11.16 USD
+0.43 (+4.01%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 1 out of 10 to OTLY. OTLY was compared to 87 industry peers in the Food Products industry. OTLY may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. OTLY is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year OTLY has reported negative net income.
- In the past year OTLY has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
- In the past 5 years OTLY always reported negative net income.
- OTLY had a negative operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of OTLY (-28.84%) is worse than 79.31% of its industry peers.
- OTLY has a worse Return On Equity (-1203.03%) than 88.51% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -28.84% | ||
| ROE | -1203.03% | ||
| ROIC | N/A |
ROA(3y)-31.49%
ROA(5y)-23.28%
ROE(3y)-122.45%
ROE(5y)-80.59%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- OTLY has a better Gross Margin (31.45%) than 71.26% of its industry peers.
- OTLY's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- OTLY does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 31.45% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y5.68%
GM growth 5Y-2.28%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
- OTLY does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
- Compared to 1 year ago, OTLY has more shares outstanding
- Compared to 5 years ago, OTLY has more shares outstanding
- Compared to 1 year ago, OTLY has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- OTLY has an Altman-Z score of -2.43. This is a bad value and indicates that OTLY is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- The Altman-Z score of OTLY (-2.43) is worse than 82.76% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 7.67 is on the high side and indicates that OTLY has dependencies on debt financing.
- With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 7.67, OTLY is not doing good in the industry: 88.51% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 7.67 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | -2.43 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC5.14%
2.3 Liquidity
- OTLY has a Current Ratio of 0.42. This is a bad value and indicates that OTLY is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.42, OTLY is doing worse than 91.95% of the companies in the same industry.
- OTLY has a Quick Ratio of 0.42. This is a bad value and indicates that OTLY is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- OTLY has a Quick ratio of 0.32. This is amonst the worse of the industry: OTLY underperforms 88.51% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.42 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.32 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
- OTLY shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 55.00%, which is quite impressive.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.63% in the past year.
- Measured over the past years, OTLY shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 32.20% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)55%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-79.17%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.63%
Revenue growth 3Y8.59%
Revenue growth 5Y32.2%
Sales Q2Q%7.11%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 14.89% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 4.15% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y11.82%
EPS Next 2Y21.91%
EPS Next 3Y17.23%
EPS Next 5Y14.89%
Revenue Next Year2.07%
Revenue Next 2Y3.35%
Revenue Next 3Y4.09%
Revenue Next 5Y4.15%
3.3 Evolution
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- OTLY reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
- Also next year OTLY is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | N/A |
4.2 Price Multiples
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as OTLY's earnings are expected to grow with 17.23% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y21.91%
EPS Next 3Y17.23%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
- No dividends for OTLY!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
OATLY GROUP AB / OTLY FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of OATLY GROUP AB (OTLY) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 1 / 10 to OTLY.
Can you provide the valuation status for OATLY GROUP AB?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 0 / 10 to OATLY GROUP AB (OTLY). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for OATLY GROUP AB?
OATLY GROUP AB (OTLY) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for OATLY GROUP AB?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of OATLY GROUP AB (OTLY) is expected to grow by 11.82% in the next year.