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OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Canada - Toronto Stock Exchange - TSX:OBE - CA6744822033 - Common Stock

8.42 CAD
+0.33 (+4.08%)
Last: 1/8/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

3

OBE gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 214 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. There are concerns on the financial health of OBE while its profitability can be described as average. OBE does not seem to be growing, but still is valued expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

OBE had negative earnings in the past year.
OBE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years OBE reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
In the past 5 years OBE always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
OBE.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFOBE.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M

1.2 Ratios

OBE has a Return On Assets of -13.16%. This is in the lower half of the industry: OBE underperforms 61.68% of its industry peers.
OBE has a Return On Equity (-16.91%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 6.35%, OBE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 81.31% of the companies in the same industry.
OBE had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 8.82%. This is above the industry average of 6.42%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -13.16%
ROE -16.91%
ROIC 6.35%
ROA(3y)10.66%
ROA(5y)-3.82%
ROE(3y)14.48%
ROE(5y)-28.26%
ROIC(3y)8.82%
ROIC(5y)8.37%
OBE.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICOBE.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50 -50 -100 -150 -200

1.3 Margins

OBE's Operating Margin of 21.48% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. OBE outperforms 77.57% of its industry peers.
OBE's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 68.85%, OBE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.64% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of OBE has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 21.48%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 68.85%
OM growth 3Y-12.26%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.26%
GM growth 5Y2.34%
OBE.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsOBE.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100 -100 -200

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

OBE has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, OBE has less shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, OBE has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for OBE is higher compared to a year ago.
OBE.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingOBE.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M
OBE.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsOBE.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.87, we must say that OBE is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
OBE's Altman-Z score of 0.87 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. OBE outperforms 63.55% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.11 indicates that OBE is not too dependend on debt financing.
With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.11, OBE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 71.03% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.11
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.87
ROIC/WACC0.73
WACC8.66%
OBE.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFOBE.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

OBE has a Current Ratio of 0.52. This is a bad value and indicates that OBE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 0.52, OBE is not doing good in the industry: 69.63% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Quick Ratio of 0.52 indicates that OBE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
OBE has a worse Quick ratio (0.52) than 63.08% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.52
Quick Ratio 0.52
OBE.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesOBE.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for OBE have decreased strongly by -310.93% in the last year.
Looking at the last year, OBE shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -8.93% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing by 13.38% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-310.93%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-43.4%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.93%
Revenue growth 3Y17.6%
Revenue growth 5Y13.38%
Sales Q2Q%-41.35%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 31.34% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -13.77% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
EPS Next Y126.21%
EPS Next 2Y42.07%
EPS Next 3Y31.34%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-23%
Revenue Next 2Y-16.77%
Revenue Next 3Y-13.77%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
OBE.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesOBE.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
OBE.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesOBE.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 -50 -100 -150

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

OBE reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 166.73 indicates a quite expensive valuation of OBE.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of OBE is on the same level as its industry peers.
OBE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 23.70.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 166.73
OBE.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsOBE.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 50 100 150

4.2 Price Multiples

OBE's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. OBE is cheaper than 96.73% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 2.11
OBE.CA Per share dataOBE.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
OBE's earnings are expected to grow with 31.34% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y42.07%
EPS Next 3Y31.34%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for OBE!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD

TSX:OBE (1/8/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

8.42

+0.33 (+4.08%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)10-30 2025-10-30/bmo
Earnings (Next)02-19 2026-02-19/bmo
Inst Owners28.85%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners7.27%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap565.15M
Revenue(TTM)642.40M
Net Income(TTM)-237.30M
Analysts74.29
Price Target10.07 (19.6%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)1.28%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)109.64%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.55%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 166.73
P/S 0.88
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 1.81
P/B 0.4
P/tB 0.4
EV/EBITDA 2.11
EPS(TTM)-2.74
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.05
Fwd EY0.6%
FCF(TTM)-0.07
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)4.65
OCFY55.26%
SpS9.57
BVpS20.9
TBVpS20.9
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -13.16%
ROE -16.91%
ROCE 8.45%
ROIC 6.35%
ROICexc 6.36%
ROICexgc 6.36%
OM 21.48%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 68.85%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)10.66%
ROA(5y)-3.82%
ROE(3y)14.48%
ROE(5y)-28.26%
ROIC(3y)8.82%
ROIC(5y)8.37%
ROICexc(3y)8.83%
ROICexc(5y)8.4%
ROICexgc(3y)8.83%
ROICexgc(5y)8.4%
ROCE(3y)11.73%
ROCE(5y)11.13%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-18.98%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-18.98%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-12.26%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.26%
GM growth 5Y2.34%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.36
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.11
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 0.44
Cap/Depr 158.64%
Cap/Sales 49.32%
Interest Coverage 5.13
Cash Conversion 92.48%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.52
Quick Ratio 0.52
Altman-Z 0.87
F-Score6
WACC8.66%
ROIC/WACC0.73
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)47.68%
Cap/Sales(5y)38.88%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-310.93%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-43.4%
EPS Next Y126.21%
EPS Next 2Y42.07%
EPS Next 3Y31.34%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.93%
Revenue growth 3Y17.6%
Revenue growth 5Y13.38%
Sales Q2Q%-41.35%
Revenue Next Year-23%
Revenue Next 2Y-16.77%
Revenue Next 3Y-13.77%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-21.1%
EBIT growth 3Y3.18%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year13.22%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-106.31%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-13.61%
OCF growth 3Y22.12%
OCF growth 5Y36.28%

OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD / OBE.CA FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to OBE.CA.


What is the valuation status for OBE stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE.CA). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD?

OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE.CA) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE.CA) is expected to grow by 126.21% in the next year.


How sustainable is the dividend of OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE.CA) stock?

The dividend rating of OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE.CA) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.