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OATLY GROUP AB (OTLY) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - Nasdaq - NASDAQ:OTLY - US67421J2078 - ADR

12.29 USD
+0.15 (+1.24%)
Last: 11/26/2025, 3:24:57 PM
Fundamental Rating

1

Overall OTLY gets a fundamental rating of 1 out of 10. We evaluated OTLY against 87 industry peers in the Food Products industry. OTLY has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. While showing a medium growth rate, OTLY is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

OTLY had negative earnings in the past year.
OTLY had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
OTLY had negative earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years OTLY always reported negative operating cash flow.
OTLY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFOTLY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 -100M -200M -300M -400M

1.2 Ratios

OTLY has a Return On Assets of -28.84%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: OTLY underperforms 81.61% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of -1203.03%, OTLY is doing worse than 90.80% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -28.84%
ROE -1203.03%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-31.49%
ROA(5y)-23.28%
ROE(3y)-122.45%
ROE(5y)-80.59%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
OTLY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICOTLY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 -50 -100 -150

1.3 Margins

OTLY has a Gross Margin of 31.45%. This is in the better half of the industry: OTLY outperforms 73.56% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of OTLY has declined.
OTLY does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 31.45%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y5.68%
GM growth 5Y-2.28%
OTLY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsOTLY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 -40

0

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

OTLY does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
The number of shares outstanding for OTLY has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for OTLY has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, OTLY has a worse debt to assets ratio.
OTLY Yearly Shares OutstandingOTLY Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5M 10M 15M 20M 25M
OTLY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsOTLY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

OTLY has an Altman-Z score of -2.40. This is a bad value and indicates that OTLY is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
OTLY's Altman-Z score of -2.40 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. OTLY is outperformed by 85.06% of its industry peers.
OTLY has a Debt/Equity ratio of 7.67. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
OTLY has a Debt to Equity ratio of 7.67. This is amonst the worse of the industry: OTLY underperforms 90.80% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 7.67
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -2.4
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC5.21%
OTLY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFOTLY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

OTLY has a Current Ratio of 0.42. This is a bad value and indicates that OTLY is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of OTLY (0.42) is worse than 91.95% of its industry peers.
OTLY has a Quick Ratio of 0.42. This is a bad value and indicates that OTLY is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
OTLY's Quick ratio of 0.32 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. OTLY is outperformed by 88.51% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.42
Quick Ratio 0.32
OTLY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesOTLY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 55.00% over the past year.
OTLY shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 3.63%.
Measured over the past years, OTLY shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 32.20% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)55%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-79.17%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.63%
Revenue growth 3Y8.59%
Revenue growth 5Y32.2%
Sales Q2Q%7.11%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, OTLY will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 14.89% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, OTLY will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.15% on average per year.
EPS Next Y29.54%
EPS Next 2Y23.33%
EPS Next 3Y17.77%
EPS Next 5Y14.89%
Revenue Next Year1.46%
Revenue Next 2Y3.14%
Revenue Next 3Y3.88%
Revenue Next 5Y4.15%

3.3 Evolution

The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
OTLY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesOTLY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
OTLY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesOTLY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 0 -2 -4 -6 -8 -10

0

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for OTLY. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
Also next year OTLY is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
OTLY Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsOTLY Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
OTLY Per share dataOTLY EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

OTLY's earnings are expected to grow with 17.77% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y23.33%
EPS Next 3Y17.77%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for OTLY!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

OATLY GROUP AB

NASDAQ:OTLY (11/26/2025, 3:24:57 PM)

12.29

+0.15 (+1.24%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)10-29 2025-10-29/bmo
Earnings (Next)02-12 2026-02-12/amc
Inst Owners49.64%
Inst Owner Change2.26%
Ins Owners0.3%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap372.72M
Revenue(TTM)843.00M
Net Income(TTM)-224.83M
Analysts80
Price Target21.08 (71.52%)
Short Float %3.13%
Short Ratio8.06
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-154.44%
Min EPS beat(2)-190.14%
Max EPS beat(2)-118.75%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-72.32%
Min EPS beat(4)-190.14%
Max EPS beat(4)33.77%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-58.05%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)-24.04%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-21.9%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.59%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.18%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.01%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.19%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.44%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.01%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.57%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.86%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.56%
PT rev (1m)1.64%
PT rev (3m)1.64%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-28.18%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-32.51%
EPS NY rev (1m)-21.5%
EPS NY rev (3m)-43.46%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-2.19%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.72%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.32%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.22%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.44
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 19.94
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-6.21
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-2.59
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-1.77
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.91
OCFYN/A
SpS27.8
BVpS0.62
TBVpS-3.82
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -28.84%
ROE -1203.03%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 31.45%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-31.49%
ROA(5y)-23.28%
ROE(3y)-122.45%
ROE(5y)-80.59%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y5.68%
GM growth 5Y-2.28%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover1.08
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 7.67
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 54.65%
Cap/Sales 3.09%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.42
Quick Ratio 0.32
Altman-Z -2.4
F-Score4
WACC5.21%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)214.22%
Cap/Depr(5y)551.51%
Cap/Sales(3y)14.12%
Cap/Sales(5y)23.96%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)55%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-79.17%
EPS Next Y29.54%
EPS Next 2Y23.33%
EPS Next 3Y17.77%
EPS Next 5Y14.89%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.63%
Revenue growth 3Y8.59%
Revenue growth 5Y32.2%
Sales Q2Q%7.11%
Revenue Next Year1.46%
Revenue Next 2Y3.14%
Revenue Next 3Y3.88%
Revenue Next 5Y4.15%
EBIT growth 1Y66.27%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year104.39%
EBIT Next 3Y34.96%
EBIT Next 5Y20.96%
FCF growth 1Y81.44%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y86.55%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

OATLY GROUP AB / OTLY FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of OATLY GROUP AB (OTLY) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 1 / 10 to OTLY.


What is the valuation status for OTLY stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 0 / 10 to OATLY GROUP AB (OTLY). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for OATLY GROUP AB?

OATLY GROUP AB (OTLY) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for OTLY stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of OATLY GROUP AB (OTLY) is expected to grow by 29.54% in the next year.