OATLY GROUP AB (OTLY) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:OTLY • US67421J2078

9.92 USD
-0.73 (-6.85%)
Last: Mar 12, 2026, 08:03 PM

This OTLY fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

1

Taking everything into account, OTLY scores 1 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. OTLY was compared to 88 industry peers in the Food Products industry. OTLY may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. OTLY has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

1

1. OTLY Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • OTLY had negative earnings in the past year.
  • OTLY had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
  • OTLY had negative earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years OTLY always reported negative operating cash flow.
OTLY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFOTLY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 -100M -200M -300M -400M

1.2 Ratios

  • OTLY's Return On Assets of -28.84% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. OTLY is outperformed by 76.14% of its industry peers.
  • OTLY has a Return On Equity of -1203.03%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: OTLY underperforms 86.36% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -28.84%
ROE -1203.03%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
OTLY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICOTLY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 -50 -100 -150

1.3 Margins

  • With a decent Gross Margin value of 31.45%, OTLY is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.86% of the companies in the same industry.
  • OTLY's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for OTLY so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 31.45%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y28.71%
GM growth 5Y0.94%
OTLY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsOTLY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 -40

0

2. OTLY Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • OTLY does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • There is no outstanding debt for OTLY. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
OTLY Yearly Shares OutstandingOTLY Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5M 10M 15M 20M 25M
OTLY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsOTLY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of -2.45, we must say that OTLY is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • The Altman-Z score of OTLY (-2.45) is worse than 79.55% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 7.67 is on the high side and indicates that OTLY has dependencies on debt financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 7.67, OTLY is doing worse than 86.36% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 7.67
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -2.45
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC7.43%
OTLY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFOTLY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.42 indicates that OTLY may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.42, OTLY is doing worse than 89.77% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.32 indicates that OTLY may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • OTLY's Quick ratio of 0.32 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. OTLY is outperformed by 86.36% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.42
Quick Ratio 0.32
OTLY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesOTLY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M

3

3. OTLY Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 3.33% over the past year.
  • Looking at the last year, OTLY shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 4.71% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 15.40% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)3.33%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%61.88%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.71%
Revenue growth 3Y6.09%
Revenue growth 5Y15.4%
Sales Q2Q%9.08%

3.2 Future

  • OTLY is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 14.91% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, OTLY will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.97% on average per year.
EPS Next Y39.22%
EPS Next 2Y24.84%
EPS Next 3Y19.93%
EPS Next 5Y14.91%
Revenue Next Year7.93%
Revenue Next 2Y6.71%
Revenue Next 3Y6.58%
Revenue Next 5Y4.97%

3.3 Evolution

  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
OTLY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesOTLY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
OTLY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesOTLY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 0 -2 -4 -6 -8 -10

0

4. OTLY Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • OTLY reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
  • Also next year OTLY is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
OTLY Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsOTLY Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
OTLY Per share dataOTLY EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • OTLY's earnings are expected to grow with 19.93% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y24.84%
EPS Next 3Y19.93%

0

5. OTLY Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for OTLY!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

OTLY Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

OATLY GROUP AB

NASDAQ:OTLY (3/12/2026, 8:03:50 PM)

9.92

-0.73 (-6.85%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)02-11
Earnings (Next)N/A
Inst Owners47.36%
Inst Owner Change-12.51%
Ins Owners0.3%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap300.84M
Revenue(TTM)862.46M
Net Income(TTM)-224.83M
Analysts80
Price Target19.47 (96.27%)
Short Float %1.82%
Short Ratio6.2
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-154.44%
Min EPS beat(2)-190.14%
Max EPS beat(2)-118.75%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-72.32%
Min EPS beat(4)-190.14%
Max EPS beat(4)33.77%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-58.05%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)-24.04%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-21.9%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.59%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.18%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.01%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.19%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.44%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.01%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.57%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.86%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.56%
PT rev (1m)-1.29%
PT rev (3m)-3.78%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.21%
EPS NY rev (1m)-14.36%
EPS NY rev (3m)-14.36%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)3.14%
Revenue NY rev (3m)3.14%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.36
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 16.1
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-5.22
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-3.17
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-1.77
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.91
OCFYN/A
SpS27.8
BVpS0.62
TBVpS-3.82
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -28.84%
ROE -1203.03%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 31.45%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y28.71%
GM growth 5Y0.94%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.08
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 7.67
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 54.65%
Cap/Sales 3.09%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.42
Quick Ratio 0.32
Altman-Z -2.45
F-Score5
WACC7.43%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)82.47%
Cap/Depr(5y)341.72%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.19%
Cap/Sales(5y)17.58%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)3.33%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%61.88%
EPS Next Y39.22%
EPS Next 2Y24.84%
EPS Next 3Y19.93%
EPS Next 5Y14.91%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.71%
Revenue growth 3Y6.09%
Revenue growth 5Y15.4%
Sales Q2Q%9.08%
Revenue Next Year7.93%
Revenue Next 2Y6.71%
Revenue Next 3Y6.58%
Revenue Next 5Y4.97%
EBIT growth 1Y66.27%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year146.66%
EBIT Next 3Y47.84%
EBIT Next 5Y26.26%
FCF growth 1Y67.36%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y76.68%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

OATLY GROUP AB / OTLY FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of OATLY GROUP AB (OTLY) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 1 / 10 to OTLY.


Can you provide the valuation status for OATLY GROUP AB?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 0 / 10 to OATLY GROUP AB (OTLY). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for OATLY GROUP AB?

OATLY GROUP AB (OTLY) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for OATLY GROUP AB?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of OATLY GROUP AB (OTLY) is expected to grow by 39.22% in the next year.