HEALTHPEAK PROPERTIES INC (PEAK) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:PEAK - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US42250P1030 - REIT - Currency: USD
Overall PEAK gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated PEAK against 130 industry peers in the Diversified REITs industry. While PEAK is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. PEAK is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year PEAK was profitable.
In the past year PEAK had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years PEAK has always been profitable.
In the past 5 years PEAK always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of PEAK (1.94%) is better than 65.60% of its industry peers.
PEAK has a better Return On Equity (4.79%) than 68.80% of its industry peers.
PEAK has a Return On Invested Capital of 2.45%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: PEAK outperforms 47.20% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for PEAK is in line with the industry average of 3.16%.
The 3 year average ROIC (2.14%) for PEAK is below the current ROIC(2.45%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.94% | ||
| ROE | 4.79% | ||
| ROIC | 2.45% |
ROA(3y)2.8%
ROA(5y)2.26%
ROE(3y)6.66%
ROE(5y)5.35%
ROIC(3y)2.14%
ROIC(5y)1.89%
1.3 Margins
With a decent Profit Margin value of 13.95%, PEAK is doing good in the industry, outperforming 68.00% of the companies in the same industry.
PEAK's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
PEAK's Operating Margin of 20.53% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. PEAK outperforms 49.60% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of PEAK has declined.
With a Gross Margin value of 59.28%, PEAK is not doing good in the industry: 73.60% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
PEAK's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 20.53% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.95% | ||
| GM | 59.28% |
OM growth 3Y15.69%
OM growth 5Y-5.54%
PM growth 3Y-17.66%
PM growth 5Y-30.94%
GM growth 3Y4.39%
GM growth 5Y-2.65%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
PEAK has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
PEAK has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
PEAK has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
PEAK has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
PEAK has an Altman-Z score of 0.34. This is a bad value and indicates that PEAK is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of PEAK (0.34) is worse than 64.80% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of PEAK is 32.87, which is on the high side as it means it would take PEAK, 32.87 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 32.87, PEAK is in line with its industry, outperforming 52.00% of the companies in the same industry.
PEAK has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.08. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 1.08, PEAK perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 53.60% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.08 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 32.87 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.34 |
ROIC/WACC0.37
WACC6.55%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.14 indicates that PEAK may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
PEAK's Current ratio of 0.14 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. PEAK is outperformed by 96.80% of its industry peers.
PEAK has a Quick Ratio of 0.14. This is a bad value and indicates that PEAK is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.14, PEAK is not doing good in the industry: 96.80% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.14 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.14 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for PEAK have decreased strongly by -38.86% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, PEAK shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -23.30% on average per year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.81% in the past year.
The Revenue has been growing by 12.86% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-38.86%
EPS 3Y-12.64%
EPS 5Y-23.3%
EPS Q2Q%1200%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.81%
Revenue growth 3Y9.86%
Revenue growth 5Y12.86%
Sales Q2Q%5.56%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, PEAK will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -3.48% on average per year.
PEAK is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 8.55% yearly.
EPS Next Y-30.18%
EPS Next 2Y-0.06%
EPS Next 3Y-5.39%
EPS Next 5Y-3.48%
Revenue Next Year15.38%
Revenue Next 2Y10.7%
Revenue Next 3Y8.55%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 30.54, which means the current valuation is very expensive for PEAK.
61.60% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than PEAK, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
PEAK is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.82, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 43.73 indicates a quite expensive valuation of PEAK.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of PEAK indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: PEAK is cheaper than 65.60% of the companies listed in the same industry.
PEAK is valuated rather expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 36.21, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 30.54 | ||
| Fwd PE | 43.73 |
4.2 Price Multiples
PEAK's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. PEAK is cheaper than 62.40% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of PEAK is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 44.73 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.46 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
A cheap valuation may be justified as PEAK's earnings are expected to decrease with -5.39% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-0.06%
EPS Next 3Y-5.39%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 7.02%, PEAK is a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 6.52, PEAK pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.35, PEAK pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 7.02% |
5.2 History
The dividend of PEAK decreases each year by -11.76%.
PEAK has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-11.76%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
215.92% of the earnings are spent on dividend by PEAK. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The Dividend Rate of PEAK has been decling, while earnings will also be declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP215.92%
EPS Next 2Y-0.06%
EPS Next 3Y-5.39%
17.1
+0.35 (+2.09%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorReal Estate
GICS IndustryGroupEquity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
GICS IndustryDiversified REITs
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners117.78%
Inst Owner Change-0.05%
Ins Owners0.15%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap9.36B
Analysts78.18
Price Target22.19 (29.77%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 7.02% |
Yearly Dividend1.2
Dividend Growth(5Y)-11.76%
DP215.92%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)34.48%
Min EPS beat(2)25.88%
Max EPS beat(2)43.09%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)50.32%
Min EPS beat(4)-17.64%
Max EPS beat(4)149.96%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)80.62%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)65.46%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)81.29%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.5%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.62%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.62%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.51%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.62%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.62%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.54%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.7%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-8.89%
PT rev (1m)-1.34%
PT rev (3m)2.46%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-15.62%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-7.95%
EPS NY rev (1m)-12.55%
EPS NY rev (3m)-6.5%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.28%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.28%
Revenue NY rev (1m)6.65%
Revenue NY rev (3m)16.7%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 30.54 | ||
| Fwd PE | 43.73 | ||
| P/S | 4.29 | ||
| P/FCF | 44.73 | ||
| P/OCF | 9.78 | ||
| P/B | 1.47 | ||
| P/tB | 1.55 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.46 |
EPS(TTM)0.56
EY3.27%
EPS(NY)0.39
Fwd EY2.29%
FCF(TTM)0.38
FCFY2.24%
OCF(TTM)1.75
OCFY10.22%
SpS3.99
BVpS11.61
TBVpS11.03
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.94% | ||
| ROE | 4.79% | ||
| ROCE | 3.1% | ||
| ROIC | 2.45% | ||
| ROICexc | 2.47% | ||
| ROICexgc | 2.68% | ||
| OM | 20.53% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.95% | ||
| GM | 59.28% | ||
| FCFM | 9.59% |
ROA(3y)2.8%
ROA(5y)2.26%
ROE(3y)6.66%
ROE(5y)5.35%
ROIC(3y)2.14%
ROIC(5y)1.89%
ROICexc(3y)2.16%
ROICexc(5y)1.9%
ROICexgc(3y)2.33%
ROICexgc(5y)2.05%
ROCE(3y)2.71%
ROCE(5y)2.39%
ROICexcg growth 3Y28.26%
ROICexcg growth 5Y4.6%
ROICexc growth 3Y28.51%
ROICexc growth 5Y3.28%
OM growth 3Y15.69%
OM growth 5Y-5.54%
PM growth 3Y-17.66%
PM growth 5Y-30.94%
GM growth 3Y4.39%
GM growth 5Y-2.65%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.14
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.08 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 32.87 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.74 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 99.62% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 34.25% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.38 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 79.85% | ||
| Profit Quality | 68.75% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.14 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.14 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.34 |
F-Score6
WACC6.55%
ROIC/WACC0.37
Cap/Depr(3y)183.97%
Cap/Depr(5y)234.29%
Cap/Sales(3y)65.04%
Cap/Sales(5y)98.86%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-38.86%
EPS 3Y-12.64%
EPS 5Y-23.3%
EPS Q2Q%1200%
EPS Next Y-30.18%
EPS Next 2Y-0.06%
EPS Next 3Y-5.39%
EPS Next 5Y-3.48%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.81%
Revenue growth 3Y9.86%
Revenue growth 5Y12.86%
Sales Q2Q%5.56%
Revenue Next Year15.38%
Revenue Next 2Y10.7%
Revenue Next 3Y8.55%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y13.63%
EBIT growth 3Y27.09%
EBIT growth 5Y6.6%
EBIT Next Year208.15%
EBIT Next 3Y49.06%
EBIT Next 5Y31.97%
FCF growth 1Y249.96%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y6.21%
OCF growth 3Y8.03%
OCF growth 5Y2.41%