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SUNRUN INC (RUN) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:RUN - Nasdaq - US86771W1053 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

7.29  +0.1 (+1.39%)

After market: 7.35 +0.06 (+0.82%)

Fundamental Rating

2

Overall RUN gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. We evaluated RUN against 97 industry peers in the Electrical Equipment industry. RUN may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. While showing a medium growth rate, RUN is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

RUN had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year RUN has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years RUN reported 4 times negative net income.
In the past 5 years RUN always reported negative operating cash flow.
RUN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFRUN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -1B -2B -3B

1.2 Ratios

RUN has a Return On Assets (-14.30%) which is in line with its industry peers.
RUN has a Return On Equity of -111.43%. This is in the lower half of the industry: RUN underperforms 65.98% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -14.3%
ROE -111.43%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-7.08%
ROA(5y)-4.59%
ROE(3y)-46.51%
ROE(5y)-28.73%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
RUN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICRUN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -20 -40 -60 -80 -100

1.3 Margins

With a Gross Margin value of 16.12%, RUN perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 47.42% of the companies in the same industry.
RUN's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
RUN does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 16.12%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y2.02%
GM growth 5Y-8.23%
RUN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsRUN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -50 -100

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1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

RUN does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
The number of shares outstanding for RUN has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, RUN has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, RUN has a worse debt to assets ratio.
RUN Yearly Shares OutstandingRUN Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M
RUN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsRUN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

RUN has an Altman-Z score of -0.21. This is a bad value and indicates that RUN is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of RUN (-0.21) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 4.99 is on the high side and indicates that RUN has dependencies on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 4.99, RUN is doing worse than 79.38% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 4.99
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -0.21
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC4.55%
RUN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFRUN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.29 indicates that RUN should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of RUN (1.29) is worse than 65.98% of its industry peers.
RUN has a Quick Ratio of 1.29. This is a bad value and indicates that RUN is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
RUN has a Quick ratio (0.99) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.29
Quick Ratio 0.99
RUN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesRUN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

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6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

RUN shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 116.10%, which is quite impressive.
Measured over the past years, RUN shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 42.86% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, RUN shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -9.83% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, RUN shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 18.87% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)116.1%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y42.86%
EPS Q2Q%188.13%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-9.83%
Revenue growth 3Y8.17%
Revenue growth 5Y18.87%
Sales Q2Q%0.37%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, RUN will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 5.36% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 11.47% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y-214.06%
EPS Next 2Y-71.7%
EPS Next 3Y-43.84%
EPS Next 5Y5.36%
Revenue Next Year6.76%
Revenue Next 2Y9.76%
Revenue Next 3Y10.14%
Revenue Next 5Y11.47%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
RUN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesRUN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B
RUN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesRUN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 -2 -4 -6

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3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 6.13 indicates a rather cheap valuation of RUN.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, RUN is valued cheaper than 96.91% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of RUN to the average of the S&P500 Index (28.22), we can say RUN is valued rather cheaply.
RUN is expected to report negative earnings next year, which makes the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 6.13
Fwd PE N/A
RUN Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsRUN Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of RUN indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: RUN is cheaper than 62.89% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 293.6
RUN Per share dataRUN EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 -5 10 -10 -15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

RUN's earnings are expected to decrease with -43.84% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.14
EPS Next 2Y-71.7%
EPS Next 3Y-43.84%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

RUN does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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SUNRUN INC

NASDAQ:RUN (5/2/2025, 8:22:01 PM)

After market: 7.35 +0.06 (+0.82%)

7.29

+0.1 (+1.39%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryElectrical Equipment
Earnings (Last)02-27 2025-02-27/amc
Earnings (Next)05-07 2025-05-07/amc
Inst Owners112.59%
Inst Owner Change-0.56%
Ins Owners2.24%
Ins Owner Change3.57%
Market Cap1.67B
Analysts70.67
Price Target12.46 (70.92%)
Short Float %28.96%
Short Ratio4.87
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)244.53%
Min EPS beat(2)-157.51%
Max EPS beat(2)646.57%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)192.23%
Min EPS beat(4)-157.51%
Max EPS beat(4)646.57%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-307.64%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)-99.53%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-66.08%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-5.15%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.73%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4.56%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.2%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.73%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.68%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.88%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)3.05%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.58%
PT rev (1m)-17.84%
PT rev (3m)-33.22%
EPS NQ rev (1m)2.03%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-1.5%
EPS NY rev (1m)-14.58%
EPS NY rev (3m)-78.47%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.07%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-9.08%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.56%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-5.47%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 6.13
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.81
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 0.65
P/tB 0.65
EV/EBITDA 293.6
EPS(TTM)1.19
EY16.32%
EPS(NY)-1.36
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-15.33
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-3.39
OCFYN/A
SpS9.01
BVpS11.29
TBVpS11.29
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.14
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -14.3%
ROE -111.43%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 16.12%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-7.08%
ROA(5y)-4.59%
ROE(3y)-46.51%
ROE(5y)-28.73%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y2.02%
GM growth 5Y-8.23%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.1
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 4.99
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 266.24
Cap/Depr 435.03%
Cap/Sales 132.55%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.29
Quick Ratio 0.99
Altman-Z -0.21
F-Score3
WACC4.55%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)457.15%
Cap/Depr(5y)441.02%
Cap/Sales(3y)111.53%
Cap/Sales(5y)108.9%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)116.1%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y42.86%
EPS Q2Q%188.13%
EPS Next Y-214.06%
EPS Next 2Y-71.7%
EPS Next 3Y-43.84%
EPS Next 5Y5.36%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-9.83%
Revenue growth 3Y8.17%
Revenue growth 5Y18.87%
Sales Q2Q%0.37%
Revenue Next Year6.76%
Revenue Next 2Y9.76%
Revenue Next 3Y10.14%
Revenue Next 5Y11.47%
EBIT growth 1Y30.17%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year144.91%
EBIT Next 3Y42.39%
EBIT Next 5Y26.41%
FCF growth 1Y-1.12%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y6.65%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A