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NUTRIEN LTD (NTR.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:NTR - CA67077M1086 - Common Stock

79.15 CAD
-1.71 (-2.11%)
Last: 8/29/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

5

NTR gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 27 industry peers in the Chemicals industry. NTR scores excellent on profitability, but there are some minor concerns on its financial health. NTR is valued quite cheap, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year NTR was profitable.
NTR had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
NTR had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years NTR had a positive operating cash flow.
NTR.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFNTR.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B

1.2 Ratios

NTR's Return On Assets of 2.56% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. NTR outperforms 74.07% of its industry peers.
NTR has a Return On Equity of 5.43%. This is in the better half of the industry: NTR outperforms 74.07% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of NTR (4.36%) is better than 70.37% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for NTR is in line with the industry average of 8.88%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.56%
ROE 5.43%
ROIC 4.36%
ROA(3y)5.91%
ROA(5y)5%
ROE(3y)12.48%
ROE(5y)10.56%
ROIC(3y)8.32%
ROIC(5y)7.08%
NTR.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICNTR.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5 10 15 20 25

1.3 Margins

With a decent Profit Margin value of 5.25%, NTR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 74.07% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of NTR has declined.
NTR has a better Operating Margin (11.43%) than 70.37% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of NTR has grown nicely.
NTR has a better Gross Margin (29.18%) than 92.59% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of NTR has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 11.43%
PM (TTM) 5.25%
GM 29.18%
OM growth 3Y-13.8%
OM growth 5Y1.85%
PM growth 3Y-38.9%
PM growth 5Y-12.08%
GM growth 3Y-4.64%
GM growth 5Y1.41%
NTR.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsNTR.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), NTR is creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for NTR has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for NTR has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for NTR is higher compared to a year ago.
NTR.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingNTR.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M
NTR.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsNTR.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.66, we must say that NTR is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of NTR (1.66) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
NTR has a debt to FCF ratio of 7.96. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as NTR would need 7.96 years to pay back of all of its debts.
NTR's Debt to FCF ratio of 7.96 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. NTR outperforms 74.07% of its industry peers.
NTR has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.51. This is a neutral value indicating NTR is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.51, NTR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 70.37% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.51
Debt/FCF 7.96
Altman-Z 1.66
ROIC/WACC0.56
WACC7.85%
NTR.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFNTR.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.33 indicates that NTR should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of NTR (1.33) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
NTR has a Quick Ratio of 1.33. This is a bad value and indicates that NTR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
NTR's Quick ratio of 0.85 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. NTR outperforms 40.74% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.33
Quick Ratio 0.85
NTR.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesNTR.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

NTR shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -1.70%.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 10.65% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
Looking at the last year, NTR shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -3.26% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, NTR shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 5.28% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-1.7%
EPS 3Y-17.44%
EPS 5Y10.65%
EPS Q2Q%13.25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.26%
Revenue growth 3Y-2.14%
Revenue growth 5Y5.28%
Sales Q2Q%2.84%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, NTR will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 2.50% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 0.65% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y30.65%
EPS Next 2Y14.23%
EPS Next 3Y6.51%
EPS Next 5Y2.5%
Revenue Next Year2.19%
Revenue Next 2Y1.59%
Revenue Next 3Y1.1%
Revenue Next 5Y0.65%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
NTR.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesNTR.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 10B 20B 30B
NTR.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesNTR.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2 4 6 8 10

7

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 16.63, NTR is valued correctly.
NTR's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. NTR is cheaper than 88.89% of the companies in the same industry.
NTR is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.13, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
NTR is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.60.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, NTR is valued cheaply inside the industry as 85.19% of the companies are valued more expensively.
NTR's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 22.76.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.63
Fwd PE 12.6
NTR.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsNTR.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of NTR indicates a rather cheap valuation: NTR is cheaper than 85.19% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of NTR indicates a rather cheap valuation: NTR is cheaper than 81.48% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 16.33
EV/EBITDA 7.15
NTR.CA Per share dataNTR.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of NTR may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.54
PEG (5Y)1.56
EPS Next 2Y14.23%
EPS Next 3Y6.51%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

NTR has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.84%.
NTR's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 5.73.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.32, NTR pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.84%

5.2 History

The dividend of NTR has a limited annual growth rate of 2.94%.
NTR has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
NTR has not decreased its dividend in the past 5 years, so it has a somewhat stable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)2.94%
Div Incr Years6
Div Non Decr Years6
NTR.CA Yearly Dividends per shareNTR.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.5 1 1.5 2

5.3 Sustainability

NTR pays out 78.21% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of NTR is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP78.21%
EPS Next 2Y14.23%
EPS Next 3Y6.51%
NTR.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendNTR.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B
NTR.CA Dividend Payout.NTR.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.NTR.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

NUTRIEN LTD

TSX:NTR (8/29/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

79.15

-1.71 (-2.11%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)08-06 2025-08-06/amc
Earnings (Next)11-05 2025-11-05/amc
Inst Owners73.92%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.03%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap38.46B
Analysts73.85
Price Target67.29 (-14.98%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.84%
Yearly Dividend2.96
Dividend Growth(5Y)2.94%
DP78.21%
Div Incr Years6
Div Non Decr Years6
Ex-Date09-29 2025-09-29 (0.545)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-27.46%
Min EPS beat(2)-64.42%
Max EPS beat(2)9.5%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-20.7%
Min EPS beat(4)-64.42%
Max EPS beat(4)9.5%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-18.75%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)-20.54%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-14.65%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-5.13%
Min Revenue beat(2)-6.9%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.35%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.03%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.9%
Max Revenue beat(4)-3.35%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-4.98%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-4.14%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.21%
PT rev (1m)3.22%
PT rev (3m)10.21%
EPS NQ rev (1m)10.7%
EPS NQ rev (3m)65.25%
EPS NY rev (1m)19.45%
EPS NY rev (3m)19.45%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.83%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.16%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.2%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.02%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.63
Fwd PE 12.6
P/S 1.08
P/FCF 16.33
P/OCF 7.62
P/B 1.11
P/tB 2.49
EV/EBITDA 7.15
EPS(TTM)4.76
EY6.01%
EPS(NY)6.28
Fwd EY7.93%
FCF(TTM)4.85
FCFY6.13%
OCF(TTM)10.39
OCFY13.13%
SpS73.48
BVpS71.01
TBVpS31.76
PEG (NY)0.54
PEG (5Y)1.56
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.56%
ROE 5.43%
ROCE 7.16%
ROIC 4.36%
ROICexc 4.5%
ROICexgc 6.72%
OM 11.43%
PM (TTM) 5.25%
GM 29.18%
FCFM 6.6%
ROA(3y)5.91%
ROA(5y)5%
ROE(3y)12.48%
ROE(5y)10.56%
ROIC(3y)8.32%
ROIC(5y)7.08%
ROICexc(3y)8.52%
ROICexc(5y)7.24%
ROICexgc(3y)13.15%
ROICexgc(5y)11.34%
ROCE(3y)13.7%
ROCE(5y)11.6%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-18.54%
ROICexcg growth 5Y4.74%
ROICexc growth 3Y-17.04%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.87%
OM growth 3Y-13.8%
OM growth 5Y1.85%
PM growth 3Y-38.9%
PM growth 5Y-12.08%
GM growth 3Y-4.64%
GM growth 5Y1.41%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.49
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.51
Debt/FCF 7.96
Debt/EBITDA 2.38
Cap/Depr 82.51%
Cap/Sales 7.54%
Interest Coverage 3.99
Cash Conversion 68.72%
Profit Quality 125.68%
Current Ratio 1.33
Quick Ratio 0.85
Altman-Z 1.66
F-Score6
WACC7.85%
ROIC/WACC0.56
Cap/Depr(3y)112.14%
Cap/Depr(5y)101.14%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.97%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.55%
Profit Quality(3y)156.44%
Profit Quality(5y)184.5%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-1.7%
EPS 3Y-17.44%
EPS 5Y10.65%
EPS Q2Q%13.25%
EPS Next Y30.65%
EPS Next 2Y14.23%
EPS Next 3Y6.51%
EPS Next 5Y2.5%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.26%
Revenue growth 3Y-2.14%
Revenue growth 5Y5.28%
Sales Q2Q%2.84%
Revenue Next Year2.19%
Revenue Next 2Y1.59%
Revenue Next 3Y1.1%
Revenue Next 5Y0.65%
EBIT growth 1Y3.23%
EBIT growth 3Y-15.65%
EBIT growth 5Y7.22%
EBIT Next Year87.09%
EBIT Next 3Y23.25%
EBIT Next 5Y14.2%
FCF growth 1Y-58.86%
FCF growth 3Y-13.08%
FCF growth 5Y-4.89%
OCF growth 1Y-47.55%
OCF growth 3Y-3.11%
OCF growth 5Y-0.72%