RED ROBIN GOURMET BURGERS (RRGB) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:RRGB • US75689M1018

Current stock price

3.34 USD
+0.07 (+2.14%)
At close:
3.35 USD
+0.01 (+0.3%)
After Hours:

This RRGB fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

1

1. RRGB Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year RRGB has reported negative net income.
  • In the past year RRGB had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In the past 5 years RRGB always reported negative net income.
  • RRGB had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
RRGB Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFRRGB Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M -100M -200M

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of RRGB (-4.13%) is worse than 76.98% of its industry peers.
  • RRGB's Return On Invested Capital of 2.87% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. RRGB is outperformed by 65.87% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -4.13%
ROE N/A
ROIC 2.87%
ROA(3y)-6.36%
ROA(5y)-6.76%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
RRGB Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICRRGB Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -500 -1K

1.3 Margins

  • RRGB has a Operating Margin of 1.09%. This is in the lower half of the industry: RRGB underperforms 78.57% of its industry peers.
  • The Gross Margin of RRGB (19.32%) is worse than 87.30% of its industry peers.
  • RRGB's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 1.09%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 19.32%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.16%
GM growth 5Y4.59%
RRGB Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsRRGB Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20 -20 -30

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1

2. RRGB Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • RRGB has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • RRGB has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • RRGB has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, RRGB has a worse debt to assets ratio.
RRGB Yearly Shares OutstandingRRGB Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5M 10M 15M
RRGB Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsRRGB Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.2 Solvency

  • RRGB has an Altman-Z score of 1.61. This is a bad value and indicates that RRGB is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • RRGB has a Altman-Z score (1.61) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • RRGB has a debt to FCF ratio of 27.55. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as RRGB would need 27.55 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • RRGB has a Debt to FCF ratio (27.55) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 27.55
Altman-Z 1.61
ROIC/WACC0.25
WACC11.37%
RRGB Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFRRGB Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M -100M 200M 300M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.45 indicates that RRGB may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.45, RRGB is doing worse than 82.54% of the companies in the same industry.
  • RRGB has a Quick Ratio of 0.45. This is a bad value and indicates that RRGB is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 0.32, RRGB is not doing good in the industry: 84.13% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.45
Quick Ratio 0.32
RRGB Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesRRGB Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

2

3. RRGB Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • RRGB shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 80.30%, which is quite impressive.
  • The Revenue has decreased by -3.07% in the past year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.86% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)80.3%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%56.38%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.07%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.51%
Revenue growth 5Y6.86%
Sales Q2Q%-5.67%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, RRGB will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 45.46% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, RRGB will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -1.97% on average per year.
EPS Next Y43.33%
EPS Next 2Y45.46%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-3.74%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.97%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
RRGB Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesRRGB Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
RRGB Yearly EPS VS EstimatesRRGB Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 -5 -10

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3

4. RRGB Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for RRGB. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
  • Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for RRGB. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
RRGB Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsRRGB Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 96.03% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than RRGB, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, RRGB is valued cheaply inside the industry as 90.48% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 9.7
EV/EBITDA 3.29
RRGB Per share dataRRGB EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • RRGB's earnings are expected to grow with 45.46% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y45.46%
EPS Next 3YN/A

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. RRGB Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • RRGB does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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RRGB Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

RED ROBIN GOURMET BURGERS

NASDAQ:RRGB (3/17/2026, 8:00:02 PM)

After market: 3.35 +0.01 (+0.3%)

3.34

+0.07 (+2.14%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-25
Earnings (Next)05-27
Inst Owners57.45%
Inst Owner Change-9.95%
Ins Owners7.86%
Ins Owner Change0.79%
Market Cap60.35M
Revenue(TTM)1.21B
Net Income(TTM)-23.28M
Analysts84
Price Target11.22 (235.93%)
Short Float %13.74%
Short Ratio7.32
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)19.9%
Min EPS beat(2)9.1%
Max EPS beat(2)30.7%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)110.5%
Min EPS beat(4)9.1%
Max EPS beat(4)264.45%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)42.32%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)42.21%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)7.09%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.53%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.19%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.24%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.34%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.26%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.24%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.67%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.67%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.74%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)1.85%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-193.34%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-146.67%
EPS NY rev (1m)21.43%
EPS NY rev (3m)-74.6%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.66%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.76%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.34%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.05
P/FCF 9.7
P/OCF 1.63
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 3.29
EPS(TTM)-0.66
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.37
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)0.34
FCFY10.31%
OCF(TTM)2.05
OCFY61.32%
SpS66.97
BVpS-5.89
TBVpS-6.39
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -4.13%
ROE N/A
ROCE 3.63%
ROIC 2.87%
ROICexc 3.03%
ROICexgc 3.12%
OM 1.09%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 19.32%
FCFM 0.51%
ROA(3y)-6.36%
ROA(5y)-6.76%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.16%
GM growth 5Y4.59%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover2.15
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 27.55
Debt/EBITDA 2.65
Cap/Depr 60.22%
Cap/Sales 2.54%
Interest Coverage 0.57
Cash Conversion 57.49%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.45
Quick Ratio 0.32
Altman-Z 1.61
F-Score5
WACC11.37%
ROIC/WACC0.25
Cap/Depr(3y)60%
Cap/Depr(5y)56.17%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.81%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.02%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)80.3%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%56.38%
EPS Next Y43.33%
EPS Next 2Y45.46%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.07%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.51%
Revenue growth 5Y6.86%
Sales Q2Q%-5.67%
Revenue Next Year-3.74%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.97%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y168.9%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year13099.4%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y132.78%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y425.16%
OCF growth 3Y1.4%
OCF growth 5Y12.87%

RED ROBIN GOURMET BURGERS / RRGB Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for RRGB stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 1 / 10 to RRGB.


Can you provide the valuation status for RED ROBIN GOURMET BURGERS?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to RED ROBIN GOURMET BURGERS (RRGB). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is RED ROBIN GOURMET BURGERS (RRGB) stock?

RED ROBIN GOURMET BURGERS (RRGB) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.