PHILLIPS 66 (PSX) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:PSX • US7185461040
Current stock price
184.01 USD
+2.72 (+1.5%)
At close:
184.5 USD
+0.49 (+0.27%)
After Hours:
This PSX fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. PSX Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- PSX had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year PSX had a positive cash flow from operations.
- Each year in the past 5 years PSX has been profitable.
- In the past 5 years PSX always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- PSX's Return On Assets of 5.96% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. PSX outperforms 67.94% of its industry peers.
- With a decent Return On Equity value of 15.10%, PSX is doing good in the industry, outperforming 77.03% of the companies in the same industry.
- With a Return On Invested Capital value of 5.92%, PSX perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 52.63% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for PSX is significantly below the industry average of 23.05%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.96% | ||
| ROE | 15.1% | ||
| ROIC | 5.92% |
ROA(3y)6.05%
ROA(5y)6.98%
ROE(3y)15.23%
ROE(5y)17.97%
ROIC(3y)6.68%
ROIC(5y)6.79%
1.3 Margins
- Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 3.32%, PSX is in line with its industry, outperforming 42.11% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of PSX has declined.
- PSX's Operating Margin of 3.27% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. PSX is outperformed by 68.42% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of PSX has declined.
- PSX's Gross Margin of 12.30% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. PSX is outperformed by 68.90% of its industry peers.
- PSX's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.27% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.32% | ||
| GM | 12.3% |
OM growth 3Y-16.61%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-19.98%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.4%
GM growth 5Y4.2%
2. PSX Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so PSX is destroying value.
- The number of shares outstanding for PSX has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, PSX has less shares outstanding
- Compared to 1 year ago, PSX has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- PSX has an Altman-Z score of 3.66. This indicates that PSX is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 3.66, PSX belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.73% of the companies in the same industry.
- PSX has a debt to FCF ratio of 7.22. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as PSX would need 7.22 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 7.22, PSX perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 59.81% of the companies in the same industry.
- PSX has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.64. This is a neutral value indicating PSX is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
- The Debt to Equity ratio of PSX (0.64) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.64 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 7.22 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.66 |
ROIC/WACC0.75
WACC7.92%
2.3 Liquidity
- PSX has a Current Ratio of 1.30. This is a normal value and indicates that PSX is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- With a Current ratio value of 1.30, PSX perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 57.42% of the companies in the same industry.
- PSX has a Quick Ratio of 1.30. This is a bad value and indicates that PSX is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- PSX has a Quick ratio (0.91) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.3 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.91 |
3. PSX Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- PSX shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 6.07%.
- Measured over the past years, PSX shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -29.61% on average per year.
- Looking at the last year, PSX shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -7.53% in the last year.
- Measured over the past years, PSX shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 15.60% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.07%
EPS 3Y-29.61%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%1746.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.53%
Revenue growth 3Y-8%
Revenue growth 5Y15.6%
Sales Q2Q%6.91%
3.2 Future
- PSX is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 21.84% yearly.
- The Revenue is expected to decrease by -1.11% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y74.01%
EPS Next 2Y39.58%
EPS Next 3Y25.11%
EPS Next 5Y21.84%
Revenue Next Year2.91%
Revenue Next 2Y1.9%
Revenue Next 3Y2.79%
Revenue Next 5Y-1.11%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. PSX Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- PSX is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 28.44.
- PSX's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.23. PSX is around the same levels.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.34, PSX is valued correctly.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, PSX is valued a bit cheaper than 65.07% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.51, PSX is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28.44 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.34 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as PSX.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of PSX is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 27.02 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.03 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- PSX's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as PSX's earnings are expected to grow with 25.11% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.38
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y39.58%
EPS Next 3Y25.11%
5. PSX Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.85%, PSX has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.29, PSX has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
- PSX's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.90.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.85% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of PSX has a limited annual growth rate of 5.77%.
- PSX has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- PSX has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.77%
Div Incr Years12
Div Non Decr Years12
5.3 Sustainability
- 43.74% of the earnings are spent on dividend by PSX. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
- The dividend of PSX is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP43.74%
EPS Next 2Y39.58%
EPS Next 3Y25.11%
PSX Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
184.01
+2.72 (+1.5%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-04 2026-02-04/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-23 2026-04-23/bmo
Inst Owners78.42%
Inst Owner Change0.74%
Ins Owners0.17%
Ins Owner Change2.32%
Market Cap73.74B
Revenue(TTM)132.38B
Net Income(TTM)4.39B
Analysts71.11
Price Target160.06 (-13.02%)
Short Float %1.97%
Short Ratio2.77
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.85% |
Yearly Dividend4.75
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.77%
DP43.74%
Div Incr Years12
Div Non Decr Years12
Ex-Date02-23 2026-02-23 (1.27)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)14.08%
Min EPS beat(2)12.99%
Max EPS beat(2)15.17%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)11.25%
Min EPS beat(4)-21.28%
Max EPS beat(4)38.11%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)13.21%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)13.12%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)11.86%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)9.63%
Min Revenue beat(2)7.06%
Max Revenue beat(2)12.2%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)5.78%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.25%
Max Revenue beat(4)12.2%
Revenue beat(8)8
Avg Revenue beat(8)6.15%
Revenue beat(12)12
Avg Revenue beat(12)5.07%
Revenue beat(16)15
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.75%
PT rev (1m)3.98%
PT rev (3m)6.01%
EPS NQ rev (1m)12.1%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-25.65%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.3%
EPS NY rev (3m)-7.76%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)3.57%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)3.66%
Revenue NY rev (1m)3.59%
Revenue NY rev (3m)6.41%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28.44 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.34 | ||
| P/S | 0.56 | ||
| P/FCF | 27.02 | ||
| P/OCF | 14.86 | ||
| P/B | 2.53 | ||
| P/tB | 2.76 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.03 |
EPS(TTM)6.47
EY3.52%
EPS(NY)11.26
Fwd EY6.12%
FCF(TTM)6.81
FCFY3.7%
OCF(TTM)12.38
OCFY6.73%
SpS330.33
BVpS72.6
TBVpS66.58
PEG (NY)0.38
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number102.8
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.96% | ||
| ROE | 15.1% | ||
| ROCE | 7.18% | ||
| ROIC | 5.92% | ||
| ROICexc | 6.03% | ||
| ROICexgc | 6.28% | ||
| OM | 3.27% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.32% | ||
| GM | 12.3% | ||
| FCFM | 2.06% |
ROA(3y)6.05%
ROA(5y)6.98%
ROE(3y)15.23%
ROE(5y)17.97%
ROIC(3y)6.68%
ROIC(5y)6.79%
ROICexc(3y)6.97%
ROICexc(5y)7.27%
ROICexgc(3y)7.28%
ROICexgc(5y)7.6%
ROCE(3y)8.1%
ROCE(5y)8.24%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-25.47%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-25.42%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-16.61%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-19.98%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.4%
GM growth 5Y4.2%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.8
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.64 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 7.22 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.46 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 68.69% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.69% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.46 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 65.43% | ||
| Profit Quality | 62.11% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.3 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.91 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.66 |
F-Score7
WACC7.92%
ROIC/WACC0.75
Cap/Depr(3y)89.89%
Cap/Depr(5y)104.05%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.54%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.52%
Profit Quality(3y)79.54%
Profit Quality(5y)127.04%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.07%
EPS 3Y-29.61%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%1746.67%
EPS Next Y74.01%
EPS Next 2Y39.58%
EPS Next 3Y25.11%
EPS Next 5Y21.84%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.53%
Revenue growth 3Y-8%
Revenue growth 5Y15.6%
Sales Q2Q%6.91%
Revenue Next Year2.91%
Revenue Next 2Y1.9%
Revenue Next 3Y2.79%
Revenue Next 5Y-1.11%
EBIT growth 1Y116.33%
EBIT growth 3Y-23.28%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year105.37%
EBIT Next 3Y29.36%
EBIT Next 5Y19.15%
FCF growth 1Y17.02%
FCF growth 3Y-31.84%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y18.4%
OCF growth 3Y-22.87%
OCF growth 5Y18.64%
PHILLIPS 66 / PSX Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of PHILLIPS 66 (PSX) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to PSX.
What is the valuation status of PHILLIPS 66 (PSX) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to PHILLIPS 66 (PSX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for PHILLIPS 66?
PHILLIPS 66 (PSX) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of PHILLIPS 66 (PSX) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for PHILLIPS 66 (PSX) is 28.44 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.53.
Can you provide the financial health for PSX stock?
The financial health rating of PHILLIPS 66 (PSX) is 5 / 10.