OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:OLLI - US6811161099 - Common Stock
117.13 USD
-4.05 (-3.34%)
117.13 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10 to OLLI. OLLI was compared to 30 industry peers in the Broadline Retail industry. OLLI has an excellent financial health rating, but there are some minor concerns on its profitability. OLLI is valued quite expensively, but it does show have an excellent growth rating. These ratings could make OLLI a good candidate for growth investing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
OLLI had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year OLLI had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years OLLI has been profitable.
OLLI had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of OLLI (7.61%) is better than 76.67% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 11.94%, OLLI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 8.18%, OLLI perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 60.00% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for OLLI is below the industry average of 10.42%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (8.18%) for OLLI is above the 3 year average (7.46%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.61% | ||
| ROE | 11.94% | ||
| ROIC | 8.18% |
ROA(3y)6.91%
ROA(5y)8.16%
ROE(3y)10.45%
ROE(5y)12.35%
ROIC(3y)7.46%
ROIC(5y)8.69%
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 8.74%, OLLI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of OLLI has declined.
OLLI's Operating Margin of 10.87% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. OLLI outperforms 76.67% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of OLLI has declined.
OLLI has a Gross Margin of 40.74%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: OLLI outperforms 46.67% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of OLLI has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.87% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.74% | ||
| GM | 40.74% |
OM growth 3Y-2.07%
OM growth 5Y-2.09%
PM growth 3Y-0.71%
PM growth 5Y-2.58%
GM growth 3Y1.18%
GM growth 5Y0.4%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
OLLI has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for OLLI remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
OLLI has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
OLLI has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 6.42 indicates that OLLI is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 6.42, OLLI belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 86.67% of the companies in the same industry.
OLLI has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.01. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.01 years to pay back of all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of OLLI (0.01) is better than 96.67% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00 indicates that OLLI is not too dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.00, OLLI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.01 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.42 |
ROIC/WACC0.94
WACC8.66%
2.3 Liquidity
OLLI has a Current Ratio of 2.63. This indicates that OLLI is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
OLLI's Current ratio of 2.63 is amongst the best of the industry. OLLI outperforms 83.33% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.90 indicates that OLLI may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
OLLI has a worse Quick ratio (0.90) than 73.33% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.63 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.9 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 7.69% over the past year.
OLLI shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 10.78% yearly.
Looking at the last year, OLLI shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 10.14% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing by 10.04% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.69%
EPS 3Y11.64%
EPS 5Y10.78%
EPS Q2Q%26.92%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.14%
Revenue growth 3Y9.02%
Revenue growth 5Y10.04%
Sales Q2Q%17.49%
3.2 Future
OLLI is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 16.39% yearly.
OLLI is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 13.52% yearly.
EPS Next Y19.98%
EPS Next 2Y17.9%
EPS Next 3Y16.39%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year15.95%
Revenue Next 2Y14.34%
Revenue Next 3Y13.52%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
OLLI is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 33.47.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, OLLI is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 63.33% of the companies are valued more expensively.
OLLI's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit more expensive than the S&P500 average which is at 26.91.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 25.77, which means the current valuation is very expensive for OLLI.
OLLI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
OLLI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 22.92.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 33.47 | ||
| Fwd PE | 25.77 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of OLLI is on the same level as its industry peers.
OLLI's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 49.78 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 21.46 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
OLLI has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as OLLI's earnings are expected to grow with 16.39% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.68
PEG (5Y)3.1
EPS Next 2Y17.9%
EPS Next 3Y16.39%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for OLLI!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
117.13
-4.05 (-3.34%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryBroadline Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners114.7%
Inst Owner Change-0.07%
Ins Owners0.3%
Ins Owner Change-0.1%
Market Cap7.18B
Revenue(TTM)2.44B
Net Income(TTM)213.31M
Analysts80
Price Target149.06 (27.26%)
Short Float %7.23%
Short Ratio3.86
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)3.37%
Min EPS beat(2)3.17%
Max EPS beat(2)3.57%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)0.51%
Min EPS beat(4)-2.36%
Max EPS beat(4)3.57%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)3.42%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)2.43%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-4.22%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.24%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.39%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.08%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.38%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.1%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.08%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.93%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.98%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.05%
PT rev (1m)0.41%
PT rev (3m)15.3%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.07%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.49%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.83%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.65%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2.24%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.7%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.81%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 33.47 | ||
| Fwd PE | 25.77 | ||
| P/S | 2.94 | ||
| P/FCF | 49.78 | ||
| P/OCF | 28.41 | ||
| P/B | 4.02 | ||
| P/tB | 6.47 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 21.46 |
EPS(TTM)3.5
EY2.99%
EPS(NY)4.55
Fwd EY3.88%
FCF(TTM)2.35
FCFY2.01%
OCF(TTM)4.12
OCFY3.52%
SpS39.81
BVpS29.13
TBVpS18.11
PEG (NY)1.68
PEG (5Y)3.1
Graham Number47.89
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.61% | ||
| ROE | 11.94% | ||
| ROCE | 10.91% | ||
| ROIC | 8.18% | ||
| ROICexc | 9.4% | ||
| ROICexgc | 13.81% | ||
| OM | 10.87% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.74% | ||
| GM | 40.74% | ||
| FCFM | 5.91% |
ROA(3y)6.91%
ROA(5y)8.16%
ROE(3y)10.45%
ROE(5y)12.35%
ROIC(3y)7.46%
ROIC(5y)8.69%
ROICexc(3y)9.06%
ROICexc(5y)10.8%
ROICexgc(3y)15.28%
ROICexgc(5y)20.02%
ROCE(3y)9.95%
ROCE(5y)11.59%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-6.01%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-3.84%
ROICexc growth 3Y-0.9%
ROICexc growth 5Y1.07%
OM growth 3Y-2.07%
OM growth 5Y-2.09%
PM growth 3Y-0.71%
PM growth 5Y-2.58%
GM growth 3Y1.18%
GM growth 5Y0.4%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.87
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.01 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 215.02% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.45% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 552.93 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 80.03% | ||
| Profit Quality | 67.63% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.63 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.9 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.42 |
F-Score6
WACC8.66%
ROIC/WACC0.94
Cap/Depr(3y)270.16%
Cap/Depr(5y)217.41%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.68%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.55%
Profit Quality(3y)62.04%
Profit Quality(5y)65.74%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.69%
EPS 3Y11.64%
EPS 5Y10.78%
EPS Q2Q%26.92%
EPS Next Y19.98%
EPS Next 2Y17.9%
EPS Next 3Y16.39%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.14%
Revenue growth 3Y9.02%
Revenue growth 5Y10.04%
Sales Q2Q%17.49%
Revenue Next Year15.95%
Revenue Next 2Y14.34%
Revenue Next 3Y13.52%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y4.5%
EBIT growth 3Y6.77%
EBIT growth 5Y7.74%
EBIT Next Year40.14%
EBIT Next 3Y21.76%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-1.8%
FCF growth 3Y120.29%
FCF growth 5Y30.45%
OCF growth 1Y14.86%
OCF growth 3Y71.62%
OCF growth 5Y16.65%
OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI / OLLI FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for OLLI stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to OLLI.
Can you provide the valuation status for OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI?
OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What is the financial health of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) stock?
The financial health rating of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) is 7 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) is expected to grow by 19.98% in the next year.