Logo image of PST.MI

POSTE ITALIANE SPA (PST.MI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

BIT:PST - Euronext Milan - IT0003796171 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

18.695  -0.08 (-0.43%)

Fundamental Rating

5

We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to PST. PST was compared to 38 industry peers in the Insurance industry. While PST belongs to the best of the industry regarding profitability, there are concerns on its financial health. PST has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate. PST also has an excellent dividend rating.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year PST was profitable.
In the past year PST had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years PST has always been profitable.
PST had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
PST.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFPST.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B 2B 3B 4B

1.2 Ratios

With a Return On Assets value of 0.86%, PST perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 42.11% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 19.86%, PST belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 86.84% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Invested Capital of PST (0.95%) is worse than 60.53% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for PST is in line with the industry average of 2.14%.
The 3 year average ROIC (0.89%) for PST is below the current ROIC(0.95%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.86%
ROE 19.86%
ROIC 0.95%
ROA(3y)0.68%
ROA(5y)0.61%
ROE(3y)18.66%
ROE(5y)16.11%
ROIC(3y)0.89%
ROIC(5y)0.76%
PST.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICPST.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5 10 15 20

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of PST (15.25%) is better than 86.84% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of PST has grown nicely.
PST has a Operating Margin of 21.13%. This is amongst the best in the industry. PST outperforms 86.84% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of PST has grown nicely.
With an excellent Gross Margin value of 73.40%, PST belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 97.37% of the companies in the same industry.
PST's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 21.13%
PM (TTM) 15.25%
GM 73.4%
OM growth 3Y10.96%
OM growth 5Y31.66%
PM growth 3Y3.13%
PM growth 5Y30.15%
GM growth 3Y-2.09%
GM growth 5Y-5.18%
PST.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsPST.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20 40 60 80

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), PST is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, PST has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
Compared to 5 years ago, PST has less shares outstanding
PST has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
PST.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingPST.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
PST.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsPST.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50B 100B 150B 200B 250B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.05, we must say that PST is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
PST's Altman-Z score of 0.05 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. PST outperforms 71.05% of its industry peers.
PST has a debt to FCF ratio of 49.73. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as PST would need 49.73 years to pay back of all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of PST (49.73) is worse than 76.32% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 6.24 is on the high side and indicates that PST has dependencies on debt financing.
PST's Debt to Equity ratio of 6.24 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. PST is outperformed by 94.74% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 6.24
Debt/FCF 49.73
Altman-Z 0.05
ROIC/WACC0.28
WACC3.4%
PST.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFPST.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B 10B 15B

2.3 Liquidity

PST has a Current Ratio of 0.56. This is a bad value and indicates that PST is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a decent Current ratio value of 0.56, PST is doing good in the industry, outperforming 76.32% of the companies in the same industry.
PST has a Quick Ratio of 0.56. This is a bad value and indicates that PST is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a decent Quick ratio value of 0.55, PST is doing good in the industry, outperforming 76.32% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.56
Quick Ratio 0.55
PST.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesPST.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20B 40B 60B 80B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 30.16% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, PST shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 8.38% on average per year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.59% in the past year.
PST shows a very negative growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -16.83% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)30.16%
EPS 3Y14.03%
EPS 5Y8.38%
EPS Q2Q%22.4%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.59%
Revenue growth 3Y4.83%
Revenue growth 5Y-16.83%
Sales Q2Q%6.41%

3.2 Future

PST is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 0.50% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, PST will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.54% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-8.04%
EPS Next 2Y-2.38%
EPS Next 3Y0.87%
EPS Next 5Y0.5%
Revenue Next Year3.73%
Revenue Next 2Y3.07%
Revenue Next 3Y2.89%
Revenue Next 5Y2.54%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
PST.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesPST.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 10B 20B 30B
PST.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesPST.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0.5 1 1.5

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

PST is valuated reasonably with a Price/Earnings ratio of 9.89.
PST's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. PST is cheaper than 81.58% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of PST to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.82), we can say PST is valued rather cheaply.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 10.90, which indicates a very decent valuation of PST.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as PST.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.76, PST is valued a bit cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.89
Fwd PE 10.9
PST.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsPST.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as PST.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 13.91
EV/EBITDA -7.56
PST.MI Per share dataPST.MI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PST has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.18
EPS Next 2Y-2.38%
EPS Next 3Y0.87%

7

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

PST has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 5.76%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 4.43, PST pays a better dividend. On top of this PST pays more dividend than 81.58% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.39, PST pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5.76%

5.2 History

On average, the dividend of PST grows each year by 10.13%, which is quite nice.
Dividend Growth(5Y)10.13%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0

5.3 Sustainability

PST pays out 44.06% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
PST's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP44.06%
EPS Next 2Y-2.38%
EPS Next 3Y0.87%
PST.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendPST.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B 2B 3B
PST.MI Dividend Payout.PST.MI Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.PST.MI Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

POSTE ITALIANE SPA

BIT:PST (5/23/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

18.695

-0.08 (-0.43%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupInsurance
GICS IndustryInsurance
Earnings (Last)05-08 2025-05-08/bmo
Earnings (Next)07-24 2025-07-24
Inst Owners9.98%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap24.42B
Analysts79
Price Target16.67 (-10.83%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5.76%
Yearly Dividend0.68
Dividend Growth(5Y)10.13%
DP44.06%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)4.72%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.49%
Max EPS beat(2)9.94%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)5.68%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.49%
Max EPS beat(4)9.94%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.72%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.56%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.88%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.3%
Min Revenue beat(4)1.56%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.95%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)4.41%
PT rev (3m)10.2%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-3.41%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.41%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.83%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.19%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.54%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.89
Fwd PE 10.9
P/S 1.57
P/FCF 13.91
P/OCF 9.12
P/B 2.05
P/tB 2.46
EV/EBITDA -7.56
EPS(TTM)1.89
EY10.11%
EPS(NY)1.72
Fwd EY9.17%
FCF(TTM)1.34
FCFY7.19%
OCF(TTM)2.05
OCFY10.97%
SpS11.89
BVpS9.12
TBVpS7.59
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.18
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.86%
ROE 19.86%
ROCE 1.76%
ROIC 0.95%
ROICexc 1.14%
ROICexgc 1.15%
OM 21.13%
PM (TTM) 15.25%
GM 73.4%
FCFM 11.31%
ROA(3y)0.68%
ROA(5y)0.61%
ROE(3y)18.66%
ROE(5y)16.11%
ROIC(3y)0.89%
ROIC(5y)0.76%
ROICexc(3y)1.12%
ROICexc(5y)0.97%
ROICexgc(3y)1.15%
ROICexgc(5y)0.99%
ROCE(3y)1.48%
ROCE(5y)1.24%
ROICexcg growth 3Y15.42%
ROICexcg growth 5Y19.21%
ROICexc growth 3Y15.4%
ROICexc growth 5Y18.92%
OM growth 3Y10.96%
OM growth 5Y31.66%
PM growth 3Y3.13%
PM growth 5Y30.15%
GM growth 3Y-2.09%
GM growth 5Y-5.18%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.06
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 6.24
Debt/FCF 49.73
Debt/EBITDA 17.81
Cap/Depr 103.13%
Cap/Sales 5.94%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 64.14%
Profit Quality 74.19%
Current Ratio 0.56
Quick Ratio 0.55
Altman-Z 0.05
F-Score7
WACC3.4%
ROIC/WACC0.28
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)30.16%
EPS 3Y14.03%
EPS 5Y8.38%
EPS Q2Q%22.4%
EPS Next Y-8.04%
EPS Next 2Y-2.38%
EPS Next 3Y0.87%
EPS Next 5Y0.5%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.59%
Revenue growth 3Y4.83%
Revenue growth 5Y-16.83%
Sales Q2Q%6.41%
Revenue Next Year3.73%
Revenue Next 2Y3.07%
Revenue Next 3Y2.89%
Revenue Next 5Y2.54%
EBIT growth 1Y-14.82%
EBIT growth 3Y16.33%
EBIT growth 5Y9.5%
EBIT Next Year39.1%
EBIT Next 3Y15.35%
EBIT Next 5Y10.36%
FCF growth 1Y133.51%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y73.33%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A