PAGERDUTY INC (PD) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:PD - US69553P1003 - Common Stock
16.47 USD
-0.1 (-0.6%)
16.29 USD
-0.18 (-1.09%)
PD gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 280 industry peers in the Software industry. PD may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. PD has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year PD was profitable.
PD had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years PD always reported negative net income.
Of the past 5 years PD 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
With a Return On Assets value of -1.50%, PD perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 55.87% of the companies in the same industry.
PD has a Return On Equity (-10.69%) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -1.5% | ||
| ROE | -10.69% | ||
| ROIC | N/A |
ROA(3y)-10.14%
ROA(5y)-10.48%
ROE(3y)-47.62%
ROE(5y)-40.38%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
PD has a better Gross Margin (83.78%) than 91.10% of its industry peers.
PD's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
PD does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 83.78% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.06%
GM growth 5Y-0.54%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
PD does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
The number of shares outstanding for PD has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for PD has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, PD has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.11, we must say that PD is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.11, PD is doing worse than 63.35% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of PD is 4.20, which is a neutral value as it means it would take PD, 4.20 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of PD (4.20) is better than 60.85% of its industry peers.
PD has a Debt/Equity ratio of 3.03. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of PD (3.03) is worse than 83.27% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.03 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.2 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.11 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC10.12%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.93 indicates that PD should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
PD has a Current ratio (1.93) which is in line with its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.93 indicates that PD should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a decent Quick ratio value of 1.93, PD is doing good in the industry, outperforming 60.50% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.93 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.93 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
PD shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 32.89%, which is quite impressive.
Looking at the last year, PD shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 8.20% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, PD shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 22.95% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)32.89%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%42.86%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.2%
Revenue growth 3Y18.44%
Revenue growth 5Y22.95%
Sales Q2Q%6.45%
3.2 Future
PD is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 16.80% yearly.
PD is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 6.60% yearly.
EPS Next Y20.21%
EPS Next 2Y17.02%
EPS Next 3Y16.8%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year6.68%
Revenue Next 2Y7.04%
Revenue Next 3Y6.6%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 16.31, PD is valued correctly.
PD's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. PD is cheaper than 81.49% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.06. PD is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.15, the valuation of PD can be described as correct.
85.77% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than PD, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
PD is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.69, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16.31 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.15 |
4.2 Price Multiples
PD's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. PD is cheaper than 90.75% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 14.16 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
PD's earnings are expected to grow with 16.80% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.81
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y17.02%
EPS Next 3Y16.8%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for PD!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
16.47
-0.1 (-0.6%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorInformation Technology
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustrySoftware
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners92.71%
Inst Owner Change-2.2%
Ins Owners4.67%
Ins Owner Change8.58%
Market Cap1.52B
Analysts78.89
Price Target19.49 (18.34%)
Short Float %14.21%
Short Ratio5.96
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)30.85%
Min EPS beat(2)22.34%
Max EPS beat(2)39.36%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)35%
Min EPS beat(4)22.34%
Max EPS beat(4)46.08%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)31.4%
EPS beat(12)12
Avg EPS beat(12)74.39%
EPS beat(16)16
Avg EPS beat(16)65.86%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.73%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.09%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.36%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.97%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.09%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.89%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.29%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.91%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.47%
PT rev (1m)2.99%
PT rev (3m)3.3%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)9.79%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)6.23%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.99%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.33%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16.31 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.15 | ||
| P/S | 3.14 | ||
| P/FCF | 14.16 | ||
| P/OCF | 12.85 | ||
| P/B | 11.69 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
EPS(TTM)1.01
EY6.13%
EPS(NY)1.16
Fwd EY7.07%
FCF(TTM)1.16
FCFY7.06%
OCF(TTM)1.28
OCFY7.78%
SpS5.25
BVpS1.41
TBVpS-0.31
PEG (NY)0.81
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -1.5% | ||
| ROE | -10.69% | ||
| ROCE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | N/A | ||
| ROICexc | N/A | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 83.78% | ||
| FCFM | 22.17% |
ROA(3y)-10.14%
ROA(5y)-10.48%
ROE(3y)-47.62%
ROE(5y)-40.38%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.06%
GM growth 5Y-0.54%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.52
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.03 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.2 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | N/A | ||
| Cap/Depr | 63.21% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.25% | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.93 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.93 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.11 |
F-Score7
WACC10.12%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)47.55%
Cap/Depr(5y)63.23%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.19%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.25%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)32.89%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%42.86%
EPS Next Y20.21%
EPS Next 2Y17.02%
EPS Next 3Y16.8%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.2%
Revenue growth 3Y18.44%
Revenue growth 5Y22.95%
Sales Q2Q%6.45%
Revenue Next Year6.68%
Revenue Next 2Y7.04%
Revenue Next 3Y6.6%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y66.3%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year57.9%
EBIT Next 3Y24.41%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y149.94%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y136.14%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A