SAIA INC (SAIA) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NASDAQ:SAIA - US78709Y1055 - Common Stock
307.78 USD
-0.88 (-0.29%)
307.78 USD
0 (0%)
Overall SAIA gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated SAIA against 40 industry peers in the Ground Transportation industry. SAIA scores excellent on profitability, but there are some minor concerns on its financial health. SAIA is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
SAIA had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year SAIA had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years SAIA has been profitable.
In the past 5 years SAIA always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
SAIA's Return On Assets of 8.39% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SAIA outperforms 80.00% of its industry peers.
SAIA has a Return On Equity of 11.90%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: SAIA outperforms 60.00% of its industry peers.
SAIA's Return On Invested Capital of 9.65% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SAIA outperforms 80.00% of its industry peers.
SAIA had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 15.73%. This is significantly above the industry average of 8.45%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (9.65%) for SAIA is well below the 3 year average (15.73%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that SAIA had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.39% | ||
| ROE | 11.9% | ||
| ROIC | 9.65% |
ROA(3y)13.87%
ROA(5y)12.85%
ROE(3y)18.86%
ROE(5y)18.34%
ROIC(3y)15.73%
ROIC(5y)14.87%
1.3 Margins
SAIA has a better Profit Margin (8.96%) than 77.50% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of SAIA has grown nicely.
SAIA has a Operating Margin of 12.36%. This is in the better half of the industry: SAIA outperforms 77.50% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SAIA has grown nicely.
SAIA has a better Gross Margin (72.75%) than 85.00% of its industry peers.
SAIA's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 12.36% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.96% | ||
| GM | 72.75% |
OM growth 3Y1.57%
OM growth 5Y12.17%
PM growth 3Y0.66%
PM growth 5Y12.13%
GM growth 3Y0.27%
GM growth 5Y-0.19%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
SAIA has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
SAIA has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for SAIA has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
SAIA has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 7.07 indicates that SAIA is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
SAIA has a Altman-Z score of 7.07. This is amongst the best in the industry. SAIA outperforms 90.00% of its industry peers.
SAIA has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.13. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.13, SAIA is doing good in the industry, outperforming 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.13 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 7.07 |
ROIC/WACC1
WACC9.63%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.49 indicates that SAIA should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
SAIA's Current ratio of 1.49 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SAIA outperforms 77.50% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.49 indicates that SAIA should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
SAIA's Quick ratio of 1.49 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SAIA outperforms 77.50% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.49 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.49 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
SAIA shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -23.79%.
SAIA shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 25.67% yearly.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.24% in the past year.
Measured over the past years, SAIA shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 12.43% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-23.79%
EPS 3Y12.53%
EPS 5Y25.67%
EPS Q2Q%-30.29%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.24%
Revenue growth 3Y11.93%
Revenue growth 5Y12.43%
Sales Q2Q%-0.74%
3.2 Future
SAIA is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 10.52% yearly.
SAIA is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 6.55% yearly.
EPS Next Y-31.47%
EPS Next 2Y-6.17%
EPS Next 3Y4.16%
EPS Next 5Y10.52%
Revenue Next Year0.4%
Revenue Next 2Y3.49%
Revenue Next 3Y5.03%
Revenue Next 5Y6.55%
3.3 Evolution
The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
SAIA is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 28.42.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as SAIA.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.08, SAIA is valued at the same level.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 25.88, SAIA can be considered very expensive at the moment.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of SAIA is on the same level as its industry peers.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.67. SAIA is around the same levels.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28.42 | ||
| Fwd PE | 25.88 |
4.2 Price Multiples
SAIA's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.51 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The excellent profitability rating of SAIA may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.11
EPS Next 2Y-6.17%
EPS Next 3Y4.16%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
SAIA does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
307.78
-0.88 (-0.29%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryGround Transportation
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners112.95%
Inst Owner Change-5.56%
Ins Owners0.19%
Ins Owner Change0.76%
Market Cap8.20B
Analysts76.3
Price Target341.87 (11.08%)
Short Float %6.98%
Short Ratio2.78
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-12.26%
Min EPS beat(2)-33.92%
Max EPS beat(2)9.4%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-7.17%
Min EPS beat(4)-33.92%
Max EPS beat(4)9.4%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-4.65%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-3.48%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)0.57%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.99%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.79%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.19%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.33%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.79%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.19%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.93%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.07%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.97%
PT rev (1m)12.51%
PT rev (3m)14.24%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-2.2%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-43.1%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.58%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.72%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.69%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-10.77%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.24%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.41%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28.42 | ||
| Fwd PE | 25.88 | ||
| P/S | 2.53 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 13.09 | ||
| P/B | 3.37 | ||
| P/tB | 3.39 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.51 |
EPS(TTM)10.83
EY3.52%
EPS(NY)11.89
Fwd EY3.86%
FCF(TTM)-4.24
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)23.51
OCFY7.64%
SpS121.46
BVpS91.46
TBVpS90.86
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.11
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.39% | ||
| ROE | 11.9% | ||
| ROCE | 12.68% | ||
| ROIC | 9.65% | ||
| ROICexc | 9.71% | ||
| ROICexgc | 9.76% | ||
| OM | 12.36% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.96% | ||
| GM | 72.75% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)13.87%
ROA(5y)12.85%
ROE(3y)18.86%
ROE(5y)18.34%
ROIC(3y)15.73%
ROIC(5y)14.87%
ROICexc(3y)17.22%
ROICexc(5y)16.06%
ROICexgc(3y)17.38%
ROICexgc(5y)16.23%
ROCE(3y)20.67%
ROCE(5y)19.54%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-10.36%
ROICexcg growth 5Y5.2%
ROICexc growth 3Y-10.13%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.47%
OM growth 3Y1.57%
OM growth 5Y12.17%
PM growth 3Y0.66%
PM growth 5Y12.13%
GM growth 3Y0.27%
GM growth 5Y-0.19%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.94
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.13 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.49 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 320.95% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 22.84% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 99.36% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.49 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.49 | ||
| Altman-Z | 7.07 |
F-Score5
WACC9.63%
ROIC/WACC1
Cap/Depr(3y)325.45%
Cap/Depr(5y)269.91%
Cap/Sales(3y)20.31%
Cap/Sales(5y)17.22%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-23.79%
EPS 3Y12.53%
EPS 5Y25.67%
EPS Q2Q%-30.29%
EPS Next Y-31.47%
EPS Next 2Y-6.17%
EPS Next 3Y4.16%
EPS Next 5Y10.52%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.24%
Revenue growth 3Y11.93%
Revenue growth 5Y12.43%
Sales Q2Q%-0.74%
Revenue Next Year0.4%
Revenue Next 2Y3.49%
Revenue Next 3Y5.03%
Revenue Next 5Y6.55%
EBIT growth 1Y-19.66%
EBIT growth 3Y13.69%
EBIT growth 5Y26.1%
EBIT Next Year21.26%
EBIT Next 3Y19.79%
EBIT Next 5Y17.98%
FCF growth 1Y-195.28%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y12.54%
OCF growth 3Y15.12%
OCF growth 5Y16.42%