POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:POST - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US7374461041 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to POST. POST was compared to 91 industry peers in the Food Products industry. POST has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. POST has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
POST had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year POST had a positive cash flow from operations.
POST had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years POST always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
With a Return On Assets value of 2.79%, POST perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 49.45% of the companies in the same industry.
With a decent Return On Equity value of 9.33%, POST is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.93% of the companies in the same industry.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 5.20%, POST perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 58.24% of the companies in the same industry.
POST had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 4.25%. This is significantly below the industry average of 28.10%.
The 3 year average ROIC (4.25%) for POST is below the current ROIC(5.20%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.79% | ||
| ROE | 9.33% | ||
| ROIC | 5.2% |
ROA(3y)4.04%
ROA(5y)2.7%
ROE(3y)13.35%
ROE(5y)9.23%
ROIC(3y)4.25%
ROIC(5y)3.95%
1.3 Margins
POST has a better Profit Margin (4.53%) than 68.13% of its industry peers.
POST's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
POST's Operating Margin of 10.12% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. POST outperforms 74.73% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of POST has declined.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 29.09%, POST is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 65.93% of the companies in the same industry.
POST's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.12% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 4.53% | ||
| GM | 29.09% |
OM growth 3Y1.07%
OM growth 5Y-4.6%
PM growth 3Y11.41%
PM growth 5Y16.66%
GM growth 3Y0.49%
GM growth 5Y-1.61%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
POST has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for POST has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
POST has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, POST has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.54, we must say that POST is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
POST has a Altman-Z score of 1.54. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: POST outperforms 41.76% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of POST is 13.91, which is on the high side as it means it would take POST, 13.91 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
POST has a Debt to FCF ratio (13.91) which is in line with its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.81 is on the high side and indicates that POST has dependencies on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.81, POST is doing worse than 86.81% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.81 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 13.91 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.54 |
ROIC/WACC0.82
WACC6.37%
2.3 Liquidity
POST has a Current Ratio of 2.13. This indicates that POST is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of POST (2.13) is better than 71.43% of its industry peers.
POST has a Quick Ratio of 1.43. This is a normal value and indicates that POST is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
POST has a Quick ratio of 1.43. This is in the better half of the industry: POST outperforms 76.92% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.13 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.43 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for POST have decreased by -2.20% in the last year.
Measured over the past 5 years, POST shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 4.76% on average per year.
POST shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 1.48%.
POST shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 6.88% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-2.2%
EPS 3Y38.11%
EPS 5Y4.76%
EPS Q2Q%-6.62%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.48%
Revenue growth 3Y16.73%
Revenue growth 5Y6.88%
Sales Q2Q%-2.35%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 2.46% on average over the next years.
Based on estimates for the next years, POST will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -5.72% on average per year.
EPS Next Y6.52%
EPS Next 2Y11.42%
EPS Next 3Y11.14%
EPS Next 5Y2.46%
Revenue Next Year1.19%
Revenue Next 2Y2.74%
Revenue Next 3Y1.8%
Revenue Next 5Y-5.72%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 17.08, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of POST.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of POST indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: POST is cheaper than 63.74% of the companies listed in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.54. POST is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.62, POST is valued correctly.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, POST is valued a bit cheaper than 71.43% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 36.44, POST is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.08 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.62 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, POST is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 60.44% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, POST is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 79.12% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 11.84 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.52 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of POST may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.62
PEG (5Y)3.59
EPS Next 2Y11.42%
EPS Next 3Y11.14%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for POST!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
NYSE:POST (7/21/2025, 3:46:04 PM)
106.06
-0.52 (-0.49%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners97.24%
Inst Owner Change-0.3%
Ins Owners2.69%
Ins Owner Change2.88%
Market Cap5.91B
Analysts78.82
Price Target128.52 (21.18%)
Short Float %5.63%
Short Ratio4.45
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)13.6%
Min EPS beat(2)12.12%
Max EPS beat(2)15.09%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)17.34%
Min EPS beat(4)12.12%
Max EPS beat(4)21.7%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)26.78%
EPS beat(12)12
Avg EPS beat(12)28.93%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)28.8%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.97%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.27%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.68%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.77%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.45%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.3%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.96%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.2%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-3.66%
PT rev (1m)0.64%
PT rev (3m)-0.35%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.96%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.88%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.15%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.24%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.04%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.08 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.62 | ||
| P/S | 0.75 | ||
| P/FCF | 11.84 | ||
| P/OCF | 6.04 | ||
| P/B | 1.54 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.52 |
EPS(TTM)6.21
EY5.86%
EPS(NY)7.78
Fwd EY7.34%
FCF(TTM)8.96
FCFY8.45%
OCF(TTM)17.57
OCFY16.56%
SpS141.5
BVpS68.75
TBVpS-70.76
PEG (NY)2.62
PEG (5Y)3.59
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.79% | ||
| ROE | 9.33% | ||
| ROCE | 6.77% | ||
| ROIC | 5.2% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.49% | ||
| ROICexgc | 18.07% | ||
| OM | 10.12% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 4.53% | ||
| GM | 29.09% | ||
| FCFM | 6.33% |
ROA(3y)4.04%
ROA(5y)2.7%
ROE(3y)13.35%
ROE(5y)9.23%
ROIC(3y)4.25%
ROIC(5y)3.95%
ROICexc(3y)4.5%
ROICexc(5y)4.24%
ROICexgc(3y)16.24%
ROICexgc(5y)15.92%
ROCE(3y)5.53%
ROCE(5y)5.15%
ROICexcg growth 3Y12.41%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-4.51%
ROICexc growth 3Y15.92%
ROICexc growth 5Y0.02%
OM growth 3Y1.07%
OM growth 5Y-4.6%
PM growth 3Y11.41%
PM growth 5Y16.66%
GM growth 3Y0.49%
GM growth 5Y-1.61%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.62
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.81 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 13.91 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.39 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 97.7% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.08% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 75.93% | ||
| Profit Quality | 139.74% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.13 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.43 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.54 |
F-Score5
WACC6.37%
ROIC/WACC0.82
Cap/Depr(3y)77.21%
Cap/Depr(5y)68.16%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.71%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.59%
Profit Quality(3y)100.74%
Profit Quality(5y)9882.92%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-2.2%
EPS 3Y38.11%
EPS 5Y4.76%
EPS Q2Q%-6.62%
EPS Next Y6.52%
EPS Next 2Y11.42%
EPS Next 3Y11.14%
EPS Next 5Y2.46%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.48%
Revenue growth 3Y16.73%
Revenue growth 5Y6.88%
Sales Q2Q%-2.35%
Revenue Next Year1.19%
Revenue Next 2Y2.74%
Revenue Next 3Y1.8%
Revenue Next 5Y-5.72%
EBIT growth 1Y4.68%
EBIT growth 3Y17.98%
EBIT growth 5Y1.97%
EBIT Next Year74.89%
EBIT Next 3Y22.84%
EBIT Next 5Y6.4%
FCF growth 1Y225.91%
FCF growth 3Y8.27%
FCF growth 5Y3.93%
OCF growth 1Y123.01%
OCF growth 3Y16.57%
OCF growth 5Y6.25%