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Rallye (RAL.PA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Europe - EPA:RAL - FR0000060618 - Common Stock

0.0441 EUR
+0 (+2.56%)
Last: 4/22/2024, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

2

Overall RAL gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. We evaluated RAL against 22 industry peers in the Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail industry. Both the profitability and financial health of RAL have multiple concerns. RAL is valued expensive and it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year RAL has reported negative net income.
In the past year RAL had a positive cash flow from operations.
RAL had negative earnings in each of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years RAL had a positive operating cash flow.
RAL.PA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFRAL.PA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 1B 2B

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -11.26%, RAL is doing worse than 82.76% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for RAL is significantly below the industry average of 9.17%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (%ROIC%%) for RAL is well below the 3 year average (3.44%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that RAL had better years and this may not be a problem.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -11.26%
ROE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-0.87%
ROA(5y)-1.16%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)3.44%
ROIC(5y)3.37%
RAL.PA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICRAL.PA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 100 200 300 400

1.3 Margins

With an excellent Operating Margin value of 4.83%, RAL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 93.10% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of RAL has grown nicely.
RAL has a worse Gross Margin (7.87%) than 89.66% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of RAL has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 4.83%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 7.87%
OM growth 3Y9.77%
OM growth 5Y2.78%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.87%
GM growth 5Y1.82%
RAL.PA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsRAL.PA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 2 -2 4 6 8

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1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

RAL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for RAL has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, RAL has a worse debt to assets ratio.
RAL.PA Yearly Shares OutstandingRAL.PA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 10M 20M 30M 40M 50M
RAL.PA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsRAL.PA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 10B 20B 30B 40B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.63, we must say that RAL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
RAL's Altman-Z score of 0.63 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. RAL is outperformed by 86.21% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.63
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC3.68%
RAL.PA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFRAL.PA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 5B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.92 indicates that RAL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.92, RAL is in line with its industry, outperforming 58.62% of the companies in the same industry.
RAL has a Quick Ratio of 0.92. This is a bad value and indicates that RAL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of RAL (0.92) is better than 86.21% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.92
Quick Ratio 0.92
RAL.PA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesRAL.PA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 5B 10B 15B

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2

3. Growth

3.1 Past

RAL shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -824.80%.
The Revenue has grown by 9.33% in the past year. This is quite good.
RAL shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -2.63% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-824.8%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-3989.22%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.33%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.25%
Revenue growth 5Y-2.63%
Sales Q2Q%0%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, RAL will show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -47.66% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, RAL will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 7.56% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-198.48%
EPS Next 2Y-76.24%
EPS Next 3Y-47.66%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year10.65%
Revenue Next 2Y8.28%
Revenue Next 3Y7.56%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
RAL.PA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesRAL.PA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B
RAL.PA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesRAL.PA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 0.5 -0.5 1 1.5

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1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

RAL reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for RAL. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
RAL.PA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsRAL.PA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

100.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than RAL, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 1.41
RAL.PA Per share dataRAL.PA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 100 200 300

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A cheap valuation may be justified as RAL's earnings are expected to decrease with -47.66% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-76.24%
EPS Next 3Y-47.66%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for RAL!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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Rallye

EPA:RAL (4/22/2024, 7:00:00 PM)

0.0441

+0 (+2.56%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Earnings (Last)03-14 2024-03-14/amc
Earnings (Next)07-25 2024-07-25
Inst OwnersN/A
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap2.33M
Analysts42.86
Price Target0.1 (126.76%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0.8
Dividend Growth(5Y)-8.41%
DP-0.33%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.92%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 0.01
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 1.41
EPS(TTM)-45.5
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.74
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-28
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)3.19
OCFY7240.79%
SpS337.85
BVpS-58.42
TBVpS-58.42
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -11.26%
ROE N/A
ROCE -44.35%
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM 4.83%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 7.87%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-0.87%
ROA(5y)-1.16%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)3.44%
ROIC(5y)3.37%
ROICexc(3y)3.95%
ROICexc(5y)3.96%
ROICexgc(3y)9.21%
ROICexgc(5y)9.53%
ROCE(3y)4.68%
ROCE(5y)4.59%
ROICexcg growth 3Y2.62%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-2.33%
ROICexc growth 3Y7.9%
ROICexc growth 5Y2.55%
OM growth 3Y9.77%
OM growth 5Y2.78%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.87%
GM growth 5Y1.82%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.84
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 0
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 7.49%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.92
Quick Ratio 0.92
Altman-Z 0.63
F-Score5
WACC3.68%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)91.16%
Cap/Depr(5y)89.32%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.77%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.57%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-824.8%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-3989.22%
EPS Next Y-198.48%
EPS Next 2Y-76.24%
EPS Next 3Y-47.66%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.33%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.25%
Revenue growth 5Y-2.63%
Sales Q2Q%0%
Revenue Next Year10.65%
Revenue Next 2Y8.28%
Revenue Next 3Y7.56%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y133.51%
EBIT growth 3Y8.39%
EBIT growth 5Y0.07%
EBIT Next Year121.31%
EBIT Next 3Y35.24%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-248.65%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-91.45%
OCF growth 3Y3.06%
OCF growth 5Y3.77%