O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:ORLY • US67103H1077

94.94 USD
+0.58 (+0.61%)
Last: Mar 6, 2026, 03:01 PM
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This ORLY fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

5

We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to ORLY. ORLY was compared to 123 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. ORLY has an excellent profitability rating, but there are some minor concerns on its financial health. ORLY is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. ORLY Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • ORLY had positive earnings in the past year.
  • ORLY had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years ORLY has always been profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years ORLY had a positive operating cash flow.
ORLY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFORLY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

1.2 Ratios

  • ORLY has a Return On Assets of 15.35%. This is amongst the best in the industry. ORLY outperforms 94.31% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of ORLY (34.93%) is better than 99.19% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for ORLY is significantly above the industry average of 13.62%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 15.35%
ROE N/A
ROIC 34.93%
ROA(3y)16.1%
ROA(5y)16.79%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)37.9%
ROIC(5y)38.94%
ORLY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICORLY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1K -1K -2K -3K

1.3 Margins

  • ORLY's Profit Margin of 14.27% is amongst the best of the industry. ORLY outperforms 96.75% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ORLY has remained more or less at the same level.
  • ORLY has a Operating Margin of 19.46%. This is amongst the best in the industry. ORLY outperforms 96.75% of its industry peers.
  • ORLY's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • ORLY's Gross Margin of 51.59% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. ORLY outperforms 78.05% of its industry peers.
  • ORLY's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 19.46%
PM (TTM) 14.27%
GM 51.59%
OM growth 3Y-1.81%
OM growth 5Y-1.39%
PM growth 3Y-1.81%
PM growth 5Y-1.12%
GM growth 3Y0.24%
GM growth 5Y-0.33%
ORLY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsORLY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30 40 50

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

5

2. ORLY Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so ORLY is creating value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for ORLY has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • ORLY has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for ORLY has been reduced compared to a year ago.
ORLY Yearly Shares OutstandingORLY Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
ORLY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsORLY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B

2.2 Solvency

  • ORLY has an Altman-Z score of 4.18. This indicates that ORLY is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • ORLY has a better Altman-Z score (4.18) than 82.11% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of ORLY is 3.78, which is a good value as it means it would take ORLY, 3.78 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 3.78, ORLY is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 71.54% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 3.78
Altman-Z 4.18
ROIC/WACC3.66
WACC9.55%
ORLY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFORLY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B 6B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.77 indicates that ORLY may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • ORLY has a Current ratio of 0.77. This is amonst the worse of the industry: ORLY underperforms 86.99% of its industry peers.
  • ORLY has a Quick Ratio of 0.77. This is a bad value and indicates that ORLY is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • ORLY has a worse Quick ratio (0.12) than 93.50% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.77
Quick Ratio 0.12
ORLY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesORLY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. ORLY Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 9.32% over the past year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 13.56% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.42% in the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, ORLY shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 8.91% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)9.32%
EPS 3Y9.9%
EPS 5Y13.56%
EPS Q2Q%12.1%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.42%
Revenue growth 3Y7.26%
Revenue growth 5Y8.91%
Sales Q2Q%7.78%

3.2 Future

  • ORLY is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 9.72% yearly.
  • ORLY is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 5.73% yearly.
EPS Next Y13.9%
EPS Next 2Y12.1%
EPS Next 3Y9.86%
EPS Next 5Y9.72%
Revenue Next Year6.63%
Revenue Next 2Y6.42%
Revenue Next 3Y6.41%
Revenue Next 5Y5.73%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
ORLY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesORLY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B
ORLY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesORLY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2 4 6

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Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

2

4. ORLY Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • ORLY is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 32.07.
  • ORLY's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of ORLY to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.69), we can say ORLY is valued slightly more expensively.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 28.13, which means the current valuation is very expensive for ORLY.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ORLY is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ORLY to the average of the S&P500 Index (24.79), we can say ORLY is valued inline with the index average.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 32.07
Fwd PE 28.13
ORLY Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsORLY Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as ORLY.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as ORLY.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 50.17
EV/EBITDA 21.47
ORLY Per share dataORLY EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates ORLY does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
  • The decent profitability rating of ORLY may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.31
PEG (5Y)2.37
EPS Next 2Y12.1%
EPS Next 3Y9.86%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. ORLY Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • ORLY does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

More info and screens

Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

ORLY Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC

NASDAQ:ORLY (3/6/2026, 3:01:09 PM)

94.94

+0.58 (+0.61%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)02-04
Earnings (Next)04-21
Inst Owners87.95%
Inst Owner Change0.96%
Ins Owners0.47%
Ins Owner Change-0.35%
Market Cap79.93B
Revenue(TTM)17.78B
Net Income(TTM)2.54B
Analysts82.16
Price Target107.4 (13.12%)
Short Float %1.82%
Short Ratio2.42
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-2%
Min EPS beat(2)-4.03%
Max EPS beat(2)0.02%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-3.25%
Min EPS beat(4)-7.04%
Max EPS beat(4)0.02%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-3.66%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)-2.36%
EPS beat(16)5
Avg EPS beat(16)-1.66%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.53%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.66%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.4%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.82%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.4%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.15%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.49%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.34%
PT rev (1m)-3.95%
PT rev (3m)-4.08%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-2.92%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.1%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.02%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.26%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.2%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.26%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.11%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.11%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 32.07
Fwd PE 28.13
P/S 4.5
P/FCF 50.17
P/OCF 28.94
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 21.47
EPS(TTM)2.96
EY3.12%
EPS(NY)3.38
Fwd EY3.56%
FCF(TTM)1.89
FCFY1.99%
OCF(TTM)3.28
OCFY3.46%
SpS21.12
BVpS-0.91
TBVpS-2.03
PEG (NY)2.31
PEG (5Y)2.37
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 15.35%
ROE N/A
ROCE 44.58%
ROIC 34.93%
ROICexc 35.83%
ROICexgc 40.96%
OM 19.46%
PM (TTM) 14.27%
GM 51.59%
FCFM 8.96%
ROA(3y)16.1%
ROA(5y)16.79%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)37.9%
ROIC(5y)38.94%
ROICexc(3y)39.09%
ROICexc(5y)40.34%
ROICexgc(3y)45.85%
ROICexgc(5y)47.87%
ROCE(3y)48.37%
ROCE(5y)49.7%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-7.27%
ROICexgc growth 5Y1.26%
ROICexc growth 3Y-5.57%
ROICexc growth 5Y2.07%
OM growth 3Y-1.81%
OM growth 5Y-1.39%
PM growth 3Y-1.81%
PM growth 5Y-1.12%
GM growth 3Y0.24%
GM growth 5Y-0.33%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.08
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 3.78
Debt/EBITDA 1.51
Cap/Depr 228.63%
Cap/Sales 6.57%
Interest Coverage 15.26
Cash Conversion 69.54%
Profit Quality 62.77%
Current Ratio 0.77
Quick Ratio 0.12
Altman-Z 4.18
F-Score7
WACC9.55%
ROIC/WACC3.66
Cap/Depr(3y)232.06%
Cap/Depr(5y)197.71%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.35%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.26%
Profit Quality(3y)78.03%
Profit Quality(5y)96.15%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)9.32%
EPS 3Y9.9%
EPS 5Y13.56%
EPS Q2Q%12.1%
EPS Next Y13.9%
EPS Next 2Y12.1%
EPS Next 3Y9.86%
EPS Next 5Y9.72%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.42%
Revenue growth 3Y7.26%
Revenue growth 5Y8.91%
Sales Q2Q%7.78%
Revenue Next Year6.63%
Revenue Next 2Y6.42%
Revenue Next 3Y6.41%
Revenue Next 5Y5.73%
EBIT growth 1Y6.44%
EBIT growth 3Y5.32%
EBIT growth 5Y7.4%
EBIT Next Year22.65%
EBIT Next 3Y12.23%
EBIT Next 5Y9.07%
FCF growth 1Y-21.37%
FCF growth 3Y-14.9%
FCF growth 5Y-7.64%
OCF growth 1Y-9.43%
OCF growth 3Y-4.27%
OCF growth 5Y-0.53%

O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC / ORLY FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for ORLY stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to ORLY.


Can you provide the valuation status for O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of ORLY stock?

O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for ORLY stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY) is expected to grow by 13.9% in the next year.