PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC (PZZA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:PZZA • US6988131024

Current stock price

37.01 USD
+0.08 (+0.22%)
At close:
39.92 USD
+2.91 (+7.86%)
Pre-Market:

This PZZA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. PZZA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • PZZA had positive earnings in the past year.
  • PZZA had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years PZZA has always been profitable.
  • In the past 5 years PZZA always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
PZZA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFPZZA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50M 100M 150M

1.2 Ratios

  • PZZA has a Return On Assets (3.53%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 11.84%, PZZA is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 74.60% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for PZZA is significantly above the industry average of 10.55%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (16.01%) for PZZA is well above the current ROIC(11.84%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.53%
ROE N/A
ROIC 11.84%
ROA(3y)7.43%
ROA(5y)6.11%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.01%
ROIC(5y)17.08%
PZZA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICPZZA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -500 -1K -1.5K -2K -2.5K

1.3 Margins

  • PZZA's Profit Margin of 1.44% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. PZZA outperforms 42.06% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of PZZA has declined.
  • PZZA's Operating Margin of 4.49% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. PZZA is outperformed by 68.25% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of PZZA has declined.
  • PZZA's Gross Margin of 28.89% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. PZZA is outperformed by 79.37% of its industry peers.
  • PZZA's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 4.49%
PM (TTM) 1.44%
GM 28.89%
OM growth 3Y-11.72%
OM growth 5Y-1.98%
PM growth 3Y-23.41%
PM growth 5Y-8.96%
GM growth 3Y-1.18%
GM growth 5Y-0.77%
PZZA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsPZZA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

3

2. PZZA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • PZZA has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
  • PZZA has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, PZZA has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, PZZA has a worse debt to assets ratio.
PZZA Yearly Shares OutstandingPZZA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10M 20M 30M
PZZA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsPZZA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.2 Solvency

  • PZZA has an Altman-Z score of 3.66. This indicates that PZZA is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • PZZA has a Altman-Z score of 3.66. This is amongst the best in the industry. PZZA outperforms 82.54% of its industry peers.
  • PZZA has a debt to FCF ratio of 14.67. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as PZZA would need 14.67 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • PZZA has a Debt to FCF ratio of 14.67. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: PZZA outperforms 46.03% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 14.67
Altman-Z 3.66
ROIC/WACC1.67
WACC7.09%
PZZA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFPZZA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M 400M -400M 600M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.82 indicates that PZZA may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • PZZA has a Current ratio of 0.82. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: PZZA outperforms 42.06% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.70 indicates that PZZA may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • PZZA has a worse Quick ratio (0.70) than 67.46% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.82
Quick Ratio 0.7
PZZA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesPZZA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. PZZA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • PZZA shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -38.89%.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -2.70% on average over the past years.
  • The Revenue has decreased by -0.27% in the past year.
  • PZZA shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 2.52% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-38.89%
EPS 3Y-21.36%
EPS 5Y-2.7%
EPS Q2Q%-46.03%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.27%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.77%
Revenue growth 5Y2.52%
Sales Q2Q%-6.14%

3.2 Future

  • PZZA is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 32.15% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.36% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y8.8%
EPS Next 2Y14.1%
EPS Next 3Y12.13%
EPS Next 5Y32.15%
Revenue Next Year-6.86%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.28%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.95%
Revenue Next 5Y6.36%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
PZZA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesPZZA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 1B 2B 3B
PZZA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesPZZA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2 4 6

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2

4. PZZA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • PZZA is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 25.88.
  • PZZA's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • PZZA is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.42, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.79, the valuation of PZZA can be described as rather expensive.
  • PZZA's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • PZZA's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 22.29.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 25.88
Fwd PE 23.79
PZZA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsPZZA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40 50

4.2 Price Multiples

  • PZZA's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
  • PZZA's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 23.61
EV/EBITDA 10.49
PZZA Per share dataPZZA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • PZZA's earnings are expected to grow with 12.13% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)2.94
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y14.1%
EPS Next 3Y12.13%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

8

5. PZZA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • PZZA has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.98%, which is a nice return.
  • PZZA's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.04. PZZA pays more dividend than 97.62% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.81, PZZA pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.98%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of PZZA is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 6.96%!
  • PZZA has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • PZZA has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)6.96%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years12
PZZA Yearly Dividends per sharePZZA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • PZZA pays out 206.77% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of PZZA is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP206.77%
EPS Next 2Y14.1%
EPS Next 3Y12.13%
PZZA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendPZZA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50M 100M 150M
PZZA Dividend Payout.PZZA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.PZZA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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PZZA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC

NASDAQ:PZZA (4/24/2026, 8:03:39 PM)

Premarket: 39.92 +2.91 (+7.86%)

37.01

+0.08 (+0.22%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-26
Earnings (Next)05-07
Inst Owners106.65%
Inst Owner Change-5.01%
Ins Owners1.6%
Ins Owner Change5.6%
Market Cap1.22B
Revenue(TTM)2.05B
Net Income(TTM)29.57M
Analysts73.33
Price Target40.86 (10.4%)
Short Float %12.62%
Short Ratio2.91
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.98%
Yearly Dividend1.87
Dividend Growth(5Y)6.96%
DP206.77%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years12
Ex-Date02-09
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-12.51%
Min EPS beat(2)-22.66%
Max EPS beat(2)-2.37%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-0.85%
Min EPS beat(4)-22.66%
Max EPS beat(4)21.54%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)5.82%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)4.68%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)2.82%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-5.03%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.16%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4.89%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.64%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.16%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.53%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.7%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.04%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.83%
PT rev (1m)-15.7%
PT rev (3m)-18.34%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-12.29%
EPS NY rev (1m)-6.23%
EPS NY rev (3m)-18.02%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.38%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-5.06%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 25.88
Fwd PE 23.79
P/S 0.59
P/FCF 23.61
P/OCF 9.66
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 10.49
EPS(TTM)1.43
EY3.86%
EPS(NY)1.56
Fwd EY4.2%
FCF(TTM)1.57
FCFY4.24%
OCF(TTM)3.83
OCFY10.35%
SpS62.44
BVpS-13.52
TBVpS-15.58
PEG (NY)2.94
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number0 (-100%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.53%
ROE N/A
ROCE 16.89%
ROIC 11.84%
ROICexc 12.69%
ROICexgc 14.64%
OM 4.49%
PM (TTM) 1.44%
GM 28.89%
FCFM 2.51%
ROA(3y)7.43%
ROA(5y)6.11%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.01%
ROIC(5y)17.08%
ROICexc(3y)17.17%
ROICexc(5y)18.61%
ROICexgc(3y)19.89%
ROICexgc(5y)21.63%
ROCE(3y)22.85%
ROCE(5y)24.37%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-9.89%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-2.87%
ROICexc growth 3Y-10.05%
ROICexc growth 5Y-1.82%
OM growth 3Y-11.72%
OM growth 5Y-1.98%
PM growth 3Y-23.41%
PM growth 5Y-8.96%
GM growth 3Y-1.18%
GM growth 5Y-0.77%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover2.45
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 14.67
Debt/EBITDA 4.02
Cap/Depr 80.69%
Cap/Sales 3.62%
Interest Coverage 2.31
Cash Conversion 68.28%
Profit Quality 174.39%
Current Ratio 0.82
Quick Ratio 0.7
Altman-Z 3.66
F-Score5
WACC7.09%
ROIC/WACC1.67
Cap/Depr(3y)101.56%
Cap/Depr(5y)119.16%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.58%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.56%
Profit Quality(3y)119.04%
Profit Quality(5y)653.3%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-38.89%
EPS 3Y-21.36%
EPS 5Y-2.7%
EPS Q2Q%-46.03%
EPS Next Y8.8%
EPS Next 2Y14.1%
EPS Next 3Y12.13%
EPS Next 5Y32.15%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.27%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.77%
Revenue growth 5Y2.52%
Sales Q2Q%-6.14%
Revenue Next Year-6.86%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.28%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.95%
Revenue Next 5Y6.36%
EBIT growth 1Y-37.71%
EBIT growth 3Y-12.4%
EBIT growth 5Y0.49%
EBIT Next Year88.75%
EBIT Next 3Y26.29%
EBIT Next 5Y26.35%
FCF growth 1Y51%
FCF growth 3Y9.37%
FCF growth 5Y-19.31%
OCF growth 1Y18.16%
OCF growth 3Y2.27%
OCF growth 5Y-7.54%

PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC / PZZA Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for PZZA stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to PZZA.


What is the valuation status for PZZA stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC (PZZA). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC (PZZA) stock?

PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC (PZZA) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the valuation of PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC (PZZA) is 25.88 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is -2.74.


What is the earnings growth outlook for PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC (PZZA) is expected to grow by 8.8% in the next year.