POST HOLDINGS INC (POST)
US7374461041 - Common Stock
POST gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 93 industry peers in the Food Products industry. POST has an average financial health and profitability rating. POST has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
POST had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year POST had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years POST has always been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years POST had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
POST has a Return On Assets (2.79%) which is in line with its industry peers.
With a decent Return On Equity value of 8.56%, POST is doing good in the industry, outperforming 60.87% of the companies in the same industry.
With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 5.58%, POST is doing good in the industry, outperforming 61.96% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for POST is below the industry average of 7.83%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (5.58%) for POST is above the 3 year average (3.93%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.79% | ||
| ROE | 8.56% | ||
| ROIC | 5.58% |
ROA(3y)3.54%
ROA(5y)2.33%
ROE(3y)12.39%
ROE(5y)8.27%
ROIC(3y)3.93%
ROIC(5y)4.24%
1.3 Margins
POST has a better Profit Margin (4.38%) than 68.48% of its industry peers.
POST's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
POST has a better Operating Margin (9.81%) than 78.26% of its industry peers.
POST's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 28.38%, POST is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 70.65% of the companies in the same industry.
POST's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 9.81% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 4.38% | ||
| GM | 28.38% |
OM growth 3Y-7.18%
OM growth 5Y-4.49%
PM growth 3Y533.13%
PM growth 5Y-10.02%
GM growth 3Y-4.36%
GM growth 5Y-1.9%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so POST is destroying value.
POST has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
POST has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for POST has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
POST has an Altman-Z score of 1.59. This is a bad value and indicates that POST is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of 1.59, POST is not doing good in the industry: 61.96% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
The Debt to FCF ratio of POST is 10.24, which is on the high side as it means it would take POST, 10.24 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
POST has a Debt to FCF ratio (10.24) which is in line with its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.61 is on the high side and indicates that POST has dependencies on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of POST (1.61) is worse than 84.78% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.61 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 10.24 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.59 |
ROIC/WACC0.84
WACC6.68%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 2.16 indicates that POST has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 2.16, POST is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 69.57% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.20 indicates that POST should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
POST has a Quick ratio of 1.20. This is in the better half of the industry: POST outperforms 69.57% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.16 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.2 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
POST shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 70.70%, which is quite impressive.
POST shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 5.49% yearly.
POST shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 23.52%.
POST shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 2.24% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)70.7%
EPS 3Y24.83%
EPS 5Y5.49%
EPS growth Q2Q37.27%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)23.52%
Revenue growth 3Y14.06%
Revenue growth 5Y2.24%
Revenue growth Q2Q23.4%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 4.72% on average over the next years.
POST is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -3.52% yearly.
EPS Next Y5.8%
EPS Next 2Y10.63%
EPS Next 3Y10.71%
EPS Next 5Y4.72%
Revenue Next Year15.63%
Revenue Next 2Y8.93%
Revenue Next 3Y6.22%
Revenue Next 5Y-3.52%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
POST is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 16.73.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, POST is valued a bit cheaper than 72.83% of the companies in the same industry.
POST is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 28.15, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.28, the valuation of POST can be described as correct.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, POST is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 72.83% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 20.20, POST is valued at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16.73 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.28 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, POST is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 71.74% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of POST indicates a rather cheap valuation: POST is cheaper than 82.61% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 10.27 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.3 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of POST may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.88
PEG (5Y)3.05
EPS Next 2Y10.63%
EPS Next 3Y10.71%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for POST!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
POST HOLDINGS INC
NYSE:POST (5/17/2024, 7:20:45 PM)
After market: 106.22 0 (0%)106.22
-0.16 (-0.15%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners
Inst Owner Change
Ins Owners
Ins Owner Change
Market Cap6.44B
Analysts
Price Target
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Dividend Growth(5Y)
DP
Div Incr Years
Div Non Decr Years
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)
Avg EPS beat(2)
Min EPS beat(2)
Max EPS beat(2)
EPS beat(4)
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EPS beat(8)
Avg EPS beat(8)
EPS beat(12)
Avg EPS beat(12)
EPS beat(16)
Avg EPS beat(16)
Revenue beat(2)
Avg Revenue beat(2)
Min Revenue beat(2)
Max Revenue beat(2)
Revenue beat(4)
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Revenue beat(8)
Avg Revenue beat(8)
Revenue beat(12)
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Revenue beat(16)
Avg Revenue beat(16)
PT rev (1m)
PT rev (3m)
EPS NQ rev (1m)
EPS NQ rev (3m)
EPS NY rev (1m)
EPS NY rev (3m)
Revenue NQ rev (1m)
Revenue NQ rev (3m)
Revenue NY rev (1m)
Revenue NY rev (3m)
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16.73 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.28 | ||
| P/S | |||
| P/FCF | |||
| P/OCF | |||
| P/B | |||
| P/tB | |||
| EV/EBITDA |
EPS(TTM)
EY
EPS(NY)
Fwd EY
FCF(TTM)
FCFY
OCF(TTM)
OCFY
SpS
BVpS
TBVpS
PEG (NY)2.88
PEG (5Y)3.05
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.79% | ||
| ROE | 8.56% | ||
| ROCE | |||
| ROIC | |||
| ROICexc | |||
| ROICexgc | |||
| OM | 9.81% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 4.38% | ||
| GM | 28.38% | ||
| FCFM |
ROA(3y)
ROA(5y)
ROE(3y)
ROE(5y)
ROIC(3y)
ROIC(5y)
ROICexc(3y)
ROICexc(5y)
ROICexgc(3y)
ROICexgc(5y)
ROCE(3y)
ROCE(5y)
ROICexcg growth 3Y
ROICexcg growth 5Y
ROICexc growth 3Y
ROICexc growth 5Y
OM growth 3Y
OM growth 5Y
PM growth 3Y
PM growth 5Y
GM growth 3Y
GM growth 5Y
F-Score
Asset Turnover0.64
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.61 | ||
| Debt/FCF | |||
| Debt/EBITDA | |||
| Cap/Depr | |||
| Cap/Sales | |||
| Interest Coverage | |||
| Cash Conversion | |||
| Profit Quality | |||
| Current Ratio | 2.16 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.2 | ||
| Altman-Z |
F-Score
WACC
ROIC/WACC
Cap/Depr(3y)
Cap/Depr(5y)
Cap/Sales(3y)
Cap/Sales(5y)
Profit Quality(3y)
Profit Quality(5y)
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)70.7%
EPS 3Y24.83%
EPS 5Y
EPS growth Q2Q
EPS Next Y5.8%
EPS Next 2Y
EPS Next 3Y
EPS Next 5Y
Revenue 1Y (TTM)23.52%
Revenue growth 3Y14.06%
Revenue growth 5Y
Revenue growth Q2Q
Revenue Next Year
Revenue Next 2Y
Revenue Next 3Y
Revenue Next 5Y
EBIT growth 1Y
EBIT growth 3Y
EBIT growth 5Y
EBIT Next Year
EBIT Next 3Y
EBIT Next 5Y
FCF growth 1Y
FCF growth 3Y
FCF growth 5Y
OCF growth 1Y
OCF growth 3Y
OCF growth 5Y