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RESOLUTE FOREST PRODUCTS (RFP) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:RFP - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US76117W1099 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

21.92  -0.08 (-0.36%)

After market: 21.92 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

4

Overall RFP gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated RFP against 9 industry peers in the Paper & Forest Products industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of RFP get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. RFP is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

RFP had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year RFP had a positive cash flow from operations.
RFP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFRFP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 200M -200M 400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

RFP has a Return On Assets (10.49%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
RFP has a Return On Equity of 20.09%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: RFP outperforms 55.56% of its industry peers.
RFP's Return On Invested Capital of 13.95% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. RFP outperforms 55.56% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for RFP is in line with the industry average of 7.28%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (13.95%) for RFP is above the 3 year average (8.05%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 10.49%
ROE 20.09%
ROIC 13.95%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)8.05%
ROIC(5y)N/A
RFP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICRFP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 10 -10 20

1.3 Margins

RFP has a Profit Margin (11.15%) which is in line with its industry peers.
RFP's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
RFP has a Operating Margin (16.45%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
RFP's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With a decent Gross Margin value of 35.37%, RFP is doing good in the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
RFP's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 16.45%
PM (TTM) 11.15%
GM 35.37%
OM growth 3Y28.1%
OM growth 5Y75.76%
PM growth 3Y10.23%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.09%
GM growth 5Y10.25%
RFP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsRFP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 10 20 30

6

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), RFP is creating some value.
RFP has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, RFP has an improved debt to assets ratio.
RFP Yearly Shares OutstandingRFP Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 20M 40M 60M 80M
RFP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsRFP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 2.10 indicates that RFP is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
RFP's Altman-Z score of 2.10 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. RFP outperforms 44.44% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of RFP is 0.54, which is an excellent value as it means it would take RFP, only 0.54 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 0.54, RFP is doing good in the industry, outperforming 77.78% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.14 indicates that RFP is not too dependend on debt financing.
With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.14, RFP is doing good in the industry, outperforming 77.78% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.14
Debt/FCF 0.54
Altman-Z 2.1
ROIC/WACC1.43
WACC9.73%
RFP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFRFP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 2.91 indicates that RFP has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
RFP has a better Current ratio (2.91) than 77.78% of its industry peers.
RFP has a Quick Ratio of 1.70. This is a normal value and indicates that RFP is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.70, RFP is in line with its industry, outperforming 55.56% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.91
Quick Ratio 1.7
RFP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesRFP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for RFP have decreased strongly by -11.55% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 164.80% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
Looking at the last year, RFP shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 5.89% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, RFP shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 0.66% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.55%
EPS 3Y49.2%
EPS 5Y164.8%
EPS Q2Q%28.57%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.89%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.82%
Revenue growth 5Y0.66%
Sales Q2Q%19.22%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -28.92% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -2.42% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-9.24%
EPS Next 2Y-42.65%
EPS Next 3Y-28.92%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year3.88%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.47%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.42%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
RFP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesRFP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B 4B
RFP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesRFP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2 4 6

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 3.77, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of RFP.
66.67% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than RFP, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.54, RFP is valued rather cheaply.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.24 indicates a reasonable valuation of RFP.
RFP's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
RFP is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 35.28, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 3.77
Fwd PE 10.24
RFP Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsRFP Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

RFP's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. RFP is cheaper than 77.78% of the companies in the same industry.
100.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than RFP, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 3.03
EV/EBITDA 2
RFP Per share dataRFP EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

RFP's earnings are expected to decrease with -28.92% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.02
EPS Next 2Y-42.65%
EPS Next 3Y-28.92%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for RFP!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

RESOLUTE FOREST PRODUCTS

NYSE:RFP (2/28/2023, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 21.92 0 (0%)

21.92

-0.08 (-0.36%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryPaper & Forest Products
Earnings (Last)02-02 2023-02-02
Earnings (Next)05-03 2023-05-03
Inst Owners0%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners13.88%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap1.68B
Analysts44.44
Price Target23.26 (6.11%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)22.42%
Min EPS beat(2)20.5%
Max EPS beat(2)24.34%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)5.5%
Min EPS beat(4)-39.07%
Max EPS beat(4)24.34%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.47%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.51%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.42%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.44%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.74%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.42%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.27%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.43%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.97%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 3.77
Fwd PE 10.24
P/S 0.44
P/FCF 3.03
P/OCF 2.55
P/B 0.8
P/tB 0.85
EV/EBITDA 2
EPS(TTM)5.82
EY26.55%
EPS(NY)2.14
Fwd EY9.77%
FCF(TTM)7.23
FCFY32.96%
OCF(TTM)8.58
OCFY39.14%
SpS49.61
BVpS27.55
TBVpS25.7
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.02
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 10.49%
ROE 20.09%
ROCE N/A
ROIC 13.95%
ROICexc 15.95%
ROICexgc 16.72%
OM 16.45%
PM (TTM) 11.15%
GM 35.37%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)8.05%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)7.81%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y27.4%
ROICexcg growth 5Y85.03%
ROICexc growth 3Y26.85%
ROICexc growth 5Y85.43%
OM growth 3Y28.1%
OM growth 5Y75.76%
PM growth 3Y10.23%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.09%
GM growth 5Y10.25%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.94
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.14
Debt/FCF 0.54
Debt/EBITDA 0.39
Cap/Depr 73.24%
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality 130.59%
Current Ratio 2.91
Quick Ratio 1.7
Altman-Z 2.1
F-Score7
WACC9.73%
ROIC/WACC1.43
Cap/Depr(3y)60.7%
Cap/Depr(5y)67.12%
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.55%
EPS 3Y49.2%
EPS 5Y164.8%
EPS Q2Q%28.57%
EPS Next Y-9.24%
EPS Next 2Y-42.65%
EPS Next 3Y-28.92%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.89%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.82%
Revenue growth 5Y0.66%
Sales Q2Q%19.22%
Revenue Next Year3.88%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.47%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.42%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-15.73%
EBIT growth 3Y27.05%
EBIT growth 5Y76.92%
EBIT Next Year5.31%
EBIT Next 3Y-15.9%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y873.68%
FCF growth 3Y24.17%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y367.38%
OCF growth 3Y14.21%
OCF growth 5Y51.57%