SAIA INC (SAIA) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NASDAQ:SAIA - Nasdaq - US78709Y1055 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
SAIA gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 40 industry peers in the Ground Transportation industry. While SAIA belongs to the best of the industry regarding profitability, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. SAIA is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year SAIA was profitable.
In the past year SAIA had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years SAIA has always been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years SAIA had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
SAIA has a better Return On Assets (9.54%) than 85.00% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of SAIA (13.61%) is better than 65.00% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of SAIA (10.99%) is better than 87.50% of its industry peers.
SAIA had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 15.73%. This is significantly above the industry average of 7.92%.
The 3 year average ROIC (15.73%) for SAIA is well above the current ROIC(10.99%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 9.54% | ||
| ROE | 13.61% | ||
| ROIC | 10.99% |
ROA(3y)13.87%
ROA(5y)12.85%
ROE(3y)18.86%
ROE(5y)18.34%
ROIC(3y)15.73%
ROIC(5y)14.87%
1.3 Margins
SAIA's Profit Margin of 9.91% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SAIA outperforms 80.00% of its industry peers.
SAIA's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
SAIA has a Operating Margin of 13.53%. This is amongst the best in the industry. SAIA outperforms 82.50% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SAIA has grown nicely.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 72.72%, SAIA belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 82.50% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SAIA has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 13.53% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.91% | ||
| GM | 72.72% |
OM growth 3Y1.57%
OM growth 5Y12.17%
PM growth 3Y0.66%
PM growth 5Y12.13%
GM growth 3Y0.27%
GM growth 5Y-0.19%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so SAIA is still creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, SAIA has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
Compared to 5 years ago, SAIA has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, SAIA has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 6.72 indicates that SAIA is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
SAIA's Altman-Z score of 6.72 is amongst the best of the industry. SAIA outperforms 90.00% of its industry peers.
SAIA has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.12. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.12, SAIA belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 82.50% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.12 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.72 |
ROIC/WACC1.15
WACC9.59%
2.3 Liquidity
SAIA has a Current Ratio of 1.43. This is a normal value and indicates that SAIA is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
SAIA's Current ratio of 1.43 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SAIA outperforms 75.00% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.43 indicates that SAIA should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
SAIA has a Quick ratio of 1.43. This is in the better half of the industry: SAIA outperforms 77.50% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.43 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.43 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for SAIA have decreased strongly by -13.12% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 25.67% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
Looking at the last year, SAIA shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 8.95% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing by 12.43% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-13.12%
EPS 3Y12.53%
EPS 5Y25.67%
EPS Q2Q%-44.97%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.95%
Revenue growth 3Y11.93%
Revenue growth 5Y12.43%
Sales Q2Q%4.35%
3.2 Future
SAIA is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 14.51% yearly.
SAIA is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 8.47% yearly.
EPS Next Y-28.82%
EPS Next 2Y-2.91%
EPS Next 3Y5.58%
EPS Next 5Y14.51%
Revenue Next Year1.84%
Revenue Next 2Y4.62%
Revenue Next 3Y5.51%
Revenue Next 5Y8.47%
3.3 Evolution
Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 23.15, the valuation of SAIA can be described as rather expensive.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, SAIA is valued a bit cheaper than 70.00% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of SAIA to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.60), we can say SAIA is valued inline with the index average.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 21.79, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of SAIA.
SAIA's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.43, SAIA is valued at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23.15 | ||
| Fwd PE | 21.79 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of SAIA is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.64 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
SAIA has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.9
EPS Next 2Y-2.91%
EPS Next 3Y5.58%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
SAIA does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
277.58
-3.91 (-1.39%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryGround Transportation
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners112.63%
Inst Owner Change2.42%
Ins Owners0.19%
Ins Owner Change4.29%
Market Cap7.39B
Analysts77.78
Price Target299.25 (7.81%)
Short Float %5.47%
Short Ratio1.73
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-17.06%
Min EPS beat(2)-33.92%
Max EPS beat(2)-0.21%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-11.08%
Min EPS beat(4)-33.92%
Max EPS beat(4)-0.21%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-5.53%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-3.16%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)0.77%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.22%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.79%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.66%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.62%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.79%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.66%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.17%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.9%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.81%
PT rev (1m)-41.71%
PT rev (3m)-44.52%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-38.5%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-41.03%
EPS NY rev (1m)-35.37%
EPS NY rev (3m)-38.27%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-6.79%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-7.52%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-5.8%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-6.25%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23.15 | ||
| Fwd PE | 21.79 | ||
| P/S | 2.28 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 12.61 | ||
| P/B | 3.13 | ||
| P/tB | 3.15 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.64 |
EPS(TTM)11.99
EY4.32%
EPS(NY)12.74
Fwd EY4.59%
FCF(TTM)-7.62
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)22.02
OCFY7.93%
SpS121.74
BVpS88.64
TBVpS88.03
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.9
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 9.54% | ||
| ROE | 13.61% | ||
| ROCE | 14.44% | ||
| ROIC | 10.99% | ||
| ROICexc | 11.05% | ||
| ROICexgc | 11.11% | ||
| OM | 13.53% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.91% | ||
| GM | 72.72% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)13.87%
ROA(5y)12.85%
ROE(3y)18.86%
ROE(5y)18.34%
ROIC(3y)15.73%
ROIC(5y)14.87%
ROICexc(3y)17.22%
ROICexc(5y)16.06%
ROICexgc(3y)17.38%
ROICexgc(5y)16.23%
ROCE(3y)20.67%
ROCE(5y)19.54%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-10.36%
ROICexcg growth 5Y5.2%
ROICexc growth 3Y-10.13%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.47%
OM growth 3Y1.57%
OM growth 5Y12.17%
PM growth 3Y0.66%
PM growth 5Y12.13%
GM growth 3Y0.27%
GM growth 5Y-0.19%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.96
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.12 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.44 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 358.28% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 24.35% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 88.98% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.43 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.43 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.72 |
F-Score5
WACC9.59%
ROIC/WACC1.15
Cap/Depr(3y)325.45%
Cap/Depr(5y)269.91%
Cap/Sales(3y)20.31%
Cap/Sales(5y)17.22%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-13.12%
EPS 3Y12.53%
EPS 5Y25.67%
EPS Q2Q%-44.97%
EPS Next Y-28.82%
EPS Next 2Y-2.91%
EPS Next 3Y5.58%
EPS Next 5Y14.51%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.95%
Revenue growth 3Y11.93%
Revenue growth 5Y12.43%
Sales Q2Q%4.35%
Revenue Next Year1.84%
Revenue Next 2Y4.62%
Revenue Next 3Y5.51%
Revenue Next 5Y8.47%
EBIT growth 1Y-8.67%
EBIT growth 3Y13.69%
EBIT growth 5Y26.1%
EBIT Next Year61.99%
EBIT Next 3Y28.9%
EBIT Next 5Y20.96%
FCF growth 1Y-533.71%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y18.14%
OCF growth 3Y15.12%
OCF growth 5Y16.42%