Rallye (RAL.PA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

EPA:RAL • FR0000060618

Current stock price

0.0441 EUR
+0 (+2.56%)
Last:

This RAL.PA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

3

1. RAL.PA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • RAL had negative earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year RAL had a positive cash flow from operations.
RAL.PA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFRAL.PA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 1B 2B

1.2 Ratios

  • RAL has a worse Return On Assets (-11.26%) than 82.76% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for RAL is significantly below the industry average of 9.87%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (3.44%) for RAL is well above the current ROIC(%ROIC%%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -11.26%
ROE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-0.87%
ROA(5y)-1.16%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)3.44%
ROIC(5y)3.37%
RAL.PA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICRAL.PA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 100 200 300 400

1.3 Margins

  • RAL's Operating Margin of 4.83% is amongst the best of the industry. RAL outperforms 93.10% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of RAL has grown nicely.
  • RAL has a Gross Margin of 7.87%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: RAL underperforms 89.66% of its industry peers.
  • RAL's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 4.83%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 7.87%
OM growth 3Y9.77%
OM growth 5Y2.78%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.87%
GM growth 5Y1.82%
RAL.PA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsRAL.PA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 2 -2 4 6 8

1

2. RAL.PA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • RAL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • RAL has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • RAL has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
RAL.PA Yearly Shares OutstandingRAL.PA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 10M 20M 30M 40M 50M
RAL.PA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsRAL.PA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 10B 20B 30B 40B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.63, we must say that RAL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 0.63, RAL is doing worse than 86.21% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.63
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC3.68%
RAL.PA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFRAL.PA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 5B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

  • RAL has a Current Ratio of 0.92. This is a bad value and indicates that RAL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • RAL has a Current ratio (0.92) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.92 indicates that RAL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.92, RAL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 86.21% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.92
Quick Ratio 0.92
RAL.PA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesRAL.PA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 5B 10B 15B

2

3. RAL.PA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • RAL shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -824.80%.
  • RAL shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 9.33%.
  • The Revenue has been decreasing by -2.63% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-824.8%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-3989.22%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.33%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.25%
Revenue growth 5Y-2.63%
Sales Q2Q%0%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, RAL will show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -47.66% on average per year.
  • RAL is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 7.56% yearly.
EPS Next Y-198.48%
EPS Next 2Y-76.24%
EPS Next 3Y-47.66%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year10.65%
Revenue Next 2Y8.28%
Revenue Next 3Y7.56%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
RAL.PA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesRAL.PA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B 40B
RAL.PA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesRAL.PA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 0.5 -0.5 1 1.5

1

4. RAL.PA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • RAL reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
  • Also next year RAL is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
RAL.PA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsRAL.PA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • RAL's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. RAL is cheaper than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 1.41
RAL.PA Per share dataRAL.PA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 100 200 300

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • A cheap valuation may be justified as RAL's earnings are expected to decrease with -47.66% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-76.24%
EPS Next 3Y-47.66%

0

5. RAL.PA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for RAL!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

RAL.PA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

Rallye

EPA:RAL (4/22/2024, 7:00:00 PM)

0.0441

+0 (+2.56%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Earnings (Last)03-14
Earnings (Next)07-25
Inst OwnersN/A
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap2.33M
Revenue(TTM)17.88B
Net Income(TTM)-2.41B
Analysts42.86
Price Target0.1 (126.76%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0.8
Dividend Growth(5Y)-8.41%
DP-0.33%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.92%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 0.01
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 1.41
EPS(TTM)-45.5
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.74
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-28
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)3.19
OCFY7240.79%
SpS337.85
BVpS-58.42
TBVpS-58.42
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -11.26%
ROE N/A
ROCE -44.35%
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM 4.83%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 7.87%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-0.87%
ROA(5y)-1.16%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)3.44%
ROIC(5y)3.37%
ROICexc(3y)3.95%
ROICexc(5y)3.96%
ROICexgc(3y)9.21%
ROICexgc(5y)9.53%
ROCE(3y)4.68%
ROCE(5y)4.59%
ROICexgc growth 3Y2.62%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-2.33%
ROICexc growth 3Y7.9%
ROICexc growth 5Y2.55%
OM growth 3Y9.77%
OM growth 5Y2.78%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.87%
GM growth 5Y1.82%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.84
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 0
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 7.49%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.92
Quick Ratio 0.92
Altman-Z 0.63
F-Score5
WACC3.68%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)91.16%
Cap/Depr(5y)89.32%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.77%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.57%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-824.8%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-3989.22%
EPS Next Y-198.48%
EPS Next 2Y-76.24%
EPS Next 3Y-47.66%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.33%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.25%
Revenue growth 5Y-2.63%
Sales Q2Q%0%
Revenue Next Year10.65%
Revenue Next 2Y8.28%
Revenue Next 3Y7.56%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y133.51%
EBIT growth 3Y8.39%
EBIT growth 5Y0.07%
EBIT Next Year121.31%
EBIT Next 3Y35.24%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-248.65%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-91.45%
OCF growth 3Y3.06%
OCF growth 5Y3.77%

Rallye / RAL.PA Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for RAL stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to RAL.PA.


Can you provide the valuation status for Rallye?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to Rallye (RAL.PA). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for Rallye?

Rallye (RAL.PA) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for RAL stock?

The financial health rating of Rallye (RAL.PA) is 1 / 10.