SUNRUN INC (RUN) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:RUN - US86771W1053 - Common Stock
18.65 USD
-0.22 (-1.17%)
18.7 USD
+0.05 (+0.27%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to RUN. RUN was compared to 91 industry peers in the Electrical Equipment industry. RUN may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. RUN is not overvalued while it is showing excellent growth. This is an interesting combination.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year RUN was profitable.
In the past year RUN has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years RUN reported 4 times negative net income.
RUN had a negative operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
RUN has a Return On Assets (-11.10%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Return On Equity of RUN (-82.69%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -11.1% | ||
| ROE | -82.69% | ||
| ROIC | N/A |
ROA(3y)-7.08%
ROA(5y)-4.59%
ROE(3y)-46.51%
ROE(5y)-28.73%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
RUN has a Gross Margin (24.15%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
RUN's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
RUN does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 24.15% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y2.02%
GM growth 5Y-8.23%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
RUN does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
RUN has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, RUN has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for RUN is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
RUN has an Altman-Z score of -0.03. This is a bad value and indicates that RUN is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
RUN has a Altman-Z score (-0.03) which is in line with its industry peers.
RUN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 4.81. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of RUN (4.81) is worse than 81.32% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 4.81 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.03 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC5.22%
2.3 Liquidity
RUN has a Current Ratio of 1.46. This is a normal value and indicates that RUN is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of RUN (1.46) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.06 indicates that RUN should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
RUN has a Quick ratio (1.06) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.46 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.06 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 250.55% over the past year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 42.86% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue has grown by 13.79% in the past year. This is quite good.
Measured over the past years, RUN shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 18.87% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)250.55%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y42.86%
EPS Q2Q%116.22%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)13.79%
Revenue growth 3Y8.17%
Revenue growth 5Y18.87%
Sales Q2Q%34.88%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 31.96% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue is expected to grow by 10.45% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y-6.07%
EPS Next 2Y-33.03%
EPS Next 3Y-21.24%
EPS Next 5Y31.96%
Revenue Next Year9.61%
Revenue Next 2Y9.43%
Revenue Next 3Y10.71%
Revenue Next 5Y10.45%
3.3 Evolution
Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 6.81 indicates a rather cheap valuation of RUN.
97.80% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than RUN, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.89. RUN is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 34.94, which means the current valuation is very expensive for RUN.
RUN's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. RUN is cheaper than 68.13% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 34.59, RUN is valued at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.81 | ||
| Fwd PE | 34.94 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, RUN is valued a bit cheaper than 67.03% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 52.86 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
RUN's earnings are expected to decrease with -21.24% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.16
EPS Next 2Y-33.03%
EPS Next 3Y-21.24%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for RUN!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
18.65
-0.22 (-1.17%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryElectrical Equipment
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners106.19%
Inst Owner Change3.34%
Ins Owners2.66%
Ins Owner Change-4.1%
Market Cap4.30B
Revenue(TTM)2.32B
Net Income(TTM)-2.47B
Analysts75.17
Price Target19.62 (5.2%)
Short Float %25.19%
Short Ratio4.57
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)373.38%
Min EPS beat(2)167.72%
Max EPS beat(2)579.04%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)390.47%
Min EPS beat(4)167.72%
Max EPS beat(4)646.57%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)154.45%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)-72.53%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)-68.4%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)10.42%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.67%
Max Revenue beat(2)19.16%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)4.85%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.56%
Max Revenue beat(4)19.16%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.95%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.96%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.12%
PT rev (1m)33.77%
PT rev (3m)57.55%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-64.56%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.09%
EPS NY rev (1m)-9.01%
EPS NY rev (3m)296.89%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.73%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.61%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.26%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.35%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.81 | ||
| Fwd PE | 34.94 | ||
| P/S | 1.86 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | N/A | ||
| P/B | 1.44 | ||
| P/tB | 1.44 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 52.86 |
EPS(TTM)2.74
EY14.69%
EPS(NY)0.53
Fwd EY2.86%
FCF(TTM)-15.87
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-3.37
OCFYN/A
SpS10.04
BVpS12.93
TBVpS12.93
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.16
Graham Number28.24
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -11.1% | ||
| ROE | -82.69% | ||
| ROCE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | N/A | ||
| ROICexc | N/A | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 24.15% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)-7.08%
ROA(5y)-4.59%
ROE(3y)-46.51%
ROE(5y)-28.73%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y2.02%
GM growth 5Y-8.23%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.1
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 4.81 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 41.5 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 409.94% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 124.49% | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.46 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.06 | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.03 |
F-Score3
WACC5.22%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)457.15%
Cap/Depr(5y)441.02%
Cap/Sales(3y)111.53%
Cap/Sales(5y)108.9%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)250.55%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y42.86%
EPS Q2Q%116.22%
EPS Next Y-6.07%
EPS Next 2Y-33.03%
EPS Next 3Y-21.24%
EPS Next 5Y31.96%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)13.79%
Revenue growth 3Y8.17%
Revenue growth 5Y18.87%
Sales Q2Q%34.88%
Revenue Next Year9.61%
Revenue Next 2Y9.43%
Revenue Next 3Y10.71%
Revenue Next 5Y10.45%
EBIT growth 1Y43.82%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year140.47%
EBIT Next 3Y41.47%
EBIT Next 5Y30.2%
FCF growth 1Y-5.19%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y23.05%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A
SUNRUN INC / RUN FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of SUNRUN INC (RUN) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to RUN.
What is the valuation status of SUNRUN INC (RUN) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to SUNRUN INC (RUN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is SUNRUN INC (RUN) stock?
SUNRUN INC (RUN) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for SUNRUN INC (RUN) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SUNRUN INC (RUN) is expected to decline by -6.07% in the next year.