OLD DOMINION FREIGHT LINE (ODFL) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:ODFL • US6795801009
Current stock price
189.05 USD
+4.02 (+2.17%)
At close:
189.05 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This ODFL fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. ODFL Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year ODFL was profitable.
- In the past year ODFL had a positive cash flow from operations.
- ODFL had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- In the past 5 years ODFL always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- ODFL has a better Return On Assets (18.71%) than 97.62% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 23.75%, ODFL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 92.86% of the companies in the same industry.
- ODFL's Return On Invested Capital of 20.66% is amongst the best of the industry. ODFL outperforms 97.62% of its industry peers.
- ODFL had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 23.08%. This is significantly above the industry average of 7.14%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 18.71% | ||
| ROE | 23.75% | ||
| ROIC | 20.66% |
ROA(3y)20.93%
ROA(5y)22.54%
ROE(3y)26.93%
ROE(5y)29.32%
ROIC(3y)23.08%
ROIC(5y)25.15%
1.3 Margins
- Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 18.63%, ODFL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 80.95% of the companies in the same industry.
- ODFL's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- ODFL has a better Operating Margin (24.76%) than 85.71% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ODFL has grown nicely.
- ODFL has a better Gross Margin (89.61%) than 100.00% of its industry peers.
- ODFL's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 24.76% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 18.63% | ||
| GM | 89.61% |
OM growth 3Y-5.56%
OM growth 5Y1.86%
PM growth 3Y-5.4%
PM growth 5Y2.14%
GM growth 3Y1.23%
GM growth 5Y-0.24%
2. ODFL Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), ODFL is creating value.
- ODFL has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- ODFL has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, ODFL has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- ODFL has an Altman-Z score of 22.87. This indicates that ODFL is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
- The Altman-Z score of ODFL (22.87) is better than 100.00% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of ODFL is 0.04, which is an excellent value as it means it would take ODFL, only 0.04 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- ODFL has a Debt to FCF ratio of 0.04. This is amongst the best in the industry. ODFL outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00 indicates that ODFL is not too dependend on debt financing.
- With an excellent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.00, ODFL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 92.86% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.04 | ||
| Altman-Z | 22.87 |
ROIC/WACC1.93
WACC10.72%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.44 indicates that ODFL should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- With a decent Current ratio value of 1.44, ODFL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 61.90% of the companies in the same industry.
- ODFL has a Quick Ratio of 1.44. This is a normal value and indicates that ODFL is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- ODFL has a better Quick ratio (1.44) than 64.29% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.44 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.44 |
3. ODFL Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- ODFL shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -11.86%.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 10.97% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
- ODFL shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -5.48%.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.48% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.86%
EPS 3Y-7.44%
EPS 5Y10.97%
EPS Q2Q%-11.38%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.48%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.24%
Revenue growth 5Y6.48%
Sales Q2Q%-5.67%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, ODFL will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 15.61% on average per year.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 7.38% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y5.55%
EPS Next 2Y12.72%
EPS Next 3Y13.92%
EPS Next 5Y15.61%
Revenue Next Year1.5%
Revenue Next 2Y5.51%
Revenue Next 3Y5.73%
Revenue Next 5Y7.38%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. ODFL Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 39.14, which means the current valuation is very expensive for ODFL.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as ODFL.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of ODFL to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.61), we can say ODFL is valued expensively.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 37.08 indicates a quite expensive valuation of ODFL.
- ODFL's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.79, ODFL is valued quite expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 39.14 | ||
| Fwd PE | 37.08 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of ODFL indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: ODFL is more expensive than 64.29% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- 66.67% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than ODFL, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 41.26 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 22.3 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates ODFL does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
- ODFL has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- ODFL's earnings are expected to grow with 13.92% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)7.06
PEG (5Y)3.57
EPS Next 2Y12.72%
EPS Next 3Y13.92%
5. ODFL Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a yearly dividend of 0.64%, ODFL is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 0.75, ODFL has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.89, ODFL's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.64% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of ODFL is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 30.08%!
- ODFL has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- ODFL has not decreased its dividend in the past 5 years, so it has a somewhat stable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)30.08%
Div Incr Years7
Div Non Decr Years7
5.3 Sustainability
- ODFL pays out 23.02% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
- ODFL's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP23.02%
EPS Next 2Y12.72%
EPS Next 3Y13.92%
ODFL Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
189.05
+4.02 (+2.17%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryGround Transportation
Earnings (Last)02-04 2026-02-04/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-21 2026-04-21
Inst Owners83.64%
Inst Owner Change2.26%
Ins Owners8.53%
Ins Owner Change2.55%
Market Cap39.40B
Revenue(TTM)5.50B
Net Income(TTM)1.02B
Analysts68.13
Price Target201.03 (6.34%)
Short Float %7.26%
Short Ratio5.86
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.64% |
Yearly Dividend1.12
Dividend Growth(5Y)30.08%
DP23.02%
Div Incr Years7
Div Non Decr Years7
Ex-Date03-04 2026-03-04 (0.29)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)1.97%
Min EPS beat(2)0.82%
Max EPS beat(2)3.13%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)0.64%
Min EPS beat(4)-3.34%
Max EPS beat(4)3.13%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)0.35%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.03%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)1.46%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.52%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.78%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.26%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.85%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.71%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.26%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.14%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.51%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.15%
PT rev (1m)18.67%
PT rev (3m)26.82%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.3%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-4.8%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.63%
EPS NY rev (3m)-4.37%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.23%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.12%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.18%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 39.14 | ||
| Fwd PE | 37.08 | ||
| P/S | 7.17 | ||
| P/FCF | 41.26 | ||
| P/OCF | 28.76 | ||
| P/B | 9.14 | ||
| P/tB | 9.14 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 22.3 |
EPS(TTM)4.83
EY2.55%
EPS(NY)5.1
Fwd EY2.7%
FCF(TTM)4.58
FCFY2.42%
OCF(TTM)6.57
OCFY3.48%
SpS26.37
BVpS20.68
TBVpS20.68
PEG (NY)7.06
PEG (5Y)3.57
Graham Number47.41
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 18.71% | ||
| ROE | 23.75% | ||
| ROCE | 27.3% | ||
| ROIC | 20.66% | ||
| ROICexc | 21.17% | ||
| ROICexgc | 21.17% | ||
| OM | 24.76% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 18.63% | ||
| GM | 89.61% | ||
| FCFM | 17.38% |
ROA(3y)20.93%
ROA(5y)22.54%
ROE(3y)26.93%
ROE(5y)29.32%
ROIC(3y)23.08%
ROIC(5y)25.15%
ROICexc(3y)24.23%
ROICexc(5y)27.16%
ROICexgc(3y)24.23%
ROICexgc(5y)27.16%
ROCE(3y)30.5%
ROCE(5y)33.23%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-14.78%
ROICexgc growth 5Y0.14%
ROICexc growth 3Y-14.78%
ROICexc growth 5Y0.14%
OM growth 3Y-5.56%
OM growth 5Y1.86%
PM growth 3Y-5.4%
PM growth 5Y2.14%
GM growth 3Y1.23%
GM growth 5Y-0.24%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.04 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.01 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 113.8% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 7.55% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 304.89 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 79.39% | ||
| Profit Quality | 93.3% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.44 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.44 | ||
| Altman-Z | 22.87 |
F-Score7
WACC10.72%
ROIC/WACC1.93
Cap/Depr(3y)190.35%
Cap/Depr(5y)212.7%
Cap/Sales(3y)11.24%
Cap/Sales(5y)11.31%
Profit Quality(3y)77.89%
Profit Quality(5y)72.85%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.86%
EPS 3Y-7.44%
EPS 5Y10.97%
EPS Q2Q%-11.38%
EPS Next Y5.55%
EPS Next 2Y12.72%
EPS Next 3Y13.92%
EPS Next 5Y15.61%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.48%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.24%
Revenue growth 5Y6.48%
Sales Q2Q%-5.67%
Revenue Next Year1.5%
Revenue Next 2Y5.51%
Revenue Next 3Y5.73%
Revenue Next 5Y7.38%
EBIT growth 1Y-11.85%
EBIT growth 3Y-9.57%
EBIT growth 5Y8.46%
EBIT Next Year29.76%
EBIT Next 3Y19.23%
EBIT Next 5Y18.46%
FCF growth 1Y7.56%
FCF growth 3Y1.39%
FCF growth 5Y6.17%
OCF growth 1Y-17.43%
OCF growth 3Y-6.78%
OCF growth 5Y7.99%
OLD DOMINION FREIGHT LINE / ODFL Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for ODFL stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to ODFL.
What is the valuation status of OLD DOMINION FREIGHT LINE (ODFL) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to OLD DOMINION FREIGHT LINE (ODFL). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for OLD DOMINION FREIGHT LINE?
OLD DOMINION FREIGHT LINE (ODFL) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for ODFL stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for OLD DOMINION FREIGHT LINE (ODFL) is 39.14 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 9.14.
What is the earnings growth outlook for OLD DOMINION FREIGHT LINE?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of OLD DOMINION FREIGHT LINE (ODFL) is expected to grow by 5.55% in the next year.