121.33 USD
+3.09 (+2.61%)
121.48 USD
+0.15 (+0.12%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10 to OLLI. OLLI was compared to 30 industry peers in the Broadline Retail industry. OLLI has an excellent financial health rating, but there are some minor concerns on its profitability. OLLI shows excellent growth, but is valued quite expensive already. With these ratings, OLLI could be worth investigating further for growth investing!.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
OLLI had positive earnings in the past year.
OLLI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years OLLI has always been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years OLLI had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
OLLI has a better Return On Assets (7.61%) than 80.00% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 11.94%, OLLI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
OLLI has a better Return On Invested Capital (8.18%) than 70.00% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for OLLI is in line with the industry average of 9.35%.
The 3 year average ROIC (7.46%) for OLLI is below the current ROIC(8.18%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.61% | ||
| ROE | 11.94% | ||
| ROIC | 8.18% |
ROA(3y)6.91%
ROA(5y)8.16%
ROE(3y)10.45%
ROE(5y)12.35%
ROIC(3y)7.46%
ROIC(5y)8.69%
1.3 Margins
OLLI has a better Profit Margin (8.74%) than 80.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of OLLI has declined.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 10.87%, OLLI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 76.67% of the companies in the same industry.
OLLI's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
OLLI has a Gross Margin (40.74%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
OLLI's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.87% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.74% | ||
| GM | 40.74% |
OM growth 3Y-2.07%
OM growth 5Y-2.09%
PM growth 3Y-0.71%
PM growth 5Y-2.58%
GM growth 3Y1.18%
GM growth 5Y0.4%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), OLLI is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for OLLI remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for OLLI has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for OLLI has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
OLLI has an Altman-Z score of 6.46. This indicates that OLLI is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 6.46, OLLI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 90.00% of the companies in the same industry.
OLLI has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.01. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.01 years to pay back of all of its debts.
OLLI's Debt to FCF ratio of 0.01 is amongst the best of the industry. OLLI outperforms 96.67% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00 indicates that OLLI is not too dependend on debt financing.
OLLI has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.00. This is amongst the best in the industry. OLLI outperforms 83.33% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.01 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.46 |
ROIC/WACC0.93
WACC8.75%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 2.63 indicates that OLLI has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 2.63, OLLI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 90.00% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.90 indicates that OLLI may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.90, OLLI is not doing good in the industry: 70.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.63 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.9 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
OLLI shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 7.69%.
Measured over the past years, OLLI shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 10.78% on average per year.
The Revenue has grown by 10.14% in the past year. This is quite good.
OLLI shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 10.04% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.69%
EPS 3Y11.64%
EPS 5Y10.78%
EPS Q2Q%26.92%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.14%
Revenue growth 3Y9.02%
Revenue growth 5Y10.04%
Sales Q2Q%17.49%
3.2 Future
OLLI is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 16.42% yearly.
OLLI is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 13.55% yearly.
EPS Next Y20.13%
EPS Next 2Y17.98%
EPS Next 3Y16.42%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year15.95%
Revenue Next 2Y14.36%
Revenue Next 3Y13.55%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 34.67, the valuation of OLLI can be described as expensive.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of OLLI is on the same level as its industry peers.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of OLLI to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.46), we can say OLLI is valued slightly more expensively.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 26.66 indicates a quite expensive valuation of OLLI.
OLLI's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of OLLI to the average of the S&P500 Index (36.10), we can say OLLI is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 34.67 | ||
| Fwd PE | 26.66 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of OLLI is on the same level as its industry peers.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of OLLI is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 51.57 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 21.68 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
OLLI's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
OLLI has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as OLLI's earnings are expected to grow with 16.42% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.72
PEG (5Y)3.22
EPS Next 2Y17.98%
EPS Next 3Y16.42%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
OLLI does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
121.33
+3.09 (+2.61%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryBroadline Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners114.7%
Inst Owner Change-2.14%
Ins Owners0.3%
Ins Owner Change-0.02%
Market Cap7.44B
Revenue(TTM)2.44B
Net Income(TTM)213.31M
Analysts80
Price Target149.82 (23.48%)
Short Float %7.53%
Short Ratio4.81
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)3.37%
Min EPS beat(2)3.17%
Max EPS beat(2)3.57%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)0.51%
Min EPS beat(4)-2.36%
Max EPS beat(4)3.57%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)3.42%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)2.43%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-4.22%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.24%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.39%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.08%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.38%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.1%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.08%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.93%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.98%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.05%
PT rev (1m)0.51%
PT rev (3m)11.88%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.89%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.12%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.7%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.19%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.46%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.86%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 34.67 | ||
| Fwd PE | 26.66 | ||
| P/S | 3.05 | ||
| P/FCF | 51.57 | ||
| P/OCF | 29.42 | ||
| P/B | 4.17 | ||
| P/tB | 6.7 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 21.68 |
EPS(TTM)3.5
EY2.88%
EPS(NY)4.55
Fwd EY3.75%
FCF(TTM)2.35
FCFY1.94%
OCF(TTM)4.12
OCFY3.4%
SpS39.81
BVpS29.13
TBVpS18.11
PEG (NY)1.72
PEG (5Y)3.22
Graham Number47.89
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.61% | ||
| ROE | 11.94% | ||
| ROCE | 10.91% | ||
| ROIC | 8.18% | ||
| ROICexc | 9.4% | ||
| ROICexgc | 13.81% | ||
| OM | 10.87% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.74% | ||
| GM | 40.74% | ||
| FCFM | 5.91% |
ROA(3y)6.91%
ROA(5y)8.16%
ROE(3y)10.45%
ROE(5y)12.35%
ROIC(3y)7.46%
ROIC(5y)8.69%
ROICexc(3y)9.06%
ROICexc(5y)10.8%
ROICexgc(3y)15.28%
ROICexgc(5y)20.02%
ROCE(3y)9.95%
ROCE(5y)11.59%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-6.01%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-3.84%
ROICexc growth 3Y-0.9%
ROICexc growth 5Y1.07%
OM growth 3Y-2.07%
OM growth 5Y-2.09%
PM growth 3Y-0.71%
PM growth 5Y-2.58%
GM growth 3Y1.18%
GM growth 5Y0.4%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.87
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.01 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 215.02% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.45% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 552.93 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 80.03% | ||
| Profit Quality | 67.63% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.63 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.9 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.46 |
F-Score6
WACC8.75%
ROIC/WACC0.93
Cap/Depr(3y)270.16%
Cap/Depr(5y)217.41%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.68%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.55%
Profit Quality(3y)62.04%
Profit Quality(5y)65.74%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.69%
EPS 3Y11.64%
EPS 5Y10.78%
EPS Q2Q%26.92%
EPS Next Y20.13%
EPS Next 2Y17.98%
EPS Next 3Y16.42%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.14%
Revenue growth 3Y9.02%
Revenue growth 5Y10.04%
Sales Q2Q%17.49%
Revenue Next Year15.95%
Revenue Next 2Y14.36%
Revenue Next 3Y13.55%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y4.5%
EBIT growth 3Y6.77%
EBIT growth 5Y7.74%
EBIT Next Year40.14%
EBIT Next 3Y21.81%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-1.8%
FCF growth 3Y120.29%
FCF growth 5Y30.45%
OCF growth 1Y14.86%
OCF growth 3Y71.62%
OCF growth 5Y16.65%
OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI / OLLI FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for OLLI stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to OLLI.
Can you provide the valuation status for OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI?
OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What is the financial health of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) stock?
The financial health rating of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) is 7 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) is expected to grow by 20.13% in the next year.