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SAFEHOLD INC (SAFE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:SAFE - US78646V1070 - REIT

15.12 USD
+0.14 (+0.93%)
Last: 1/22/2026, 12:17:47 PM
Fundamental Rating

5

Overall SAFE gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated SAFE against 30 industry peers in the Specialized REITs industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of SAFE get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. SAFE has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year SAFE was profitable.
  • SAFE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In multiple years SAFE reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years SAFE had a positive operating cash flow.
SAFE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSAFE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M -400M

1.2 Ratios

  • SAFE has a worse Return On Assets (1.58%) than 60.00% of its industry peers.
  • SAFE's Return On Equity of 4.71% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. SAFE outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
  • With a Return On Invested Capital value of 3.41%, SAFE is not doing good in the industry: 60.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for SAFE is in line with the industry average of 4.86%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (3.41%) for SAFE is above the 3 year average (3.16%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.58%
ROE 4.71%
ROIC 3.41%
ROA(3y)1%
ROA(5y)0.63%
ROE(3y)2.79%
ROE(5y)1.88%
ROIC(3y)3.16%
ROIC(5y)2.78%
SAFE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSAFE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 20

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 29.67%, SAFE is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.33% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SAFE's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 79.87%, SAFE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 96.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SAFE's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • The Gross Margin of SAFE (98.82%) is better than 96.67% of its industry peers.
  • SAFE's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 79.87%
PM (TTM) 29.67%
GM 98.82%
OM growth 3Y0.15%
OM growth 5Y29.95%
PM growth 3Y-9.56%
PM growth 5Y-13.81%
GM growth 3Y0.09%
GM growth 5Y11.05%
SAFE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSAFE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40 60 80

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so SAFE is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, SAFE has more shares outstanding
  • The number of shares outstanding for SAFE has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, SAFE has a worse debt to assets ratio.
SAFE Yearly Shares OutstandingSAFE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M
SAFE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSAFE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

  • SAFE has an Altman-Z score of 0.67. This is a bad value and indicates that SAFE is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 0.67, SAFE is doing worse than 60.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SAFE has a debt to FCF ratio of 104.03. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as SAFE would need 104.03 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 104.03, SAFE is in line with its industry, outperforming 43.33% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SAFE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.89. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.89, SAFE is doing worse than 60.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.89
Debt/FCF 104.03
Altman-Z 0.67
ROIC/WACC0.6
WACC5.69%
SAFE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSAFE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

  • SAFE has a Current Ratio of 14.87. This indicates that SAFE is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 14.87, SAFE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 14.85 indicates that SAFE has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • With an excellent Quick ratio value of 14.85, SAFE belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 14.87
Quick Ratio 14.85
SAFE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSAFE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • SAFE shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 1.91%.
  • SAFE shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -41.29% yearly.
  • SAFE shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 0.72%.
  • The Revenue has been decreasing by -5.28% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)1.91%
EPS 3Y-58.56%
EPS 5Y-41.29%
EPS Q2Q%10.81%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.72%
Revenue growth 3Y25.05%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.28%
Sales Q2Q%6.02%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 4.71% on average over the next years.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, SAFE will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 8.99% on average per year.
EPS Next Y7.18%
EPS Next 2Y4.96%
EPS Next 3Y3.13%
EPS Next 5Y4.71%
Revenue Next Year6.08%
Revenue Next 2Y4.85%
Revenue Next 3Y4.18%
Revenue Next 5Y8.99%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
SAFE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSAFE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 200M 400M 600M 800M
SAFE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSAFE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 10 20 30 40

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 9.45 indicates a reasonable valuation of SAFE.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, SAFE is valued cheaply inside the industry as 96.67% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of SAFE to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.32), we can say SAFE is valued rather cheaply.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.74, the valuation of SAFE can be described as reasonable.
  • SAFE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. SAFE is cheaper than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 24.30, SAFE is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.45
Fwd PE 8.74
SAFE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSAFE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as SAFE.
  • SAFE's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 25
EV/EBITDA 17.87
SAFE Per share dataSAFE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • The decent profitability rating of SAFE may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)1.32
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y4.96%
EPS Next 3Y3.13%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.70%, SAFE is a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • SAFE's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 5.65.
  • SAFE's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.86.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.7%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of SAFE decreases each year by -2.09%.
  • SAFE has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • SAFE has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-2.09%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years1
SAFE Yearly Dividends per shareSAFE Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5.3 Sustainability

  • 45.17% of the earnings are spent on dividend by SAFE. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
DP45.17%
EPS Next 2Y4.96%
EPS Next 3Y3.13%
SAFE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendSAFE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M -400M
SAFE Dividend Payout.SAFE Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.SAFE Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

SAFEHOLD INC

NYSE:SAFE (1/22/2026, 12:17:47 PM)

15.12

+0.14 (+0.93%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorReal Estate
GICS IndustryGroupEquity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
GICS IndustrySpecialized REITs
Earnings (Last)11-05
Earnings (Next)02-03
Inst Owners65.7%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.7%
Ins Owner Change0.38%
Market Cap1.09B
Revenue(TTM)379.55M
Net Income(TTM)112.63M
Analysts77.65
Price Target20.5 (35.58%)
Short Float %4.68%
Short Ratio5.38
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.7%
Yearly Dividend0.71
Dividend Growth(5Y)-2.09%
DP45.17%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-1.6%
Min EPS beat(2)-5.51%
Max EPS beat(2)2.32%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-1.28%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.51%
Max EPS beat(4)2.32%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)1.36%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-124.22%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)2.76%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.75%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.18%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.32%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.44%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.26%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.02%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.69%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.14%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)8.96%
PT rev (1m)-1.47%
PT rev (3m)-5.29%
EPS NQ rev (1m)1.44%
EPS NQ rev (3m)5.52%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.56%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.24%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.29%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.04%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.11%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.45
Fwd PE 8.74
P/S 2.86
P/FCF 25
P/OCF 25
P/B 0.45
P/tB 0.5
EV/EBITDA 17.87
EPS(TTM)1.6
EY10.58%
EPS(NY)1.73
Fwd EY11.44%
FCF(TTM)0.6
FCFY4%
OCF(TTM)0.6
OCFY4%
SpS5.29
BVpS33.31
TBVpS30.44
PEG (NY)1.32
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number34.63
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.58%
ROE 4.71%
ROCE 4.32%
ROIC 3.41%
ROICexc 3.42%
ROICexgc 3.54%
OM 79.87%
PM (TTM) 29.67%
GM 98.82%
FCFM 11.43%
ROA(3y)1%
ROA(5y)0.63%
ROE(3y)2.79%
ROE(5y)1.88%
ROIC(3y)3.16%
ROIC(5y)2.78%
ROICexc(3y)3.48%
ROICexc(5y)3.02%
ROICexgc(3y)3.65%
ROICexgc(5y)3.15%
ROCE(3y)4%
ROCE(5y)3.52%
ROICexgc growth 3Y8.93%
ROICexgc growth 5Y13.72%
ROICexc growth 3Y7.64%
ROICexc growth 5Y14.13%
OM growth 3Y0.15%
OM growth 5Y29.95%
PM growth 3Y-9.56%
PM growth 5Y-13.81%
GM growth 3Y0.09%
GM growth 5Y11.05%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.05
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.89
Debt/FCF 104.03
Debt/EBITDA 14.46
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 13.9%
Profit Quality 38.53%
Current Ratio 14.87
Quick Ratio 14.85
Altman-Z 0.67
F-Score4
WACC5.69%
ROIC/WACC0.6
Cap/Depr(3y)43.87%
Cap/Depr(5y)45.88%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.24%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.88%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)1.91%
EPS 3Y-58.56%
EPS 5Y-41.29%
EPS Q2Q%10.81%
EPS Next Y7.18%
EPS Next 2Y4.96%
EPS Next 3Y3.13%
EPS Next 5Y4.71%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.72%
Revenue growth 3Y25.05%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.28%
Sales Q2Q%6.02%
Revenue Next Year6.08%
Revenue Next 2Y4.85%
Revenue Next 3Y4.18%
Revenue Next 5Y8.99%
EBIT growth 1Y3.07%
EBIT growth 3Y25.23%
EBIT growth 5Y23.09%
EBIT Next Year39.01%
EBIT Next 3Y17.44%
EBIT Next 5Y19.69%
FCF growth 1Y150.34%
FCF growth 3Y12.04%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y458.62%
OCF growth 3Y12.04%
OCF growth 5YN/A

SAFEHOLD INC / SAFE FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for SAFEHOLD INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to SAFE.


What is the valuation status of SAFEHOLD INC (SAFE) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to SAFEHOLD INC (SAFE). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of SAFE stock?

SAFEHOLD INC (SAFE) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for SAFE stock?

The financial health rating of SAFEHOLD INC (SAFE) is 4 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for SAFE stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SAFEHOLD INC (SAFE) is expected to grow by 7.18% in the next year.