NUANCE COMMUNICATIONS INC (NUAN) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:NUAN

55.99
+0.01 (+0.02%)
At close: Mar 3, 2022
56
+0.01 (+0.02%)
After Hours: 3/3/2022, 8:00:27 PM

This NUAN fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

1

We assign a fundamental rating of 1 out of 10 to NUAN. NUAN was compared to 277 industry peers in the Software industry. NUAN may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. NUAN does not seem to be growing, but still is valued expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

0

1. NUAN Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year NUAN was profitable.
NUAN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFNUAN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 200M 400M

1.2 Ratios

Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -3.06%
ROE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
NUAN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICNUAN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 5 -5

1.3 Margins

Industry RankSector Rank
OM 5.18%
PM (TTM) -7.41%
GM N/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
NUAN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsNUAN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 20 40 60

2

2. NUAN Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The number of shares outstanding for NUAN has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, NUAN has an improved debt to assets ratio.
NUAN Yearly Shares OutstandingNUAN Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 100M 200M 300M
NUAN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsNUAN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

2.2 Solvency

  • NUAN has an Altman-Z score of 6.76. This indicates that NUAN is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.31 indicates that NUAN is not too dependend on debt financing.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.31
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 6.76
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
NUAN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFNUAN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.57 indicates that NUAN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.57 indicates that NUAN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.57
Quick Ratio 0.57
NUAN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesNUAN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 500M 1B 1.5B

2

3. NUAN Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • NUAN shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -31.17%.
  • Measured over the past years, NUAN shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -15.74% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, NUAN shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -8.55% in the last year.
  • NUAN shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -6.91% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-31.17%
EPS 3Y-18.26%
EPS 5Y-15.74%
EPS Q2Q%-60%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.55%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.57%
Revenue growth 5Y-6.91%
Sales Q2Q%-7.05%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, NUAN will show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -16.11% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, NUAN will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 7.75% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-52.92%
EPS Next 2Y-19.79%
EPS Next 3Y-17.63%
EPS Next 5Y-16.11%
Revenue Next Year3.1%
Revenue Next 2Y8.22%
Revenue Next 3Y7.55%
Revenue Next 5Y7.75%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
NUAN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesNUAN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
NUAN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesNUAN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.5 1 1.5

0

4. NUAN Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 105.64, which means the current valuation is very expensive for NUAN.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of NUAN to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.46), we can say NUAN is valued expensively.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 133.88, the valuation of NUAN can be described as expensive.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of NUAN to the average of the S&P500 Index (24.65), we can say NUAN is valued expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 105.64
Fwd PE 133.88
NUAN Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsNUAN Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80 100

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 114.6
NUAN Per share dataNUAN EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 1 2 3 4 5

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • A cheap valuation may be justified as NUAN's earnings are expected to decrease with -17.63% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-19.79%
EPS Next 3Y-17.63%

0

5. NUAN Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for NUAN!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

NUAN Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

NUANCE COMMUNICATIONS INC

NASDAQ:NUAN (3/3/2022, 8:00:27 PM)

After market: 56 +0.01 (+0.02%)

55.99

+0.01 (+0.02%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustrySoftware
Earnings (Last)02-07
Earnings (Next)05-09
Inst Owners0.85%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners1.66%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap17.88B
Revenue(TTM)1.34B
Net Income(TTM)-99.15M
Analysts80
Price Target58.14 (3.84%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)N/A
PT rev (3m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)N/A
EPS NY rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (3m)N/A
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 105.64
Fwd PE 133.88
P/S 13.36
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 11.07
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 114.6
EPS(TTM)0.53
EY0.95%
EPS(NY)0.42
Fwd EY0.75%
FCF(TTM)N/A
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)N/A
OCFYN/A
SpS4.19
BVpS5.06
TBVpSN/A
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -3.06%
ROE N/A
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM 5.18%
PM (TTM) -7.41%
GM N/A
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y0%
ROICexgc growth 5Y0%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.41
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.31
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.57
Quick Ratio 0.57
Altman-Z 6.76
F-Score5
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-31.17%
EPS 3Y-18.26%
EPS 5Y-15.74%
EPS Q2Q%-60%
EPS Next Y-52.92%
EPS Next 2Y-19.79%
EPS Next 3Y-17.63%
EPS Next 5Y-16.11%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.55%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.57%
Revenue growth 5Y-6.91%
Sales Q2Q%-7.05%
Revenue Next Year3.1%
Revenue Next 2Y8.22%
Revenue Next 3Y7.55%
Revenue Next 5Y7.75%
EBIT growth 1YN/A
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1YN/A
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1YN/A
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

NUANCE COMMUNICATIONS INC / NUAN FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for NUAN stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to NUAN.


Can you provide the valuation status for NUANCE COMMUNICATIONS INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 0 / 10 to NUANCE COMMUNICATIONS INC (NUAN). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is NUANCE COMMUNICATIONS INC (NUAN) stock?

NUANCE COMMUNICATIONS INC (NUAN) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for NUAN stock?

The financial health rating of NUANCE COMMUNICATIONS INC (NUAN) is 4 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for NUANCE COMMUNICATIONS INC (NUAN) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of NUANCE COMMUNICATIONS INC (NUAN) is expected to decline by -52.92% in the next year.