 101.33%
Profit Quality 10.72%
Current Ratio 1.64
Quick Ratio 1.64
Altman-Z 8.17
F-Score5
WACC10.36%
ROIC/WACC0.77
Cap/Depr(3y)323.67%
Cap/Depr(5y)281.27%
Cap/Sales(3y)21.78%
Cap/Sales(5y)18.2%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-29.53%
EPS 3Y-10.77%
EPS 5Y12.86%
EPS Q2Q%-37.68%
EPS Next Y13.68%
EPS Next 2Y21.05%
EPS Next 3Y19.66%
EPS Next 5Y20.8%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.79%
Revenue growth 3Y5.02%
Revenue growth 5Y12.16%
Sales Q2Q%0.13%
Revenue Next Year4.69%
Revenue Next 2Y7%
Revenue Next 3Y7.19%
Revenue Next 5Y7.62%
EBIT growth 1Y-30.42%
EBIT growth 3Y-9.21%
EBIT growth 5Y14.65%
EBIT Next Year86.36%
EBIT Next 3Y36.2%
EBIT Next 5Y30.6%
FCF growth 1Y105.94%
FCF growth 3Y-36.27%
FCF growth 5Y-18.92%
OCF growth 1Y1.93%
OCF growth 3Y7.95%
OCF growth 5Y13.99%

SAIA INC / SAIA Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of SAIA INC (SAIA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to SAIA.


What is the valuation status for SAIA stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to SAIA INC (SAIA). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is SAIA INC (SAIA) stock?

SAIA INC (SAIA) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of SAIA INC (SAIA) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for SAIA INC (SAIA) is 36.9 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 3.63.