RRGB Fundamental Analysis - RED ROBIN GOURMET BURGERS

Fundamental Rating

We assign a fundamental rating of 1 out of 10 to RRGB. RRGB was compared to 131 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. Both the profitability and financial health of RRGB have multiple concerns. RRGB does not seem to be growing, but still is valued expensively.

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1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year RRGB has reported negative net income.

RRGB had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.

RRGB had negative earnings in each of the past 5 years.

Of the past 5 years RRGB 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.

1.2 Ratios

With a Return On Assets value of -11.02%, RRGB is not doing good in the industry: 85.50% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
ROA	-11.02%
ROE	N/A
ROIC	N/A

ROA(3y)-8.1%

ROA(5y)-11.6%

ROE(3y)N/A

ROE(5y)N/A

ROIC(3y)N/A

ROIC(5y)N/A

1.3 Margins

RRGB has a Gross Margin of 18.44%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: RRGB underperforms 87.02% of its industry peers.

RRGB's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.

The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for RRGB so they could not be analyzed.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
OM	N/A
PM (TTM)	N/A
GM	18.44%

OM growth 3YN/A

OM growth 5YN/A

PM growth 3YN/A

PM growth 5YN/A

GM growth 3Y-5.64%

GM growth 5Y-0.97%

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ROA

ROE

ROIC

Operating and Profit Margin

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2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

RRGB does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.

The number of shares outstanding for RRGB has been increased compared to 1 year ago.

Compared to 5 years ago, RRGB has more shares outstanding

The debt/assets ratio for RRGB is higher compared to a year ago.

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.61, we must say that RRGB is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.

RRGB's Altman-Z score of 1.61 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. RRGB outperforms 48.09% of its industry peers.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Debt/Equity	N/A
Debt/FCF	N/A
Altman-Z	1.61

ROIC/WACCN/A

WACC11.51%

2.3 Liquidity

RRGB has a Current Ratio of 0.46. This is a bad value and indicates that RRGB is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.

With a Current ratio value of 0.46, RRGB is not doing good in the industry: 78.63% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.

RRGB has a Quick Ratio of 0.46. This is a bad value and indicates that RRGB is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.

RRGB has a Quick ratio of 0.32. This is amonst the worse of the industry: RRGB underperforms 80.15% of its industry peers.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Current Ratio	0.46
Quick Ratio	0.32

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WACC

Debt/Equity

How to determine the health of a company

Altman-Z score

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3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 5.22% over the past year.

The Revenue has decreased by -1.68% in the past year.

RRGB shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -1.03% yearly.

EPS 1Y (TTM)5.22%

EPS 3YN/A

EPS 5YN/A

EPS Q2Q%123.75%

Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.68%

Revenue growth 3Y2.42%

Revenue growth 5Y-1.03%

Sales Q2Q%0.98%

3.2 Future

RRGB is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 34.31% yearly.

RRGB is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -1.59% yearly.

EPS Next Y63.16%

EPS Next 2Y34.31%

EPS Next 3YN/A

EPS Next 5YN/A

Revenue Next Year-2.05%

Revenue Next 2Y-1.59%

Revenue Next 3YN/A

Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.

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4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

RRGB reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.

Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for RRGB. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
PE	N/A
Fwd PE	N/A

4.2 Price Multiples

93.89% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than RRGB, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
P/FCF	N/A
EV/EBITDA	5.11

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A more expensive valuation may be justified as RRGB's earnings are expected to grow with 34.31% in the coming years.

PEG (NY)N/A

PEG (5Y)N/A

EPS Next 2Y34.31%

EPS Next 3YN/A

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5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for RRGB!.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Dividend Yield	N/A

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RED ROBIN GOURMET BURGERS

NASDAQ:RRGB (7/23/2025, 8:00:02 PM)

After market: 7.54 +0.1 (+1.34%)

7.44

+0.52 (+7.51%)

Chartmill FA Rating

GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary

GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services

GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure

Earnings (Last)05-29 2025-05-29/amc

Earnings (Next)08-13 2025-08-13

Inst Owners56.79%

Inst Owner Change0.01%

Ins Owners9.42%

Ins Owner Change24.03%

Market Cap131.99M

Analysts80

Price Target10.51 (41.26%)

Short Float %18.48%

Short Ratio2.32

Dividend

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Dividend Yield	N/A

Yearly DividendN/A

Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A

DPN/A

Div Incr Years0

Div Non Decr Years0

Ex-DateN/A

Surprises & Revisions

EPS beat(2)1

Avg EPS beat(2)39.43%

Min EPS beat(2)-58.89%

Max EPS beat(2)137.76%

EPS beat(4)1

Avg EPS beat(4)15.01%

Min EPS beat(4)-58.89%

Max EPS beat(4)137.76%

EPS beat(8)3

Avg EPS beat(8)7.41%

EPS beat(12)5

Avg EPS beat(12)-22.89%

EPS beat(16)6

Avg EPS beat(16)-364.77%

Revenue beat(2)0

Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.98%

Min Revenue beat(2)-1.15%

Max Revenue beat(2)-0.8%

Revenue beat(4)1

Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.53%

Min Revenue beat(4)-1.15%

Max Revenue beat(4)0.36%

Revenue beat(8)1

Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.1%

Revenue beat(12)2

Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.1%

Revenue beat(16)3

Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.37%

PT rev (1m)4.04%

PT rev (3m)5.1%

EPS NQ rev (1m)-2.94%

EPS NQ rev (3m)-12.5%

EPS NY rev (1m)16.32%

EPS NY rev (3m)30.86%

Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.51%

Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.34%

Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.4%

Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.96%

Valuation

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
PE	N/A
Fwd PE	N/A
P/S	0.11
P/FCF	N/A
P/OCF	10.24
P/B	N/A
P/tB	N/A
EV/EBITDA	5.11

EPS(TTM)-2.36

EYN/A

EPS(NY)-0.66

Fwd EYN/A

FCF(TTM)-0.95

FCFYN/A

OCF(TTM)0.73

OCFY9.76%

SpS70.6

BVpS-4.53

TBVpS-5.12

PEG (NY)N/A

PEG (5Y)N/A

Profitability

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
ROA	-11.02%
ROE	N/A
ROCE	N/A
ROIC	N/A
ROICexc	N/A
ROICexgc	N/A
OM	N/A
PM (TTM)	N/A
GM	18.44%
FCFM	N/A

ROA(3y)-8.1%

ROA(5y)-11.6%

ROE(3y)N/A

ROE(5y)N/A

ROIC(3y)N/A

ROIC(5y)N/A

ROICexc(3y)N/A

ROICexc(5y)N/A

ROICexgc(3y)N/A

ROICexgc(5y)N/A

ROCE(3y)N/A

ROCE(5y)N/A

ROICexcg growth 3YN/A

ROICexcg growth 5YN/A

ROICexc growth 3YN/A

ROICexc growth 5YN/A

OM growth 3YN/A

OM growth 5YN/A

PM growth 3YN/A

PM growth 5YN/A

GM growth 3Y-5.64%

GM growth 5Y-0.97%

F-Score3

Asset Turnover2.07

Health

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Debt/Equity	N/A
Debt/FCF	N/A
Debt/EBITDA	3.19
Cap/Depr	54.1%
Cap/Sales	2.38%
Interest Coverage	N/A
Cash Conversion	24.97%
Profit Quality	N/A
Current Ratio	0.46
Quick Ratio	0.32
Altman-Z	1.61

F-Score3

WACC11.51%

ROIC/WACCN/A

Cap/Depr(3y)56.64%

Cap/Depr(5y)49.17%

Cap/Sales(3y)2.97%

Cap/Sales(5y)3.02%

Profit Quality(3y)N/A

Profit Quality(5y)N/A

High Growth Momentum

Growth

EPS 1Y (TTM)5.22%

EPS 3YN/A

EPS 5YN/A

EPS Q2Q%123.75%

EPS Next Y63.16%

EPS Next 2Y34.31%

EPS Next 3YN/A

EPS Next 5YN/A

Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.68%

Revenue growth 3Y2.42%

Revenue growth 5Y-1.03%

Sales Q2Q%0.98%

Revenue Next Year-2.05%

Revenue Next 2Y-1.59%

Revenue Next 3YN/A

Revenue Next 5YN/A

EBIT growth 1Y80.09%

EBIT growth 3YN/A

EBIT growth 5YN/A

EBIT Next Year343.02%

EBIT Next 3YN/A

EBIT Next 5YN/A

FCF growth 1Y-230.8%

FCF growth 3YN/A

FCF growth 5YN/A

OCF growth 1Y-67.37%

OCF growth 3Y-46.99%

OCF growth 5Y-34.38%

RED ROBIN GOURMET BURGERS (RRGB) Stock Fundamental Analysis

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

1.2 Ratios

1.3 Margins

More info and screens

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

2.2 Solvency

2.3 Liquidity

More info and screens

3. Growth

3.1 Past

3.2 Future

3.3 Evolution

More info and screens

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

4.2 Price Multiples

4.3 Compensation for Growth

More info and screens

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

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