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PEYTO EXPLORATION & DEV CORP (PEY.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:PEY - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA7170461064 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD

20.65  +0.03 (+0.15%)

Fundamental Rating

6

Taking everything into account, PEY scores 6 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. PEY was compared to 214 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. PEY scores excellent on profitability, but there are concerns on its financial health. PEY scores decently on growth, while it is valued quite cheap. This could make an interesting combination.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year PEY was profitable.
PEY had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years PEY 4 years were profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years PEY had a positive operating cash flow.
PEY.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFPEY.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 5.50%, PEY belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 84.58% of the companies in the same industry.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 11.37%, PEY belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 81.31% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Invested Capital of PEY (3.18%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for PEY is in line with the industry average of 7.31%.
The 3 year average ROIC (9.20%) for PEY is well above the current ROIC(3.18%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.5%
ROE 11.37%
ROIC 3.18%
ROA(3y)6.71%
ROA(5y)4.64%
ROE(3y)13.38%
ROE(5y)9.33%
ROIC(3y)9.2%
ROIC(5y)7.53%
PEY.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICPEY.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 10 15

1.3 Margins

PEY's Profit Margin of 32.69% is amongst the best of the industry. PEY outperforms 87.85% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of PEY has grown nicely.
With a decent Operating Margin value of 23.07%, PEY is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.36% of the companies in the same industry.
PEY's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
PEY's Gross Margin of 80.56% is amongst the best of the industry. PEY outperforms 93.93% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of PEY has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 23.07%
PM (TTM) 32.69%
GM 80.56%
OM growth 3Y-30.43%
OM growth 5Y-3.2%
PM growth 3Y21.8%
PM growth 5Y2.26%
GM growth 3Y-5.54%
GM growth 5Y-1.94%
PEY.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsPEY.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40 60 80

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so PEY is still creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, PEY has more shares outstanding
PEY has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
PEY has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
PEY.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingPEY.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M
PEY.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsPEY.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.31, we must say that PEY is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
PEY's Altman-Z score of 1.31 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. PEY outperforms 63.08% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of PEY is 5.27, which is a neutral value as it means it would take PEY, 5.27 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of PEY (5.27) is better than 71.50% of its industry peers.
PEY has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.45. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.45, PEY is in line with its industry, outperforming 47.66% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.45
Debt/FCF 5.27
Altman-Z 1.31
ROIC/WACC0.46
WACC6.87%
PEY.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFPEY.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.75 indicates that PEY may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
PEY has a Current ratio (0.75) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.75 indicates that PEY may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.75, PEY is in line with its industry, outperforming 56.54% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.75
Quick Ratio 0.75
PEY.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesPEY.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M 400M

6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

PEY shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -9.20%.
Measured over the past years, PEY shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 37.40% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, PEY shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 2.92% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing by 13.45% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-9.2%
EPS 3Y17.29%
EPS 5Y37.4%
EPS Q2Q%11.76%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.92%
Revenue growth 3Y0.66%
Revenue growth 5Y13.45%
Sales Q2Q%0.63%

3.2 Future

PEY is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 16.47% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 11.27% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y69.52%
EPS Next 2Y37.03%
EPS Next 3Y28.88%
EPS Next 5Y16.47%
Revenue Next Year33.3%
Revenue Next 2Y19.75%
Revenue Next 3Y15.74%
Revenue Next 5Y11.27%

3.3 Evolution

Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
PEY.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesPEY.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 500M 1B 1.5B
PEY.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesPEY.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0 1 2 3

7

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

PEY is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 13.95.
PEY's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. PEY is cheaper than 64.02% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of PEY to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.57), we can say PEY is valued slightly cheaper.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 7.74, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of PEY.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, PEY is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 67.76% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of PEY to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.41), we can say PEY is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.95
Fwd PE 7.74
PEY.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsPEY.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

PEY's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, PEY is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 65.89% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 16.22
EV/EBITDA 9.18
PEY.CA Per share dataPEY.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEY's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
PEY has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEY's earnings are expected to grow with 28.88% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.2
PEG (5Y)0.37
EPS Next 2Y37.03%
EPS Next 3Y28.88%

6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

PEY has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 6.52%, which is a nice return.
PEY's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 6.18. PEY pays more dividend than 83.18% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.40, PEY pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 6.52%

5.2 History

On average, the dividend of PEY grows each year by 36.29%, which is quite nice.
PEY has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
PEY has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)36.29%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
PEY.CA Yearly Dividends per sharePEY.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5.3 Sustainability

PEY pays out 87.99% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
PEY's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP87.99%
EPS Next 2Y37.03%
EPS Next 3Y28.88%
PEY.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendPEY.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M 200M 300M
PEY.CA Dividend Payout.PEY.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.PEY.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

PEYTO EXPLORATION & DEV CORP

TSX:PEY (6/16/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

20.65

+0.03 (+0.15%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)05-13 2025-05-13/amc
Earnings (Next)08-12 2025-08-12
Inst Owners21.89%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners2.71%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap4.11B
Analysts73.33
Price Target21.35 (3.39%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 6.52%
Yearly Dividend1.32
Dividend Growth(5Y)36.29%
DP87.99%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date05-30 2025-05-30 (0.11)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-14.99%
Min EPS beat(2)-19.55%
Max EPS beat(2)-10.42%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-8.46%
Min EPS beat(4)-19.55%
Max EPS beat(4)-0.99%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)1.87%
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-11.54%
Min Revenue beat(2)-11.75%
Max Revenue beat(2)-11.33%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.54%
Min Revenue beat(4)-11.75%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.6%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-4.73%
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)9.9%
PT rev (3m)11.64%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-7.02%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-15.87%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)9.83%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-2.14%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.15%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)6.52%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.95
Fwd PE 7.74
P/S 4.56
P/FCF 16.22
P/OCF 5.92
P/B 1.59
P/tB 1.59
EV/EBITDA 9.18
EPS(TTM)1.48
EY7.17%
EPS(NY)2.67
Fwd EY12.91%
FCF(TTM)1.27
FCFY6.16%
OCF(TTM)3.49
OCFY16.88%
SpS4.53
BVpS13.02
TBVpS13.02
PEG (NY)0.2
PEG (5Y)0.37
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.5%
ROE 11.37%
ROCE 4.16%
ROIC 3.18%
ROICexc 3.22%
ROICexgc 3.22%
OM 23.07%
PM (TTM) 32.69%
GM 80.56%
FCFM 28.12%
ROA(3y)6.71%
ROA(5y)4.64%
ROE(3y)13.38%
ROE(5y)9.33%
ROIC(3y)9.2%
ROIC(5y)7.53%
ROICexc(3y)9.24%
ROICexc(5y)7.55%
ROICexgc(3y)9.24%
ROICexgc(5y)7.55%
ROCE(3y)12.04%
ROCE(5y)9.85%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-38.49%
ROICexcg growth 5Y1.24%
ROICexc growth 3Y-38.49%
ROICexc growth 5Y1.24%
OM growth 3Y-30.43%
OM growth 5Y-3.2%
PM growth 3Y21.8%
PM growth 5Y2.26%
GM growth 3Y-5.54%
GM growth 5Y-1.94%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.17
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.45
Debt/FCF 5.27
Debt/EBITDA 2
Cap/Depr 116.08%
Cap/Sales 48.9%
Interest Coverage 3.05
Cash Conversion 118.14%
Profit Quality 86.03%
Current Ratio 0.75
Quick Ratio 0.75
Altman-Z 1.31
F-Score6
WACC6.87%
ROIC/WACC0.46
Cap/Depr(3y)139.5%
Cap/Depr(5y)130.8%
Cap/Sales(3y)43.72%
Cap/Sales(5y)47.38%
Profit Quality(3y)78.25%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-9.2%
EPS 3Y17.29%
EPS 5Y37.4%
EPS Q2Q%11.76%
EPS Next Y69.52%
EPS Next 2Y37.03%
EPS Next 3Y28.88%
EPS Next 5Y16.47%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.92%
Revenue growth 3Y0.66%
Revenue growth 5Y13.45%
Sales Q2Q%0.63%
Revenue Next Year33.3%
Revenue Next 2Y19.75%
Revenue Next 3Y15.74%
Revenue Next 5Y11.27%
EBIT growth 1Y-20.56%
EBIT growth 3Y-29.97%
EBIT growth 5Y9.82%
EBIT Next Year183.27%
EBIT Next 3Y39.44%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-21.78%
FCF growth 3Y32.41%
FCF growth 5Y14.29%
OCF growth 1Y-14.2%
OCF growth 3Y13.66%
OCF growth 5Y16.23%