SAIA INC (SAIA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:SAIA • US78709Y1055
Current stock price
404.47 USD
+7.73 (+1.95%)
At close:
404.47 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This SAIA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. SAIA Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year SAIA was profitable.
- In the past year SAIA had a positive cash flow from operations.
- In the past 5 years SAIA has always been profitable.
- SAIA had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of SAIA (7.32%) is better than 78.57% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Equity of SAIA (9.89%) is better than 61.90% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 7.98%, SAIA is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.81% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for SAIA is significantly above the industry average of 7.15%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (7.98%) for SAIA is well below the 3 year average (12.18%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that SAIA had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.32% | ||
| ROE | 9.89% | ||
| ROIC | 7.98% |
ROA(3y)10.83%
ROA(5y)12.53%
ROE(3y)14.61%
ROE(5y)17.44%
ROIC(3y)12.18%
ROIC(5y)14.36%
1.3 Margins
- The Profit Margin of SAIA (7.89%) is better than 73.81% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of SAIA has remained more or less at the same level.
- SAIA has a Operating Margin of 10.47%. This is in the better half of the industry: SAIA outperforms 76.19% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SAIA has grown nicely.
- Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 72.50%, SAIA belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 85.71% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SAIA has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.47% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.89% | ||
| GM | 72.5% |
OM growth 3Y-13.55%
OM growth 5Y2.22%
PM growth 3Y-14.91%
PM growth 5Y0.77%
GM growth 3Y1.82%
GM growth 5Y-0.89%
2. SAIA Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so SAIA is still creating some value.
- The number of shares outstanding for SAIA remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
- The number of shares outstanding for SAIA has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, SAIA has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- SAIA has an Altman-Z score of 9.24. This indicates that SAIA is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
- SAIA's Altman-Z score of 9.24 is amongst the best of the industry. SAIA outperforms 85.71% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of SAIA is 6.00, which is a neutral value as it means it would take SAIA, 6.00 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- SAIA's Debt to FCF ratio of 6.00 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SAIA outperforms 71.43% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.06 indicates that SAIA is not too dependend on debt financing.
- SAIA has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.06) than 80.95% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.06 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 6 | ||
| Altman-Z | 9.24 |
ROIC/WACC0.77
WACC10.4%
2.3 Liquidity
- SAIA has a Current Ratio of 1.64. This is a normal value and indicates that SAIA is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.64, SAIA is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 71.43% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.64 indicates that SAIA should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- The Quick ratio of SAIA (1.64) is better than 71.43% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.64 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.64 |
3. SAIA Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for SAIA have decreased strongly by -29.53% in the last year.
- SAIA shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 12.86% yearly.
- SAIA shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 0.79%.
- The Revenue has been growing by 12.16% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-29.53%
EPS 3Y-10.77%
EPS 5Y12.86%
EPS Q2Q%-37.68%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.79%
Revenue growth 3Y5.02%
Revenue growth 5Y12.16%
Sales Q2Q%0.13%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 20.80% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
- Based on estimates for the next years, SAIA will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 7.62% on average per year.
EPS Next Y13.55%
EPS Next 2Y20.72%
EPS Next 3Y19.86%
EPS Next 5Y20.8%
Revenue Next Year4.69%
Revenue Next 2Y6.97%
Revenue Next 3Y7.19%
Revenue Next 5Y7.62%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. SAIA Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- A Price/Earnings ratio of 42.49 indicates a quite expensive valuation of SAIA.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as SAIA.
- SAIA's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 27.34.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 37.42, which means the current valuation is very expensive for SAIA.
- SAIA's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
- When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of SAIA to the average of the S&P500 Index (38.18), we can say SAIA is valued inline with the index average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 42.49 | ||
| Fwd PE | 37.42 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as SAIA.
- SAIA's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 394.64 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 18.27 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates SAIA does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
- SAIA has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- SAIA's earnings are expected to grow with 19.86% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)3.13
PEG (5Y)3.3
EPS Next 2Y20.72%
EPS Next 3Y19.86%
5. SAIA Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- No dividends for SAIA!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
SAIA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
404.47
+7.73 (+1.95%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryGround Transportation
Earnings (Last)02-10 2026-02-10/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-30 2026-04-30/bmo
Inst Owners108.58%
Inst Owner Change0.01%
Ins Owners0.21%
Ins Owner Change1.92%
Market Cap10.79B
Revenue(TTM)3.23B
Net Income(TTM)255.04M
Analysts73.33
Price Target406.89 (0.6%)
Short Float %5.53%
Short Ratio2.5
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)7.71%
Min EPS beat(2)-8.77%
Max EPS beat(2)24.19%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-2.27%
Min EPS beat(4)-33.92%
Max EPS beat(4)24.19%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-2.91%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-1.29%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)-0.33%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.23%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.53%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.06%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.61%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.79%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.06%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.02%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.83%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.37%
PT rev (1m)1.64%
PT rev (3m)19.76%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.42%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-9.04%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.12%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.21%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.32%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.19%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.03%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.38%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 42.49 | ||
| Fwd PE | 37.42 | ||
| P/S | 3.34 | ||
| P/FCF | 394.64 | ||
| P/OCF | 18.13 | ||
| P/B | 4.18 | ||
| P/tB | 4.21 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 18.27 |
EPS(TTM)9.52
EY2.35%
EPS(NY)10.81
Fwd EY2.67%
FCF(TTM)1.02
FCFY0.25%
OCF(TTM)22.31
OCFY5.52%
SpS121.27
BVpS96.65
TBVpS96.07
PEG (NY)3.13
PEG (5Y)3.3
Graham Number143.89
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.32% | ||
| ROE | 9.89% | ||
| ROCE | 10.52% | ||
| ROIC | 7.98% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.03% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.07% | ||
| OM | 10.47% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.89% | ||
| GM | 72.5% | ||
| FCFM | 0.85% |
ROA(3y)10.83%
ROA(5y)12.53%
ROE(3y)14.61%
ROE(5y)17.44%
ROIC(3y)12.18%
ROIC(5y)14.36%
ROICexc(3y)13.01%
ROICexc(5y)15.51%
ROICexgc(3y)13.1%
ROICexgc(5y)15.66%
ROCE(3y)16.07%
ROCE(5y)18.94%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-26.4%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-5.24%
ROICexc growth 3Y-26.26%
ROICexc growth 5Y-5.02%
OM growth 3Y-13.55%
OM growth 5Y2.22%
PM growth 3Y-14.91%
PM growth 5Y0.77%
GM growth 3Y1.82%
GM growth 5Y-0.89%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.93
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.06 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 6 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.28 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 228.36% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 17.55% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 21.43 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 101.33% | ||
| Profit Quality | 10.72% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.64 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.64 | ||
| Altman-Z | 9.24 |
F-Score5
WACC10.4%
ROIC/WACC0.77
Cap/Depr(3y)323.67%
Cap/Depr(5y)281.27%
Cap/Sales(3y)21.78%
Cap/Sales(5y)18.2%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-29.53%
EPS 3Y-10.77%
EPS 5Y12.86%
EPS Q2Q%-37.68%
EPS Next Y13.55%
EPS Next 2Y20.72%
EPS Next 3Y19.86%
EPS Next 5Y20.8%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.79%
Revenue growth 3Y5.02%
Revenue growth 5Y12.16%
Sales Q2Q%0.13%
Revenue Next Year4.69%
Revenue Next 2Y6.97%
Revenue Next 3Y7.19%
Revenue Next 5Y7.62%
EBIT growth 1Y-30.42%
EBIT growth 3Y-9.21%
EBIT growth 5Y14.65%
EBIT Next Year85.8%
EBIT Next 3Y36.23%
EBIT Next 5Y30.6%
FCF growth 1Y105.94%
FCF growth 3Y-36.27%
FCF growth 5Y-18.92%
OCF growth 1Y1.93%
OCF growth 3Y7.95%
OCF growth 5Y13.99%
SAIA INC / SAIA Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of SAIA INC (SAIA) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to SAIA.
What is the valuation status for SAIA stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to SAIA INC (SAIA). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is SAIA INC (SAIA) stock?
SAIA INC (SAIA) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of SAIA INC (SAIA) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for SAIA INC (SAIA) is 42.49 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 4.18.