PAGERDUTY INC (PD) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:PD - US69553P1003 - Common Stock
16.13 USD
-0.07 (-0.43%)
16.17 USD
+0.04 (+0.25%)
PD gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 281 industry peers in the Software industry. The financial health of PD is average, but there are quite some concerns on its profitability. PD has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year PD was profitable.
In the past year PD had a positive cash flow from operations.
PD had negative earnings in each of the past 5 years.
Of the past 5 years PD 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
PD has a Return On Assets (-1.56%) which is in line with its industry peers.
PD has a Return On Equity (-7.68%) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -1.56% | ||
| ROE | -7.68% | ||
| ROIC | N/A |
ROA(3y)-10.14%
ROA(5y)-10.48%
ROE(3y)-47.62%
ROE(5y)-40.38%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
PD's Gross Margin of 83.78% is amongst the best of the industry. PD outperforms 91.10% of its industry peers.
PD's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for PD so they could not be analyzed.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 83.78% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.06%
GM growth 5Y-0.54%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
PD does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
The number of shares outstanding for PD has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, PD has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for PD is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.30, we must say that PD is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
PD has a Altman-Z score of 1.30. This is in the lower half of the industry: PD underperforms 61.57% of its industry peers.
PD has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.68. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as PD would need 3.68 years to pay back of all of its debts.
PD has a Debt to FCF ratio of 3.68. This is in the better half of the industry: PD outperforms 61.57% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 2.18 is on the high side and indicates that PD has dependencies on debt financing.
PD has a Debt to Equity ratio of 2.18. This is amonst the worse of the industry: PD underperforms 80.43% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.18 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.68 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.3 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC10.36%
2.3 Liquidity
PD has a Current Ratio of 2.39. This indicates that PD is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
PD's Current ratio of 2.39 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. PD outperforms 68.68% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 2.39 indicates that PD has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 2.39, PD is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 69.04% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.39 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.39 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
PD shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 32.89%, which is quite impressive.
Looking at the last year, PD shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 8.20% in the last year.
PD shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 22.95% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)32.89%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%42.86%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.2%
Revenue growth 3Y18.44%
Revenue growth 5Y22.95%
Sales Q2Q%6.45%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, PD will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 17.39% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, PD will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.50% on average per year.
EPS Next Y25.25%
EPS Next 2Y17.67%
EPS Next 3Y17.39%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year6.35%
Revenue Next 2Y6.57%
Revenue Next 3Y6.5%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
PD is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 15.97.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, PD is valued cheaply inside the industry as 82.92% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of PD to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.32), we can say PD is valued slightly cheaper.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.70, the valuation of PD can be described as correct.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, PD is valued cheaply inside the industry as 85.41% of the companies are valued more expensively.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.89. PD is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.97 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.7 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of PD indicates a rather cheap valuation: PD is cheaper than 90.39% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 14.03 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as PD's earnings are expected to grow with 17.39% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.63
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y17.67%
EPS Next 3Y17.39%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
PD does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
16.13
-0.07 (-0.43%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorInformation Technology
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustrySoftware
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners91.42%
Inst Owner Change-2.2%
Ins Owners4.61%
Ins Owner Change4.65%
Market Cap1.50B
Analysts78.89
Price Target18.81 (16.62%)
Short Float %11.38%
Short Ratio4.25
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)30.85%
Min EPS beat(2)22.34%
Max EPS beat(2)39.36%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)35%
Min EPS beat(4)22.34%
Max EPS beat(4)46.08%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)31.4%
EPS beat(12)12
Avg EPS beat(12)74.39%
EPS beat(16)16
Avg EPS beat(16)65.86%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.73%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.09%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.36%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.97%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.09%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.89%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.29%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.91%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.47%
PT rev (1m)-3.49%
PT rev (3m)-0.3%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-5.29%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-4.5%
EPS NY rev (1m)4.2%
EPS NY rev (3m)5.03%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.3%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.48%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.31%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.41%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.97 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.7 | ||
| P/S | 3.11 | ||
| P/FCF | 14.03 | ||
| P/OCF | 12.73 | ||
| P/B | 8.32 | ||
| P/tB | 58.8 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
EPS(TTM)1.01
EY6.26%
EPS(NY)1.18
Fwd EY7.3%
FCF(TTM)1.15
FCFY7.13%
OCF(TTM)1.27
OCFY7.85%
SpS5.19
BVpS1.94
TBVpS0.27
PEG (NY)0.63
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -1.56% | ||
| ROE | -7.68% | ||
| ROCE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | N/A | ||
| ROICexc | N/A | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 83.78% | ||
| FCFM | 22.17% |
ROA(3y)-10.14%
ROA(5y)-10.48%
ROE(3y)-47.62%
ROE(5y)-40.38%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.06%
GM growth 5Y-0.54%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.54
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.18 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.68 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | N/A | ||
| Cap/Depr | 63.21% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.25% | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.39 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.39 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.3 |
F-Score7
WACC10.36%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)47.55%
Cap/Depr(5y)63.23%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.19%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.25%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)32.89%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%42.86%
EPS Next Y25.25%
EPS Next 2Y17.67%
EPS Next 3Y17.39%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.2%
Revenue growth 3Y18.44%
Revenue growth 5Y22.95%
Sales Q2Q%6.45%
Revenue Next Year6.35%
Revenue Next 2Y6.57%
Revenue Next 3Y6.5%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y66.3%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year68.94%
EBIT Next 3Y27.63%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y149.94%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y136.14%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A