SAIA INC (SAIA) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:SAIA - US78709Y1055 - Common Stock
284.58 USD
-7.92 (-2.71%)
284.58 USD
0 (0%)
Overall SAIA gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated SAIA against 43 industry peers in the Ground Transportation industry. While SAIA belongs to the best of the industry regarding profitability, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. SAIA is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year SAIA was profitable.
In the past year SAIA had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years SAIA has always been profitable.
SAIA had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 8.10%, SAIA belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 86.05% of the companies in the same industry.
SAIA has a Return On Equity of 11.23%. This is in the better half of the industry: SAIA outperforms 67.44% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of SAIA (9.00%) is better than 79.07% of its industry peers.
SAIA had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 15.73%. This is significantly above the industry average of 7.72%.
The 3 year average ROIC (15.73%) for SAIA is well above the current ROIC(9.00%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.1% | ||
| ROE | 11.23% | ||
| ROIC | 9% |
ROA(3y)13.87%
ROA(5y)12.85%
ROE(3y)18.86%
ROE(5y)18.34%
ROIC(3y)15.73%
ROIC(5y)14.87%
1.3 Margins
SAIA has a Profit Margin of 8.77%. This is in the better half of the industry: SAIA outperforms 79.07% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of SAIA has grown nicely.
SAIA has a Operating Margin of 11.73%. This is in the better half of the industry: SAIA outperforms 79.07% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SAIA has grown nicely.
With an excellent Gross Margin value of 72.70%, SAIA belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 86.05% of the companies in the same industry.
SAIA's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.73% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.77% | ||
| GM | 72.7% |
OM growth 3Y1.57%
OM growth 5Y12.17%
PM growth 3Y0.66%
PM growth 5Y12.13%
GM growth 3Y0.27%
GM growth 5Y-0.19%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), SAIA is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, SAIA has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
Compared to 5 years ago, SAIA has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, SAIA has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
SAIA has an Altman-Z score of 6.91. This indicates that SAIA is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 6.91, SAIA belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 90.70% of the companies in the same industry.
SAIA has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.09. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.09, SAIA belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.72% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.09 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.91 |
ROIC/WACC0.96
WACC9.37%
2.3 Liquidity
SAIA has a Current Ratio of 1.68. This is a normal value and indicates that SAIA is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
SAIA has a Current ratio of 1.68. This is amongst the best in the industry. SAIA outperforms 83.72% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.68 indicates that SAIA should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of SAIA (1.68) is better than 83.72% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.68 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.68 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for SAIA have decreased strongly by -24.36% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 25.67% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
Looking at the last year, SAIA shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 1.96% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, SAIA shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 12.43% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-24.36%
EPS 3Y12.53%
EPS 5Y25.67%
EPS Q2Q%-6.94%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.96%
Revenue growth 3Y11.93%
Revenue growth 5Y12.43%
Sales Q2Q%-0.29%
3.2 Future
SAIA is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 10.54% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.76% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-30.5%
EPS Next 2Y-8.71%
EPS Next 3Y2.2%
EPS Next 5Y10.54%
Revenue Next Year0.31%
Revenue Next 2Y2.82%
Revenue Next 3Y4.56%
Revenue Next 5Y6.76%
3.3 Evolution
Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 26.87, which means the current valuation is very expensive for SAIA.
67.44% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than SAIA, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.51, SAIA is valued at the same level.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 25.28, the valuation of SAIA can be described as expensive.
SAIA's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.53, SAIA is valued at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26.87 | ||
| Fwd PE | 25.28 |
4.2 Price Multiples
SAIA's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.55 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
SAIA has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.05
EPS Next 2Y-8.71%
EPS Next 3Y2.2%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for SAIA!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
284.58
-7.92 (-2.71%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryGround Transportation
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners112.47%
Inst Owner Change-1.68%
Ins Owners0.19%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap7.58B
Revenue(TTM)3.23B
Net Income(TTM)283.62M
Analysts77.04
Price Target341.66 (20.06%)
Short Float %6.39%
Short Ratio3.4
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)16.8%
Min EPS beat(2)9.4%
Max EPS beat(2)24.19%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-0.13%
Min EPS beat(4)-33.92%
Max EPS beat(4)24.19%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-1.57%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-1.24%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)0.56%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.86%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.19%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.53%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.04%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.79%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.53%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.17%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.03%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.31%
PT rev (1m)0.35%
PT rev (3m)12.44%
EPS NQ rev (1m)1.74%
EPS NQ rev (3m)3.69%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.02%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.62%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.68%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.52%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.06%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.34%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26.87 | ||
| Fwd PE | 25.28 | ||
| P/S | 2.34 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 12.18 | ||
| P/B | 3 | ||
| P/tB | 3.02 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.55 |
EPS(TTM)10.59
EY3.72%
EPS(NY)11.26
Fwd EY3.96%
FCF(TTM)-0.51
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)23.36
OCFY8.21%
SpS121.37
BVpS94.82
TBVpS94.23
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.05
Graham Number150.31
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.1% | ||
| ROE | 11.23% | ||
| ROCE | 11.83% | ||
| ROIC | 9% | ||
| ROICexc | 9.1% | ||
| ROICexgc | 9.15% | ||
| OM | 11.73% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.77% | ||
| GM | 72.7% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)13.87%
ROA(5y)12.85%
ROE(3y)18.86%
ROE(5y)18.34%
ROIC(3y)15.73%
ROIC(5y)14.87%
ROICexc(3y)17.22%
ROICexc(5y)16.06%
ROICexgc(3y)17.38%
ROICexgc(5y)16.23%
ROCE(3y)20.67%
ROCE(5y)19.54%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-10.36%
ROICexgc growth 5Y5.2%
ROICexc growth 3Y-10.13%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.47%
OM growth 3Y1.57%
OM growth 5Y12.17%
PM growth 3Y0.66%
PM growth 5Y12.13%
GM growth 3Y0.27%
GM growth 5Y-0.19%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.92
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.09 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.35 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 265.37% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 19.67% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 100.56% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.68 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.68 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.91 |
F-Score4
WACC9.37%
ROIC/WACC0.96
Cap/Depr(3y)325.45%
Cap/Depr(5y)269.91%
Cap/Sales(3y)20.31%
Cap/Sales(5y)17.22%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-24.36%
EPS 3Y12.53%
EPS 5Y25.67%
EPS Q2Q%-6.94%
EPS Next Y-30.5%
EPS Next 2Y-8.71%
EPS Next 3Y2.2%
EPS Next 5Y10.54%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.96%
Revenue growth 3Y11.93%
Revenue growth 5Y12.43%
Sales Q2Q%-0.29%
Revenue Next Year0.31%
Revenue Next 2Y2.82%
Revenue Next 3Y4.56%
Revenue Next 5Y6.76%
EBIT growth 1Y-23.36%
EBIT growth 3Y13.69%
EBIT growth 5Y26.1%
EBIT Next Year21.49%
EBIT Next 3Y19.73%
EBIT Next 5Y18.01%
FCF growth 1Y-111.74%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y14.16%
OCF growth 3Y15.12%
OCF growth 5Y16.42%
SAIA INC / SAIA FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of SAIA INC (SAIA) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to SAIA.
What is the valuation status of SAIA INC (SAIA) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to SAIA INC (SAIA). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of SAIA stock?
SAIA INC (SAIA) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
What is the financial health of SAIA INC (SAIA) stock?
The financial health rating of SAIA INC (SAIA) is 5 / 10.