PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC (PZZA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:PZZAUS6988131024

Current stock price

34.99 USD
+2.18 (+6.64%)
At close:
34.98 USD
-0.01 (-0.03%)
After Hours:

This PZZA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. PZZA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year PZZA was profitable.
  • PZZA had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years PZZA has always been profitable.
  • In the past 5 years PZZA always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
PZZA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFPZZA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50M 100M 150M

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of PZZA (3.53%) is better than 60.32% of its industry peers.
  • PZZA has a better Return On Invested Capital (11.84%) than 74.60% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for PZZA is significantly above the industry average of 10.68%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (16.01%) for PZZA is well above the current ROIC(11.84%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.53%
ROE N/A
ROIC 11.84%
ROA(3y)7.43%
ROA(5y)6.11%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.01%
ROIC(5y)17.08%
PZZA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICPZZA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -500 -1K -1.5K -2K -2.5K

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 1.44%, PZZA is in line with its industry, outperforming 42.06% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of PZZA has declined.
  • The Operating Margin of PZZA (4.49%) is worse than 68.25% of its industry peers.
  • PZZA's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • PZZA has a Gross Margin of 28.89%. This is in the lower half of the industry: PZZA underperforms 79.37% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of PZZA has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 4.49%
PM (TTM) 1.44%
GM 28.89%
OM growth 3Y-11.72%
OM growth 5Y-1.98%
PM growth 3Y-23.41%
PM growth 5Y-8.96%
GM growth 3Y-1.18%
GM growth 5Y-0.77%
PZZA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsPZZA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30

3

2. PZZA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), PZZA is creating value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, PZZA has more shares outstanding
  • PZZA has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • PZZA has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
PZZA Yearly Shares OutstandingPZZA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10M 20M 30M
PZZA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsPZZA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 3.63 indicates that PZZA is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • PZZA has a better Altman-Z score (3.63) than 82.54% of its industry peers.
  • PZZA has a debt to FCF ratio of 14.67. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as PZZA would need 14.67 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • PZZA has a Debt to FCF ratio (14.67) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 14.67
Altman-Z 3.63
ROIC/WACC1.73
WACC6.86%
PZZA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFPZZA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M 400M -400M 600M

2.3 Liquidity

  • PZZA has a Current Ratio of 0.82. This is a bad value and indicates that PZZA is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • PZZA has a Current ratio of 0.82. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: PZZA outperforms 40.48% of its industry peers.
  • PZZA has a Quick Ratio of 0.82. This is a bad value and indicates that PZZA is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of PZZA (0.70) is worse than 65.87% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.82
Quick Ratio 0.7
PZZA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesPZZA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M

4

3. PZZA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for PZZA have decreased strongly by -38.89% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, PZZA shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -2.70% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, PZZA shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -0.27% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.52% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-38.89%
EPS 3Y-21.36%
EPS 5Y-2.7%
EPS Q2Q%-46.03%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.27%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.77%
Revenue growth 5Y2.52%
Sales Q2Q%-6.14%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, PZZA will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 32.15% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.36% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y16.03%
EPS Next 2Y14.25%
EPS Next 3Y12.13%
EPS Next 5Y32.15%
Revenue Next Year-6.86%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.28%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.95%
Revenue Next 5Y6.36%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
PZZA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesPZZA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 1B 2B 3B
PZZA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesPZZA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2 4 6

3

4. PZZA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 24.47, the valuation of PZZA can be described as rather expensive.
  • PZZA's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of PZZA to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.60), we can say PZZA is valued inline with the index average.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.09, PZZA is valued on the expensive side.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as PZZA.
  • PZZA is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.84, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 24.47
Fwd PE 21.09
PZZA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsPZZA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, PZZA is valued a bit cheaper than 62.70% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, PZZA is valued a bit cheaper than 62.70% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 22.26
EV/EBITDA 10.12
PZZA Per share dataPZZA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • PZZA's earnings are expected to grow with 12.13% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.53
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y14.25%
EPS Next 3Y12.13%

8

5. PZZA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 5.64%, PZZA is a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • PZZA's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.11. PZZA pays more dividend than 96.83% of the companies in the same industry.
  • PZZA's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.88.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5.64%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of PZZA grows each year by 6.96%, which is quite nice.
  • PZZA has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • PZZA has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)6.96%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years11
PZZA Yearly Dividends per sharePZZA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • 206.77% of the earnings are spent on dividend by PZZA. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of PZZA is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP206.77%
EPS Next 2Y14.25%
EPS Next 3Y12.13%
PZZA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendPZZA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50M 100M 150M
PZZA Dividend Payout.PZZA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.PZZA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

PZZA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC

NASDAQ:PZZA (4/2/2026, 8:00:01 PM)

After market: 34.98 -0.01 (-0.03%)

34.99

+2.18 (+6.64%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-26
Earnings (Next)05-06
Inst Owners106.91%
Inst Owner Change-6.74%
Ins Owners1.1%
Ins Owner Change5.6%
Market Cap1.15B
Revenue(TTM)2.05B
Net Income(TTM)29.57M
Analysts73.33
Price Target40.86 (16.78%)
Short Float %14.55%
Short Ratio3.22
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5.64%
Yearly Dividend1.87
Dividend Growth(5Y)6.96%
DP206.77%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years11
Ex-Date02-09
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-12.51%
Min EPS beat(2)-22.66%
Max EPS beat(2)-2.37%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-0.85%
Min EPS beat(4)-22.66%
Max EPS beat(4)21.54%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)5.82%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)4.68%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)2.82%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-5.03%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.16%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4.89%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.64%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.16%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.53%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.7%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.04%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.83%
PT rev (1m)-15.7%
PT rev (3m)-18.34%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-12.89%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-11.22%
EPS NY rev (1m)-12.76%
EPS NY rev (3m)-12.29%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-3.36%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.5%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-5.2%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-5.06%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 24.47
Fwd PE 21.09
P/S 0.56
P/FCF 22.26
P/OCF 9.11
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 10.12
EPS(TTM)1.43
EY4.09%
EPS(NY)1.66
Fwd EY4.74%
FCF(TTM)1.57
FCFY4.49%
OCF(TTM)3.84
OCFY10.98%
SpS62.6
BVpS-13.56
TBVpS-15.61
PEG (NY)1.53
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.53%
ROE N/A
ROCE 16.89%
ROIC 11.84%
ROICexc 12.69%
ROICexgc 14.64%
OM 4.49%
PM (TTM) 1.44%
GM 28.89%
FCFM 2.51%
ROA(3y)7.43%
ROA(5y)6.11%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.01%
ROIC(5y)17.08%
ROICexc(3y)17.17%
ROICexc(5y)18.61%
ROICexgc(3y)19.89%
ROICexgc(5y)21.63%
ROCE(3y)22.85%
ROCE(5y)24.37%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-9.89%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-2.87%
ROICexc growth 3Y-10.05%
ROICexc growth 5Y-1.82%
OM growth 3Y-11.72%
OM growth 5Y-1.98%
PM growth 3Y-23.41%
PM growth 5Y-8.96%
GM growth 3Y-1.18%
GM growth 5Y-0.77%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover2.45
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 14.67
Debt/EBITDA 4.02
Cap/Depr 80.69%
Cap/Sales 3.62%
Interest Coverage 2.31
Cash Conversion 68.28%
Profit Quality 174.39%
Current Ratio 0.82
Quick Ratio 0.7
Altman-Z 3.63
F-Score5
WACC6.86%
ROIC/WACC1.73
Cap/Depr(3y)101.56%
Cap/Depr(5y)119.16%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.58%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.56%
Profit Quality(3y)119.04%
Profit Quality(5y)653.3%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-38.89%
EPS 3Y-21.36%
EPS 5Y-2.7%
EPS Q2Q%-46.03%
EPS Next Y16.03%
EPS Next 2Y14.25%
EPS Next 3Y12.13%
EPS Next 5Y32.15%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.27%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.77%
Revenue growth 5Y2.52%
Sales Q2Q%-6.14%
Revenue Next Year-6.86%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.28%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.95%
Revenue Next 5Y6.36%
EBIT growth 1Y-37.71%
EBIT growth 3Y-12.4%
EBIT growth 5Y0.49%
EBIT Next Year90.01%
EBIT Next 3Y26.29%
EBIT Next 5Y26.35%
FCF growth 1Y51%
FCF growth 3Y9.37%
FCF growth 5Y-19.31%
OCF growth 1Y18.16%
OCF growth 3Y2.27%
OCF growth 5Y-7.54%

PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC / PZZA Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for PZZA stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to PZZA.


What is the valuation status for PZZA stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC (PZZA). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC (PZZA) stock?

PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC (PZZA) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the valuation of PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC (PZZA) is 24.47 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is -2.58.


What is the earnings growth outlook for PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC (PZZA) is expected to grow by 16.03% in the next year.