OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSEARCA:OBE - CA6744822033 - Common Stock
5.64 USD
+0.12 (+2.17%)
5.6 USD
-0.04 (-0.71%)
Overall OBE gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated OBE against 210 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. OBE may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. OBE does not seem to be growing, but still is valued expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year OBE has reported negative net income.
OBE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years OBE reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years OBE had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
With a Return On Assets value of -11.86%, OBE is not doing good in the industry: 84.76% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of -15.86%, OBE is doing worse than 76.67% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Invested Capital of OBE (7.74%) is better than 69.52% of its industry peers.
OBE had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 8.82%. This is significantly below the industry average of 21.78%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -11.86% | ||
| ROE | -15.86% | ||
| ROIC | 7.74% |
ROA(3y)10.66%
ROA(5y)-3.82%
ROE(3y)14.48%
ROE(5y)-28.26%
ROIC(3y)8.82%
ROIC(5y)8.37%
1.3 Margins
With a decent Operating Margin value of 24.16%, OBE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 61.43% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of OBE has declined.
OBE's Gross Margin of 69.68% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. OBE outperforms 78.57% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of OBE has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 24.16% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 69.68% |
OM growth 3Y-12.26%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.26%
GM growth 5Y2.34%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), OBE is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, OBE has less shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, OBE has more shares outstanding
OBE has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.81, we must say that OBE is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
OBE has a Altman-Z score (0.81) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of OBE is 5.61, which is a neutral value as it means it would take OBE, 5.61 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
OBE's Debt to FCF ratio of 5.61 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. OBE outperforms 61.43% of its industry peers.
OBE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.13. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.13, OBE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.33% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.13 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.61 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.81 |
ROIC/WACC0.84
WACC9.19%
2.3 Liquidity
OBE has a Current Ratio of 0.80. This is a bad value and indicates that OBE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.80, OBE is doing worse than 67.14% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.80 indicates that OBE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
OBE has a Quick ratio (0.80) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.8 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.8 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
OBE shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -310.93%.
Looking at the last year, OBE shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 12.01% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, OBE shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 13.38% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-310.93%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-43.4%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.01%
Revenue growth 3Y17.6%
Revenue growth 5Y13.38%
Sales Q2Q%-41.35%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 31.34% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -13.77% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
EPS Next Y126.21%
EPS Next 2Y42.07%
EPS Next 3Y31.34%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-23%
Revenue Next 2Y-16.77%
Revenue Next 3Y-13.77%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
OBE reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 157.81 indicates a quite expensive valuation of OBE.
66.19% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than OBE, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.35. OBE is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 157.81 |
4.2 Price Multiples
OBE's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. OBE is cheaper than 96.67% of the companies in the same industry.
67.62% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than OBE, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 13.18 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 1.94 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
OBE's earnings are expected to grow with 31.34% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y42.07%
EPS Next 3Y31.34%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
OBE does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
5.64
+0.12 (+2.17%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners24.63%
Inst Owner Change-0.85%
Ins Owners4.16%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap377.82M
Revenue(TTM)739.80M
Net Income(TTM)-220900000
Analysts74.29
Price Target7.11 (26.06%)
Short Float %8.75%
Short Ratio18.51
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-0.9%
PT rev (3m)-1.4%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1415.18%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)3.8%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 157.81 | ||
| P/S | 0.76 | ||
| P/FCF | 13.18 | ||
| P/OCF | 1.42 | ||
| P/B | 0.38 | ||
| P/tB | 0.38 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 1.94 |
EPS(TTM)-1.94
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.04
Fwd EY0.63%
FCF(TTM)0.43
FCFY7.59%
OCF(TTM)3.98
OCFY70.66%
SpS7.44
BVpS14.71
TBVpS14.71
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -11.86% | ||
| ROE | -15.86% | ||
| ROCE | 10.29% | ||
| ROIC | 7.74% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.75% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.75% | ||
| OM | 24.16% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 69.68% | ||
| FCFM | 5.75% |
ROA(3y)10.66%
ROA(5y)-3.82%
ROE(3y)14.48%
ROE(5y)-28.26%
ROIC(3y)8.82%
ROIC(5y)8.37%
ROICexc(3y)8.83%
ROICexc(5y)8.4%
ROICexgc(3y)8.83%
ROICexgc(5y)8.4%
ROCE(3y)11.73%
ROCE(5y)11.13%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-18.98%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-18.98%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-12.26%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.26%
GM growth 5Y2.34%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.38
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.13 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.61 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.45 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 152.01% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 47.79% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 5.54 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 96.3% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.8 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.8 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.81 |
F-Score6
WACC9.19%
ROIC/WACC0.84
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)47.68%
Cap/Sales(5y)38.88%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-310.93%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-43.4%
EPS Next Y126.21%
EPS Next 2Y42.07%
EPS Next 3Y31.34%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.01%
Revenue growth 3Y17.6%
Revenue growth 5Y13.38%
Sales Q2Q%-41.35%
Revenue Next Year-23%
Revenue Next 2Y-16.77%
Revenue Next 3Y-13.77%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y1.67%
EBIT growth 3Y3.18%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year21.02%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-38.17%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-2.68%
OCF growth 3Y22.12%
OCF growth 5Y36.28%
OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD / OBE FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to OBE.
What is the valuation status of OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD?
OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
What is the financial health of OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE) stock?
The financial health rating of OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE) is 3 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for OBE stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE) is expected to grow by 126.21% in the next year.