NUTRIEN LTD (NTR.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis
TSX:NTR - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA67077M1086 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD
Overall NTR gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated NTR against 30 industry peers in the Chemicals industry. While NTR has a great profitability rating, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. NTR is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year NTR was profitable.
NTR had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years NTR has been profitable.
NTR had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
NTR's Return On Assets of 0.99% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. NTR outperforms 76.67% of its industry peers.
NTR has a Return On Equity of 2.19%. This is in the better half of the industry: NTR outperforms 76.67% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of NTR (4.05%) is better than 73.33% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for NTR is in line with the industry average of 7.51%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (4.05%) for NTR is well below the 3 year average (8.32%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that NTR had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.99% | ||
| ROE | 2.19% | ||
| ROIC | 4.05% |
ROA(3y)5.91%
ROA(5y)5%
ROE(3y)12.48%
ROE(5y)10.56%
ROIC(3y)8.32%
ROIC(5y)7.08%
1.3 Margins
With a decent Profit Margin value of 2.05%, NTR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 76.67% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of NTR has declined.
With a decent Operating Margin value of 10.64%, NTR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.33% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of NTR has grown nicely.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 28.47%, NTR belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of NTR has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.64% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.05% | ||
| GM | 28.47% |
OM growth 3Y-13.8%
OM growth 5Y1.85%
PM growth 3Y-38.9%
PM growth 5Y-12.08%
GM growth 3Y-4.64%
GM growth 5Y1.41%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
NTR has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
NTR has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
NTR has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, NTR has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.60, we must say that NTR is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a decent Altman-Z score value of 1.60, NTR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 63.33% of the companies in the same industry.
NTR has a debt to FCF ratio of 17.12. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as NTR would need 17.12 years to pay back of all of its debts.
NTR has a better Debt to FCF ratio (17.12) than 76.67% of its industry peers.
NTR has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.55. This is a neutral value indicating NTR is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
NTR has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.55) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.55 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 17.12 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.6 |
ROIC/WACC0.55
WACC7.34%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.22 indicates that NTR should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.22, NTR is in line with its industry, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.59 indicates that NTR may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
NTR has a Quick ratio of 0.59. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: NTR outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.22 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.59 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for NTR have decreased strongly by -15.09% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, NTR shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 10.65% on average per year.
NTR shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -9.37%.
NTR shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 5.28% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-15.09%
EPS 3Y-17.44%
EPS 5Y10.65%
EPS Q2Q%-76.09%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-9.37%
Revenue growth 3Y-2.14%
Revenue growth 5Y5.28%
Sales Q2Q%-5.38%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 3.40% on average over the next years.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 1.47% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y9.38%
EPS Next 2Y8.36%
EPS Next 3Y4.39%
EPS Next 5Y3.4%
Revenue Next Year2.18%
Revenue Next 2Y2.33%
Revenue Next 3Y1.92%
Revenue Next 5Y1.47%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
NTR is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 18.99.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, NTR is valued cheaply inside the industry as 90.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
NTR's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 26.55.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 14.54, which indicates a correct valuation of NTR.
NTR's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. NTR is cheaper than 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.30, NTR is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.99 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.54 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, NTR is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 80.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
NTR's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. NTR is cheaper than 86.67% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 33.98 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.98 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of NTR may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.03
PEG (5Y)1.78
EPS Next 2Y8.36%
EPS Next 3Y4.39%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.77%, NTR has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
NTR's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 6.27.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.39, NTR pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.77% |
5.2 History
The dividend of NTR has a limited annual growth rate of 2.94%.
NTR has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
As NTR did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)2.94%
Div Incr Years6
Div Non Decr Years6
5.3 Sustainability
NTR pays out 201.90% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
NTR's earnings are growing around the same pace than its dividend. As long as the earnings growth is kept the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP201.9%
EPS Next 2Y8.36%
EPS Next 3Y4.39%
TSX:NTR (6/6/2025, 7:00:00 PM)
81.84
-0.55 (-0.67%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners69.27%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.02%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap39.98B
Analysts76.3
Price Target64.39 (-21.32%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.77% |
Yearly Dividend2.95
Dividend Growth(5Y)2.94%
DP201.9%
Div Incr Years6
Div Non Decr Years6
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-38.09%
Min EPS beat(2)-64.42%
Max EPS beat(2)-11.77%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-21.87%
Min EPS beat(4)-64.42%
Max EPS beat(4)4.79%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-21.12%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)-21.26%
EPS beat(16)5
Avg EPS beat(16)-15.34%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-6.17%
Min Revenue beat(2)-6.9%
Max Revenue beat(2)-5.44%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-6.42%
Min Revenue beat(4)-8.9%
Max Revenue beat(4)-4.44%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-4.3%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-4.13%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.93%
PT rev (1m)5.65%
PT rev (3m)8.8%
EPS NQ rev (1m)4.2%
EPS NQ rev (3m)4.7%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)4.69%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.87%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.86%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.91%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.99 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.54 | ||
| P/S | 1.14 | ||
| P/FCF | 33.98 | ||
| P/OCF | 9.93 | ||
| P/B | 1.21 | ||
| P/tB | 2.86 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.98 |
EPS(TTM)4.31
EY5.27%
EPS(NY)5.63
Fwd EY6.88%
FCF(TTM)2.41
FCFY2.94%
OCF(TTM)8.24
OCFY10.07%
SpS72.01
BVpS67.39
TBVpS28.57
PEG (NY)2.03
PEG (5Y)1.78
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.99% | ||
| ROE | 2.19% | ||
| ROCE | 6.75% | ||
| ROIC | 4.05% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.14% | ||
| ROICexgc | 6.17% | ||
| OM | 10.64% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.05% | ||
| GM | 28.47% | ||
| FCFM | 3.34% |
ROA(3y)5.91%
ROA(5y)5%
ROE(3y)12.48%
ROE(5y)10.56%
ROIC(3y)8.32%
ROIC(5y)7.08%
ROICexc(3y)8.52%
ROICexc(5y)7.24%
ROICexgc(3y)13.15%
ROICexgc(5y)11.34%
ROCE(3y)13.7%
ROCE(5y)11.6%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-18.54%
ROICexcg growth 5Y4.74%
ROICexc growth 3Y-17.04%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.87%
OM growth 3Y-13.8%
OM growth 5Y1.85%
PM growth 3Y-38.9%
PM growth 5Y-12.08%
GM growth 3Y-4.64%
GM growth 5Y1.41%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.48
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.55 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 17.12 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.62 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 88.74% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 8.1% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.69 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 57.91% | ||
| Profit Quality | 163% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.22 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.59 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.6 |
F-Score5
WACC7.34%
ROIC/WACC0.55
Cap/Depr(3y)112.14%
Cap/Depr(5y)101.14%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.97%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.55%
Profit Quality(3y)156.44%
Profit Quality(5y)184.5%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-15.09%
EPS 3Y-17.44%
EPS 5Y10.65%
EPS Q2Q%-76.09%
EPS Next Y9.38%
EPS Next 2Y8.36%
EPS Next 3Y4.39%
EPS Next 5Y3.4%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-9.37%
Revenue growth 3Y-2.14%
Revenue growth 5Y5.28%
Sales Q2Q%-5.38%
Revenue Next Year2.18%
Revenue Next 2Y2.33%
Revenue Next 3Y1.92%
Revenue Next 5Y1.47%
EBIT growth 1Y-14.97%
EBIT growth 3Y-15.65%
EBIT growth 5Y7.22%
EBIT Next Year87.09%
EBIT Next 3Y23.25%
EBIT Next 5Y14.2%
FCF growth 1Y-82.38%
FCF growth 3Y-13.08%
FCF growth 5Y-4.89%
OCF growth 1Y-59.8%
OCF growth 3Y-3.11%
OCF growth 5Y-0.72%