OLD DOMINION FREIGHT LINE (ODFL) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:ODFL • US6795801009

Current stock price

180.75 USD
+4.51 (+2.56%)
At close:
180.26 USD
-0.49 (-0.27%)
After Hours:

This ODFL fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

9

1. ODFL Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year ODFL was profitable.
  • In the past year ODFL had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Each year in the past 5 years ODFL has been profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years ODFL had a positive operating cash flow.
ODFL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFODFL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 18.71%, ODFL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 97.62% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 23.75%, ODFL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 92.86% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ODFL has a better Return On Invested Capital (20.66%) than 97.62% of its industry peers.
  • ODFL had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 23.08%. This is significantly above the industry average of 7.21%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 18.71%
ROE 23.75%
ROIC 20.66%
ROA(3y)20.93%
ROA(5y)22.54%
ROE(3y)26.93%
ROE(5y)29.32%
ROIC(3y)23.08%
ROIC(5y)25.15%
ODFL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICODFL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30

1.3 Margins

  • ODFL has a better Profit Margin (18.63%) than 80.95% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ODFL has grown nicely.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 24.76%, ODFL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 85.71% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ODFL has grown nicely.
  • ODFL has a better Gross Margin (89.61%) than 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • ODFL's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 24.76%
PM (TTM) 18.63%
GM 89.61%
OM growth 3Y-5.56%
OM growth 5Y1.86%
PM growth 3Y-5.4%
PM growth 5Y2.14%
GM growth 3Y1.23%
GM growth 5Y-0.24%
ODFL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsODFL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20 40 60 80

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8

2. ODFL Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so ODFL is creating value.
  • ODFL has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • ODFL has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, ODFL has an improved debt to assets ratio.
ODFL Yearly Shares OutstandingODFL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M
ODFL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsODFL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

2.2 Solvency

  • ODFL has an Altman-Z score of 22.41. This indicates that ODFL is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • ODFL has a Altman-Z score of 22.41. This is amongst the best in the industry. ODFL outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of ODFL is 0.04, which is an excellent value as it means it would take ODFL, only 0.04 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 0.04, ODFL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00 indicates that ODFL is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • With an excellent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.00, ODFL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 92.86% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0.04
Altman-Z 22.41
ROIC/WACC1.95
WACC10.6%
ODFL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFODFL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

  • ODFL has a Current Ratio of 1.44. This is a normal value and indicates that ODFL is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • ODFL has a Current ratio (1.44) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.44 indicates that ODFL should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.44, ODFL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 61.90% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.44
Quick Ratio 1.44
ODFL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesODFL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. ODFL Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • ODFL shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -11.86%.
  • Measured over the past years, ODFL shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 10.97% on average per year.
  • ODFL shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -5.48%.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.48% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.86%
EPS 3Y-7.44%
EPS 5Y10.97%
EPS Q2Q%-11.38%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.48%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.24%
Revenue growth 5Y6.48%
Sales Q2Q%-5.67%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, ODFL will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 15.61% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 7.38% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y5.55%
EPS Next 2Y12.72%
EPS Next 3Y13.92%
EPS Next 5Y15.61%
Revenue Next Year1.39%
Revenue Next 2Y5.44%
Revenue Next 3Y6.04%
Revenue Next 5Y7.38%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
ODFL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesODFL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2B 4B 6B
ODFL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesODFL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2 4 6 8

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3

4. ODFL Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 37.42, ODFL can be considered very expensive at the moment.
  • ODFL's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • ODFL is valuated rather expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.70, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 35.46, which means the current valuation is very expensive for ODFL.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ODFL is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • ODFL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit more expensive than the S&P500 average which is at 23.84.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 37.42
Fwd PE 35.46
ODFL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsODFL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80 100

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, ODFL is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 69.05% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, ODFL is valued a bit cheaper than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 39.44
EV/EBITDA 21.78
ODFL Per share dataODFL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15 20 25

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • The excellent profitability rating of ODFL may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • ODFL's earnings are expected to grow with 13.92% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)6.75
PEG (5Y)3.41
EPS Next 2Y12.72%
EPS Next 3Y13.92%

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5

5. ODFL Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • ODFL has a yearly dividend return of 0.66%, which is pretty low.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 0.72, ODFL has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
  • With a Dividend Yield of 0.66, ODFL pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.89.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.66%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of ODFL grows each year by 30.08%, which is quite nice.
  • ODFL has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • As ODFL did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)30.08%
Div Incr Years7
Div Non Decr Years7
ODFL Yearly Dividends per shareODFL Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5.3 Sustainability

  • 23.02% of the earnings are spent on dividend by ODFL. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of ODFL is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP23.02%
EPS Next 2Y12.72%
EPS Next 3Y13.92%
ODFL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendODFL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
ODFL Dividend Payout.ODFL Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.ODFL Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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ODFL Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

OLD DOMINION FREIGHT LINE

NASDAQ:ODFL (3/13/2026, 8:00:02 PM)

After market: 180.26 -0.49 (-0.27%)

180.75

+4.51 (+2.56%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryGround Transportation
Earnings (Last)02-04
Earnings (Next)04-21
Inst Owners83.64%
Inst Owner Change2.26%
Ins Owners8.53%
Ins Owner Change2.54%
Market Cap37.67B
Revenue(TTM)5.50B
Net Income(TTM)1.02B
Analysts68.13
Price Target201.03 (11.22%)
Short Float %7.15%
Short Ratio5.93
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.66%
Yearly Dividend1.12
Dividend Growth(5Y)30.08%
DP23.02%
Div Incr Years7
Div Non Decr Years7
Ex-Date03-04
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)1.97%
Min EPS beat(2)0.82%
Max EPS beat(2)3.13%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)0.64%
Min EPS beat(4)-3.34%
Max EPS beat(4)3.13%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)0.35%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.03%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)1.46%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.52%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.78%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.26%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.85%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.71%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.26%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.14%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.51%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.15%
PT rev (1m)18.67%
PT rev (3m)26.82%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.14%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-4.17%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.63%
EPS NY rev (3m)-4.37%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.15%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.99%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.29%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 37.42
Fwd PE 35.46
P/S 6.85
P/FCF 39.44
P/OCF 27.5
P/B 8.74
P/tB 8.74
EV/EBITDA 21.78
EPS(TTM)4.83
EY2.67%
EPS(NY)5.1
Fwd EY2.82%
FCF(TTM)4.58
FCFY2.54%
OCF(TTM)6.57
OCFY3.64%
SpS26.37
BVpS20.68
TBVpS20.68
PEG (NY)6.75
PEG (5Y)3.41
Graham Number47.41
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 18.71%
ROE 23.75%
ROCE 27.3%
ROIC 20.66%
ROICexc 21.17%
ROICexgc 21.17%
OM 24.76%
PM (TTM) 18.63%
GM 89.61%
FCFM 17.38%
ROA(3y)20.93%
ROA(5y)22.54%
ROE(3y)26.93%
ROE(5y)29.32%
ROIC(3y)23.08%
ROIC(5y)25.15%
ROICexc(3y)24.23%
ROICexc(5y)27.16%
ROICexgc(3y)24.23%
ROICexgc(5y)27.16%
ROCE(3y)30.5%
ROCE(5y)33.23%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-14.78%
ROICexgc growth 5Y0.14%
ROICexc growth 3Y-14.78%
ROICexc growth 5Y0.14%
OM growth 3Y-5.56%
OM growth 5Y1.86%
PM growth 3Y-5.4%
PM growth 5Y2.14%
GM growth 3Y1.23%
GM growth 5Y-0.24%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0.04
Debt/EBITDA 0.01
Cap/Depr 113.8%
Cap/Sales 7.55%
Interest Coverage 304.89
Cash Conversion 79.39%
Profit Quality 93.3%
Current Ratio 1.44
Quick Ratio 1.44
Altman-Z 22.41
F-Score7
WACC10.6%
ROIC/WACC1.95
Cap/Depr(3y)190.35%
Cap/Depr(5y)212.7%
Cap/Sales(3y)11.24%
Cap/Sales(5y)11.31%
Profit Quality(3y)77.89%
Profit Quality(5y)72.85%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.86%
EPS 3Y-7.44%
EPS 5Y10.97%
EPS Q2Q%-11.38%
EPS Next Y5.55%
EPS Next 2Y12.72%
EPS Next 3Y13.92%
EPS Next 5Y15.61%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.48%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.24%
Revenue growth 5Y6.48%
Sales Q2Q%-5.67%
Revenue Next Year1.39%
Revenue Next 2Y5.44%
Revenue Next 3Y6.04%
Revenue Next 5Y7.38%
EBIT growth 1Y-11.85%
EBIT growth 3Y-9.57%
EBIT growth 5Y8.46%
EBIT Next Year29.76%
EBIT Next 3Y19.23%
EBIT Next 5Y18.46%
FCF growth 1Y7.56%
FCF growth 3Y1.39%
FCF growth 5Y6.17%
OCF growth 1Y-17.43%
OCF growth 3Y-6.78%
OCF growth 5Y7.99%

OLD DOMINION FREIGHT LINE / ODFL Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for ODFL stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to ODFL.


What is the valuation status of OLD DOMINION FREIGHT LINE (ODFL) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to OLD DOMINION FREIGHT LINE (ODFL). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for OLD DOMINION FREIGHT LINE?

OLD DOMINION FREIGHT LINE (ODFL) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for ODFL stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for OLD DOMINION FREIGHT LINE (ODFL) is 37.42 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 8.74.


What is the earnings growth outlook for OLD DOMINION FREIGHT LINE?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of OLD DOMINION FREIGHT LINE (ODFL) is expected to grow by 5.55% in the next year.