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Rallye (RAL.PA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

EPA:RAL - Euronext Paris - Matif - FR0000060618 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

0.0441  +0 (+2.56%)

Fundamental Rating

2

RAL gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 25 industry peers in the Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail industry. RAL has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. RAL does not seem to be growing, but still is valued expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year RAL has reported negative net income.
RAL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
RAL had negative earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years RAL always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
RAL.PA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFRAL.PA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 1B 2B

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -11.26%, RAL is doing worse than 82.76% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for RAL is significantly below the industry average of 10.12%.
The 3 year average ROIC (3.44%) for RAL is well above the current ROIC(%ROIC%%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -11.26%
ROE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-0.87%
ROA(5y)-1.16%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)3.44%
ROIC(5y)3.37%
RAL.PA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICRAL.PA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 100 200 300 400

1.3 Margins

The Operating Margin of RAL (4.83%) is better than 93.10% of its industry peers.
RAL's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
RAL has a Gross Margin of 7.87%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: RAL underperforms 89.66% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of RAL has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 4.83%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 7.87%
OM growth 3Y9.77%
OM growth 5Y2.78%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.87%
GM growth 5Y1.82%
RAL.PA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsRAL.PA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 2 -2 4 6 8

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1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), RAL is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, RAL has more shares outstanding
RAL has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
RAL.PA Yearly Shares OutstandingRAL.PA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 10M 20M 30M 40M 50M
RAL.PA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsRAL.PA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 10B 20B 30B 40B

2.2 Solvency

RAL has an Altman-Z score of 0.63. This is a bad value and indicates that RAL is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 0.63, RAL is doing worse than 86.21% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.63
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC3.68%
RAL.PA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFRAL.PA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 5B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

RAL has a Current Ratio of 0.92. This is a bad value and indicates that RAL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of RAL (0.92) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.92 indicates that RAL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.92, RAL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 86.21% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.92
Quick Ratio 0.92
RAL.PA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesRAL.PA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 5B 10B 15B

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2

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for RAL have decreased strongly by -824.80% in the last year.
Looking at the last year, RAL shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 9.33% in the last year.
RAL shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -2.63% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-824.8%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-3989.22%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.33%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.25%
Revenue growth 5Y-2.63%
Sales Q2Q%0%

3.2 Future

RAL is expected to show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -47.66% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, RAL will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 7.56% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-198.48%
EPS Next 2Y-76.24%
EPS Next 3Y-47.66%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year10.65%
Revenue Next 2Y8.28%
Revenue Next 3Y7.56%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
RAL.PA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesRAL.PA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B
RAL.PA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesRAL.PA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 0.5 -0.5 1 1.5

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1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for RAL. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
Also next year RAL is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
RAL.PA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsRAL.PA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, RAL is valued cheaply inside the industry as 100.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 1.41
RAL.PA Per share dataRAL.PA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 100 200 300

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A cheap valuation may be justified as RAL's earnings are expected to decrease with -47.66% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-76.24%
EPS Next 3Y-47.66%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for RAL!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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Rallye

EPA:RAL (4/22/2024, 7:00:00 PM)

0.0441

+0 (+2.56%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Earnings (Last)03-14 2024-03-14/amc
Earnings (Next)07-25 2024-07-25
Inst OwnersN/A
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap2.33M
Analysts42.86
Price Target0.1 (126.76%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0.8
Dividend Growth(5Y)-8.41%
DP-0.33%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.92%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 0.01
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 1.41
EPS(TTM)-45.5
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.74
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-28
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)3.19
OCFY7240.79%
SpS337.85
BVpS-58.42
TBVpS-58.42
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -11.26%
ROE N/A
ROCE -44.35%
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM 4.83%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 7.87%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-0.87%
ROA(5y)-1.16%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)3.44%
ROIC(5y)3.37%
ROICexc(3y)3.95%
ROICexc(5y)3.96%
ROICexgc(3y)9.21%
ROICexgc(5y)9.53%
ROCE(3y)4.68%
ROCE(5y)4.59%
ROICexcg growth 3Y2.62%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-2.33%
ROICexc growth 3Y7.9%
ROICexc growth 5Y2.55%
OM growth 3Y9.77%
OM growth 5Y2.78%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.87%
GM growth 5Y1.82%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.84
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 0
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 7.49%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.92
Quick Ratio 0.92
Altman-Z 0.63
F-Score5
WACC3.68%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)91.16%
Cap/Depr(5y)89.32%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.77%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.57%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-824.8%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-3989.22%
EPS Next Y-198.48%
EPS Next 2Y-76.24%
EPS Next 3Y-47.66%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.33%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.25%
Revenue growth 5Y-2.63%
Sales Q2Q%0%
Revenue Next Year10.65%
Revenue Next 2Y8.28%
Revenue Next 3Y7.56%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y133.51%
EBIT growth 3Y8.39%
EBIT growth 5Y0.07%
EBIT Next Year121.31%
EBIT Next 3Y35.24%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-248.65%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-91.45%
OCF growth 3Y3.06%
OCF growth 5Y3.77%