OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:OLLI - US6811161099 - Common Stock
132.4 USD
-1.25 (-0.94%)
132.4 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10 to OLLI. OLLI was compared to 28 industry peers in the Broadline Retail industry. While OLLI has a great health rating, its profitability is only average at the moment. OLLI is valued quite expensively, but it does show have an excellent growth rating. This makes OLLI very considerable for growth investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
OLLI had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year OLLI had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years OLLI has always been profitable.
OLLI had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of OLLI (7.61%) is better than 75.00% of its industry peers.
With a decent Return On Equity value of 11.94%, OLLI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 67.86% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 8.18%, OLLI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 60.71% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for OLLI is below the industry average of 10.60%.
The 3 year average ROIC (7.46%) for OLLI is below the current ROIC(8.18%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.61% | ||
| ROE | 11.94% | ||
| ROIC | 8.18% |
ROA(3y)6.91%
ROA(5y)8.16%
ROE(3y)10.45%
ROE(5y)12.35%
ROIC(3y)7.46%
ROIC(5y)8.69%
1.3 Margins
OLLI has a Profit Margin of 8.74%. This is in the better half of the industry: OLLI outperforms 78.57% of its industry peers.
OLLI's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
With a decent Operating Margin value of 10.87%, OLLI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of OLLI has declined.
OLLI's Gross Margin of 40.74% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. OLLI outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of OLLI has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.87% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.74% | ||
| GM | 40.74% |
OM growth 3Y-2.07%
OM growth 5Y-2.09%
PM growth 3Y-0.71%
PM growth 5Y-2.58%
GM growth 3Y1.18%
GM growth 5Y0.4%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), OLLI is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for OLLI remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for OLLI has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for OLLI has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 6.97 indicates that OLLI is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
OLLI's Altman-Z score of 6.97 is amongst the best of the industry. OLLI outperforms 89.29% of its industry peers.
OLLI has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.01. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.01 years to pay back of all of its debts.
OLLI has a better Debt to FCF ratio (0.01) than 96.43% of its industry peers.
OLLI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.00, OLLI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 78.57% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.01 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.97 |
ROIC/WACC0.89
WACC9.16%
2.3 Liquidity
OLLI has a Current Ratio of 2.63. This indicates that OLLI is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
OLLI's Current ratio of 2.63 is amongst the best of the industry. OLLI outperforms 85.71% of its industry peers.
OLLI has a Quick Ratio of 2.63. This is a bad value and indicates that OLLI is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
OLLI has a Quick ratio of 0.90. This is in the lower half of the industry: OLLI underperforms 71.43% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.63 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.9 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 7.69% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, OLLI shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 10.78% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, OLLI shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 10.14% in the last year.
OLLI shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 10.04% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.69%
EPS 3Y11.64%
EPS 5Y10.78%
EPS Q2Q%26.92%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.14%
Revenue growth 3Y9.02%
Revenue growth 5Y10.04%
Sales Q2Q%17.49%
3.2 Future
OLLI is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 16.39% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 13.46% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y19.98%
EPS Next 2Y17.9%
EPS Next 3Y16.39%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year16.77%
Revenue Next 2Y14.62%
Revenue Next 3Y13.46%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
OLLI is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 37.83.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as OLLI.
OLLI's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit more expensive than the S&P500 average which is at 27.54.
OLLI is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 29.13.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as OLLI.
OLLI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit more expensive than the S&P500 average which is at 23.05.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 37.83 | ||
| Fwd PE | 29.13 |
4.2 Price Multiples
The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as OLLI.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as OLLI.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 56.27 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 24.43 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates OLLI does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
OLLI has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
OLLI's earnings are expected to grow with 16.39% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.89
PEG (5Y)3.51
EPS Next 2Y17.9%
EPS Next 3Y16.39%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
OLLI does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
132.4
-1.25 (-0.94%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryBroadline Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners114.7%
Inst Owner Change-0.51%
Ins Owners0.3%
Ins Owner Change0.37%
Market Cap8.12B
Analysts80
Price Target148.45 (12.12%)
Short Float %6.4%
Short Ratio3.8
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)3.37%
Min EPS beat(2)3.17%
Max EPS beat(2)3.57%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)0.51%
Min EPS beat(4)-2.36%
Max EPS beat(4)3.57%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)3.42%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)2.43%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-4.22%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.24%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.39%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.08%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.38%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.1%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.08%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.93%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.98%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.05%
PT rev (1m)10.86%
PT rev (3m)15.5%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)1.67%
EPS NY rev (1m)2.58%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.92%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.55%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.7%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.57%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.53%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 37.83 | ||
| Fwd PE | 29.13 | ||
| P/S | 3.33 | ||
| P/FCF | 56.27 | ||
| P/OCF | 32.11 | ||
| P/B | 4.55 | ||
| P/tB | 7.31 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 24.43 |
EPS(TTM)3.5
EY2.64%
EPS(NY)4.55
Fwd EY3.43%
FCF(TTM)2.35
FCFY1.78%
OCF(TTM)4.12
OCFY3.11%
SpS39.81
BVpS29.13
TBVpS18.11
PEG (NY)1.89
PEG (5Y)3.51
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.61% | ||
| ROE | 11.94% | ||
| ROCE | 10.91% | ||
| ROIC | 8.18% | ||
| ROICexc | 9.4% | ||
| ROICexgc | 13.81% | ||
| OM | 10.87% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.74% | ||
| GM | 40.74% | ||
| FCFM | 5.91% |
ROA(3y)6.91%
ROA(5y)8.16%
ROE(3y)10.45%
ROE(5y)12.35%
ROIC(3y)7.46%
ROIC(5y)8.69%
ROICexc(3y)9.06%
ROICexc(5y)10.8%
ROICexgc(3y)15.28%
ROICexgc(5y)20.02%
ROCE(3y)9.95%
ROCE(5y)11.59%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-6.01%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-3.84%
ROICexc growth 3Y-0.9%
ROICexc growth 5Y1.07%
OM growth 3Y-2.07%
OM growth 5Y-2.09%
PM growth 3Y-0.71%
PM growth 5Y-2.58%
GM growth 3Y1.18%
GM growth 5Y0.4%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.87
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.01 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 215.02% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.45% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 552.93 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 80.03% | ||
| Profit Quality | 67.63% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.63 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.9 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.97 |
F-Score6
WACC9.16%
ROIC/WACC0.89
Cap/Depr(3y)270.16%
Cap/Depr(5y)217.41%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.68%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.55%
Profit Quality(3y)62.04%
Profit Quality(5y)65.74%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.69%
EPS 3Y11.64%
EPS 5Y10.78%
EPS Q2Q%26.92%
EPS Next Y19.98%
EPS Next 2Y17.9%
EPS Next 3Y16.39%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.14%
Revenue growth 3Y9.02%
Revenue growth 5Y10.04%
Sales Q2Q%17.49%
Revenue Next Year16.77%
Revenue Next 2Y14.62%
Revenue Next 3Y13.46%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y4.5%
EBIT growth 3Y6.77%
EBIT growth 5Y7.74%
EBIT Next Year40.14%
EBIT Next 3Y21.62%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-1.8%
FCF growth 3Y120.29%
FCF growth 5Y30.45%
OCF growth 1Y14.86%
OCF growth 3Y71.62%
OCF growth 5Y16.65%