PELOTON INTERACTIVE INC-A (PTON) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:PTON - US70614W1009 - Common Stock
6.45 USD
+0.06 (+0.94%)
6.45 USD
0 (0%)
PTON gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 33 industry peers in the Leisure Products industry. Both the profitability and financial health of PTON have multiple concerns. PTON has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
PTON had negative earnings in the past year.
In the past year PTON had a positive cash flow from operations.
PTON had negative earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years PTON reported 4 times negative operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -4.80%, PTON is in line with its industry, outperforming 42.42% of the companies in the same industry.
PTON's Return On Invested Capital of 5.47% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. PTON outperforms 69.70% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -4.8% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 5.47% |
ROA(3y)-25.47%
ROA(5y)-30.16%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 3.88%, PTON is in line with its industry, outperforming 57.58% of the companies in the same industry.
PTON has a better Gross Margin (50.83%) than 75.76% of its industry peers.
PTON's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.88% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 50.83% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y37.72%
GM growth 5Y2.13%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so PTON is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, PTON has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, PTON has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, PTON has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
PTON has an Altman-Z score of -1.31. This is a bad value and indicates that PTON is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of -1.31, PTON is not doing good in the industry: 81.82% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
The Debt to FCF ratio of PTON is 3.94, which is a good value as it means it would take PTON, 3.94 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of PTON (3.94) is better than 66.67% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.94 | ||
| Altman-Z | -1.31 |
ROIC/WACC0.48
WACC11.42%
2.3 Liquidity
PTON has a Current Ratio of 1.90. This is a normal value and indicates that PTON is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
PTON has a Current ratio (1.90) which is in line with its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.60 indicates that PTON should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
PTON has a Quick ratio of 1.60. This is in the better half of the industry: PTON outperforms 63.64% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.9 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.6 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
PTON shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 76.47%, which is quite impressive.
The Revenue has decreased by -8.74% in the past year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.41% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)76.47%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%1445.83%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.74%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.41%
Revenue growth 5Y6.41%
Sales Q2Q%-6.01%
3.2 Future
PTON is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 79.72% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, PTON will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.82% on average per year.
EPS Next Y114.17%
EPS Next 2Y56.98%
EPS Next 3Y17.09%
EPS Next 5Y79.72%
Revenue Next Year-0.32%
Revenue Next 2Y0.69%
Revenue Next 3Y0.8%
Revenue Next 5Y4.82%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
PTON reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 44.81, the valuation of PTON can be described as expensive.
PTON's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of PTON to the average of the S&P500 Index (34.46), we can say PTON is valued slightly more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 44.81 |
4.2 Price Multiples
PTON's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
90.91% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than PTON, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 6.91 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.96 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as PTON's earnings are expected to grow with 17.09% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y56.98%
EPS Next 3Y17.09%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for PTON!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
6.45
+0.06 (+0.94%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryLeisure Products
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners95.73%
Inst Owner Change-1.22%
Ins Owners0.89%
Ins Owner Change3.3%
Market Cap2.63B
Revenue(TTM)2.46B
Net Income(TTM)-104.20M
Analysts74.81
Price Target10.39 (61.09%)
Short Float %18.98%
Short Ratio5.72
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)345.26%
Min EPS beat(2)181.58%
Max EPS beat(2)508.94%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)140.85%
Min EPS beat(4)-93.66%
Max EPS beat(4)508.94%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)77.7%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)34.39%
EPS beat(16)3
Avg EPS beat(16)0.44%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.33%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.03%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.62%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.53%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.54%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.62%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.15%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.76%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.69%
PT rev (1m)2.08%
PT rev (3m)13.77%
EPS NQ rev (1m)6.38%
EPS NQ rev (3m)63.16%
EPS NY rev (1m)294.05%
EPS NY rev (3m)121.93%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.63%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.55%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.04%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.71%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 44.81 | ||
| P/S | 1.07 | ||
| P/FCF | 6.91 | ||
| P/OCF | 6.7 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.96 |
EPS(TTM)-0.28
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.14
Fwd EY2.23%
FCF(TTM)0.93
FCFY14.47%
OCF(TTM)0.96
OCFY14.92%
SpS6.02
BVpS-0.85
TBVpS-0.97
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -4.8% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 6.92% | ||
| ROIC | 5.47% | ||
| ROICexc | 27.7% | ||
| ROICexgc | 33.56% | ||
| OM | 3.88% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 50.83% | ||
| FCFM | 15.5% |
ROA(3y)-25.47%
ROA(5y)-30.16%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y37.72%
GM growth 5Y2.13%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.13
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.94 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 7.29 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 14.69% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 0.49% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 0.78 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 221.88% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.9 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.6 | ||
| Altman-Z | -1.31 |
F-Score5
WACC11.42%
ROIC/WACC0.48
Cap/Depr(3y)31.59%
Cap/Depr(5y)145.25%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.35%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.95%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)76.47%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%1445.83%
EPS Next Y114.17%
EPS Next 2Y56.98%
EPS Next 3Y17.09%
EPS Next 5Y79.72%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.74%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.41%
Revenue growth 5Y6.41%
Sales Q2Q%-6.01%
Revenue Next Year-0.32%
Revenue Next 2Y0.69%
Revenue Next 3Y0.8%
Revenue Next 5Y4.82%
EBIT growth 1Y132.29%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year698.18%
EBIT Next 3Y107.05%
EBIT Next 5Y53.83%
FCF growth 1Y223.94%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y8.04%
OCF growth 1Y248.62%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-2.42%
PELOTON INTERACTIVE INC-A / PTON FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of PELOTON INTERACTIVE INC-A (PTON) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to PTON.
Can you provide the valuation status for PELOTON INTERACTIVE INC-A?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to PELOTON INTERACTIVE INC-A (PTON). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of PTON stock?
PELOTON INTERACTIVE INC-A (PTON) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for PELOTON INTERACTIVE INC-A (PTON) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of PELOTON INTERACTIVE INC-A (PTON) is expected to grow by 114.17% in the next year.