POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:POST • US7374461041
Current stock price
103.65 USD
-0.99 (-0.95%)
At close:
103.65 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This POST fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. POST Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year POST was profitable.
- POST had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- In the past 5 years POST has always been profitable.
- POST had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- POST has a Return On Assets (2.46%) which is in line with its industry peers.
- The Return On Equity of POST (9.23%) is better than 70.11% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Invested Capital of POST (5.54%) is better than 60.92% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for POST is below the industry average of 7.69%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (5.54%) for POST is above the 3 year average (4.97%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.46% | ||
| ROE | 9.23% | ||
| ROIC | 5.54% |
ROA(3y)2.64%
ROA(5y)3.19%
ROE(3y)8.58%
ROE(5y)11.02%
ROIC(3y)4.97%
ROIC(5y)4.25%
1.3 Margins
- POST has a Profit Margin of 3.82%. This is in the better half of the industry: POST outperforms 65.52% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of POST has grown nicely.
- POST has a Operating Margin of 10.33%. This is in the better half of the industry: POST outperforms 77.01% of its industry peers.
- POST's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- The Gross Margin of POST (28.51%) is better than 66.67% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of POST has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.33% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.82% | ||
| GM | 28.51% |
OM growth 3Y13.11%
OM growth 5Y-2.17%
PM growth 3Y-31.73%
PM growth 5Y199.83%
GM growth 3Y4.57%
GM growth 5Y-1.4%
2. POST Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so POST is destroying value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, POST has less shares outstanding
- POST has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- POST has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.50, we must say that POST is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- POST has a Altman-Z score of 1.50. This is in the lower half of the industry: POST underperforms 62.07% of its industry peers.
- POST has a debt to FCF ratio of 17.11. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as POST would need 17.11 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 17.11, POST is in line with its industry, outperforming 50.57% of the companies in the same industry.
- POST has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.16. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- The Debt to Equity ratio of POST (2.16) is worse than 81.61% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.16 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 17.11 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.5 |
ROIC/WACC0.8
WACC6.94%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.90 indicates that POST should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.90, POST is in line with its industry, outperforming 58.62% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.02 indicates that POST should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- POST has a Quick ratio (1.02) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.9 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.02 |
3. POST Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 21.39% over the past year.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 21.52% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.38% in the past year.
- Measured over the past years, POST shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 11.61% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)21.39%
EPS 3Y51.93%
EPS 5Y21.52%
EPS Q2Q%23.12%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.38%
Revenue growth 3Y11.72%
Revenue growth 5Y11.61%
Sales Q2Q%10.12%
3.2 Future
- POST is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 0.56% yearly.
- POST is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -6.28% yearly.
EPS Next Y3.59%
EPS Next 2Y7.05%
EPS Next 3Y9.28%
EPS Next 5Y0.56%
Revenue Next Year2.87%
Revenue Next 2Y1.66%
Revenue Next 3Y1.3%
Revenue Next 5Y-6.28%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. POST Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 13.53, which indicates a correct valuation of POST.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, POST is valued a bit cheaper than 71.26% of the companies in the same industry.
- POST is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.42, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.46, the valuation of POST can be described as correct.
- POST's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. POST is cheaper than 77.01% of the companies in the same industry.
- POST is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.29, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.53 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.46 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, POST is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 66.67% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, POST is valued a bit cheaper than 72.41% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 11.4 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.56 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
- The decent profitability rating of POST may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)3.76
PEG (5Y)0.63
EPS Next 2Y7.05%
EPS Next 3Y9.28%
5. POST Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- POST does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
POST Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
103.65
-0.99 (-0.95%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)02-05 2026-02-05/amc
Earnings (Next)05-07 2026-05-07/amc
Inst Owners101.13%
Inst Owner Change-0.39%
Ins Owners3.93%
Ins Owner Change2.09%
Market Cap4.97B
Revenue(TTM)8.36B
Net Income(TTM)319.20M
Analysts82.67
Price Target127.57 (23.08%)
Short Float %13.24%
Short Ratio6.39
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)16.37%
Min EPS beat(2)9.38%
Max EPS beat(2)23.35%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)17.16%
Min EPS beat(4)9.38%
Max EPS beat(4)23.35%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)17.36%
EPS beat(12)12
Avg EPS beat(12)25.02%
EPS beat(16)16
Avg EPS beat(16)37.18%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.83%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.88%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.78%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.83%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.27%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.39%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.3%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.53%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.29%
PT rev (1m)-2.62%
PT rev (3m)1.87%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-2.98%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-1.5%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.05%
EPS NY rev (3m)4.35%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.24%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.14%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.01%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.2%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.53 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.46 | ||
| P/S | 0.59 | ||
| P/FCF | 11.4 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.38 | ||
| P/B | 1.44 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.56 |
EPS(TTM)7.66
EY7.39%
EPS(NY)8.32
Fwd EY8.03%
FCF(TTM)9.09
FCFY8.77%
OCF(TTM)19.26
OCFY18.58%
SpS174.27
BVpS72.09
TBVpS-90.74
PEG (NY)3.76
PEG (5Y)0.63
Graham Number111.462 (7.54%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.46% | ||
| ROE | 9.23% | ||
| ROCE | 7.23% | ||
| ROIC | 5.54% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.67% | ||
| ROICexgc | 17.15% | ||
| OM | 10.33% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.82% | ||
| GM | 28.51% | ||
| FCFM | 5.22% |
ROA(3y)2.64%
ROA(5y)3.19%
ROE(3y)8.58%
ROE(5y)11.02%
ROIC(3y)4.97%
ROIC(5y)4.25%
ROICexc(3y)5.13%
ROICexc(5y)4.46%
ROICexgc(3y)16.78%
ROICexgc(5y)15.37%
ROCE(3y)6.48%
ROCE(5y)5.54%
ROICexgc growth 3Y4.11%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-3.16%
ROICexc growth 3Y16.27%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.01%
OM growth 3Y13.11%
OM growth 5Y-2.17%
PM growth 3Y-31.73%
PM growth 5Y199.83%
GM growth 3Y4.57%
GM growth 5Y-1.4%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.64
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.16 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 17.11 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.25 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 87.62% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.83% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 65.07% | ||
| Profit Quality | 136.59% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.9 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.02 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.5 |
F-Score5
WACC6.94%
ROIC/WACC0.8
Cap/Depr(3y)87.27%
Cap/Depr(5y)74.95%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.34%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.85%
Profit Quality(3y)143.6%
Profit Quality(5y)137%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)21.39%
EPS 3Y51.93%
EPS 5Y21.52%
EPS Q2Q%23.12%
EPS Next Y3.59%
EPS Next 2Y7.05%
EPS Next 3Y9.28%
EPS Next 5Y0.56%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.38%
Revenue growth 3Y11.72%
Revenue growth 5Y11.61%
Sales Q2Q%10.12%
Revenue Next Year2.87%
Revenue Next 2Y1.66%
Revenue Next 3Y1.3%
Revenue Next 5Y-6.28%
EBIT growth 1Y8%
EBIT growth 3Y26.36%
EBIT growth 5Y9.19%
EBIT Next Year71.43%
EBIT Next 3Y21.31%
EBIT Next 5Y4.46%
FCF growth 1Y-11.9%
FCF growth 3Y56.52%
FCF growth 5Y4.54%
OCF growth 1Y11.76%
OCF growth 3Y37.67%
OCF growth 5Y9.8%
POST HOLDINGS INC / POST Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for POST stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to POST.
What is the valuation status for POST stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to POST HOLDINGS INC (POST). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for POST HOLDINGS INC?
POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) is 13.53 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.44.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for POST stock?
The dividend rating of POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.