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RED ROBIN GOURMET BURGERS (RRGB) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:RRGB - Nasdaq - US75689M1018 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

2.89  -0.2 (-6.47%)

After market: 2.95 +0.06 (+2.08%)

Fundamental Rating

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We assign a fundamental rating of 1 out of 10 to RRGB. RRGB was compared to 135 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. Both the profitability and financial health of RRGB have multiple concerns. RRGB has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

RRGB had negative earnings in the past year.
In the past year RRGB had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years RRGB always reported negative net income.
RRGB had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
RRGB Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFRRGB Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M -100M -200M

1.2 Ratios

RRGB's Return On Assets of -12.09% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. RRGB is outperformed by 86.67% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -12.09%
ROE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-8.1%
ROA(5y)-11.6%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
RRGB Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICRRGB Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -500 -1K

1.3 Margins

RRGB's Gross Margin of 17.69% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. RRGB is outperformed by 87.41% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of RRGB has remained more or less at the same level.
RRGB does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 17.69%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.64%
GM growth 5Y-0.97%
RRGB Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsRRGB Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 20 -20 -30

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2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

RRGB does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
Compared to 1 year ago, RRGB has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, RRGB has more shares outstanding
RRGB has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
RRGB Yearly Shares OutstandingRRGB Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5M 10M 15M
RRGB Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsRRGB Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.39, we must say that RRGB is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of RRGB (1.39) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.39
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC10.85%
RRGB Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFRRGB Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M 200M 300M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.52 indicates that RRGB may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
RRGB has a Current ratio of 0.52. This is in the lower half of the industry: RRGB underperforms 72.59% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.38 indicates that RRGB may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of RRGB (0.38) is worse than 75.56% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.52
Quick Ratio 0.38
RRGB Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesRRGB Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M

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3. Growth

3.1 Past

RRGB shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -132.64%.
RRGB shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -4.18%.
RRGB shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -1.03% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-132.64%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-42.42%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-4.18%
Revenue growth 3Y2.42%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.03%
Sales Q2Q%-7.7%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, RRGB will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 30.10% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -0.87% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y46.87%
EPS Next 2Y30.1%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-1.1%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.87%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
RRGB Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesRRGB Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
RRGB Yearly EPS VS EstimatesRRGB Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 -5 -10

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4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

RRGB reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for RRGB. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
RRGB Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsRRGB Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20 30 40 50

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, RRGB is valued cheaper than 93.33% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 5.35
RRGB Per share dataRRGB EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

RRGB's earnings are expected to grow with 30.10% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y30.1%
EPS Next 3YN/A

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5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for RRGB!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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RED ROBIN GOURMET BURGERS

NASDAQ:RRGB (5/21/2025, 8:00:01 PM)

After market: 2.95 +0.06 (+2.08%)

2.89

-0.2 (-6.47%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-26 2025-02-26/amc
Earnings (Next)05-29 2025-05-29
Inst Owners56.67%
Inst Owner Change10.6%
Ins Owners5.76%
Ins Owner Change36.28%
Market Cap51.27M
Analysts80
Price Target9.64 (233.56%)
Short Float %19.33%
Short Ratio9.87
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-37.27%
Min EPS beat(2)-58.89%
Max EPS beat(2)-15.64%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-25.86%
Min EPS beat(4)-58.89%
Max EPS beat(4)-3.2%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)8.06%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-27.38%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-368.71%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.67%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.8%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.55%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.01%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.36%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.83%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.87%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.11%
PT rev (1m)-3.57%
PT rev (3m)2.16%
EPS NQ rev (1m)1.99%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-14.73%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.29%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.77%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.15%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.34%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.95%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.04
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 7.28
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 5.35
EPS(TTM)-3.35
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-1.78
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-1.07
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.4
OCFY13.75%
SpS70.38
BVpS-4.75
TBVpS-5.37
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -12.09%
ROE N/A
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 17.69%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-8.1%
ROA(5y)-11.6%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.64%
GM growth 5Y-0.97%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover1.95
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 4.72
Cap/Depr 45.1%
Cap/Sales 2.09%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion 18.3%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.52
Quick Ratio 0.38
Altman-Z 1.39
F-Score4
WACC10.85%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)56.64%
Cap/Depr(5y)49.17%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.97%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.02%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-132.64%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-42.42%
EPS Next Y46.87%
EPS Next 2Y30.1%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-4.18%
Revenue growth 3Y2.42%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.03%
Sales Q2Q%-7.7%
Revenue Next Year-1.1%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.87%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-1126.75%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year343.3%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y62.47%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y709.08%
OCF growth 3Y-46.99%
OCF growth 5Y-34.38%