NORTHROP GRUMMAN CORP (NOC) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:NOC • US6668071029
Current stock price
706.95 USD
-7.2 (-1.01%)
At close:
707.11 USD
+0.16 (+0.02%)
After Hours:
This NOC fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. NOC Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year NOC was profitable.
- NOC had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- Each year in the past 5 years NOC has been profitable.
- In the past 5 years NOC always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- NOC has a better Return On Assets (8.14%) than 85.90% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Equity of NOC (25.08%) is better than 88.46% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Invested Capital of NOC (9.46%) is better than 78.21% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for NOC is in line with the industry average of 9.30%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (8.60%) for NOC is below the current ROIC(9.46%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.14% | ||
| ROE | 25.08% | ||
| ROIC | 9.46% |
ROA(3y)7%
ROA(5y)9.73%
ROE(3y)22.09%
ROE(5y)30.49%
ROIC(3y)8.6%
ROIC(5y)8.86%
1.3 Margins
- NOC's Profit Margin of 9.97% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. NOC outperforms 79.49% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of NOC has grown nicely.
- Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 10.20%, NOC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 64.10% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of NOC has declined.
- NOC has a Gross Margin (19.81%) which is in line with its industry peers.
- NOC's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.2% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.97% | ||
| GM | 19.81% |
OM growth 3Y1.22%
OM growth 5Y-1.58%
PM growth 3Y-9.34%
PM growth 5Y2.84%
GM growth 3Y-1%
GM growth 5Y-0.5%
2. NOC Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- NOC has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
- The number of shares outstanding for NOC has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, NOC has less shares outstanding
- The debt/assets ratio for NOC has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 3.33 indicates that NOC is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
- NOC has a Altman-Z score of 3.33. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: NOC outperforms 47.44% of its industry peers.
- NOC has a debt to FCF ratio of 4.75. This is a neutral value as NOC would need 4.75 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- NOC has a Debt to FCF ratio of 4.75. This is in the better half of the industry: NOC outperforms 74.36% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.91 indicates that NOC is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
- NOC has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (0.91) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.91 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.75 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.33 |
ROIC/WACC0.98
WACC9.61%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.10 indicates that NOC should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.10, NOC is doing worse than 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.01 indicates that NOC should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- With a Quick ratio value of 1.01, NOC is not doing good in the industry: 73.08% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.1 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.01 |
3. NOC Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- NOC shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 7.67%.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 3.21% on average over the past years.
- NOC shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 2.24%.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.66% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.67%
EPS 3Y2.74%
EPS 5Y3.21%
EPS Q2Q%13.15%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.24%
Revenue growth 3Y4.65%
Revenue growth 5Y2.66%
Sales Q2Q%9.6%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 5.60% on average over the next years.
- NOC is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 5.34% yearly.
EPS Next Y0.7%
EPS Next 2Y3.79%
EPS Next 3Y5.18%
EPS Next 5Y5.6%
Revenue Next Year4.77%
Revenue Next 2Y5.41%
Revenue Next 3Y5.36%
Revenue Next 5Y5.34%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. NOC Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- A Price/Earnings ratio of 25.19 indicates a quite expensive valuation of NOC.
- 82.05% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than NOC, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.23, NOC is valued at the same level.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 25.01, which means the current valuation is very expensive for NOC.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, NOC is valued cheaply inside the industry as 80.77% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.28. NOC is around the same levels.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25.19 | ||
| Fwd PE | 25.01 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, NOC is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 71.79% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, NOC is valued cheaper than 85.90% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 30.34 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 19.58 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
- NOC has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)36.15
PEG (5Y)7.85
EPS Next 2Y3.79%
EPS Next 3Y5.18%
5. NOC Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- NOC has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.25%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 0.65, NOC pays a better dividend. On top of this NOC pays more dividend than 87.18% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- NOC's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 1.91.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.25% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of NOC is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 9.61%!
- NOC has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- NOC has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.61%
Div Incr Years21
Div Non Decr Years34
5.3 Sustainability
- NOC pays out 30.92% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
- NOC's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP30.92%
EPS Next 2Y3.79%
EPS Next 3Y5.18%
NOC Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
706.95
-7.2 (-1.01%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryAerospace & Defense
Earnings (Last)01-27 2026-01-27/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-20 2026-04-20/bmo
Inst Owners82.93%
Inst Owner Change-1.5%
Ins Owners0.2%
Ins Owner Change0.14%
Market Cap100.33B
Revenue(TTM)41.95B
Net Income(TTM)4.18B
Analysts75
Price Target744.59 (5.32%)
Short Float %1.39%
Short Ratio1.94
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.25% |
Yearly Dividend9.01
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.61%
DP30.92%
Div Incr Years21
Div Non Decr Years34
Ex-Date02-23 2026-02-23 (2.31)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)10.2%
Min EPS beat(2)2.76%
Max EPS beat(2)17.64%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)4.88%
Min EPS beat(4)-4.03%
Max EPS beat(4)17.64%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)5.95%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)5.51%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)4.97%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.97%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.68%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.26%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.9%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.46%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.8%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.33%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.58%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.79%
PT rev (1m)1.2%
PT rev (3m)9.9%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-6.46%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.53%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.22%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.22%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.9%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.01%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.86%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25.19 | ||
| Fwd PE | 25.01 | ||
| P/S | 2.39 | ||
| P/FCF | 30.34 | ||
| P/OCF | 21.09 | ||
| P/B | 6.02 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 19.58 |
EPS(TTM)28.07
EY3.97%
EPS(NY)28.27
Fwd EY4%
FCF(TTM)23.3
FCFY3.3%
OCF(TTM)33.52
OCFY4.74%
SpS295.62
BVpS117.49
TBVpS-6.84
PEG (NY)36.15
PEG (5Y)7.85
Graham Number272.4
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.14% | ||
| ROE | 25.08% | ||
| ROCE | 11.41% | ||
| ROIC | 9.46% | ||
| ROICexc | 10.72% | ||
| ROICexgc | 22.96% | ||
| OM | 10.2% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.97% | ||
| GM | 19.81% | ||
| FCFM | 7.88% |
ROA(3y)7%
ROA(5y)9.73%
ROE(3y)22.09%
ROE(5y)30.49%
ROIC(3y)8.6%
ROIC(5y)8.86%
ROICexc(3y)9.71%
ROICexc(5y)9.9%
ROICexgc(3y)21.99%
ROICexgc(5y)23.62%
ROCE(3y)10.38%
ROCE(5y)10.69%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-3.47%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-4.46%
ROICexc growth 3Y2.05%
ROICexc growth 5Y-0.94%
OM growth 3Y1.22%
OM growth 5Y-1.58%
PM growth 3Y-9.34%
PM growth 5Y2.84%
GM growth 3Y-1%
GM growth 5Y-0.5%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.82
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.91 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.75 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.64 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 98.51% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.46% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 82.7% | ||
| Profit Quality | 79.08% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.1 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.01 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.33 |
F-Score6
WACC9.61%
ROIC/WACC0.98
Cap/Depr(3y)120.05%
Cap/Depr(5y)116.26%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.09%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.03%
Profit Quality(3y)81.34%
Profit Quality(5y)60.93%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.67%
EPS 3Y2.74%
EPS 5Y3.21%
EPS Q2Q%13.15%
EPS Next Y0.7%
EPS Next 2Y3.79%
EPS Next 3Y5.18%
EPS Next 5Y5.6%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.24%
Revenue growth 3Y4.65%
Revenue growth 5Y2.66%
Sales Q2Q%9.6%
Revenue Next Year4.77%
Revenue Next 2Y5.41%
Revenue Next 3Y5.36%
Revenue Next 5Y5.34%
EBIT growth 1Y-2.06%
EBIT growth 3Y5.93%
EBIT growth 5Y1.04%
EBIT Next Year38.96%
EBIT Next 3Y15.99%
EBIT Next 5Y10.71%
FCF growth 1Y26.17%
FCF growth 3Y31.15%
FCF growth 5Y2.77%
OCF growth 1Y8.41%
OCF growth 3Y17.92%
OCF growth 5Y2.02%
NORTHROP GRUMMAN CORP / NOC Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for NOC stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to NOC.
What is the valuation status of NORTHROP GRUMMAN CORP (NOC) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to NORTHROP GRUMMAN CORP (NOC). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for NORTHROP GRUMMAN CORP?
NORTHROP GRUMMAN CORP (NOC) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for NOC stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for NORTHROP GRUMMAN CORP (NOC) is 25.19 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 6.02.
What is the financial health of NORTHROP GRUMMAN CORP (NOC) stock?
The financial health rating of NORTHROP GRUMMAN CORP (NOC) is 5 / 10.