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NATERA INC (NTRA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:NTRA - Nasdaq - US6323071042 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

160.1  +4.6 (+2.96%)

After market: 160 -0.1 (-0.06%)

Fundamental Rating

4

NTRA gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 563 industry peers in the Biotechnology industry. NTRA has a great financial health rating, but its profitability evaluates not so good. While showing a medium growth rate, NTRA is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

NTRA had negative earnings in the past year.
In the past year NTRA had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years NTRA always reported negative net income.
NTRA had negative operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
NTRA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFNTRA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -200M -400M

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -11.47%, NTRA belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 86.32% of the companies in the same industry.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of -15.93%, NTRA belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 88.10% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -11.47%
ROE -15.93%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-26.97%
ROA(5y)-28.74%
ROE(3y)-50.12%
ROE(5y)-53.96%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
NTRA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICNTRA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 -100 -200 -300 -400 -500

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 60.30%, NTRA is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 77.62% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of NTRA has grown nicely.
The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for NTRA so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 60.3%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y7.09%
GM growth 5Y7.51%
NTRA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsNTRA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40 60 -60

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7

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

NTRA does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
Compared to 1 year ago, NTRA has more shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for NTRA has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for NTRA has been reduced compared to a year ago.
NTRA Yearly Shares OutstandingNTRA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
NTRA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsNTRA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 26.42 indicates that NTRA is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
NTRA's Altman-Z score of 26.42 is amongst the best of the industry. NTRA outperforms 97.16% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of NTRA is 1.37, which is an excellent value as it means it would take NTRA, only 1.37 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
NTRA has a Debt to FCF ratio of 1.37. This is amongst the best in the industry. NTRA outperforms 95.03% of its industry peers.
NTRA has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.07. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.07, NTRA is doing worse than 63.77% of the companies in the same industry.
Although NTRA does not score too well on debt/equity it has very limited outstanding debt, which is well covered by the FCF. We will not put too much weight on the debt/equity number as it may be because of low equity, which could be a consequence of a share buyback program for instance. This needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.07
Debt/FCF 1.37
Altman-Z 26.42
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC10%
NTRA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFNTRA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 4.00 indicates that NTRA has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
NTRA has a Current ratio (4.00) which is in line with its industry peers.
NTRA has a Quick Ratio of 3.87. This indicates that NTRA is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of NTRA (3.87) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 4
Quick Ratio 3.87
NTRA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesNTRA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

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6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 59.63% over the past year.
NTRA shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 56.74%.
The Revenue has been growing by 41.20% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)59.63%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%35.94%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)56.74%
Revenue growth 3Y39.47%
Revenue growth 5Y41.2%
Sales Q2Q%53.04%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, NTRA will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 31.33% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 14.54% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y-43.9%
EPS Next 2Y26.71%
EPS Next 3Y31.94%
EPS Next 5Y31.33%
Revenue Next Year15.92%
Revenue Next 2Y17.17%
Revenue Next 3Y17.15%
Revenue Next 5Y14.54%

3.3 Evolution

Although the future Revenue growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
NTRA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesNTRA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1B 2B 3B
NTRA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesNTRA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 2 -2 4 -4

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2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for NTRA. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for NTRA. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
NTRA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsNTRA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 -50 -100

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of NTRA indicates a rather cheap valuation: NTRA is cheaper than 92.36% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 370.5
EV/EBITDA N/A
NTRA Per share dataNTRA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

NTRA's earnings are expected to grow with 31.94% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y26.71%
EPS Next 3Y31.94%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

NTRA does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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NATERA INC

NASDAQ:NTRA (5/7/2025, 8:23:50 PM)

After market: 160 -0.1 (-0.06%)

160.1

+4.6 (+2.96%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorHealth Care
GICS IndustryGroupPharmaceuticals, Biotechnology & Life Sciences
GICS IndustryBiotechnology
Earnings (Last)02-27 2025-02-27/amc
Earnings (Next)05-08 2025-05-08/amc
Inst Owners92.42%
Inst Owner Change0.93%
Ins Owners3.53%
Ins Owner Change0.92%
Market Cap21.77B
Analysts86.67
Price Target199.97 (24.9%)
Short Float %4.62%
Short Ratio3.31
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)26.44%
Min EPS beat(2)-2.77%
Max EPS beat(2)55.66%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)33.09%
Min EPS beat(4)-2.77%
Max EPS beat(4)57.31%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)19.66%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)15.31%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)9.98%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)14.1%
Min Revenue beat(2)8.92%
Max Revenue beat(2)19.28%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)15.08%
Min Revenue beat(4)8.92%
Max Revenue beat(4)19.28%
Revenue beat(8)8
Avg Revenue beat(8)9.82%
Revenue beat(12)10
Avg Revenue beat(12)7.01%
Revenue beat(16)14
Avg Revenue beat(16)7.81%
PT rev (1m)-0.11%
PT rev (3m)4.46%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.07%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-62.38%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.78%
EPS NY rev (3m)-75.33%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.03%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)4.03%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.1%
Revenue NY rev (3m)6.06%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 12.83
P/FCF 370.5
P/OCF 160.44
P/B 18.21
P/tB 18.21
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-1.53
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-2.2
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)0.43
FCFY0.27%
OCF(TTM)1
OCFY0.62%
SpS12.48
BVpS8.79
TBVpS8.79
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -11.47%
ROE -15.93%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 60.3%
FCFM 3.46%
ROA(3y)-26.97%
ROA(5y)-28.74%
ROE(3y)-50.12%
ROE(5y)-53.96%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y7.09%
GM growth 5Y7.51%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.02
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.07
Debt/FCF 1.37
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 248.38%
Cap/Sales 4.53%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 4
Quick Ratio 3.87
Altman-Z 26.42
F-Score6
WACC10%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)232.23%
Cap/Depr(5y)273.02%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.66%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.38%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)59.63%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%35.94%
EPS Next Y-43.9%
EPS Next 2Y26.71%
EPS Next 3Y31.94%
EPS Next 5Y31.33%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)56.74%
Revenue growth 3Y39.47%
Revenue growth 5Y41.2%
Sales Q2Q%53.04%
Revenue Next Year15.92%
Revenue Next 2Y17.17%
Revenue Next 3Y17.15%
Revenue Next 5Y14.54%
EBIT growth 1Y50.18%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year-38.79%
EBIT Next 3Y41.35%
EBIT Next 5Y31.78%
FCF growth 1Y120.53%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y154.94%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A