POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:POST - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US7374461041 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
POST gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 90 industry peers in the Food Products industry. POST has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. POST has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year POST was profitable.
In the past year POST had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years POST has always been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years POST had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
POST has a Return On Assets (2.79%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
POST has a Return On Equity of 9.33%. This is in the better half of the industry: POST outperforms 68.89% of its industry peers.
POST has a Return On Invested Capital (5.20%) which is in line with its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for POST is below the industry average of 8.11%.
The 3 year average ROIC (4.25%) for POST is below the current ROIC(5.20%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.79% | ||
| ROE | 9.33% | ||
| ROIC | 5.2% |
ROA(3y)4.04%
ROA(5y)2.7%
ROE(3y)13.35%
ROE(5y)9.23%
ROIC(3y)4.25%
ROIC(5y)3.95%
1.3 Margins
POST has a Profit Margin of 4.53%. This is in the better half of the industry: POST outperforms 70.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of POST has grown nicely.
With a decent Operating Margin value of 10.12%, POST is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.56% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of POST has declined.
POST has a Gross Margin of 29.09%. This is in the better half of the industry: POST outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of POST has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.12% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 4.53% | ||
| GM | 29.09% |
OM growth 3Y1.07%
OM growth 5Y-4.6%
PM growth 3Y11.41%
PM growth 5Y16.66%
GM growth 3Y0.49%
GM growth 5Y-1.61%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), POST is destroying value.
POST has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
POST has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, POST has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.55, we must say that POST is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of POST (1.55) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of POST is 13.91, which is on the high side as it means it would take POST, 13.91 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
POST has a Debt to FCF ratio (13.91) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
POST has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.81. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.81, POST is doing worse than 85.56% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.81 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 13.91 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.55 |
ROIC/WACC0.81
WACC6.45%
2.3 Liquidity
POST has a Current Ratio of 2.13. This indicates that POST is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of POST (2.13) is better than 68.89% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.43 indicates that POST should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.43, POST is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 74.44% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.13 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.43 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for POST have decreased by -2.20% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 4.76% on average over the past years.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.48% in the past year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.88% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-2.2%
EPS 3Y38.11%
EPS 5Y4.76%
EPS Q2Q%-6.62%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.48%
Revenue growth 3Y16.73%
Revenue growth 5Y6.88%
Sales Q2Q%-2.35%
3.2 Future
POST is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 2.46% yearly.
POST is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -5.72% yearly.
EPS Next Y5.12%
EPS Next 2Y9.53%
EPS Next 3Y9.55%
EPS Next 5Y2.46%
Revenue Next Year0.71%
Revenue Next 2Y1.18%
Revenue Next 3Y0.8%
Revenue Next 5Y-5.72%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 17.67, POST is valued on the expensive side.
POST's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. POST is cheaper than 62.22% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.17, POST is valued a bit cheaper.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.58 indicates a correct valuation of POST.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, POST is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 71.11% of the companies are valued more expensively.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.10. POST is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.67 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.58 |
4.2 Price Multiples
POST's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. POST is cheaper than 61.11% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of POST indicates a rather cheap valuation: POST is cheaper than 81.11% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 12.24 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.6 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates POST does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
POST has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)3.45
PEG (5Y)3.71
EPS Next 2Y9.53%
EPS Next 3Y9.55%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for POST!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
NYSE:POST (5/29/2025, 2:11:11 PM)
109.705
+1.11 (+1.03%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners95.54%
Inst Owner Change1.88%
Ins Owners2.68%
Ins Owner Change-4.16%
Market Cap6.11B
Analysts78.82
Price Target128.73 (17.34%)
Short Float %5.22%
Short Ratio3.91
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)13.6%
Min EPS beat(2)12.12%
Max EPS beat(2)15.09%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)17.34%
Min EPS beat(4)12.12%
Max EPS beat(4)21.7%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)26.78%
EPS beat(12)12
Avg EPS beat(12)28.93%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)28.8%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.97%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.27%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.68%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.77%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.45%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.3%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.96%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.2%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-3.66%
PT rev (1m)-0.19%
PT rev (3m)-1.15%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.06%
EPS NQ rev (3m)4.98%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.53%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.46%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.35%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.15%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.44%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.46%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.67 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.58 | ||
| P/S | 0.78 | ||
| P/FCF | 12.24 | ||
| P/OCF | 6.25 | ||
| P/B | 1.6 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.6 |
EPS(TTM)6.21
EY5.66%
EPS(NY)7.52
Fwd EY6.86%
FCF(TTM)8.96
FCFY8.17%
OCF(TTM)17.57
OCFY16.01%
SpS141.5
BVpS68.75
TBVpS-70.76
PEG (NY)3.45
PEG (5Y)3.71
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.79% | ||
| ROE | 9.33% | ||
| ROCE | 6.77% | ||
| ROIC | 5.2% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.49% | ||
| ROICexgc | 18.07% | ||
| OM | 10.12% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 4.53% | ||
| GM | 29.09% | ||
| FCFM | 6.33% |
ROA(3y)4.04%
ROA(5y)2.7%
ROE(3y)13.35%
ROE(5y)9.23%
ROIC(3y)4.25%
ROIC(5y)3.95%
ROICexc(3y)4.5%
ROICexc(5y)4.24%
ROICexgc(3y)16.24%
ROICexgc(5y)15.92%
ROCE(3y)5.53%
ROCE(5y)5.15%
ROICexcg growth 3Y12.41%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-4.51%
ROICexc growth 3Y15.92%
ROICexc growth 5Y0.02%
OM growth 3Y1.07%
OM growth 5Y-4.6%
PM growth 3Y11.41%
PM growth 5Y16.66%
GM growth 3Y0.49%
GM growth 5Y-1.61%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.62
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.81 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 13.91 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.39 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 97.7% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.08% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 75.93% | ||
| Profit Quality | 139.74% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.13 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.43 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.55 |
F-Score5
WACC6.45%
ROIC/WACC0.81
Cap/Depr(3y)77.21%
Cap/Depr(5y)68.16%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.71%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.59%
Profit Quality(3y)100.74%
Profit Quality(5y)9882.92%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-2.2%
EPS 3Y38.11%
EPS 5Y4.76%
EPS Q2Q%-6.62%
EPS Next Y5.12%
EPS Next 2Y9.53%
EPS Next 3Y9.55%
EPS Next 5Y2.46%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.48%
Revenue growth 3Y16.73%
Revenue growth 5Y6.88%
Sales Q2Q%-2.35%
Revenue Next Year0.71%
Revenue Next 2Y1.18%
Revenue Next 3Y0.8%
Revenue Next 5Y-5.72%
EBIT growth 1Y4.68%
EBIT growth 3Y17.98%
EBIT growth 5Y1.97%
EBIT Next Year74.89%
EBIT Next 3Y22.84%
EBIT Next 5Y6.4%
FCF growth 1Y225.91%
FCF growth 3Y8.27%
FCF growth 5Y3.93%
OCF growth 1Y123.01%
OCF growth 3Y16.57%
OCF growth 5Y6.25%