PHILLIPS 66 (PSX) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:PSX • US7185461040

Current stock price

184.01 USD
+2.72 (+1.5%)
At close:
184.5 USD
+0.49 (+0.27%)
After Hours:

This PSX fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. PSX Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • PSX had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year PSX had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Each year in the past 5 years PSX has been profitable.
  • In the past 5 years PSX always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
PSX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFPSX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B

1.2 Ratios

  • PSX's Return On Assets of 5.96% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. PSX outperforms 67.94% of its industry peers.
  • With a decent Return On Equity value of 15.10%, PSX is doing good in the industry, outperforming 77.03% of the companies in the same industry.
  • With a Return On Invested Capital value of 5.92%, PSX perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 52.63% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for PSX is significantly below the industry average of 23.05%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.96%
ROE 15.1%
ROIC 5.92%
ROA(3y)6.05%
ROA(5y)6.98%
ROE(3y)15.23%
ROE(5y)17.97%
ROIC(3y)6.68%
ROIC(5y)6.79%
PSX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICPSX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20 -20 30

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 3.32%, PSX is in line with its industry, outperforming 42.11% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of PSX has declined.
  • PSX's Operating Margin of 3.27% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. PSX is outperformed by 68.42% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of PSX has declined.
  • PSX's Gross Margin of 12.30% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. PSX is outperformed by 68.90% of its industry peers.
  • PSX's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 3.27%
PM (TTM) 3.32%
GM 12.3%
OM growth 3Y-16.61%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-19.98%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.4%
GM growth 5Y4.2%
PSX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsPSX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 -5 10

5

2. PSX Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so PSX is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for PSX has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, PSX has less shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, PSX has an improved debt to assets ratio.
PSX Yearly Shares OutstandingPSX Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M
PSX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsPSX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20B 40B 60B

2.2 Solvency

  • PSX has an Altman-Z score of 3.66. This indicates that PSX is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 3.66, PSX belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.73% of the companies in the same industry.
  • PSX has a debt to FCF ratio of 7.22. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as PSX would need 7.22 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 7.22, PSX perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 59.81% of the companies in the same industry.
  • PSX has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.64. This is a neutral value indicating PSX is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of PSX (0.64) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.64
Debt/FCF 7.22
Altman-Z 3.66
ROIC/WACC0.75
WACC7.92%
PSX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFPSX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10B 20B 30B

2.3 Liquidity

  • PSX has a Current Ratio of 1.30. This is a normal value and indicates that PSX is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Current ratio value of 1.30, PSX perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 57.42% of the companies in the same industry.
  • PSX has a Quick Ratio of 1.30. This is a bad value and indicates that PSX is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • PSX has a Quick ratio (0.91) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.3
Quick Ratio 0.91
PSX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesPSX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B

4

3. PSX Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • PSX shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 6.07%.
  • Measured over the past years, PSX shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -29.61% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, PSX shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -7.53% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, PSX shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 15.60% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.07%
EPS 3Y-29.61%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%1746.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.53%
Revenue growth 3Y-8%
Revenue growth 5Y15.6%
Sales Q2Q%6.91%

3.2 Future

  • PSX is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 21.84% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to decrease by -1.11% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y74.01%
EPS Next 2Y39.58%
EPS Next 3Y25.11%
EPS Next 5Y21.84%
Revenue Next Year2.91%
Revenue Next 2Y1.9%
Revenue Next 3Y2.79%
Revenue Next 5Y-1.11%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
PSX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesPSX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 50B 100B 150B
PSX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesPSX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 5 10 15

4

4. PSX Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • PSX is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 28.44.
  • PSX's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.23. PSX is around the same levels.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.34, PSX is valued correctly.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, PSX is valued a bit cheaper than 65.07% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.51, PSX is valued a bit cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 28.44
Fwd PE 16.34
PSX Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsPSX Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as PSX.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of PSX is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 27.02
EV/EBITDA 12.03
PSX Per share dataPSX EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 100 200 300

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • PSX's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as PSX's earnings are expected to grow with 25.11% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.38
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y39.58%
EPS Next 3Y25.11%

7

5. PSX Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.85%, PSX has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.29, PSX has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
  • PSX's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.90.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.85%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of PSX has a limited annual growth rate of 5.77%.
  • PSX has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • PSX has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.77%
Div Incr Years12
Div Non Decr Years12
PSX Yearly Dividends per sharePSX Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 1 2 3 4

5.3 Sustainability

  • 43.74% of the earnings are spent on dividend by PSX. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • The dividend of PSX is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP43.74%
EPS Next 2Y39.58%
EPS Next 3Y25.11%
PSX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendPSX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B
PSX Dividend Payout.PSX Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.PSX Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

PSX Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

PHILLIPS 66

NYSE:PSX (3/26/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 184.5 +0.49 (+0.27%)

184.01

+2.72 (+1.5%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-04
Earnings (Next)04-23
Inst Owners78.42%
Inst Owner Change0.74%
Ins Owners0.17%
Ins Owner Change2.32%
Market Cap73.74B
Revenue(TTM)132.38B
Net Income(TTM)4.39B
Analysts71.11
Price Target160.06 (-13.02%)
Short Float %1.97%
Short Ratio2.77
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.85%
Yearly Dividend4.75
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.77%
DP43.74%
Div Incr Years12
Div Non Decr Years12
Ex-Date02-23
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)14.08%
Min EPS beat(2)12.99%
Max EPS beat(2)15.17%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)11.25%
Min EPS beat(4)-21.28%
Max EPS beat(4)38.11%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)13.21%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)13.12%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)11.86%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)9.63%
Min Revenue beat(2)7.06%
Max Revenue beat(2)12.2%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)5.78%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.25%
Max Revenue beat(4)12.2%
Revenue beat(8)8
Avg Revenue beat(8)6.15%
Revenue beat(12)12
Avg Revenue beat(12)5.07%
Revenue beat(16)15
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.75%
PT rev (1m)3.98%
PT rev (3m)6.01%
EPS NQ rev (1m)12.1%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-25.65%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.3%
EPS NY rev (3m)-7.76%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)3.57%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)3.66%
Revenue NY rev (1m)3.59%
Revenue NY rev (3m)6.41%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 28.44
Fwd PE 16.34
P/S 0.56
P/FCF 27.02
P/OCF 14.86
P/B 2.53
P/tB 2.76
EV/EBITDA 12.03
EPS(TTM)6.47
EY3.52%
EPS(NY)11.26
Fwd EY6.12%
FCF(TTM)6.81
FCFY3.7%
OCF(TTM)12.38
OCFY6.73%
SpS330.33
BVpS72.6
TBVpS66.58
PEG (NY)0.38
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number102.8
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.96%
ROE 15.1%
ROCE 7.18%
ROIC 5.92%
ROICexc 6.03%
ROICexgc 6.28%
OM 3.27%
PM (TTM) 3.32%
GM 12.3%
FCFM 2.06%
ROA(3y)6.05%
ROA(5y)6.98%
ROE(3y)15.23%
ROE(5y)17.97%
ROIC(3y)6.68%
ROIC(5y)6.79%
ROICexc(3y)6.97%
ROICexc(5y)7.27%
ROICexgc(3y)7.28%
ROICexgc(5y)7.6%
ROCE(3y)8.1%
ROCE(5y)8.24%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-25.47%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-25.42%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-16.61%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-19.98%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.4%
GM growth 5Y4.2%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.8
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.64
Debt/FCF 7.22
Debt/EBITDA 2.46
Cap/Depr 68.69%
Cap/Sales 1.69%
Interest Coverage 4.46
Cash Conversion 65.43%
Profit Quality 62.11%
Current Ratio 1.3
Quick Ratio 0.91
Altman-Z 3.66
F-Score7
WACC7.92%
ROIC/WACC0.75
Cap/Depr(3y)89.89%
Cap/Depr(5y)104.05%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.54%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.52%
Profit Quality(3y)79.54%
Profit Quality(5y)127.04%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.07%
EPS 3Y-29.61%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%1746.67%
EPS Next Y74.01%
EPS Next 2Y39.58%
EPS Next 3Y25.11%
EPS Next 5Y21.84%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.53%
Revenue growth 3Y-8%
Revenue growth 5Y15.6%
Sales Q2Q%6.91%
Revenue Next Year2.91%
Revenue Next 2Y1.9%
Revenue Next 3Y2.79%
Revenue Next 5Y-1.11%
EBIT growth 1Y116.33%
EBIT growth 3Y-23.28%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year105.37%
EBIT Next 3Y29.36%
EBIT Next 5Y19.15%
FCF growth 1Y17.02%
FCF growth 3Y-31.84%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y18.4%
OCF growth 3Y-22.87%
OCF growth 5Y18.64%

PHILLIPS 66 / PSX Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of PHILLIPS 66 (PSX) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to PSX.


What is the valuation status of PHILLIPS 66 (PSX) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to PHILLIPS 66 (PSX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for PHILLIPS 66?

PHILLIPS 66 (PSX) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of PHILLIPS 66 (PSX) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for PHILLIPS 66 (PSX) is 28.44 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.53.


Can you provide the financial health for PSX stock?

The financial health rating of PHILLIPS 66 (PSX) is 5 / 10.