OLD DOMINION FREIGHT LINE (ODFL) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:ODFL • US6795801009

Current stock price

180.75 USD
+4.51 (+2.56%)
At close:
180.26 USD
-0.49 (-0.27%)
After Hours:

This ODFL fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

9

1. ODFL Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year ODFL was profitable.
  • ODFL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Each year in the past 5 years ODFL has been profitable.
  • In the past 5 years ODFL always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
ODFL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFODFL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

1.2 Ratios

  • ODFL has a Return On Assets of 18.71%. This is amongst the best in the industry. ODFL outperforms 97.62% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 23.75%, ODFL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 92.86% of the companies in the same industry.
  • With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 20.66%, ODFL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 97.62% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ODFL had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 23.08%. This is significantly above the industry average of 7.21%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 18.71%
ROE 23.75%
ROIC 20.66%
ROA(3y)20.93%
ROA(5y)22.54%
ROE(3y)26.93%
ROE(5y)29.32%
ROIC(3y)23.08%
ROIC(5y)25.15%
ODFL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICODFL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of ODFL (18.63%) is better than 80.95% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ODFL has grown nicely.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 24.76%, ODFL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 85.71% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ODFL's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • ODFL's Gross Margin of 89.61% is amongst the best of the industry. ODFL outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • ODFL's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 24.76%
PM (TTM) 18.63%
GM 89.61%
OM growth 3Y-5.56%
OM growth 5Y1.86%
PM growth 3Y-5.4%
PM growth 5Y2.14%
GM growth 3Y1.23%
GM growth 5Y-0.24%
ODFL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsODFL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20 40 60 80

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8

2. ODFL Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so ODFL is creating value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, ODFL has less shares outstanding
  • The number of shares outstanding for ODFL has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • ODFL has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
ODFL Yearly Shares OutstandingODFL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M
ODFL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsODFL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

2.2 Solvency

  • ODFL has an Altman-Z score of 22.41. This indicates that ODFL is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • ODFL has a Altman-Z score of 22.41. This is amongst the best in the industry. ODFL outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • ODFL has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.04. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.04 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • ODFL has a better Debt to FCF ratio (0.04) than 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00 indicates that ODFL is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • With an excellent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.00, ODFL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 92.86% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0.04
Altman-Z 22.41
ROIC/WACC1.95
WACC10.61%
ODFL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFODFL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

  • ODFL has a Current Ratio of 1.44. This is a normal value and indicates that ODFL is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • ODFL has a Current ratio (1.44) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.44 indicates that ODFL should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • ODFL's Quick ratio of 1.44 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. ODFL outperforms 61.90% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.44
Quick Ratio 1.44
ODFL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesODFL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. ODFL Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • ODFL shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -11.86%.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 10.97% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
  • Looking at the last year, ODFL shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -5.48% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.48% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.86%
EPS 3Y-7.44%
EPS 5Y10.97%
EPS Q2Q%-11.38%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.48%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.24%
Revenue growth 5Y6.48%
Sales Q2Q%-5.67%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 15.61% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, ODFL will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 7.38% on average per year.
EPS Next Y5.55%
EPS Next 2Y12.72%
EPS Next 3Y13.92%
EPS Next 5Y15.61%
Revenue Next Year1.39%
Revenue Next 2Y5.44%
Revenue Next 3Y6.04%
Revenue Next 5Y7.38%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
ODFL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesODFL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2B 4B 6B
ODFL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesODFL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2 4 6 8

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3

4. ODFL Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 37.42, ODFL can be considered very expensive at the moment.
  • ODFL's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of ODFL to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.71), we can say ODFL is valued slightly more expensively.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 35.46, which means the current valuation is very expensive for ODFL.
  • ODFL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • ODFL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit more expensive than the S&P500 average which is at 23.83.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 37.42
Fwd PE 35.46
ODFL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsODFL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80 100

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, ODFL is valued a bit more expensive than 69.05% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, ODFL is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 66.67% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 39.44
EV/EBITDA 21.78
ODFL Per share dataODFL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15 20 25

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • The excellent profitability rating of ODFL may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as ODFL's earnings are expected to grow with 13.92% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)6.75
PEG (5Y)3.41
EPS Next 2Y12.72%
EPS Next 3Y13.92%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. ODFL Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • ODFL has a yearly dividend return of 0.66%, which is pretty low.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 0.74, ODFL has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
  • With a Dividend Yield of 0.66, ODFL pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.91.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.66%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of ODFL grows each year by 30.08%, which is quite nice.
  • ODFL has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • As ODFL did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)30.08%
Div Incr Years7
Div Non Decr Years7
ODFL Yearly Dividends per shareODFL Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5.3 Sustainability

  • ODFL pays out 23.02% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
  • ODFL's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP23.02%
EPS Next 2Y12.72%
EPS Next 3Y13.92%
ODFL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendODFL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
ODFL Dividend Payout.ODFL Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.ODFL Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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ODFL Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

OLD DOMINION FREIGHT LINE

NASDAQ:ODFL (3/13/2026, 8:00:02 PM)

After market: 180.26 -0.49 (-0.27%)

180.75

+4.51 (+2.56%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryGround Transportation
Earnings (Last)02-04
Earnings (Next)04-21
Inst Owners83.64%
Inst Owner Change2.26%
Ins Owners8.53%
Ins Owner Change2.54%
Market Cap37.67B
Revenue(TTM)5.50B
Net Income(TTM)1.02B
Analysts68.13
Price Target201.03 (11.22%)
Short Float %7.15%
Short Ratio5.93
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.66%
Yearly Dividend1.12
Dividend Growth(5Y)30.08%
DP23.02%
Div Incr Years7
Div Non Decr Years7
Ex-Date03-04
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)1.97%
Min EPS beat(2)0.82%
Max EPS beat(2)3.13%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)0.64%
Min EPS beat(4)-3.34%
Max EPS beat(4)3.13%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)0.35%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.03%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)1.46%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.52%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.78%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.26%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.85%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.71%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.26%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.14%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.51%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.15%
PT rev (1m)18.67%
PT rev (3m)26.82%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.14%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-4.17%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.63%
EPS NY rev (3m)-4.37%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.15%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.99%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.29%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 37.42
Fwd PE 35.46
P/S 6.85
P/FCF 39.44
P/OCF 27.5
P/B 8.74
P/tB 8.74
EV/EBITDA 21.78
EPS(TTM)4.83
EY2.67%
EPS(NY)5.1
Fwd EY2.82%
FCF(TTM)4.58
FCFY2.54%
OCF(TTM)6.57
OCFY3.64%
SpS26.37
BVpS20.68
TBVpS20.68
PEG (NY)6.75
PEG (5Y)3.41
Graham Number47.41
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 18.71%
ROE 23.75%
ROCE 27.3%
ROIC 20.66%
ROICexc 21.17%
ROICexgc 21.17%
OM 24.76%
PM (TTM) 18.63%
GM 89.61%
FCFM 17.38%
ROA(3y)20.93%
ROA(5y)22.54%
ROE(3y)26.93%
ROE(5y)29.32%
ROIC(3y)23.08%
ROIC(5y)25.15%
ROICexc(3y)24.23%
ROICexc(5y)27.16%
ROICexgc(3y)24.23%
ROICexgc(5y)27.16%
ROCE(3y)30.5%
ROCE(5y)33.23%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-14.78%
ROICexgc growth 5Y0.14%
ROICexc growth 3Y-14.78%
ROICexc growth 5Y0.14%
OM growth 3Y-5.56%
OM growth 5Y1.86%
PM growth 3Y-5.4%
PM growth 5Y2.14%
GM growth 3Y1.23%
GM growth 5Y-0.24%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0.04
Debt/EBITDA 0.01
Cap/Depr 113.8%
Cap/Sales 7.55%
Interest Coverage 304.89
Cash Conversion 79.39%
Profit Quality 93.3%
Current Ratio 1.44
Quick Ratio 1.44
Altman-Z 22.41
F-Score7
WACC10.61%
ROIC/WACC1.95
Cap/Depr(3y)190.35%
Cap/Depr(5y)212.7%
Cap/Sales(3y)11.24%
Cap/Sales(5y)11.31%
Profit Quality(3y)77.89%
Profit Quality(5y)72.85%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.86%
EPS 3Y-7.44%
EPS 5Y10.97%
EPS Q2Q%-11.38%
EPS Next Y5.55%
EPS Next 2Y12.72%
EPS Next 3Y13.92%
EPS Next 5Y15.61%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.48%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.24%
Revenue growth 5Y6.48%
Sales Q2Q%-5.67%
Revenue Next Year1.39%
Revenue Next 2Y5.44%
Revenue Next 3Y6.04%
Revenue Next 5Y7.38%
EBIT growth 1Y-11.85%
EBIT growth 3Y-9.57%
EBIT growth 5Y8.46%
EBIT Next Year29.76%
EBIT Next 3Y19.23%
EBIT Next 5Y18.46%
FCF growth 1Y7.56%
FCF growth 3Y1.39%
FCF growth 5Y6.17%
OCF growth 1Y-17.43%
OCF growth 3Y-6.78%
OCF growth 5Y7.99%

OLD DOMINION FREIGHT LINE / ODFL Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for ODFL stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to ODFL.


What is the valuation status of OLD DOMINION FREIGHT LINE (ODFL) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to OLD DOMINION FREIGHT LINE (ODFL). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for OLD DOMINION FREIGHT LINE?

OLD DOMINION FREIGHT LINE (ODFL) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for ODFL stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for OLD DOMINION FREIGHT LINE (ODFL) is 37.42 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 8.74.


What is the earnings growth outlook for OLD DOMINION FREIGHT LINE?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of OLD DOMINION FREIGHT LINE (ODFL) is expected to grow by 5.55% in the next year.