POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:POST - US7374461041 - Common Stock
98.1 USD
-0.18 (-0.18%)
98.1 USD
0 (0%)
Overall POST gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated POST against 87 industry peers in the Food Products industry. There are concerns on the financial health of POST while its profitability can be described as average. POST has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
- POST had positive earnings in the past year.
- POST had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- Each year in the past 5 years POST has been profitable.
- In the past 5 years POST always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- POST's Return On Assets of 2.48% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. POST outperforms 51.72% of its industry peers.
- With a decent Return On Equity value of 8.94%, POST is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.56% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Return On Invested Capital of POST (5.22%) is better than 60.92% of its industry peers.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for POST is significantly below the industry average of 27.80%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (5.22%) for POST is above the 3 year average (4.97%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.48% | ||
| ROE | 8.94% | ||
| ROIC | 5.22% |
ROA(3y)2.64%
ROA(5y)3.19%
ROE(3y)8.58%
ROE(5y)11.02%
ROIC(3y)4.97%
ROIC(5y)4.25%
1.3 Margins
- With a decent Profit Margin value of 4.11%, POST is doing good in the industry, outperforming 68.97% of the companies in the same industry.
- POST's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- POST has a better Operating Margin (10.28%) than 75.86% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of POST has declined.
- Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 28.68%, POST is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 65.52% of the companies in the same industry.
- POST's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.28% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 4.11% | ||
| GM | 28.68% |
OM growth 3Y13.11%
OM growth 5Y-2.17%
PM growth 3Y-31.73%
PM growth 5Y199.83%
GM growth 3Y4.57%
GM growth 5Y-1.4%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
- POST has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
- POST has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- POST has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for POST is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.41, we must say that POST is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.41, POST is doing worse than 60.92% of the companies in the same industry.
- POST has a debt to FCF ratio of 15.21. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as POST would need 15.21 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- POST has a Debt to FCF ratio (15.21) which is in line with its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.98 is on the high side and indicates that POST has dependencies on debt financing.
- The Debt to Equity ratio of POST (1.98) is worse than 83.91% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.98 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 15.21 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.41 |
ROIC/WACC0.78
WACC6.71%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.67 indicates that POST should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- With a Current ratio value of 1.67, POST perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 57.47% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.95 indicates that POST may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- The Quick ratio of POST (0.95) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.67 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.95 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
- POST shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 15.79%, which is quite good.
- Measured over the past years, POST shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 21.52% on average per year.
- Looking at the last year, POST shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 2.97% in the last year.
- Measured over the past years, POST shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 11.61% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)15.79%
EPS 3Y51.93%
EPS 5Y21.52%
EPS Q2Q%36.6%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.97%
Revenue growth 3Y11.72%
Revenue growth 5Y11.61%
Sales Q2Q%11.79%
3.2 Future
- POST is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 0.56% yearly.
- Based on estimates for the next years, POST will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -6.28% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-2.43%
EPS Next 2Y7.68%
EPS Next 3Y9.29%
EPS Next 5Y0.56%
Revenue Next Year3.09%
Revenue Next 2Y1.72%
Revenue Next 3Y1.31%
Revenue Next 5Y-6.28%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 13.51, which indicates a correct valuation of POST.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, POST is valued a bit cheaper than 70.11% of the companies in the same industry.
- POST's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 27.54.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.85 indicates a correct valuation of POST.
- POST's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. POST is cheaper than 71.26% of the companies in the same industry.
- When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of POST to the average of the S&P500 Index (24.31), we can say POST is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.51 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.85 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of POST indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: POST is cheaper than 64.37% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of POST indicates a rather cheap valuation: POST is cheaper than 85.06% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 10.48 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.08 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The decent profitability rating of POST may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.63
EPS Next 2Y7.68%
EPS Next 3Y9.29%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
- No dividends for POST!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
98.1
-0.18 (-0.18%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)11-20 2025-11-20/amc
Earnings (Next)01-29 2026-01-29/amc
Inst Owners97.77%
Inst Owner Change-0.02%
Ins Owners3.65%
Ins Owner Change5.33%
Market Cap5.12B
Revenue(TTM)8.16B
Net Income(TTM)335.70M
Analysts81.25
Price Target125.22 (27.65%)
Short Float %10.01%
Short Ratio5.65
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)15.09%
Min EPS beat(2)9.38%
Max EPS beat(2)20.81%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)14.35%
Min EPS beat(4)9.38%
Max EPS beat(4)20.81%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)20.74%
EPS beat(12)12
Avg EPS beat(12)27.69%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)34.42%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.13%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.88%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.39%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.05%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.27%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.39%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.04%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.16%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.42%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-2.52%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.07%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-14.21%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.21%
EPS NY rev (3m)-10.62%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.46%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.03%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-4.79%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.51 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.85 | ||
| P/S | 0.63 | ||
| P/FCF | 10.48 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.12 | ||
| P/B | 1.36 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.08 |
EPS(TTM)7.26
EY7.4%
EPS(NY)7.08
Fwd EY7.22%
FCF(TTM)9.36
FCFY9.54%
OCF(TTM)19.14
OCFY19.51%
SpS156.44
BVpS71.97
TBVpS-78.74
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.63
Graham Number108.43
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.48% | ||
| ROE | 8.94% | ||
| ROCE | 6.81% | ||
| ROIC | 5.22% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.29% | ||
| ROICexgc | 15.02% | ||
| OM | 10.28% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 4.11% | ||
| GM | 28.68% | ||
| FCFM | 5.98% |
ROA(3y)2.64%
ROA(5y)3.19%
ROE(3y)8.58%
ROE(5y)11.02%
ROIC(3y)4.97%
ROIC(5y)4.25%
ROICexc(3y)5.13%
ROICexc(5y)4.46%
ROICexgc(3y)16.78%
ROICexgc(5y)15.37%
ROCE(3y)6.48%
ROCE(5y)5.54%
ROICexgc growth 3Y4.11%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-3.16%
ROICexc growth 3Y16.27%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.01%
OM growth 3Y13.11%
OM growth 5Y-2.17%
PM growth 3Y-31.73%
PM growth 5Y199.83%
GM growth 3Y4.57%
GM growth 5Y-1.4%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.6
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.98 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 15.21 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.45 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 97.31% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.25% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.27 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 73.25% | ||
| Profit Quality | 145.4% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.67 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.95 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.41 |
F-Score4
WACC6.71%
ROIC/WACC0.78
Cap/Depr(3y)87.27%
Cap/Depr(5y)74.95%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.34%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.85%
Profit Quality(3y)143.6%
Profit Quality(5y)137%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)15.79%
EPS 3Y51.93%
EPS 5Y21.52%
EPS Q2Q%36.6%
EPS Next Y-2.43%
EPS Next 2Y7.68%
EPS Next 3Y9.29%
EPS Next 5Y0.56%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.97%
Revenue growth 3Y11.72%
Revenue growth 5Y11.61%
Sales Q2Q%11.79%
Revenue Next Year3.09%
Revenue Next 2Y1.72%
Revenue Next 3Y1.31%
Revenue Next 5Y-6.28%
EBIT growth 1Y4.46%
EBIT growth 3Y26.36%
EBIT growth 5Y9.19%
EBIT Next Year66.61%
EBIT Next 3Y20.79%
EBIT Next 5Y4.46%
FCF growth 1Y-2.81%
FCF growth 3Y56.52%
FCF growth 5Y4.54%
OCF growth 1Y7.15%
OCF growth 3Y37.67%
OCF growth 5Y9.8%
POST HOLDINGS INC / POST FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for POST stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to POST.
What is the valuation status for POST stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to POST HOLDINGS INC (POST). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) stock?
POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What is the valuation of POST HOLDINGS INC based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) is 13.51 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.36.
What is the earnings growth outlook for POST HOLDINGS INC?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) is expected to decline by -2.43% in the next year.