OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NASDAQ:OLLI - Nasdaq - US6811161099 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
Taking everything into account, OLLI scores 6 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. OLLI was compared to 28 industry peers in the Broadline Retail industry. OLLI is in great health and has no worries on liquidiy or solvency at all, but the profibility rating is only average. OLLI is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year OLLI was profitable.
OLLI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years OLLI has always been profitable.
OLLI had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of OLLI (7.42%) is better than 78.57% of its industry peers.
OLLI has a Return On Equity of 11.62%. This is in the better half of the industry: OLLI outperforms 64.29% of its industry peers.
OLLI's Return On Invested Capital of 7.92% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. OLLI outperforms 64.29% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for OLLI is below the industry average of 11.32%.
The 3 year average ROIC (7.46%) for OLLI is below the current ROIC(7.92%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.42% | ||
| ROE | 11.62% | ||
| ROIC | 7.92% |
ROA(3y)6.91%
ROA(5y)8.16%
ROE(3y)10.45%
ROE(5y)12.35%
ROIC(3y)7.46%
ROIC(5y)8.69%
1.3 Margins
OLLI's Profit Margin of 8.59% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. OLLI outperforms 78.57% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of OLLI has declined.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 10.65%, OLLI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of OLLI has declined.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 40.27%, OLLI is doing worse than 60.71% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of OLLI has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.65% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.59% | ||
| GM | 40.27% |
OM growth 3Y-2.07%
OM growth 5Y-2.09%
PM growth 3Y-0.71%
PM growth 5Y-2.58%
GM growth 3Y1.18%
GM growth 5Y0.4%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so OLLI is destroying value.
OLLI has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
OLLI has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for OLLI has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 7.28 indicates that OLLI is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 7.28, OLLI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 92.86% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of OLLI is 0.02, which is an excellent value as it means it would take OLLI, only 0.02 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 0.02, OLLI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 96.43% of the companies in the same industry.
OLLI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
OLLI has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.00. This is in the better half of the industry: OLLI outperforms 78.57% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.02 | ||
| Altman-Z | 7.28 |
ROIC/WACC0.88
WACC9.05%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 2.87 indicates that OLLI has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
OLLI's Current ratio of 2.87 is amongst the best of the industry. OLLI outperforms 89.29% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.11 indicates that OLLI should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of OLLI (1.11) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.87 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.11 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
OLLI shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 4.78%.
OLLI shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 10.78% yearly.
Looking at the last year, OLLI shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 8.70% in the last year.
OLLI shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 10.04% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)4.78%
EPS 3Y11.64%
EPS 5Y10.78%
EPS Q2Q%2.74%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.7%
Revenue growth 3Y9.02%
Revenue growth 5Y10.04%
Sales Q2Q%13.35%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, OLLI will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 13.69% on average per year.
OLLI is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 11.85% yearly.
EPS Next Y16.67%
EPS Next 2Y15.46%
EPS Next 3Y13.69%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year13.89%
Revenue Next 2Y12.69%
Revenue Next 3Y11.85%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 41.08, the valuation of OLLI can be described as expensive.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of OLLI is on the same level as its industry peers.
OLLI is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.51, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
OLLI is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 31.00.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of OLLI is on the same level as its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 34.09, OLLI is valued at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 41.08 | ||
| Fwd PE | 31 |
4.2 Price Multiples
OLLI's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
OLLI's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. OLLI is more expensive than 64.29% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 86.76 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 26.16 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates OLLI does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
OLLI has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as OLLI's earnings are expected to grow with 13.69% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)2.46
PEG (5Y)3.81
EPS Next 2Y15.46%
EPS Next 3Y13.69%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for OLLI!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
135.14
+0.04 (+0.03%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryBroadline Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners114.7%
Inst Owner Change-1.06%
Ins Owners0.3%
Ins Owner Change0.95%
Market Cap8.29B
Analysts80
Price Target129.29 (-4.33%)
Short Float %6.06%
Short Ratio2.98
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)0.61%
Min EPS beat(2)-2.36%
Max EPS beat(2)3.57%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-0.78%
Min EPS beat(4)-2.36%
Max EPS beat(4)3.57%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)3.94%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.74%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-4.9%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.59%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.1%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.08%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.01%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.1%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.09%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.75%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.2%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.43%
PT rev (1m)0.59%
PT rev (3m)1.83%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.07%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.4%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.4%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.72%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 41.08 | ||
| Fwd PE | 31 | ||
| P/S | 3.54 | ||
| P/FCF | 86.76 | ||
| P/OCF | 38.38 | ||
| P/B | 4.79 | ||
| P/tB | 7.86 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 26.16 |
EPS(TTM)3.29
EY2.43%
EPS(NY)4.36
Fwd EY3.23%
FCF(TTM)1.56
FCFY1.15%
OCF(TTM)3.52
OCFY2.61%
SpS38.14
BVpS28.2
TBVpS17.19
PEG (NY)2.46
PEG (5Y)3.81
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.42% | ||
| ROE | 11.62% | ||
| ROCE | 10.56% | ||
| ROIC | 7.92% | ||
| ROICexc | 9.39% | ||
| ROICexgc | 14.22% | ||
| OM | 10.65% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.59% | ||
| GM | 40.27% | ||
| FCFM | 4.08% |
ROA(3y)6.91%
ROA(5y)8.16%
ROE(3y)10.45%
ROE(5y)12.35%
ROIC(3y)7.46%
ROIC(5y)8.69%
ROICexc(3y)9.06%
ROICexc(5y)10.8%
ROICexgc(3y)15.28%
ROICexgc(5y)20.02%
ROCE(3y)9.95%
ROCE(5y)11.59%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-6.01%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-3.84%
ROICexc growth 3Y-0.9%
ROICexc growth 5Y1.07%
OM growth 3Y-2.07%
OM growth 5Y-2.09%
PM growth 3Y-0.71%
PM growth 5Y-2.58%
GM growth 3Y1.18%
GM growth 5Y0.4%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.86
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.02 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 256.3% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.15% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 521.32 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 72.92% | ||
| Profit Quality | 47.54% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.87 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.11 | ||
| Altman-Z | 7.28 |
F-Score7
WACC9.05%
ROIC/WACC0.88
Cap/Depr(3y)270.16%
Cap/Depr(5y)217.41%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.68%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.55%
Profit Quality(3y)62.04%
Profit Quality(5y)65.74%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)4.78%
EPS 3Y11.64%
EPS 5Y10.78%
EPS Q2Q%2.74%
EPS Next Y16.67%
EPS Next 2Y15.46%
EPS Next 3Y13.69%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.7%
Revenue growth 3Y9.02%
Revenue growth 5Y10.04%
Sales Q2Q%13.35%
Revenue Next Year13.89%
Revenue Next 2Y12.69%
Revenue Next 3Y11.85%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y1.41%
EBIT growth 3Y6.77%
EBIT growth 5Y7.74%
EBIT Next Year37.08%
EBIT Next 3Y19.71%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-20.84%
FCF growth 3Y120.29%
FCF growth 5Y30.45%
OCF growth 1Y18.86%
OCF growth 3Y71.62%
OCF growth 5Y16.65%