Fundamental Analysis of REALREAL INC/THE(NASDAQ:REAL) stock

Fundamental Rating

Taking everything into account, REAL scores 2 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. REAL was compared to 126 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. Both the profitability and financial health of REAL have multiple concerns. REAL is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.

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1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

REAL had negative earnings in the past year.

REAL had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.

In the past 5 years REAL always reported negative net income.

REAL had a negative operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.

1.2 Ratios

REAL's Return On Assets of -37.68% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. REAL is outperformed by 92.86% of its industry peers.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
ROA	-37.68%
ROE	N/A
ROIC	N/A

ROA(3y)-33.63%

ROA(5y)-30.36%

ROE(3y)N/A

ROE(5y)N/A

ROIC(3y)N/A

ROIC(5y)N/A

1.3 Margins

The Gross Margin of REAL (68.51%) is better than 97.62% of its industry peers.

In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of REAL has remained more or less at the same level.

The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for REAL so they could not be analyzed.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
OM	N/A
PM (TTM)	N/A
GM	68.51%

OM growth 3YN/A

OM growth 5YN/A

PM growth 3YN/A

PM growth 5YN/A

GM growth 3Y3.07%

GM growth 5Y1.35%

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ROA

ROE

ROIC

Operating and Profit Margin

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2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

REAL does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.

Compared to 1 year ago, REAL has more shares outstanding

Compared to 5 years ago, REAL has more shares outstanding

REAL has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.

2.2 Solvency

REAL has an Altman-Z score of -2.72. This is a bad value and indicates that REAL is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.

REAL's Altman-Z score of -2.72 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. REAL is outperformed by 92.06% of its industry peers.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Debt/Equity	N/A
Debt/FCF	N/A
Altman-Z	-2.72

ROIC/WACCN/A

WACC6.88%

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.25 indicates that REAL should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.

REAL has a worse Current ratio (1.25) than 61.90% of its industry peers.

A Quick Ratio of 1.13 indicates that REAL should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.

The Quick ratio of REAL (1.13) is better than 73.02% of its industry peers.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Current Ratio	1.25
Quick Ratio	1.13

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WACC

Debt/Equity

How to determine the health of a company

Altman-Z score

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3. Growth

3.1 Past

REAL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 42.86%, which is quite impressive.

The Revenue has decreased by -8.97% in the past year.

REAL shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 20.78% yearly.

EPS 1Y (TTM)42.86%

EPS 3YN/A

EPS 5YN/A

EPS growth Q2Q75.86%

Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.97%

Revenue growth 3Y22.35%

Revenue growth 5Y20.78%

Revenue growth Q2Q-10.22%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 18.40% on average over the next years. This is quite good.

Based on estimates for the next years, REAL will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 11.48% on average per year.

EPS Next Y54.22%

EPS Next 2Y32.97%

EPS Next 3Y22.23%

EPS Next 5Y18.4%

Revenue Next Year7.36%

Revenue Next 2Y8.59%

Revenue Next 3Y12.16%

Revenue Next 5Y11.48%

3.3 Evolution

The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.

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4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

REAL reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.

Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for REAL. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
PE	N/A
Fwd PE	N/A

4.2 Price Multiples

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
P/FCF	N/A
EV/EBITDA	N/A

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A more expensive valuation may be justified as REAL's earnings are expected to grow with 22.23% in the coming years.

PEG (NY)N/A

PEG (5Y)N/A

EPS Next 2Y32.97%

EPS Next 3Y22.23%

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5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for REAL!.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Dividend Yield	N/A

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REALREAL INC/THE

NASDAQ:REAL (5/3/2024, 7:15:13 PM)

After market: 3.8702 -0.03 (-0.76%)

3.9

+0.13 (+3.45%)

Chartmill FA Rating

GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary

GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail

GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail

Earnings (Last)

Earnings (Next)

Inst Owners

Inst Owner Change

Ins Owners

Ins Owner Change

Market Cap408.29M

Analysts

Price Target

Dividend

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Dividend Yield	N/A

Dividend Growth(5Y)

Div Incr Years

Div Non Decr Years

Ex-Date

Surprises & Revisions

EPS beat(2)

Avg EPS beat(2)

Min EPS beat(2)

Max EPS beat(2)

EPS beat(4)

Avg EPS beat(4)

Min EPS beat(4)

Max EPS beat(4)

EPS beat(8)

Avg EPS beat(8)

EPS beat(12)

Avg EPS beat(12)

EPS beat(16)

Avg EPS beat(16)

Revenue beat(2)

Avg Revenue beat(2)

Min Revenue beat(2)

Max Revenue beat(2)

Revenue beat(4)

Avg Revenue beat(4)

Min Revenue beat(4)

Max Revenue beat(4)

Revenue beat(8)

Avg Revenue beat(8)

Revenue beat(12)

Avg Revenue beat(12)

Revenue beat(16)

Avg Revenue beat(16)

PT rev (1m)

PT rev (3m)

EPS NQ rev (1m)

EPS NQ rev (3m)

EPS NY rev (1m)

EPS NY rev (3m)

Revenue NQ rev (1m)

Revenue NQ rev (3m)

Revenue NY rev (1m)

Revenue NY rev (3m)

Valuation

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
PE	N/A
Fwd PE	N/A
P/S
P/FCF
P/OCF
P/B
P/tB
EV/EBITDA

EPS(TTM)

EPS(NY)

Fwd EY

FCF(TTM)

FCFY

OCF(TTM)

OCFY

SpS

BVpS

TBVpS

PEG (NY)N/A

PEG (5Y)N/A

Profitability

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
ROA	-37.68%
ROE	N/A
ROCE
ROIC
ROICexc
ROICexgc
OM	N/A
PM (TTM)	N/A
GM	68.51%
FCFM

ROA(3y)

ROA(5y)

ROE(3y)

ROE(5y)

ROIC(3y)

ROIC(5y)

ROICexc(3y)

ROICexc(5y)

ROICexgc(3y)

ROICexgc(5y)

ROCE(3y)

ROCE(5y)

ROICexcg growth 3Y

ROICexcg growth 5Y

ROICexc growth 3Y

ROICexc growth 5Y

OM growth 3Y

OM growth 5Y

PM growth 3Y

PM growth 5Y

GM growth 3Y

GM growth 5Y

F-Score

Asset Turnover1.23

Health

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Debt/Equity	N/A
Debt/FCF
Debt/EBITDA
Cap/Depr
Cap/Sales
Interest Coverage
Cash Conversion
Profit Quality
Current Ratio	1.25
Quick Ratio	1.13
Altman-Z

F-Score

WACC

ROIC/WACC

Cap/Depr(3y)

Cap/Depr(5y)

Cap/Sales(3y)

Cap/Sales(5y)

Profit Quality(3y)

Profit Quality(5y)

Growth

EPS 1Y (TTM)42.86%

EPS 3YN/A

EPS 5Y

EPS growth Q2Q

EPS Next Y54.22%

EPS Next 2Y

EPS Next 3Y

EPS Next 5Y

Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.97%

Revenue growth 3Y22.35%

Revenue growth 5Y

Revenue growth Q2Q

Revenue Next Year

Revenue Next 2Y

Revenue Next 3Y

Revenue Next 5Y

EBIT growth 1Y

EBIT growth 3Y

EBIT growth 5Y

EBIT Next Year

EBIT Next 3Y

EBIT Next 5Y

FCF growth 1Y

FCF growth 3Y

FCF growth 5Y

OCF growth 1Y

OCF growth 3Y

OCF growth 5Y

REALREAL INC/THE (REAL)

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

1.2 Ratios

1.3 Margins

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2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

2.2 Solvency

2.3 Liquidity

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3. Growth

3.1 Past

3.2 Future

3.3 Evolution

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4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

4.2 Price Multiples

4.3 Compensation for Growth

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5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

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