RED ROBIN GOURMET BURGERS (RRGB) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:RRGB • US75689M1018

Current stock price

4.12 USD
-0.06 (-1.44%)
At close:
4.05 USD
-0.07 (-1.7%)
Pre-Market:

This RRGB fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

1

1. RRGB Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • RRGB had negative earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year RRGB had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • RRGB had negative earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • Of the past 5 years RRGB 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
RRGB Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFRRGB Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M -100M -200M

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -4.13%, RRGB is doing worse than 77.78% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 2.87%, RRGB is doing worse than 65.08% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -4.13%
ROE N/A
ROIC 2.87%
ROA(3y)-6.36%
ROA(5y)-6.76%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
RRGB Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICRRGB Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -500 -1K

1.3 Margins

  • RRGB has a worse Operating Margin (1.09%) than 76.19% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 19.32%, RRGB is doing worse than 87.30% of the companies in the same industry.
  • RRGB's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 1.09%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 19.32%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.16%
GM growth 5Y4.59%
RRGB Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsRRGB Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20 -20 -30

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1

2. RRGB Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so RRGB is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, RRGB has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 5 years ago, RRGB has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, RRGB has a worse debt to assets ratio.
RRGB Yearly Shares OutstandingRRGB Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5M 10M 15M
RRGB Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsRRGB Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.2 Solvency

  • RRGB has an Altman-Z score of 1.62. This is a bad value and indicates that RRGB is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • RRGB's Altman-Z score of 1.62 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. RRGB outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
  • RRGB has a debt to FCF ratio of 27.55. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as RRGB would need 27.55 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 27.55, RRGB perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 40.48% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 27.55
Altman-Z 1.62
ROIC/WACC0.25
WACC11.38%
RRGB Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFRRGB Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M -100M 200M 300M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.45 indicates that RRGB may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of RRGB (0.45) is worse than 83.33% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.32 indicates that RRGB may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • RRGB has a worse Quick ratio (0.32) than 85.71% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.45
Quick Ratio 0.32
RRGB Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesRRGB Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

2

3. RRGB Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • RRGB shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 80.30%, which is quite impressive.
  • The Revenue has decreased by -3.07% in the past year.
  • RRGB shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 6.86% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)80.3%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%56.38%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.07%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.51%
Revenue growth 5Y6.86%
Sales Q2Q%-5.67%

3.2 Future

  • RRGB is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 50.42% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, RRGB will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -1.97% on average per year.
EPS Next Y41.27%
EPS Next 2Y50.42%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-3.9%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.97%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
RRGB Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesRRGB Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
RRGB Yearly EPS VS EstimatesRRGB Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 -5 -10

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3

4. RRGB Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for RRGB. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
  • Also next year RRGB is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
RRGB Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsRRGB Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of RRGB indicates a rather cheap valuation: RRGB is cheaper than 95.24% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • 88.10% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than RRGB, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 12.01
EV/EBITDA 3.52
RRGB Per share dataRRGB EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • RRGB's earnings are expected to grow with 50.42% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y50.42%
EPS Next 3YN/A

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. RRGB Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • RRGB does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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RRGB Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

RED ROBIN GOURMET BURGERS

NASDAQ:RRGB (4/22/2026, 8:00:02 PM)

Premarket: 4.05 -0.07 (-1.7%)

4.12

-0.06 (-1.44%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-25
Earnings (Next)05-27
Inst Owners54.11%
Inst Owner Change-1.49%
Ins Owners8.01%
Ins Owner Change6.37%
Market Cap74.74M
Revenue(TTM)1.21B
Net Income(TTM)-23.28M
Analysts84
Price Target11.05 (168.2%)
Short Float %13.96%
Short Ratio6.35
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)19.9%
Min EPS beat(2)9.1%
Max EPS beat(2)30.7%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)110.5%
Min EPS beat(4)9.1%
Max EPS beat(4)264.45%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)42.32%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)42.21%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)7.09%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.53%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.19%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.24%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.34%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.26%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.24%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.67%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.67%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.74%
PT rev (1m)-1.52%
PT rev (3m)-1.52%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-21.43%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-213.34%
EPS NY rev (1m)-3.64%
EPS NY rev (3m)-46.15%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.05%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.71%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.17%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.59%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.06
P/FCF 12.01
P/OCF 2.02
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 3.52
EPS(TTM)-0.66
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.39
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)0.34
FCFY8.33%
OCF(TTM)2.04
OCFY49.52%
SpS66.72
BVpS-5.86
TBVpS-6.37
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number0 (-100%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -4.13%
ROE N/A
ROCE 3.63%
ROIC 2.87%
ROICexc 3.03%
ROICexgc 3.12%
OM 1.09%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 19.32%
FCFM 0.51%
ROA(3y)-6.36%
ROA(5y)-6.76%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.16%
GM growth 5Y4.59%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover2.15
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 27.55
Debt/EBITDA 2.65
Cap/Depr 60.22%
Cap/Sales 2.54%
Interest Coverage 0.57
Cash Conversion 57.49%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.45
Quick Ratio 0.32
Altman-Z 1.62
F-Score5
WACC11.38%
ROIC/WACC0.25
Cap/Depr(3y)60%
Cap/Depr(5y)56.17%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.81%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.02%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)80.3%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%56.38%
EPS Next Y41.27%
EPS Next 2Y50.42%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.07%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.51%
Revenue growth 5Y6.86%
Sales Q2Q%-5.67%
Revenue Next Year-3.9%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.97%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y168.9%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year13063.3%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y132.78%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y425.16%
OCF growth 3Y1.4%
OCF growth 5Y12.87%

RED ROBIN GOURMET BURGERS / RRGB Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for RRGB stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 1 / 10 to RRGB.


Can you provide the valuation status for RED ROBIN GOURMET BURGERS?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to RED ROBIN GOURMET BURGERS (RRGB). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for RED ROBIN GOURMET BURGERS?

RED ROBIN GOURMET BURGERS (RRGB) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for RRGB stock?

The financial health rating of RED ROBIN GOURMET BURGERS (RRGB) is 1 / 10.