OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:OLLI • US6811161099

Current stock price

84.74 USD
-1.77 (-2.05%)
Last:

This OLLI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

7

1. OLLI Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • OLLI had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year OLLI had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • OLLI had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years OLLI always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
OLLI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFOLLI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 100M 200M 300M

1.2 Ratios

  • OLLI has a better Return On Assets (8.14%) than 83.33% of its industry peers.
  • OLLI has a Return On Equity of 12.74%. This is in the better half of the industry: OLLI outperforms 73.33% of its industry peers.
  • With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 8.81%, OLLI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 70.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for OLLI is in line with the industry average of 8.83%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (8.62%) for OLLI is below the current ROIC(8.81%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.14%
ROE 12.74%
ROIC 8.81%
ROA(3y)7.95%
ROA(5y)7.37%
ROE(3y)12.19%
ROE(5y)11.27%
ROIC(3y)8.62%
ROIC(5y)8.09%
OLLI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICOLLI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 5 10 15

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of OLLI (9.08%) is better than 86.67% of its industry peers.
  • OLLI's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • OLLI has a better Operating Margin (11.24%) than 83.33% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of OLLI has declined.
  • OLLI has a Gross Margin of 40.50%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: OLLI outperforms 43.33% of its industry peers.
  • OLLI's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 11.24%
PM (TTM) 9.08%
GM 40.5%
OM growth 3Y16.45%
OM growth 5Y-6.04%
PM growth 3Y17.3%
PM growth 5Y-7.51%
GM growth 3Y4.09%
GM growth 5Y0.25%
OLLI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsOLLI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 10 20 30 40

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

7

2. OLLI Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), OLLI is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, OLLI has less shares outstanding
  • Compared to 5 years ago, OLLI has less shares outstanding
  • The debt/assets ratio for OLLI has been reduced compared to a year ago.
OLLI Yearly Shares OutstandingOLLI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 20M 40M 60M
OLLI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsOLLI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • OLLI has an Altman-Z score of 5.19. This indicates that OLLI is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • With a decent Altman-Z score value of 5.19, OLLI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of OLLI is 0.01, which is an excellent value as it means it would take OLLI, only 0.01 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • OLLI's Debt to FCF ratio of 0.01 is amongst the best of the industry. OLLI outperforms 93.33% of its industry peers.
  • OLLI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • OLLI has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.00. This is amongst the best in the industry. OLLI outperforms 83.33% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0.01
Altman-Z 5.19
ROIC/WACC0.95
WACC9.28%
OLLI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFOLLI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 2.41 indicates that OLLI has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 2.41, OLLI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.78 indicates that OLLI may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • OLLI has a Quick ratio of 0.78. This is amonst the worse of the industry: OLLI underperforms 80.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.41
Quick Ratio 0.78
OLLI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesOLLI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 200M 400M 600M 800M

More info and screens

WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

6

3. OLLI Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 18.65% over the past year.
  • Measured over the past 5 years, OLLI shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 4.26% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, OLLI shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 16.62% in the last year.
  • OLLI shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 7.93% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)18.65%
EPS 3Y33.52%
EPS 5Y4.26%
EPS Q2Q%16.81%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.62%
Revenue growth 3Y13.19%
Revenue growth 5Y7.93%
Sales Q2Q%16.82%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, OLLI will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 14.62% on average per year.
  • OLLI is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 11.93% yearly.
EPS Next Y17.77%
EPS Next 2Y16.04%
EPS Next 3Y14.62%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year13.19%
Revenue Next 2Y12.26%
Revenue Next 3Y11.93%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
OLLI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesOLLI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 1B 2B 3B
OLLI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesOLLI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 1 2 3 4 5

More info and screens

Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

4

4. OLLI Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 21.84, the valuation of OLLI can be described as rather expensive.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of OLLI indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: OLLI is cheaper than 66.67% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • OLLI is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.77, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 18.54, the valuation of OLLI can be described as rather expensive.
  • OLLI's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 21.75. OLLI is around the same levels.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 21.84
Fwd PE 18.54
OLLI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsOLLI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, OLLI is valued a bit cheaper than 76.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as OLLI.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 26.54
EV/EBITDA 14
OLLI Per share dataOLLI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • OLLI has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as OLLI's earnings are expected to grow with 14.62% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.23
PEG (5Y)5.13
EPS Next 2Y16.04%
EPS Next 3Y14.62%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. OLLI Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • OLLI does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

More info and screens

Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

OLLI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI

NASDAQ:OLLI (5/1/2026, 12:29:09 PM)

84.74

-1.77 (-2.05%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryBroadline Retail
Industry Strength52.8
Industry Growth50.93
Earnings (Last)03-12
Earnings (Next)06-01
Inst Owners110.3%
Inst Owner Change-0.21%
Ins Owners0.29%
Ins Owner Change0.8%
Market Cap5.17B
Revenue(TTM)2.65B
Net Income(TTM)240.60M
Analysts81.82
Price Target140.58 (65.9%)
Short Float %6.42%
Short Ratio2.81
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.73%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.84%
Max EPS beat(2)0.39%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)1.32%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.84%
Max EPS beat(4)3.57%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)1.17%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)2.88%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-2.67%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.27%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.46%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.08%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.25%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.46%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.08%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.29%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.93%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.48%
PT rev (1m)-1.52%
PT rev (3m)-1.71%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.82%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.09%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.09%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.12%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.03%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 21.84
Fwd PE 18.54
P/S 1.95
P/FCF 26.54
P/OCF 17.42
P/B 2.74
P/tB 4.26
EV/EBITDA 14
EPS(TTM)3.88
EY4.58%
EPS(NY)4.57
Fwd EY5.39%
FCF(TTM)3.19
FCFY3.77%
OCF(TTM)4.86
OCFY5.74%
SpS43.46
BVpS30.97
TBVpS19.89
PEG (NY)1.23
PEG (5Y)5.13
Graham Number51.9989 (-38.64%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.14%
ROE 12.74%
ROCE 11.65%
ROIC 8.81%
ROICexc 9.97%
ROICexgc 14.22%
OM 11.24%
PM (TTM) 9.08%
GM 40.5%
FCFM 7.35%
ROA(3y)7.95%
ROA(5y)7.37%
ROE(3y)12.19%
ROE(5y)11.27%
ROIC(3y)8.62%
ROIC(5y)8.09%
ROICexc(3y)10.29%
ROICexc(5y)9.59%
ROICexgc(3y)16.23%
ROICexgc(5y)16.03%
ROCE(3y)11.41%
ROCE(5y)10.7%
ROICexgc growth 3Y6.65%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-16.48%
ROICexc growth 3Y15.36%
ROICexc growth 5Y-9.54%
OM growth 3Y16.45%
OM growth 5Y-6.04%
PM growth 3Y17.3%
PM growth 5Y-7.51%
GM growth 3Y4.09%
GM growth 5Y0.25%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.9
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0.01
Debt/EBITDA 0
Cap/Depr 184.44%
Cap/Sales 3.85%
Interest Coverage 651.35
Cash Conversion 84.03%
Profit Quality 80.91%
Current Ratio 2.41
Quick Ratio 0.78
Altman-Z 5.19
F-Score8
WACC9.28%
ROIC/WACC0.95
Cap/Depr(3y)271.59%
Cap/Depr(5y)227.1%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.02%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.98%
Profit Quality(3y)68.71%
Profit Quality(5y)54.67%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)18.65%
EPS 3Y33.52%
EPS 5Y4.26%
EPS Q2Q%16.81%
EPS Next Y17.77%
EPS Next 2Y16.04%
EPS Next 3Y14.62%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.62%
Revenue growth 3Y13.19%
Revenue growth 5Y7.93%
Sales Q2Q%16.82%
Revenue Next Year13.19%
Revenue Next 2Y12.26%
Revenue Next 3Y11.93%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y19.3%
EBIT growth 3Y31.8%
EBIT growth 5Y1.41%
EBIT Next Year41.13%
EBIT Next 3Y20.2%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y82.1%
FCF growth 3Y45.96%
FCF growth 5Y-10.06%
OCF growth 1Y30.37%
OCF growth 3Y37.41%
OCF growth 5Y-3.87%

OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI / OLLI Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for OLLI stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to OLLI.


What is the valuation status for OLLI stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of OLLI stock?

OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


What is the financial health of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) stock?

The financial health rating of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) is 7 / 10.


How sustainable is the dividend of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) stock?

The dividend rating of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.