PHILLIPS 66 (PSX) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:PSX • US7185461040

Current stock price

159.38 USD
+3.63 (+2.33%)
At close:
159.38 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This PSX fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. PSX Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year PSX was profitable.
  • In the past year PSX had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Each year in the past 5 years PSX has been profitable.
  • PSX had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
PSX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFPSX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of PSX (5.96%) is better than 68.42% of its industry peers.
  • PSX's Return On Equity of 15.10% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. PSX outperforms 77.51% of its industry peers.
  • PSX has a Return On Invested Capital (5.92%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for PSX is significantly below the industry average of 22.74%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.96%
ROE 15.1%
ROIC 5.92%
ROA(3y)6.05%
ROA(5y)6.98%
ROE(3y)15.23%
ROE(5y)17.97%
ROIC(3y)6.68%
ROIC(5y)6.79%
PSX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICPSX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20 -20 30

1.3 Margins

  • PSX's Profit Margin of 3.32% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. PSX outperforms 42.58% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of PSX has declined.
  • With a Operating Margin value of 3.27%, PSX is not doing good in the industry: 67.46% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of PSX has declined.
  • With a Gross Margin value of 12.30%, PSX is not doing good in the industry: 69.38% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • PSX's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 3.27%
PM (TTM) 3.32%
GM 12.3%
OM growth 3Y-16.61%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-19.98%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.4%
GM growth 5Y4.2%
PSX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsPSX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 -5 10

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

5

2. PSX Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • PSX has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, PSX has less shares outstanding
  • Compared to 5 years ago, PSX has less shares outstanding
  • The debt/assets ratio for PSX has been reduced compared to a year ago.
PSX Yearly Shares OutstandingPSX Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M
PSX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsPSX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20B 40B 60B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 3.53 indicates that PSX is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 3.53, PSX belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 81.34% of the companies in the same industry.
  • PSX has a debt to FCF ratio of 7.22. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as PSX would need 7.22 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 7.22, PSX is doing good in the industry, outperforming 60.77% of the companies in the same industry.
  • PSX has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.64. This is a neutral value indicating PSX is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.64, PSX perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 42.58% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.64
Debt/FCF 7.22
Altman-Z 3.53
ROIC/WACC0.76
WACC7.74%
PSX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFPSX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10B 20B 30B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.30 indicates that PSX should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.30, PSX is in line with its industry, outperforming 56.46% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.91 indicates that PSX may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 0.91, PSX perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 47.37% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.3
Quick Ratio 0.91
PSX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesPSX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. PSX Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • PSX shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 6.07%.
  • Measured over the past years, PSX shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -29.61% on average per year.
  • PSX shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -7.53%.
  • PSX shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 15.60% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.07%
EPS 3Y-29.61%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%1746.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.53%
Revenue growth 3Y-8%
Revenue growth 5Y15.6%
Sales Q2Q%6.91%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, PSX will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 21.84% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, PSX will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -1.11% on average per year.
EPS Next Y118%
EPS Next 2Y49.21%
EPS Next 3Y26.61%
EPS Next 5Y21.84%
Revenue Next Year15.24%
Revenue Next 2Y4.82%
Revenue Next 3Y2.13%
Revenue Next 5Y-1.11%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
PSX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesPSX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 50B 100B 150B
PSX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesPSX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 5 10 15

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5

4. PSX Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • PSX is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 24.63.
  • PSX's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • PSX is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.95, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.30 indicates a reasonable valuation of PSX.
  • PSX's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. PSX is cheaper than 76.08% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 38.68. PSX is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 24.63
Fwd PE 11.3
PSX Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsPSX Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • PSX's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
  • PSX's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 23.42
EV/EBITDA 10.69
PSX Per share dataPSX EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 100 200 300

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as PSX's earnings are expected to grow with 26.61% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.21
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y49.21%
EPS Next 3Y26.61%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

7

5. PSX Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • PSX has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.11%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • PSX's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 3.26.
  • PSX's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.81.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.11%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of PSX has a limited annual growth rate of 5.77%.
  • PSX has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • PSX has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.77%
Div Incr Years13
Div Non Decr Years13
PSX Yearly Dividends per sharePSX Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 1 2 3 4

5.3 Sustainability

  • 43.74% of the earnings are spent on dividend by PSX. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • The dividend of PSX is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP43.74%
EPS Next 2Y49.21%
EPS Next 3Y26.61%
PSX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendPSX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B
PSX Dividend Payout.PSX Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.PSX Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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PSX Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

PHILLIPS 66

NYSE:PSX (4/21/2026, 4:57:00 PM)

After market: 159.38 0 (0%)

159.38

+3.63 (+2.33%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-04
Earnings (Next)04-29
Inst Owners78.25%
Inst Owner Change0.06%
Ins Owners0.16%
Ins Owner Change2.25%
Market Cap63.91B
Revenue(TTM)132.38B
Net Income(TTM)4.39B
Analysts71.11
Price Target180.62 (13.33%)
Short Float %1.78%
Short Ratio2.13
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.11%
Yearly Dividend4.75
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.77%
DP43.74%
Div Incr Years13
Div Non Decr Years13
Ex-Date02-23
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)14.08%
Min EPS beat(2)12.99%
Max EPS beat(2)15.17%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)11.25%
Min EPS beat(4)-21.28%
Max EPS beat(4)38.11%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)13.21%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)13.12%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)11.86%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)9.63%
Min Revenue beat(2)7.06%
Max Revenue beat(2)12.2%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)5.78%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.25%
Max Revenue beat(4)12.2%
Revenue beat(8)8
Avg Revenue beat(8)6.15%
Revenue beat(12)12
Avg Revenue beat(12)5.07%
Revenue beat(16)15
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.75%
PT rev (1m)12.85%
PT rev (3m)20.02%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-88.5%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-90.31%
EPS NY rev (1m)25.28%
EPS NY rev (3m)18.45%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)12.08%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)19.11%
Revenue NY rev (1m)11.98%
Revenue NY rev (3m)20.75%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 24.63
Fwd PE 11.3
P/S 0.48
P/FCF 23.42
P/OCF 12.88
P/B 2.2
P/tB 2.4
EV/EBITDA 10.69
EPS(TTM)6.47
EY4.06%
EPS(NY)14.1
Fwd EY8.85%
FCF(TTM)6.81
FCFY4.27%
OCF(TTM)12.37
OCFY7.76%
SpS330.13
BVpS72.55
TBVpS66.54
PEG (NY)0.21
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number102.772 (-35.52%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.96%
ROE 15.1%
ROCE 7.18%
ROIC 5.92%
ROICexc 6.03%
ROICexgc 6.28%
OM 3.27%
PM (TTM) 3.32%
GM 12.3%
FCFM 2.06%
ROA(3y)6.05%
ROA(5y)6.98%
ROE(3y)15.23%
ROE(5y)17.97%
ROIC(3y)6.68%
ROIC(5y)6.79%
ROICexc(3y)6.97%
ROICexc(5y)7.27%
ROICexgc(3y)7.28%
ROICexgc(5y)7.6%
ROCE(3y)8.1%
ROCE(5y)8.24%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-25.47%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-25.42%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-16.61%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-19.98%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.4%
GM growth 5Y4.2%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.8
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.64
Debt/FCF 7.22
Debt/EBITDA 2.46
Cap/Depr 68.69%
Cap/Sales 1.69%
Interest Coverage 4.46
Cash Conversion 65.43%
Profit Quality 62.11%
Current Ratio 1.3
Quick Ratio 0.91
Altman-Z 3.53
F-Score7
WACC7.74%
ROIC/WACC0.76
Cap/Depr(3y)89.89%
Cap/Depr(5y)104.05%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.54%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.52%
Profit Quality(3y)79.54%
Profit Quality(5y)127.04%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.07%
EPS 3Y-29.61%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%1746.67%
EPS Next Y118%
EPS Next 2Y49.21%
EPS Next 3Y26.61%
EPS Next 5Y21.84%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.53%
Revenue growth 3Y-8%
Revenue growth 5Y15.6%
Sales Q2Q%6.91%
Revenue Next Year15.24%
Revenue Next 2Y4.82%
Revenue Next 3Y2.13%
Revenue Next 5Y-1.11%
EBIT growth 1Y116.33%
EBIT growth 3Y-23.28%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year129.28%
EBIT Next 3Y30.22%
EBIT Next 5Y19.15%
FCF growth 1Y17.02%
FCF growth 3Y-31.84%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y18.4%
OCF growth 3Y-22.87%
OCF growth 5Y18.64%

PHILLIPS 66 / PSX Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of PHILLIPS 66 (PSX) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to PSX.


What is the valuation status of PHILLIPS 66 (PSX) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to PHILLIPS 66 (PSX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of PSX stock?

PHILLIPS 66 (PSX) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for PSX stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of PHILLIPS 66 (PSX) is expected to grow by 118% in the next year.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for PSX stock?

The dividend rating of PHILLIPS 66 (PSX) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 43.74%.