PELOTON INTERACTIVE INC-A (PTON) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:PTON - US70614W1009 - Common Stock
7.47 USD
-0.03 (-0.4%)
7.45 USD
-0.02 (-0.27%)
PTON gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 33 industry peers in the Leisure Products industry. PTON may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. PTON does not seem to be growing, but still is valued expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year PTON has reported negative net income.
In the past year PTON had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years PTON always reported negative net income.
PTON had negative operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of PTON (-5.60%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
PTON has a better Return On Invested Capital (3.69%) than 60.61% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -5.6% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 3.69% |
ROA(3y)-25.47%
ROA(5y)-30.16%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
The Operating Margin of PTON (2.48%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 50.92%, PTON is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 72.73% of the companies in the same industry.
PTON's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 2.48% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 50.92% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y37.72%
GM growth 5Y2.13%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so PTON is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for PTON has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, PTON has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for PTON is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
PTON has an Altman-Z score of -1.34. This is a bad value and indicates that PTON is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of PTON (-1.34) is worse than 84.85% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of PTON is 4.63, which is a neutral value as it means it would take PTON, 4.63 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
PTON has a Debt to FCF ratio of 4.63. This is in the better half of the industry: PTON outperforms 63.64% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.63 | ||
| Altman-Z | -1.34 |
ROIC/WACC0.29
WACC12.68%
2.3 Liquidity
PTON has a Current Ratio of 1.79. This is a normal value and indicates that PTON is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.79, PTON is doing worse than 60.61% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.53 indicates that PTON should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
PTON's Quick ratio of 1.53 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. PTON outperforms 63.64% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.79 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.53 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 80.98% over the past year.
The Revenue has decreased by -7.76% in the past year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.41% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)80.98%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%122.73%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.76%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.41%
Revenue growth 5Y6.41%
Sales Q2Q%-5.7%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 79.72% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
PTON is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.25% yearly.
EPS Next Y103.6%
EPS Next 2Y54.67%
EPS Next 3Y17.09%
EPS Next 5Y79.72%
Revenue Next Year-0.36%
Revenue Next 2Y0.69%
Revenue Next 3Y0.75%
Revenue Next 5Y4.25%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for PTON. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 670.04, the valuation of PTON can be described as expensive.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as PTON.
PTON is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.18, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 670.04 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, PTON is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 60.61% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
PTON's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. PTON is cheaper than 87.88% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 9.41 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 23.23 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
PTON's earnings are expected to grow with 17.09% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y54.67%
EPS Next 3Y17.09%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for PTON!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
7.47
-0.03 (-0.4%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryLeisure Products
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners95.73%
Inst Owner Change0.59%
Ins Owners0.89%
Ins Owner Change4.58%
Market Cap3.05B
Analysts74.81
Price Target10.18 (36.28%)
Short Float %18.71%
Short Ratio5.57
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)43.96%
Min EPS beat(2)-93.66%
Max EPS beat(2)181.58%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)38.62%
Min EPS beat(4)-93.66%
Max EPS beat(4)181.58%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)11.28%
EPS beat(12)2
Avg EPS beat(12)-15.05%
EPS beat(16)2
Avg EPS beat(16)-32.05%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.54%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.54%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.62%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.51%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.54%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.62%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.3%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.17%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.85%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)14.97%
EPS NQ rev (1m)26.11%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-84.67%
EPS NY rev (1m)167.01%
EPS NY rev (3m)105.56%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.09%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.89%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.4%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.54%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 670.04 | ||
| P/S | 1.22 | ||
| P/FCF | 9.41 | ||
| P/OCF | 9.15 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 23.23 |
EPS(TTM)-0.31
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.01
Fwd EY0.15%
FCF(TTM)0.79
FCFY10.63%
OCF(TTM)0.82
OCFY10.93%
SpS6.11
BVpS-1.01
TBVpS-1.13
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -5.6% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 4.67% | ||
| ROIC | 3.69% | ||
| ROICexc | 17.29% | ||
| ROICexgc | 20.73% | ||
| OM | 2.48% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 50.92% | ||
| FCFM | 13% |
ROA(3y)-25.47%
ROA(5y)-30.16%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y37.72%
GM growth 5Y2.13%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.17
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.63 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 8.52 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 10.37% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 0.37% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 0.49 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 219.95% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.79 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.53 | ||
| Altman-Z | -1.34 |
F-Score5
WACC12.68%
ROIC/WACC0.29
Cap/Depr(3y)31.59%
Cap/Depr(5y)145.25%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.35%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.95%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)80.98%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%122.73%
EPS Next Y103.6%
EPS Next 2Y54.67%
EPS Next 3Y17.09%
EPS Next 5Y79.72%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.76%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.41%
Revenue growth 5Y6.41%
Sales Q2Q%-5.7%
Revenue Next Year-0.36%
Revenue Next 2Y0.69%
Revenue Next 3Y0.75%
Revenue Next 5Y4.25%
EBIT growth 1Y115.21%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year698.18%
EBIT Next 3Y106.98%
EBIT Next 5Y53.64%
FCF growth 1Y477.71%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y8.04%
OCF growth 1Y604.54%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-2.42%