OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:OLLI • US6811161099
Current stock price
96.08 USD
-1.13 (-1.16%)
At close:
97.98 USD
+1.9 (+1.98%)
Pre-Market:
This OLLI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. OLLI Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year OLLI was profitable.
- OLLI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- Each year in the past 5 years OLLI has been profitable.
- In the past 5 years OLLI always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- OLLI's Return On Assets of 8.14% is amongst the best of the industry. OLLI outperforms 83.33% of its industry peers.
- With a decent Return On Equity value of 12.74%, OLLI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 70.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 8.81%, OLLI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 70.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for OLLI is in line with the industry average of 8.75%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (8.81%) for OLLI is above the 3 year average (8.62%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.14% | ||
| ROE | 12.74% | ||
| ROIC | 8.81% |
ROA(3y)7.95%
ROA(5y)7.37%
ROE(3y)12.19%
ROE(5y)11.27%
ROIC(3y)8.62%
ROIC(5y)8.09%
1.3 Margins
- The Profit Margin of OLLI (9.08%) is better than 86.67% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of OLLI has declined.
- The Operating Margin of OLLI (11.24%) is better than 86.67% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of OLLI has declined.
- OLLI has a Gross Margin of 40.50%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: OLLI outperforms 43.33% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of OLLI has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.24% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.08% | ||
| GM | 40.5% |
OM growth 3Y16.45%
OM growth 5Y-6.04%
PM growth 3Y17.3%
PM growth 5Y-7.51%
GM growth 3Y4.09%
GM growth 5Y0.25%
2. OLLI Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- OLLI has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, OLLI has less shares outstanding
- The number of shares outstanding for OLLI has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for OLLI has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 5.53 indicates that OLLI is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
- OLLI has a better Altman-Z score (5.53) than 86.67% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of OLLI is 0.01, which is an excellent value as it means it would take OLLI, only 0.01 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- OLLI's Debt to FCF ratio of 0.01 is amongst the best of the industry. OLLI outperforms 93.33% of its industry peers.
- OLLI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
- OLLI's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.00 is amongst the best of the industry. OLLI outperforms 83.33% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.01 | ||
| Altman-Z | 5.53 |
ROIC/WACC0.97
WACC9.09%
2.3 Liquidity
- OLLI has a Current Ratio of 2.41. This indicates that OLLI is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
- OLLI's Current ratio of 2.41 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. OLLI outperforms 80.00% of its industry peers.
- OLLI has a Quick Ratio of 2.41. This is a bad value and indicates that OLLI is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- OLLI has a Quick ratio of 0.78. This is amonst the worse of the industry: OLLI underperforms 80.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.78 |
3. OLLI Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- OLLI shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 18.65%, which is quite good.
- Measured over the past 5 years, OLLI shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 4.26% on average per year.
- The Revenue has grown by 16.62% in the past year. This is quite good.
- OLLI shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 7.93% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)18.65%
EPS 3Y33.52%
EPS 5Y4.26%
EPS Q2Q%16.81%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.62%
Revenue growth 3Y13.19%
Revenue growth 5Y7.93%
Sales Q2Q%16.82%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 15.61% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
- OLLI is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 11.93% yearly.
EPS Next Y17.67%
EPS Next 2Y15.61%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year13.19%
Revenue Next 2Y12.26%
Revenue Next 3Y11.93%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. OLLI Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- OLLI is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 24.76.
- OLLI's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of OLLI to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.21), we can say OLLI is valued inline with the index average.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.05, OLLI is valued on the expensive side.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of OLLI is on the same level as its industry peers.
- OLLI is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.10, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24.76 | ||
| Fwd PE | 21.05 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- OLLI's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. OLLI is cheaper than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
- OLLI's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 30.27 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.76 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- OLLI's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- The decent profitability rating of OLLI may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as OLLI's earnings are expected to grow with 15.61% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.4
PEG (5Y)5.82
EPS Next 2Y15.61%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. OLLI Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- No dividends for OLLI!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
OLLI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
96.08
-1.13 (-1.16%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryBroadline Retail
Earnings (Last)03-12 2026-03-12/bmo
Earnings (Next)06-01 2026-06-01
Inst Owners109.53%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.3%
Ins Owner Change0.94%
Market Cap5.89B
Revenue(TTM)2.65B
Net Income(TTM)240.60M
Analysts81.82
Price Target139.9 (45.61%)
Short Float %6.97%
Short Ratio3.35
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.73%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.84%
Max EPS beat(2)0.39%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)1.32%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.84%
Max EPS beat(4)3.57%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)1.17%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)2.88%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-2.67%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.27%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.46%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.08%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.25%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.46%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.08%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.29%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.93%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.48%
PT rev (1m)-2%
PT rev (3m)-3.16%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.68%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.82%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.12%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.08%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.15%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.03%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.1%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24.76 | ||
| Fwd PE | 21.05 | ||
| P/S | 2.22 | ||
| P/FCF | 30.27 | ||
| P/OCF | 19.87 | ||
| P/B | 3.12 | ||
| P/tB | 4.86 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.76 |
EPS(TTM)3.88
EY4.04%
EPS(NY)4.57
Fwd EY4.75%
FCF(TTM)3.17
FCFY3.3%
OCF(TTM)4.84
OCFY5.03%
SpS43.2
BVpS30.79
TBVpS19.77
PEG (NY)1.4
PEG (5Y)5.82
Graham Number51.84
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.14% | ||
| ROE | 12.74% | ||
| ROCE | 11.65% | ||
| ROIC | 8.81% | ||
| ROICexc | 9.97% | ||
| ROICexgc | 14.22% | ||
| OM | 11.24% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.08% | ||
| GM | 40.5% | ||
| FCFM | 7.35% |
ROA(3y)7.95%
ROA(5y)7.37%
ROE(3y)12.19%
ROE(5y)11.27%
ROIC(3y)8.62%
ROIC(5y)8.09%
ROICexc(3y)10.29%
ROICexc(5y)9.59%
ROICexgc(3y)16.23%
ROICexgc(5y)16.03%
ROCE(3y)11.41%
ROCE(5y)10.7%
ROICexgc growth 3Y6.65%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-16.48%
ROICexc growth 3Y15.36%
ROICexc growth 5Y-9.54%
OM growth 3Y16.45%
OM growth 5Y-6.04%
PM growth 3Y17.3%
PM growth 5Y-7.51%
GM growth 3Y4.09%
GM growth 5Y0.25%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.9
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.01 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 184.44% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.85% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 651.35 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 84.03% | ||
| Profit Quality | 80.91% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.78 | ||
| Altman-Z | 5.53 |
F-Score8
WACC9.09%
ROIC/WACC0.97
Cap/Depr(3y)271.59%
Cap/Depr(5y)227.1%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.02%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.98%
Profit Quality(3y)68.71%
Profit Quality(5y)54.67%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)18.65%
EPS 3Y33.52%
EPS 5Y4.26%
EPS Q2Q%16.81%
EPS Next Y17.67%
EPS Next 2Y15.61%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.62%
Revenue growth 3Y13.19%
Revenue growth 5Y7.93%
Sales Q2Q%16.82%
Revenue Next Year13.19%
Revenue Next 2Y12.26%
Revenue Next 3Y11.93%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y19.3%
EBIT growth 3Y31.8%
EBIT growth 5Y1.41%
EBIT Next Year40.12%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y82.1%
FCF growth 3Y45.96%
FCF growth 5Y-10.06%
OCF growth 1Y30.37%
OCF growth 3Y37.41%
OCF growth 5Y-3.87%
OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI / OLLI Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for OLLI stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to OLLI.
What is the valuation status for OLLI stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of OLLI stock?
OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What is the financial health of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) stock?
The financial health rating of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) is 7 / 10.
How sustainable is the dividend of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) stock?
The dividend rating of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.