SAIA INC (SAIA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA • Nasdaq • NASDAQ:SAIA • US78709Y1055

381.64 USD
-27.96 (-6.83%)
At close: Feb 10, 2026
381.64 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 2/10/2026, 4:00:43 PM
Fundamental Rating

5

Taking everything into account, SAIA scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. SAIA was compared to 42 industry peers in the Ground Transportation industry. While SAIA has a great profitability rating, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. SAIA is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

9

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year SAIA was profitable.
  • In the past year SAIA had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In the past 5 years SAIA has always been profitable.
  • In the past 5 years SAIA always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
SAIA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSAIA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M -400M

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of SAIA (8.10%) is better than 83.33% of its industry peers.
  • SAIA has a better Return On Equity (11.23%) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
  • SAIA has a Return On Invested Capital of 9.00%. This is amongst the best in the industry. SAIA outperforms 85.71% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for SAIA is significantly above the industry average of 7.14%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (9.00%) for SAIA is well below the 3 year average (15.73%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that SAIA had better years and this may not be a problem.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.1%
ROE 11.23%
ROIC 9%
ROA(3y)13.87%
ROA(5y)12.85%
ROE(3y)18.86%
ROE(5y)18.34%
ROIC(3y)15.73%
ROIC(5y)14.87%
SAIA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSAIA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5 10 15 20

1.3 Margins

  • SAIA's Profit Margin of 8.77% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SAIA outperforms 78.57% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of SAIA has grown nicely.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 11.73%, SAIA is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 78.57% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SAIA has grown nicely.
  • With an excellent Gross Margin value of 72.70%, SAIA belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 85.71% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SAIA has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 11.73%
PM (TTM) 8.77%
GM 72.7%
OM growth 3Y1.57%
OM growth 5Y12.17%
PM growth 3Y0.66%
PM growth 5Y12.13%
GM growth 3Y0.27%
GM growth 5Y-0.19%
SAIA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSAIA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20 40 60

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so SAIA is still creating some value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for SAIA remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
  • SAIA has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • SAIA has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
SAIA Yearly Shares OutstandingSAIA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5M 10M 15M 20M 25M
SAIA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSAIA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 8.96 indicates that SAIA is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • SAIA has a Altman-Z score of 8.96. This is amongst the best in the industry. SAIA outperforms 88.10% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.09 indicates that SAIA is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • SAIA's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.09 is amongst the best of the industry. SAIA outperforms 83.33% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.09
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 8.96
ROIC/WACC0.89
WACC10.1%
SAIA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSAIA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • SAIA has a Current Ratio of 1.68. This is a normal value and indicates that SAIA is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of SAIA (1.68) is better than 78.57% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.68 indicates that SAIA should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • SAIA has a better Quick ratio (1.68) than 78.57% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.68
Quick Ratio 1.68
SAIA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSAIA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • SAIA shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -24.36%.
  • SAIA shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 25.67% yearly.
  • Looking at the last year, SAIA shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 1.96% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 12.43% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-24.36%
EPS 3Y12.53%
EPS 5Y25.67%
EPS Q2Q%-6.94%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.96%
Revenue growth 3Y11.93%
Revenue growth 5Y12.43%
Sales Q2Q%-0.29%

3.2 Future

  • SAIA is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 8.15% yearly.
  • SAIA is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 5.87% yearly.
EPS Next Y-27.81%
EPS Next 2Y-10.21%
EPS Next 3Y1.13%
EPS Next 5Y8.15%
Revenue Next Year0.46%
Revenue Next 2Y2.58%
Revenue Next 3Y4.82%
Revenue Next 5Y5.87%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
SAIA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSAIA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 1B 2B 3B 4B
SAIA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSAIA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 5 10 15

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 36.04, which means the current valuation is very expensive for SAIA.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as SAIA.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 28.06. SAIA is valued slightly more expensive when compared to this.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 35.04, the valuation of SAIA can be described as expensive.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as SAIA.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of SAIA to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.86), we can say SAIA is valued slightly more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 36.04
Fwd PE 35.04
SAIA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSAIA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 50 100 150

4.2 Price Multiples

  • The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as SAIA.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 17.93
SAIA Per share dataSAIA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40 60 80 100

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • SAIA has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.4
EPS Next 2Y-10.21%
EPS Next 3Y1.13%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for SAIA!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

SAIA INC

NASDAQ:SAIA (2/10/2026, 4:00:43 PM)

After market: 381.64 0 (0%)

381.64

-27.96 (-6.83%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryGround Transportation
Earnings (Last)10-30
Earnings (Next)02-10
Inst Owners111.68%
Inst Owner Change-0.96%
Ins Owners0.19%
Ins Owner Change-0.38%
Market Cap10.17B
Revenue(TTM)3.23B
Net Income(TTM)283.62M
Analysts75.56
Price Target353.69 (-7.32%)
Short Float %5.71%
Short Ratio3.12
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)16.8%
Min EPS beat(2)9.4%
Max EPS beat(2)24.19%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-0.13%
Min EPS beat(4)-33.92%
Max EPS beat(4)24.19%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-1.57%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-1.24%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)0.56%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.86%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.19%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.53%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.04%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.79%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.53%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.17%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.03%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.31%
PT rev (1m)4.1%
PT rev (3m)3.52%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.25%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.98%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.52%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.87%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.12%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.55%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.15%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 36.04
Fwd PE 35.04
P/S 3.14
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 16.33
P/B 4.02
P/tB 4.05
EV/EBITDA 17.93
EPS(TTM)10.59
EY2.77%
EPS(NY)10.89
Fwd EY2.85%
FCF(TTM)-0.51
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)23.36
OCFY6.12%
SpS121.37
BVpS94.82
TBVpS94.23
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.4
Graham Number150.31
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.1%
ROE 11.23%
ROCE 11.83%
ROIC 9%
ROICexc 9.1%
ROICexgc 9.15%
OM 11.73%
PM (TTM) 8.77%
GM 72.7%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)13.87%
ROA(5y)12.85%
ROE(3y)18.86%
ROE(5y)18.34%
ROIC(3y)15.73%
ROIC(5y)14.87%
ROICexc(3y)17.22%
ROICexc(5y)16.06%
ROICexgc(3y)17.38%
ROICexgc(5y)16.23%
ROCE(3y)20.67%
ROCE(5y)19.54%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-10.36%
ROICexgc growth 5Y5.2%
ROICexc growth 3Y-10.13%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.47%
OM growth 3Y1.57%
OM growth 5Y12.17%
PM growth 3Y0.66%
PM growth 5Y12.13%
GM growth 3Y0.27%
GM growth 5Y-0.19%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.92
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.09
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 0.35
Cap/Depr 265.37%
Cap/Sales 19.67%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 100.56%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.68
Quick Ratio 1.68
Altman-Z 8.96
F-Score4
WACC10.1%
ROIC/WACC0.89
Cap/Depr(3y)325.45%
Cap/Depr(5y)269.91%
Cap/Sales(3y)20.31%
Cap/Sales(5y)17.22%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-24.36%
EPS 3Y12.53%
EPS 5Y25.67%
EPS Q2Q%-6.94%
EPS Next Y-27.81%
EPS Next 2Y-10.21%
EPS Next 3Y1.13%
EPS Next 5Y8.15%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.96%
Revenue growth 3Y11.93%
Revenue growth 5Y12.43%
Sales Q2Q%-0.29%
Revenue Next Year0.46%
Revenue Next 2Y2.58%
Revenue Next 3Y4.82%
Revenue Next 5Y5.87%
EBIT growth 1Y-23.36%
EBIT growth 3Y13.69%
EBIT growth 5Y26.1%
EBIT Next Year23.48%
EBIT Next 3Y17.23%
EBIT Next 5Y15.81%
FCF growth 1Y-111.74%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y14.16%
OCF growth 3Y15.12%
OCF growth 5Y16.42%

SAIA INC / SAIA FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of SAIA INC (SAIA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to SAIA.


What is the valuation status for SAIA stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to SAIA INC (SAIA). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for SAIA INC?

SAIA INC (SAIA) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.


How financially healthy is SAIA INC?

The financial health rating of SAIA INC (SAIA) is 5 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for SAIA INC (SAIA) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SAIA INC (SAIA) is expected to decline by -27.81% in the next year.