SAIA INC (SAIA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:SAIA • US78709Y1055

Current stock price

404.47 USD
+7.73 (+1.95%)
At close:
404.47 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This SAIA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

8

1. SAIA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year SAIA was profitable.
  • In the past year SAIA had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In the past 5 years SAIA has always been profitable.
  • SAIA had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
SAIA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSAIA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M 400M -400M

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of SAIA (7.32%) is better than 78.57% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Equity of SAIA (9.89%) is better than 61.90% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 7.98%, SAIA is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.81% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for SAIA is significantly above the industry average of 7.15%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (7.98%) for SAIA is well below the 3 year average (12.18%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that SAIA had better years and this may not be a problem.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.32%
ROE 9.89%
ROIC 7.98%
ROA(3y)10.83%
ROA(5y)12.53%
ROE(3y)14.61%
ROE(5y)17.44%
ROIC(3y)12.18%
ROIC(5y)14.36%
SAIA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSAIA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5 10 15 20

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of SAIA (7.89%) is better than 73.81% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of SAIA has remained more or less at the same level.
  • SAIA has a Operating Margin of 10.47%. This is in the better half of the industry: SAIA outperforms 76.19% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SAIA has grown nicely.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 72.50%, SAIA belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 85.71% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SAIA has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 10.47%
PM (TTM) 7.89%
GM 72.5%
OM growth 3Y-13.55%
OM growth 5Y2.22%
PM growth 3Y-14.91%
PM growth 5Y0.77%
GM growth 3Y1.82%
GM growth 5Y-0.89%
SAIA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSAIA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20 40 60

7

2. SAIA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so SAIA is still creating some value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for SAIA remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for SAIA has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, SAIA has an improved debt to assets ratio.
SAIA Yearly Shares OutstandingSAIA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5M 10M 15M 20M 25M
SAIA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSAIA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

  • SAIA has an Altman-Z score of 9.24. This indicates that SAIA is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • SAIA's Altman-Z score of 9.24 is amongst the best of the industry. SAIA outperforms 85.71% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of SAIA is 6.00, which is a neutral value as it means it would take SAIA, 6.00 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • SAIA's Debt to FCF ratio of 6.00 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SAIA outperforms 71.43% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.06 indicates that SAIA is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • SAIA has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.06) than 80.95% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.06
Debt/FCF 6
Altman-Z 9.24
ROIC/WACC0.77
WACC10.4%
SAIA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSAIA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • SAIA has a Current Ratio of 1.64. This is a normal value and indicates that SAIA is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.64, SAIA is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 71.43% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.64 indicates that SAIA should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of SAIA (1.64) is better than 71.43% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.64
Quick Ratio 1.64
SAIA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSAIA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M

5

3. SAIA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for SAIA have decreased strongly by -29.53% in the last year.
  • SAIA shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 12.86% yearly.
  • SAIA shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 0.79%.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 12.16% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-29.53%
EPS 3Y-10.77%
EPS 5Y12.86%
EPS Q2Q%-37.68%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.79%
Revenue growth 3Y5.02%
Revenue growth 5Y12.16%
Sales Q2Q%0.13%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 20.80% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • Based on estimates for the next years, SAIA will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 7.62% on average per year.
EPS Next Y13.55%
EPS Next 2Y20.72%
EPS Next 3Y19.86%
EPS Next 5Y20.8%
Revenue Next Year4.69%
Revenue Next 2Y6.97%
Revenue Next 3Y7.19%
Revenue Next 5Y7.62%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
SAIA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSAIA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 1B 2B 3B 4B
SAIA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSAIA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 5 10 15 20

3

4. SAIA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 42.49 indicates a quite expensive valuation of SAIA.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as SAIA.
  • SAIA's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 27.34.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 37.42, which means the current valuation is very expensive for SAIA.
  • SAIA's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of SAIA to the average of the S&P500 Index (38.18), we can say SAIA is valued inline with the index average.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 42.49
Fwd PE 37.42
SAIA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSAIA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 50 100

4.2 Price Multiples

  • The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as SAIA.
  • SAIA's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 394.64
EV/EBITDA 18.27
SAIA Per share dataSAIA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60 80 100

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates SAIA does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
  • SAIA has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • SAIA's earnings are expected to grow with 19.86% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)3.13
PEG (5Y)3.3
EPS Next 2Y20.72%
EPS Next 3Y19.86%

0

5. SAIA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for SAIA!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

SAIA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

SAIA INC

NASDAQ:SAIA (4/14/2026, 8:00:02 PM)

After market: 404.47 0 (0%)

404.47

+7.73 (+1.95%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryGround Transportation
Earnings (Last)02-10
Earnings (Next)04-30
Inst Owners108.58%
Inst Owner Change0.01%
Ins Owners0.21%
Ins Owner Change1.92%
Market Cap10.79B
Revenue(TTM)3.23B
Net Income(TTM)255.04M
Analysts73.33
Price Target406.89 (0.6%)
Short Float %5.53%
Short Ratio2.5
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)7.71%
Min EPS beat(2)-8.77%
Max EPS beat(2)24.19%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-2.27%
Min EPS beat(4)-33.92%
Max EPS beat(4)24.19%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-2.91%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-1.29%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)-0.33%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.23%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.53%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.06%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.61%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.79%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.06%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.02%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.83%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.37%
PT rev (1m)1.64%
PT rev (3m)19.76%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.42%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-9.04%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.12%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.21%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.32%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.19%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.03%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.38%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 42.49
Fwd PE 37.42
P/S 3.34
P/FCF 394.64
P/OCF 18.13
P/B 4.18
P/tB 4.21
EV/EBITDA 18.27
EPS(TTM)9.52
EY2.35%
EPS(NY)10.81
Fwd EY2.67%
FCF(TTM)1.02
FCFY0.25%
OCF(TTM)22.31
OCFY5.52%
SpS121.27
BVpS96.65
TBVpS96.07
PEG (NY)3.13
PEG (5Y)3.3
Graham Number143.89
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.32%
ROE 9.89%
ROCE 10.52%
ROIC 7.98%
ROICexc 8.03%
ROICexgc 8.07%
OM 10.47%
PM (TTM) 7.89%
GM 72.5%
FCFM 0.85%
ROA(3y)10.83%
ROA(5y)12.53%
ROE(3y)14.61%
ROE(5y)17.44%
ROIC(3y)12.18%
ROIC(5y)14.36%
ROICexc(3y)13.01%
ROICexc(5y)15.51%
ROICexgc(3y)13.1%
ROICexgc(5y)15.66%
ROCE(3y)16.07%
ROCE(5y)18.94%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-26.4%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-5.24%
ROICexc growth 3Y-26.26%
ROICexc growth 5Y-5.02%
OM growth 3Y-13.55%
OM growth 5Y2.22%
PM growth 3Y-14.91%
PM growth 5Y0.77%
GM growth 3Y1.82%
GM growth 5Y-0.89%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.93
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.06
Debt/FCF 6
Debt/EBITDA 0.28
Cap/Depr 228.36%
Cap/Sales 17.55%
Interest Coverage 21.43
Cash Conversion 101.33%
Profit Quality 10.72%
Current Ratio 1.64
Quick Ratio 1.64
Altman-Z 9.24
F-Score5
WACC10.4%
ROIC/WACC0.77
Cap/Depr(3y)323.67%
Cap/Depr(5y)281.27%
Cap/Sales(3y)21.78%
Cap/Sales(5y)18.2%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-29.53%
EPS 3Y-10.77%
EPS 5Y12.86%
EPS Q2Q%-37.68%
EPS Next Y13.55%
EPS Next 2Y20.72%
EPS Next 3Y19.86%
EPS Next 5Y20.8%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.79%
Revenue growth 3Y5.02%
Revenue growth 5Y12.16%
Sales Q2Q%0.13%
Revenue Next Year4.69%
Revenue Next 2Y6.97%
Revenue Next 3Y7.19%
Revenue Next 5Y7.62%
EBIT growth 1Y-30.42%
EBIT growth 3Y-9.21%
EBIT growth 5Y14.65%
EBIT Next Year85.8%
EBIT Next 3Y36.23%
EBIT Next 5Y30.6%
FCF growth 1Y105.94%
FCF growth 3Y-36.27%
FCF growth 5Y-18.92%
OCF growth 1Y1.93%
OCF growth 3Y7.95%
OCF growth 5Y13.99%

SAIA INC / SAIA Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of SAIA INC (SAIA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to SAIA.


What is the valuation status for SAIA stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to SAIA INC (SAIA). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is SAIA INC (SAIA) stock?

SAIA INC (SAIA) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of SAIA INC (SAIA) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for SAIA INC (SAIA) is 42.49 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 4.18.