Rallye (RAL.PA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

EPA:RAL • FR0000060618

0.0441 EUR
+0 (+2.56%)
Last: Apr 22, 2024, 07:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

2

Overall RAL gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. We evaluated RAL against 26 industry peers in the Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail industry. RAL may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. RAL does not seem to be growing, but still is valued expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • RAL had negative earnings in the past year.
  • RAL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
RAL.PA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFRAL.PA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 1B 2B

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -11.26%, RAL is doing worse than 82.76% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for RAL is significantly below the industry average of 9.15%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (3.44%) for RAL is well above the current ROIC(%ROIC%%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -11.26%
ROE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-0.87%
ROA(5y)-1.16%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)3.44%
ROIC(5y)3.37%
RAL.PA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICRAL.PA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 100 200 300 400

1.3 Margins

  • The Operating Margin of RAL (4.83%) is better than 93.10% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of RAL has grown nicely.
  • The Gross Margin of RAL (7.87%) is worse than 89.66% of its industry peers.
  • RAL's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 4.83%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 7.87%
OM growth 3Y9.77%
OM growth 5Y2.78%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.87%
GM growth 5Y1.82%
RAL.PA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsRAL.PA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 2 -2 4 6 8

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • RAL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • RAL has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, RAL has a worse debt to assets ratio.
RAL.PA Yearly Shares OutstandingRAL.PA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 10M 20M 30M 40M 50M
RAL.PA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsRAL.PA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 10B 20B 30B 40B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.63, we must say that RAL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • RAL's Altman-Z score of 0.63 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. RAL is outperformed by 86.21% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.63
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC3.68%
RAL.PA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFRAL.PA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 5B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

  • RAL has a Current Ratio of 0.92. This is a bad value and indicates that RAL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Current ratio value of 0.92, RAL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 58.62% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.92 indicates that RAL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • RAL has a better Quick ratio (0.92) than 86.21% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.92
Quick Ratio 0.92
RAL.PA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesRAL.PA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 5B 10B 15B

2

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • RAL shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -824.80%.
  • The Revenue has grown by 9.33% in the past year. This is quite good.
  • Measured over the past years, RAL shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -2.63% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-824.8%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-3989.22%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.33%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.25%
Revenue growth 5Y-2.63%
Sales Q2Q%0%

3.2 Future

  • RAL is expected to show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -47.66% yearly.
  • RAL is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 7.56% yearly.
EPS Next Y-198.48%
EPS Next 2Y-76.24%
EPS Next 3Y-47.66%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year10.65%
Revenue Next 2Y8.28%
Revenue Next 3Y7.56%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
RAL.PA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesRAL.PA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B 40B
RAL.PA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesRAL.PA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 0.5 -0.5 1 1.5

1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • RAL reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
  • Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for RAL. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
RAL.PA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsRAL.PA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, RAL is valued cheaply inside the industry as 100.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 1.41
RAL.PA Per share dataRAL.PA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 100 200 300

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • RAL's earnings are expected to decrease with -47.66% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-76.24%
EPS Next 3Y-47.66%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • RAL does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

Rallye

EPA:RAL (4/22/2024, 7:00:00 PM)

0.0441

+0 (+2.56%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Earnings (Last)03-14
Earnings (Next)07-25
Inst OwnersN/A
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap2.33M
Revenue(TTM)17.88B
Net Income(TTM)-2.41B
Analysts42.86
Price Target0.1 (126.76%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0.8
Dividend Growth(5Y)-8.41%
DP-0.33%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.92%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 0.01
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 1.41
EPS(TTM)-45.5
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.74
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-28
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)3.19
OCFY7240.79%
SpS337.85
BVpS-58.42
TBVpS-58.42
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -11.26%
ROE N/A
ROCE -44.35%
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM 4.83%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 7.87%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-0.87%
ROA(5y)-1.16%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)3.44%
ROIC(5y)3.37%
ROICexc(3y)3.95%
ROICexc(5y)3.96%
ROICexgc(3y)9.21%
ROICexgc(5y)9.53%
ROCE(3y)4.68%
ROCE(5y)4.59%
ROICexgc growth 3Y2.62%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-2.33%
ROICexc growth 3Y7.9%
ROICexc growth 5Y2.55%
OM growth 3Y9.77%
OM growth 5Y2.78%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.87%
GM growth 5Y1.82%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.84
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 0
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 7.49%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.92
Quick Ratio 0.92
Altman-Z 0.63
F-Score5
WACC3.68%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)91.16%
Cap/Depr(5y)89.32%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.77%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.57%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-824.8%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-3989.22%
EPS Next Y-198.48%
EPS Next 2Y-76.24%
EPS Next 3Y-47.66%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.33%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.25%
Revenue growth 5Y-2.63%
Sales Q2Q%0%
Revenue Next Year10.65%
Revenue Next 2Y8.28%
Revenue Next 3Y7.56%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y133.51%
EBIT growth 3Y8.39%
EBIT growth 5Y0.07%
EBIT Next Year121.31%
EBIT Next 3Y35.24%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-248.65%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-91.45%
OCF growth 3Y3.06%
OCF growth 5Y3.77%

Rallye / RAL.PA FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for RAL stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to RAL.PA.


Can you provide the valuation status for Rallye?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to Rallye (RAL.PA). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for Rallye?

Rallye (RAL.PA) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for RAL stock?

The financial health rating of Rallye (RAL.PA) is 1 / 10.