OATLY GROUP AB (OTLY) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:OTLY • US67421J2078

Current stock price

12.31 USD
+0.99 (+8.75%)
At close:
12.474 USD
+0.16 (+1.33%)
After Hours:

This OTLY fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

1

1. OTLY Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year OTLY has reported negative net income.
  • In the past year OTLY has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
  • In the past 5 years OTLY always reported negative net income.
  • OTLY had a negative operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
OTLY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFOTLY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 -100M -200M -300M -400M

1.2 Ratios

  • OTLY has a worse Return On Assets (-19.41%) than 75.58% of its industry peers.
  • With a Return On Equity value of -823.34%, OTLY is not doing good in the industry: 84.88% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -19.41%
ROE -823.34%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-27.28%
ROA(5y)-25.39%
ROE(3y)-380.35%
ROE(5y)-241.55%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
OTLY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICOTLY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 -200 -400 -600 -800

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 33.05%, OTLY is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.26% of the companies in the same industry.
  • OTLY's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • OTLY does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 33.05%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y29.94%
GM growth 5Y1.51%
OTLY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsOTLY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 -40

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

0

2. OTLY Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • OTLY does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • The number of shares outstanding for OTLY has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • OTLY has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • OTLY has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
OTLY Yearly Shares OutstandingOTLY Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10M 20M 30M
OTLY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsOTLY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of -2.19, we must say that OTLY is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • The Altman-Z score of OTLY (-2.19) is worse than 79.07% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 11.18 is on the high side and indicates that OTLY has dependencies on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of OTLY (11.18) is worse than 84.88% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 11.18
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -2.19
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC5.1%
OTLY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFOTLY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

  • OTLY has a Current Ratio of 0.48. This is a bad value and indicates that OTLY is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.48, OTLY is doing worse than 88.37% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.35 indicates that OTLY may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • OTLY's Quick ratio of 0.35 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. OTLY is outperformed by 84.88% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.48
Quick Ratio 0.35
OTLY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesOTLY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. OTLY Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • OTLY shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 3.33%.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.71% in the past year.
  • OTLY shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 15.40% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)3.33%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%61.88%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.71%
Revenue growth 3Y6.09%
Revenue growth 5Y15.4%
Sales Q2Q%9.08%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 14.91% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 4.97% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y39.22%
EPS Next 2Y24.84%
EPS Next 3Y19.93%
EPS Next 5Y14.91%
Revenue Next Year7.93%
Revenue Next 2Y6.71%
Revenue Next 3Y6.58%
Revenue Next 5Y4.97%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
OTLY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesOTLY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
OTLY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesOTLY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 0 -2 -4 -6 -8 -10

More info and screens

Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

0

4. OTLY Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • OTLY reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
  • Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for OTLY. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
OTLY Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsOTLY Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
OTLY Per share dataOTLY EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as OTLY's earnings are expected to grow with 19.93% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y24.84%
EPS Next 3Y19.93%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. OTLY Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • OTLY does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

More info and screens

Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

OTLY Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

OATLY GROUP AB

NASDAQ:OTLY (4/10/2026, 8:00:02 PM)

After market: 12.474 +0.16 (+1.33%)

12.31

+0.99 (+8.75%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)02-11
Earnings (Next)04-29
Inst Owners49.32%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.59%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap384.38M
Revenue(TTM)862.46M
Net Income(TTM)-152.77M
Analysts80
Price Target19.47 (58.16%)
Short Float %1.72%
Short Ratio6.32
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-96.4%
Min EPS beat(2)-190.14%
Max EPS beat(2)-2.67%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-69.45%
Min EPS beat(4)-190.14%
Max EPS beat(4)33.77%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-30.92%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)-24.55%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-21.37%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)4.55%
Min Revenue beat(2)3.01%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.08%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.21%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.44%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.08%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.38%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.8%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.47%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-3.78%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-36.89%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-14.36%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2.66%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)3.14%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.45
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 20.72
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-5.22
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-3.17
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-1.25
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.76
OCFYN/A
SpS27.62
BVpS0.59
TBVpS-3.82
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -19.41%
ROE -823.34%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 33.05%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-27.28%
ROA(5y)-25.39%
ROE(3y)-380.35%
ROE(5y)-241.55%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y29.94%
GM growth 5Y1.51%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover1.1
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 11.18
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 31.41%
Cap/Sales 1.77%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.48
Quick Ratio 0.35
Altman-Z -2.19
F-Score4
WACC5.1%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)82.47%
Cap/Depr(5y)341.72%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.19%
Cap/Sales(5y)17.58%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)3.33%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%61.88%
EPS Next Y39.22%
EPS Next 2Y24.84%
EPS Next 3Y19.93%
EPS Next 5Y14.91%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.71%
Revenue growth 3Y6.09%
Revenue growth 5Y15.4%
Sales Q2Q%9.08%
Revenue Next Year7.93%
Revenue Next 2Y6.71%
Revenue Next 3Y6.58%
Revenue Next 5Y4.97%
EBIT growth 1Y62.2%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year146.66%
EBIT Next 3Y47.84%
EBIT Next 5Y26.26%
FCF growth 1Y74.95%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y79.27%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

OATLY GROUP AB / OTLY Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of OATLY GROUP AB (OTLY) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 1 / 10 to OTLY.


What is the valuation status of OATLY GROUP AB (OTLY) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 0 / 10 to OATLY GROUP AB (OTLY). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of OTLY stock?

OATLY GROUP AB (OTLY) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.