POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:POST - US7374461041 - Common Stock
96 USD
-1.86 (-1.9%)
96 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, POST scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. POST was compared to 86 industry peers in the Food Products industry. There are concerns on the financial health of POST while its profitability can be described as average. POST has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year POST was profitable.
In the past year POST had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years POST has always been profitable.
POST had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
POST has a Return On Assets (2.48%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
POST has a Return On Equity of 8.94%. This is in the better half of the industry: POST outperforms 72.41% of its industry peers.
POST has a Return On Invested Capital (5.22%) which is in line with its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for POST is significantly below the industry average of 28.77%.
The 3 year average ROIC (4.97%) for POST is below the current ROIC(5.22%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.48% | ||
| ROE | 8.94% | ||
| ROIC | 5.22% |
ROA(3y)2.64%
ROA(5y)3.19%
ROE(3y)8.58%
ROE(5y)11.02%
ROIC(3y)4.97%
ROIC(5y)4.25%
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of POST (4.11%) is better than 68.97% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of POST has grown nicely.
POST has a Operating Margin of 10.28%. This is in the better half of the industry: POST outperforms 75.86% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of POST has declined.
POST's Gross Margin of 28.68% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. POST outperforms 65.52% of its industry peers.
POST's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.28% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 4.11% | ||
| GM | 28.68% |
OM growth 3Y13.11%
OM growth 5Y-2.17%
PM growth 3Y-31.73%
PM growth 5Y199.83%
GM growth 3Y4.57%
GM growth 5Y-1.4%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), POST is destroying value.
POST has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, POST has less shares outstanding
POST has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
POST has an Altman-Z score of 1.41. This is a bad value and indicates that POST is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
POST has a Altman-Z score (1.41) which is in line with its industry peers.
POST has a debt to FCF ratio of 15.21. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as POST would need 15.21 years to pay back of all of its debts.
POST's Debt to FCF ratio of 15.21 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. POST outperforms 55.17% of its industry peers.
POST has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.98. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
POST has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.98. This is amonst the worse of the industry: POST underperforms 86.21% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.98 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 15.21 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.41 |
ROIC/WACC0.75
WACC6.94%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.67 indicates that POST should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
POST has a Current ratio of 1.67. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: POST outperforms 56.32% of its industry peers.
POST has a Quick Ratio of 1.67. This is a bad value and indicates that POST is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.95, POST perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 59.77% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.67 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.95 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
POST shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 15.79%, which is quite good.
Measured over the past years, POST shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 21.52% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, POST shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 2.97% in the last year.
POST shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 11.61% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)15.79%
EPS 3Y51.93%
EPS 5Y21.52%
EPS Q2Q%36.6%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.97%
Revenue growth 3Y11.72%
Revenue growth 5Y11.61%
Sales Q2Q%11.79%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 0.56% on average over the next years.
POST is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -6.28% yearly.
EPS Next Y-2.64%
EPS Next 2Y7.62%
EPS Next 3Y9.29%
EPS Next 5Y0.56%
Revenue Next Year3.12%
Revenue Next 2Y1.64%
Revenue Next 3Y1.31%
Revenue Next 5Y-6.28%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 13.22, which indicates a correct valuation of POST.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of POST indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: POST is cheaper than 71.26% of the companies listed in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.49. POST is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.58 indicates a correct valuation of POST.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, POST is valued a bit cheaper than 75.86% of the companies in the same industry.
POST's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 23.69.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.22 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.58 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of POST indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: POST is cheaper than 66.67% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of POST indicates a rather cheap valuation: POST is cheaper than 86.21% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 10.26 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.99 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The decent profitability rating of POST may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.61
EPS Next 2Y7.62%
EPS Next 3Y9.29%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for POST!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
96
-1.86 (-1.9%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners96.56%
Inst Owner Change-2.32%
Ins Owners3.21%
Ins Owner Change5.22%
Market Cap5.01B
Revenue(TTM)8.16B
Net Income(TTM)335.70M
Analysts81.25
Price Target125.22 (30.44%)
Short Float %8.25%
Short Ratio5.58
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)15.09%
Min EPS beat(2)9.38%
Max EPS beat(2)20.81%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)14.35%
Min EPS beat(4)9.38%
Max EPS beat(4)20.81%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)20.74%
EPS beat(12)12
Avg EPS beat(12)27.69%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)34.42%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.13%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.88%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.39%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.05%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.27%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.39%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.04%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.16%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.42%
PT rev (1m)-2.31%
PT rev (3m)-2.58%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-13.91%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-14.65%
EPS NY rev (1m)-10.79%
EPS NY rev (3m)-12.72%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.47%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.52%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-3.52%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-5.99%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.22 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.58 | ||
| P/S | 0.61 | ||
| P/FCF | 10.26 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.01 | ||
| P/B | 1.33 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.99 |
EPS(TTM)7.26
EY7.56%
EPS(NY)7.07
Fwd EY7.36%
FCF(TTM)9.36
FCFY9.75%
OCF(TTM)19.14
OCFY19.94%
SpS156.44
BVpS71.97
TBVpS-78.74
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.61
Graham Number108.43
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.48% | ||
| ROE | 8.94% | ||
| ROCE | 6.81% | ||
| ROIC | 5.22% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.29% | ||
| ROICexgc | 15.02% | ||
| OM | 10.28% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 4.11% | ||
| GM | 28.68% | ||
| FCFM | 5.98% |
ROA(3y)2.64%
ROA(5y)3.19%
ROE(3y)8.58%
ROE(5y)11.02%
ROIC(3y)4.97%
ROIC(5y)4.25%
ROICexc(3y)5.13%
ROICexc(5y)4.46%
ROICexgc(3y)16.78%
ROICexgc(5y)15.37%
ROCE(3y)6.48%
ROCE(5y)5.54%
ROICexgc growth 3Y4.11%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-3.16%
ROICexc growth 3Y16.27%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.01%
OM growth 3Y13.11%
OM growth 5Y-2.17%
PM growth 3Y-31.73%
PM growth 5Y199.83%
GM growth 3Y4.57%
GM growth 5Y-1.4%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.6
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.98 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 15.21 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.45 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 97.31% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.25% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.27 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 73.25% | ||
| Profit Quality | 145.4% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.67 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.95 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.41 |
F-Score4
WACC6.94%
ROIC/WACC0.75
Cap/Depr(3y)87.27%
Cap/Depr(5y)74.95%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.34%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.85%
Profit Quality(3y)143.6%
Profit Quality(5y)137%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)15.79%
EPS 3Y51.93%
EPS 5Y21.52%
EPS Q2Q%36.6%
EPS Next Y-2.64%
EPS Next 2Y7.62%
EPS Next 3Y9.29%
EPS Next 5Y0.56%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.97%
Revenue growth 3Y11.72%
Revenue growth 5Y11.61%
Sales Q2Q%11.79%
Revenue Next Year3.12%
Revenue Next 2Y1.64%
Revenue Next 3Y1.31%
Revenue Next 5Y-6.28%
EBIT growth 1Y4.46%
EBIT growth 3Y26.36%
EBIT growth 5Y9.19%
EBIT Next Year66.61%
EBIT Next 3Y20.79%
EBIT Next 5Y4.46%
FCF growth 1Y-2.81%
FCF growth 3Y56.52%
FCF growth 5Y4.54%
OCF growth 1Y7.15%
OCF growth 3Y37.67%
OCF growth 5Y9.8%
POST HOLDINGS INC / POST FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for POST stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to POST.
Can you provide the valuation status for POST HOLDINGS INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to POST HOLDINGS INC (POST). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) stock?
POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for POST stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) is 13.22 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.33.
What is the expected EPS growth for POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) is expected to decline by -2.64% in the next year.