POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:POST • US7374461041

Current stock price

96.92 USD
-0.76 (-0.78%)
Last:

This POST fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. POST Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year POST was profitable.
  • In the past year POST had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Each year in the past 5 years POST has been profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years POST had a positive operating cash flow.
POST Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFPOST Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

1.2 Ratios

  • POST's Return On Assets of 2.46% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. POST outperforms 54.02% of its industry peers.
  • POST has a better Return On Equity (9.23%) than 70.11% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 5.54%, POST is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 63.22% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for POST is below the industry average of 7.17%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (4.97%) for POST is below the current ROIC(5.54%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.46%
ROE 9.23%
ROIC 5.54%
ROA(3y)2.64%
ROA(5y)3.19%
ROE(3y)8.58%
ROE(5y)11.02%
ROIC(3y)4.97%
ROIC(5y)4.25%
POST Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICPOST Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 10 15 20

1.3 Margins

  • POST has a better Profit Margin (3.82%) than 65.52% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of POST has grown nicely.
  • POST's Operating Margin of 10.33% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. POST outperforms 78.16% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of POST has declined.
  • POST's Gross Margin of 28.51% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. POST outperforms 68.97% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of POST has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 10.33%
PM (TTM) 3.82%
GM 28.51%
OM growth 3Y13.11%
OM growth 5Y-2.17%
PM growth 3Y-31.73%
PM growth 5Y199.83%
GM growth 3Y4.57%
GM growth 5Y-1.4%
POST Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsPOST Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30

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3

2. POST Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so POST is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for POST has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, POST has less shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, POST has a worse debt to assets ratio.
POST Yearly Shares OutstandingPOST Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M
POST Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsPOST Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.48, we must say that POST is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • With a Altman-Z score value of 1.48, POST perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 40.23% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of POST is 17.11, which is on the high side as it means it would take POST, 17.11 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 17.11, POST is in line with its industry, outperforming 56.32% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 2.16 is on the high side and indicates that POST has dependencies on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of POST (2.16) is worse than 81.61% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.16
Debt/FCF 17.11
Altman-Z 1.48
ROIC/WACC0.8
WACC6.92%
POST Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFPOST Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B

2.3 Liquidity

  • POST has a Current Ratio of 1.90. This is a normal value and indicates that POST is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a decent Current ratio value of 1.90, POST is doing good in the industry, outperforming 63.22% of the companies in the same industry.
  • POST has a Quick Ratio of 1.02. This is a normal value and indicates that POST is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • POST has a better Quick ratio (1.02) than 60.92% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.9
Quick Ratio 1.02
POST Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesPOST Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

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4

3. POST Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • POST shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 21.39%, which is quite impressive.
  • Measured over the past years, POST shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 21.52% on average per year.
  • POST shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 5.38%.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 11.61% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)21.39%
EPS 3Y51.93%
EPS 5Y21.52%
EPS Q2Q%23.12%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.38%
Revenue growth 3Y11.72%
Revenue growth 5Y11.61%
Sales Q2Q%10.12%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 0.56% on average over the next years.
  • The Revenue is expected to decrease by -6.28% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y3.65%
EPS Next 2Y7.97%
EPS Next 3Y9.33%
EPS Next 5Y0.56%
Revenue Next Year2.88%
Revenue Next 2Y1.64%
Revenue Next 3Y1.23%
Revenue Next 5Y-6.28%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
POST Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesPOST Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2B 4B 6B 8B
POST Yearly EPS VS EstimatesPOST Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2 4 6 8

More info and screens

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6

4. POST Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 12.65, the valuation of POST can be described as correct.
  • 68.97% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than POST, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • POST's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 25.96.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 11.45, which indicates a very decent valuation of POST.
  • 80.46% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than POST, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 24.04, POST is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.65
Fwd PE 11.45
POST Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsPOST Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 65.52% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than POST, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • POST's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. POST is cheaper than 82.76% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 10.66
EV/EBITDA 8.36
POST Per share dataPOST EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 50 -50 100 150

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates POST does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
  • POST has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)3.47
PEG (5Y)0.59
EPS Next 2Y7.97%
EPS Next 3Y9.33%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. POST Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for POST!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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POST Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

POST HOLDINGS INC

NYSE:POST (3/17/2026, 3:58:03 PM)

96.92

-0.76 (-0.78%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)02-05
Earnings (Next)05-06
Inst Owners101.3%
Inst Owner Change-2.97%
Ins Owners3.93%
Ins Owner Change4.92%
Market Cap4.65B
Revenue(TTM)8.36B
Net Income(TTM)319.20M
Analysts82.67
Price Target131 (35.16%)
Short Float %12.95%
Short Ratio6.41
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)16.37%
Min EPS beat(2)9.38%
Max EPS beat(2)23.35%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)17.16%
Min EPS beat(4)9.38%
Max EPS beat(4)23.35%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)17.36%
EPS beat(12)12
Avg EPS beat(12)25.02%
EPS beat(16)16
Avg EPS beat(16)37.18%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.83%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.88%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.78%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.83%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.27%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.39%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.3%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.53%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.29%
PT rev (1m)3.53%
PT rev (3m)4.62%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.74%
EPS NQ rev (3m)2.53%
EPS NY rev (1m)4.58%
EPS NY rev (3m)6.45%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.05%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.09%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.19%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.23%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.65
Fwd PE 11.45
P/S 0.56
P/FCF 10.66
P/OCF 5.03
P/B 1.34
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 8.36
EPS(TTM)7.66
EY7.9%
EPS(NY)8.46
Fwd EY8.73%
FCF(TTM)9.09
FCFY9.38%
OCF(TTM)19.26
OCFY19.87%
SpS174.27
BVpS72.09
TBVpS-90.74
PEG (NY)3.47
PEG (5Y)0.59
Graham Number111.46
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.46%
ROE 9.23%
ROCE 7.23%
ROIC 5.54%
ROICexc 5.67%
ROICexgc 17.15%
OM 10.33%
PM (TTM) 3.82%
GM 28.51%
FCFM 5.22%
ROA(3y)2.64%
ROA(5y)3.19%
ROE(3y)8.58%
ROE(5y)11.02%
ROIC(3y)4.97%
ROIC(5y)4.25%
ROICexc(3y)5.13%
ROICexc(5y)4.46%
ROICexgc(3y)16.78%
ROICexgc(5y)15.37%
ROCE(3y)6.48%
ROCE(5y)5.54%
ROICexgc growth 3Y4.11%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-3.16%
ROICexc growth 3Y16.27%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.01%
OM growth 3Y13.11%
OM growth 5Y-2.17%
PM growth 3Y-31.73%
PM growth 5Y199.83%
GM growth 3Y4.57%
GM growth 5Y-1.4%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.64
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.16
Debt/FCF 17.11
Debt/EBITDA 5.25
Cap/Depr 87.62%
Cap/Sales 5.83%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 65.07%
Profit Quality 136.59%
Current Ratio 1.9
Quick Ratio 1.02
Altman-Z 1.48
F-Score5
WACC6.92%
ROIC/WACC0.8
Cap/Depr(3y)87.27%
Cap/Depr(5y)74.95%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.34%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.85%
Profit Quality(3y)143.6%
Profit Quality(5y)137%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)21.39%
EPS 3Y51.93%
EPS 5Y21.52%
EPS Q2Q%23.12%
EPS Next Y3.65%
EPS Next 2Y7.97%
EPS Next 3Y9.33%
EPS Next 5Y0.56%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.38%
Revenue growth 3Y11.72%
Revenue growth 5Y11.61%
Sales Q2Q%10.12%
Revenue Next Year2.88%
Revenue Next 2Y1.64%
Revenue Next 3Y1.23%
Revenue Next 5Y-6.28%
EBIT growth 1Y8%
EBIT growth 3Y26.36%
EBIT growth 5Y9.19%
EBIT Next Year70.57%
EBIT Next 3Y21.31%
EBIT Next 5Y4.46%
FCF growth 1Y-11.9%
FCF growth 3Y56.52%
FCF growth 5Y4.54%
OCF growth 1Y11.76%
OCF growth 3Y37.67%
OCF growth 5Y9.8%

POST HOLDINGS INC / POST Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for POST stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to POST.


What is the valuation status for POST stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to POST HOLDINGS INC (POST). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) stock?

POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What is the valuation of POST HOLDINGS INC based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) is 12.65 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.34.


What is the earnings growth outlook for POST HOLDINGS INC?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) is expected to grow by 3.65% in the next year.