SAIA INC (SAIA) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NASDAQ:SAIA - Nasdaq - US78709Y1055 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
SAIA gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 40 industry peers in the Ground Transportation industry. While SAIA belongs to the best of the industry regarding profitability, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. While showing a medium growth rate, SAIA is valued expensive at the moment.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year SAIA was profitable.
In the past year SAIA had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years SAIA has been profitable.
SAIA had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 9.54%, SAIA belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 82.50% of the companies in the same industry.
SAIA has a better Return On Equity (13.61%) than 62.50% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of SAIA (10.99%) is better than 85.00% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for SAIA is significantly above the industry average of 8.58%.
The 3 year average ROIC (15.73%) for SAIA is well above the current ROIC(10.99%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 9.54% | ||
| ROE | 13.61% | ||
| ROIC | 10.99% |
ROA(3y)13.87%
ROA(5y)12.85%
ROE(3y)18.86%
ROE(5y)18.34%
ROIC(3y)15.73%
ROIC(5y)14.87%
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of SAIA (9.91%) is better than 77.50% of its industry peers.
SAIA's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
The Operating Margin of SAIA (13.53%) is better than 80.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SAIA has grown nicely.
SAIA has a Gross Margin of 72.72%. This is amongst the best in the industry. SAIA outperforms 85.00% of its industry peers.
SAIA's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 13.53% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.91% | ||
| GM | 72.72% |
OM growth 3Y1.57%
OM growth 5Y12.17%
PM growth 3Y0.66%
PM growth 5Y12.13%
GM growth 3Y0.27%
GM growth 5Y-0.19%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), SAIA is creating some value.
SAIA has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, SAIA has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for SAIA is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
SAIA has an Altman-Z score of 7.19. This indicates that SAIA is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
SAIA has a Altman-Z score of 7.19. This is amongst the best in the industry. SAIA outperforms 90.00% of its industry peers.
SAIA has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.12. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
SAIA's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.12 is amongst the best of the industry. SAIA outperforms 82.50% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.12 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 7.19 |
ROIC/WACC1.15
WACC9.58%
2.3 Liquidity
SAIA has a Current Ratio of 1.43. This is a normal value and indicates that SAIA is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.43, SAIA is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 72.50% of the companies in the same industry.
SAIA has a Quick Ratio of 1.43. This is a normal value and indicates that SAIA is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a decent Quick ratio value of 1.43, SAIA is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.43 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.43 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for SAIA have decreased strongly by -13.12% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 25.67% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
Looking at the last year, SAIA shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 8.95% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, SAIA shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 12.43% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-13.12%
EPS 3Y12.53%
EPS 5Y25.67%
EPS Q2Q%-44.97%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.95%
Revenue growth 3Y11.93%
Revenue growth 5Y12.43%
Sales Q2Q%4.35%
3.2 Future
SAIA is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 9.13% yearly.
SAIA is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 6.43% yearly.
EPS Next Y-29.3%
EPS Next 2Y-3.56%
EPS Next 3Y5.14%
EPS Next 5Y9.13%
Revenue Next Year1.28%
Revenue Next 2Y4.27%
Revenue Next 3Y5.46%
Revenue Next 5Y6.43%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
SAIA is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 25.29.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of SAIA indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: SAIA is cheaper than 65.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
SAIA's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 27.30.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 24.14, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of SAIA.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as SAIA.
SAIA is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 21.76, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25.29 | ||
| Fwd PE | 24.14 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of SAIA is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.82 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The excellent profitability rating of SAIA may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.99
EPS Next 2Y-3.56%
EPS Next 3Y5.14%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
SAIA does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
303.28
-3.5 (-1.14%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryGround Transportation
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners114.58%
Inst Owner Change-0.01%
Ins Owners0.19%
Ins Owner Change4.29%
Market Cap8.08B
Analysts77.78
Price Target302.47 (-0.27%)
Short Float %6.43%
Short Ratio2.03
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-17.06%
Min EPS beat(2)-33.92%
Max EPS beat(2)-0.21%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-11.08%
Min EPS beat(4)-33.92%
Max EPS beat(4)-0.21%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-5.53%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-3.16%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)0.77%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.22%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.79%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.66%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.62%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.79%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.66%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.17%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.9%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.81%
PT rev (1m)1.08%
PT rev (3m)-41.08%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.97%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-41.48%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.67%
EPS NY rev (3m)-38.59%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.94%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-8.57%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.54%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-7.02%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25.29 | ||
| Fwd PE | 24.14 | ||
| P/S | 2.49 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 13.77 | ||
| P/B | 3.42 | ||
| P/tB | 3.45 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.82 |
EPS(TTM)11.99
EY3.95%
EPS(NY)12.57
Fwd EY4.14%
FCF(TTM)-7.62
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)22.02
OCFY7.26%
SpS121.74
BVpS88.64
TBVpS88.03
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.99
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 9.54% | ||
| ROE | 13.61% | ||
| ROCE | 14.44% | ||
| ROIC | 10.99% | ||
| ROICexc | 11.05% | ||
| ROICexgc | 11.11% | ||
| OM | 13.53% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.91% | ||
| GM | 72.72% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)13.87%
ROA(5y)12.85%
ROE(3y)18.86%
ROE(5y)18.34%
ROIC(3y)15.73%
ROIC(5y)14.87%
ROICexc(3y)17.22%
ROICexc(5y)16.06%
ROICexgc(3y)17.38%
ROICexgc(5y)16.23%
ROCE(3y)20.67%
ROCE(5y)19.54%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-10.36%
ROICexcg growth 5Y5.2%
ROICexc growth 3Y-10.13%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.47%
OM growth 3Y1.57%
OM growth 5Y12.17%
PM growth 3Y0.66%
PM growth 5Y12.13%
GM growth 3Y0.27%
GM growth 5Y-0.19%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.96
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.12 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.44 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 358.28% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 24.35% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 88.98% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.43 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.43 | ||
| Altman-Z | 7.19 |
F-Score5
WACC9.58%
ROIC/WACC1.15
Cap/Depr(3y)325.45%
Cap/Depr(5y)269.91%
Cap/Sales(3y)20.31%
Cap/Sales(5y)17.22%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-13.12%
EPS 3Y12.53%
EPS 5Y25.67%
EPS Q2Q%-44.97%
EPS Next Y-29.3%
EPS Next 2Y-3.56%
EPS Next 3Y5.14%
EPS Next 5Y9.13%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.95%
Revenue growth 3Y11.93%
Revenue growth 5Y12.43%
Sales Q2Q%4.35%
Revenue Next Year1.28%
Revenue Next 2Y4.27%
Revenue Next 3Y5.46%
Revenue Next 5Y6.43%
EBIT growth 1Y-8.67%
EBIT growth 3Y13.69%
EBIT growth 5Y26.1%
EBIT Next Year22.66%
EBIT Next 3Y21%
EBIT Next 5Y17.31%
FCF growth 1Y-533.71%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y18.14%
OCF growth 3Y15.12%
OCF growth 5Y16.42%