O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:ORLY • US67103H1077

Current stock price

92.71 USD
-0.89 (-0.95%)
At close:
92.72 USD
+0.01 (+0.01%)
After Hours:

This ORLY fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

8

1. ORLY Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year ORLY was profitable.
  • In the past year ORLY had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Each year in the past 5 years ORLY has been profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years ORLY had a positive operating cash flow.
ORLY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFORLY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 15.35%, ORLY belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 94.26% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of ORLY (34.93%) is better than 99.18% of its industry peers.
  • ORLY had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 37.91%. This is significantly above the industry average of 13.64%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 15.35%
ROE N/A
ROIC 34.93%
ROA(3y)16.1%
ROA(5y)16.79%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)37.91%
ROIC(5y)38.94%
ORLY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICORLY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1K -1K -2K -3K

1.3 Margins

  • ORLY has a Profit Margin of 14.27%. This is amongst the best in the industry. ORLY outperforms 97.54% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ORLY has remained more or less at the same level.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 19.46%, ORLY belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 96.72% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ORLY's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • ORLY has a better Gross Margin (51.59%) than 80.33% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ORLY has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 19.46%
PM (TTM) 14.27%
GM 51.59%
OM growth 3Y-1.78%
OM growth 5Y-1.38%
PM growth 3Y-1.81%
PM growth 5Y-1.12%
GM growth 3Y0.24%
GM growth 5Y-0.33%
ORLY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsORLY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30 40 50

5

2. ORLY Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so ORLY is creating value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, ORLY has less shares outstanding
  • The number of shares outstanding for ORLY has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for ORLY has been reduced compared to a year ago.
ORLY Yearly Shares OutstandingORLY Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
ORLY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsORLY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 4.14 indicates that ORLY is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • ORLY's Altman-Z score of 4.14 is amongst the best of the industry. ORLY outperforms 81.15% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of ORLY is 3.78, which is a good value as it means it would take ORLY, 3.78 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 3.78, ORLY is doing good in the industry, outperforming 70.49% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 3.78
Altman-Z 4.14
ROIC/WACC4.1
WACC8.53%
ORLY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFORLY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B 6B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.77 indicates that ORLY may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • ORLY's Current ratio of 0.77 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. ORLY is outperformed by 86.07% of its industry peers.
  • ORLY has a Quick Ratio of 0.77. This is a bad value and indicates that ORLY is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • ORLY has a worse Quick ratio (0.12) than 93.44% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.77
Quick Ratio 0.12
ORLY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesORLY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B

5

3. ORLY Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • ORLY shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 9.32%, which is quite good.
  • ORLY shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 13.56% yearly.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.42% in the past year.
  • ORLY shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 8.91% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)9.32%
EPS 3Y9.9%
EPS 5Y13.56%
EPS Q2Q%12.1%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.42%
Revenue growth 3Y7.26%
Revenue growth 5Y8.91%
Sales Q2Q%7.78%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 9.72% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 5.73% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y11.03%
EPS Next 2Y10.79%
EPS Next 3Y10.52%
EPS Next 5Y9.72%
Revenue Next Year6.63%
Revenue Next 2Y6.42%
Revenue Next 3Y6.41%
Revenue Next 5Y5.73%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
ORLY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesORLY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B
ORLY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesORLY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2 4 6

3

4. ORLY Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 31.32 indicates a quite expensive valuation of ORLY.
  • ORLY's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • ORLY is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.53, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 28.18 indicates a quite expensive valuation of ORLY.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ORLY is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 37.95, ORLY is valued a bit cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 31.32
Fwd PE 28.18
ORLY Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsORLY Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • ORLY's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • ORLY's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 48.69
EV/EBITDA 21.18
ORLY Per share dataORLY EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates ORLY does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
  • The excellent profitability rating of ORLY may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.84
PEG (5Y)2.31
EPS Next 2Y10.79%
EPS Next 3Y10.52%

0

5. ORLY Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for ORLY!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

ORLY Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC

NASDAQ:ORLY (4/16/2026, 8:00:02 PM)

After market: 92.72 +0.01 (+0.01%)

92.71

-0.89 (-0.95%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)02-04
Earnings (Next)04-29
Inst Owners88.63%
Inst Owner Change0.02%
Ins Owners0.48%
Ins Owner Change-0.35%
Market Cap77.57B
Revenue(TTM)17.78B
Net Income(TTM)2.54B
Analysts81.11
Price Target107.19 (15.62%)
Short Float %2.01%
Short Ratio2.75
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-2%
Min EPS beat(2)-4.03%
Max EPS beat(2)0.02%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-3.25%
Min EPS beat(4)-7.04%
Max EPS beat(4)0.02%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-3.66%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)-2.36%
EPS beat(16)5
Avg EPS beat(16)-1.66%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.53%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.66%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.4%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.82%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.4%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.15%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.49%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.34%
PT rev (1m)-0.19%
PT rev (3m)-4.45%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.12%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.63%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.2%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.14%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 31.32
Fwd PE 28.18
P/S 4.36
P/FCF 48.69
P/OCF 28.08
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 21.18
EPS(TTM)2.96
EY3.19%
EPS(NY)3.29
Fwd EY3.55%
FCF(TTM)1.9
FCFY2.05%
OCF(TTM)3.3
OCFY3.56%
SpS21.25
BVpS-0.91
TBVpS-2.05
PEG (NY)2.84
PEG (5Y)2.31
Graham Number0 (-100%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 15.35%
ROE N/A
ROCE 44.58%
ROIC 34.93%
ROICexc 35.83%
ROICexgc 40.96%
OM 19.46%
PM (TTM) 14.27%
GM 51.59%
FCFM 8.96%
ROA(3y)16.1%
ROA(5y)16.79%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)37.91%
ROIC(5y)38.94%
ROICexc(3y)39.1%
ROICexc(5y)40.34%
ROICexgc(3y)46.01%
ROICexgc(5y)47.97%
ROCE(3y)48.38%
ROCE(5y)49.7%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-6.91%
ROICexgc growth 5Y1.49%
ROICexc growth 3Y-5.55%
ROICexc growth 5Y2.09%
OM growth 3Y-1.78%
OM growth 5Y-1.38%
PM growth 3Y-1.81%
PM growth 5Y-1.12%
GM growth 3Y0.24%
GM growth 5Y-0.33%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.08
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 3.78
Debt/EBITDA 1.51
Cap/Depr 228.63%
Cap/Sales 6.57%
Interest Coverage 15.26
Cash Conversion 69.54%
Profit Quality 62.77%
Current Ratio 0.77
Quick Ratio 0.12
Altman-Z 4.14
F-Score7
WACC8.53%
ROIC/WACC4.1
Cap/Depr(3y)232.06%
Cap/Depr(5y)197.71%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.35%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.26%
Profit Quality(3y)78.03%
Profit Quality(5y)96.15%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)9.32%
EPS 3Y9.9%
EPS 5Y13.56%
EPS Q2Q%12.1%
EPS Next Y11.03%
EPS Next 2Y10.79%
EPS Next 3Y10.52%
EPS Next 5Y9.72%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.42%
Revenue growth 3Y7.26%
Revenue growth 5Y8.91%
Sales Q2Q%7.78%
Revenue Next Year6.63%
Revenue Next 2Y6.42%
Revenue Next 3Y6.41%
Revenue Next 5Y5.73%
EBIT growth 1Y6.44%
EBIT growth 3Y5.35%
EBIT growth 5Y7.41%
EBIT Next Year22.65%
EBIT Next 3Y12.23%
EBIT Next 5Y9.07%
FCF growth 1Y-21.37%
FCF growth 3Y-14.9%
FCF growth 5Y-7.64%
OCF growth 1Y-9.43%
OCF growth 3Y-4.27%
OCF growth 5Y-0.53%

O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC / ORLY Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for ORLY stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to ORLY.


What is the valuation status of O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) stock?

O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


What is the valuation of O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) is 31.32 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is -101.62.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for ORLY stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) is expected to grow by 11.03% in the next year.