HEALTHPEAK PROPERTIES INC (PEAK) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:PEAK - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US42250P1030 - REIT - Currency: USD
We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to PEAK. PEAK was compared to 130 industry peers in the Diversified REITs industry. PEAK has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. PEAK is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year PEAK was profitable.
PEAK had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years PEAK has been profitable.
In the past 5 years PEAK always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of PEAK (1.94%) is better than 65.60% of its industry peers.
PEAK's Return On Equity of 4.79% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. PEAK outperforms 68.80% of its industry peers.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 2.45%, PEAK perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 47.20% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for PEAK is in line with the industry average of 3.16%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (2.45%) for PEAK is above the 3 year average (2.14%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.94% | ||
| ROE | 4.79% | ||
| ROIC | 2.45% |
ROA(3y)2.8%
ROA(5y)2.26%
ROE(3y)6.66%
ROE(5y)5.35%
ROIC(3y)2.14%
ROIC(5y)1.89%
1.3 Margins
PEAK has a better Profit Margin (13.95%) than 68.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of PEAK has declined.
PEAK has a Operating Margin of 20.53%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: PEAK outperforms 49.60% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of PEAK has declined.
PEAK has a Gross Margin of 59.28%. This is in the lower half of the industry: PEAK underperforms 73.60% of its industry peers.
PEAK's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 20.53% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.95% | ||
| GM | 59.28% |
OM growth 3Y15.69%
OM growth 5Y-5.54%
PM growth 3Y-17.66%
PM growth 5Y-30.94%
GM growth 3Y4.39%
GM growth 5Y-2.65%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), PEAK is destroying value.
PEAK has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, PEAK has more shares outstanding
PEAK has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
PEAK has an Altman-Z score of 0.34. This is a bad value and indicates that PEAK is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of PEAK (0.34) is worse than 64.80% of its industry peers.
PEAK has a debt to FCF ratio of 32.87. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as PEAK would need 32.87 years to pay back of all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of PEAK (32.87) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
PEAK has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.08. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
PEAK has a Debt to Equity ratio (1.08) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.08 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 32.87 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.34 |
ROIC/WACC0.37
WACC6.55%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.14 indicates that PEAK may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 0.14, PEAK is not doing good in the industry: 96.80% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
PEAK has a Quick Ratio of 0.14. This is a bad value and indicates that PEAK is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
PEAK's Quick ratio of 0.14 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. PEAK is outperformed by 96.80% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.14 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.14 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for PEAK have decreased strongly by -38.86% in the last year.
PEAK shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -23.30% yearly.
PEAK shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 5.81%.
Measured over the past years, PEAK shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 12.86% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-38.86%
EPS 3Y-12.64%
EPS 5Y-23.3%
EPS Q2Q%1200%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.81%
Revenue growth 3Y9.86%
Revenue growth 5Y12.86%
Sales Q2Q%5.56%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -3.48% on average over the next years.
Based on estimates for the next years, PEAK will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 8.55% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-30.18%
EPS Next 2Y-0.06%
EPS Next 3Y-5.39%
EPS Next 5Y-3.48%
Revenue Next Year15.38%
Revenue Next 2Y10.7%
Revenue Next 3Y8.55%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 30.54, the valuation of PEAK can be described as expensive.
61.60% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than PEAK, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.21. PEAK is around the same levels.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 43.73, the valuation of PEAK can be described as expensive.
65.60% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than PEAK, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.70, PEAK is valued quite expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 30.54 | ||
| Fwd PE | 43.73 |
4.2 Price Multiples
PEAK's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. PEAK is cheaper than 62.40% of the companies in the same industry.
PEAK's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 44.73 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.46 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEAK's earnings are expected to decrease with -5.39% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-0.06%
EPS Next 3Y-5.39%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 7.02%, PEAK is a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 6.64, PEAK pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.42, PEAK pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 7.02% |
5.2 History
The dividend of PEAK decreases each year by -11.76%.
PEAK has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-11.76%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
PEAK pays out 215.92% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The Dividend Rate of PEAK has been decling, while earnings will also be declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP215.92%
EPS Next 2Y-0.06%
EPS Next 3Y-5.39%
17.1
+0.35 (+2.09%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorReal Estate
GICS IndustryGroupEquity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
GICS IndustryDiversified REITs
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners117.78%
Inst Owner Change2.33%
Ins Owners0.15%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap9.36B
Analysts78.18
Price Target22.19 (29.77%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 7.02% |
Yearly Dividend1.2
Dividend Growth(5Y)-11.76%
DP215.92%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)34.48%
Min EPS beat(2)25.88%
Max EPS beat(2)43.09%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)50.32%
Min EPS beat(4)-17.64%
Max EPS beat(4)149.96%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)80.62%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)65.46%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)81.29%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.5%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.62%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.62%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.51%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.62%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.62%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.54%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.7%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-8.89%
PT rev (1m)-1.34%
PT rev (3m)2.46%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-15.62%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-7.95%
EPS NY rev (1m)-12.55%
EPS NY rev (3m)-6.5%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.28%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.28%
Revenue NY rev (1m)6.65%
Revenue NY rev (3m)16.7%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 30.54 | ||
| Fwd PE | 43.73 | ||
| P/S | 4.29 | ||
| P/FCF | 44.73 | ||
| P/OCF | 9.78 | ||
| P/B | 1.47 | ||
| P/tB | 1.55 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.46 |
EPS(TTM)0.56
EY3.27%
EPS(NY)0.39
Fwd EY2.29%
FCF(TTM)0.38
FCFY2.24%
OCF(TTM)1.75
OCFY10.22%
SpS3.99
BVpS11.61
TBVpS11.03
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.94% | ||
| ROE | 4.79% | ||
| ROCE | 3.1% | ||
| ROIC | 2.45% | ||
| ROICexc | 2.47% | ||
| ROICexgc | 2.68% | ||
| OM | 20.53% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.95% | ||
| GM | 59.28% | ||
| FCFM | 9.59% |
ROA(3y)2.8%
ROA(5y)2.26%
ROE(3y)6.66%
ROE(5y)5.35%
ROIC(3y)2.14%
ROIC(5y)1.89%
ROICexc(3y)2.16%
ROICexc(5y)1.9%
ROICexgc(3y)2.33%
ROICexgc(5y)2.05%
ROCE(3y)2.71%
ROCE(5y)2.39%
ROICexcg growth 3Y28.26%
ROICexcg growth 5Y4.6%
ROICexc growth 3Y28.51%
ROICexc growth 5Y3.28%
OM growth 3Y15.69%
OM growth 5Y-5.54%
PM growth 3Y-17.66%
PM growth 5Y-30.94%
GM growth 3Y4.39%
GM growth 5Y-2.65%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.14
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.08 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 32.87 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.74 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 99.62% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 34.25% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.38 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 79.85% | ||
| Profit Quality | 68.75% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.14 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.14 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.34 |
F-Score6
WACC6.55%
ROIC/WACC0.37
Cap/Depr(3y)183.97%
Cap/Depr(5y)234.29%
Cap/Sales(3y)65.04%
Cap/Sales(5y)98.86%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-38.86%
EPS 3Y-12.64%
EPS 5Y-23.3%
EPS Q2Q%1200%
EPS Next Y-30.18%
EPS Next 2Y-0.06%
EPS Next 3Y-5.39%
EPS Next 5Y-3.48%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.81%
Revenue growth 3Y9.86%
Revenue growth 5Y12.86%
Sales Q2Q%5.56%
Revenue Next Year15.38%
Revenue Next 2Y10.7%
Revenue Next 3Y8.55%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y13.63%
EBIT growth 3Y27.09%
EBIT growth 5Y6.6%
EBIT Next Year208.15%
EBIT Next 3Y49.06%
EBIT Next 5Y31.97%
FCF growth 1Y249.96%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y6.21%
OCF growth 3Y8.03%
OCF growth 5Y2.41%