NIELSEN HOLDINGS PLC (NLSN) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:NLSN • GB00BWFY5505

Current stock price

27.98 USD
+0.01 (+0.04%)
At close:
27.99 USD
+0.01 (+0.04%)
After Hours:

This NLSN fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

2

1. NLSN Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • NLSN had positive earnings in the past year.
  • NLSN had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
NLSN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFNLSN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 500M -500M 1B

1.2 Ratios

Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.86%
ROE 15.26%
ROIC 6.42%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
NLSN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICNLSN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 10 -10 20 -20

1.3 Margins

  • NLSN's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of NLSN has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 23.51%
PM (TTM) 14.99%
GM N/A
OM growth 3Y28.76%
OM growth 5Y6.33%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y43.28%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
NLSN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsNLSN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 20 40 60

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2

2. NLSN Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), NLSN is destroying value.
  • NLSN has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for NLSN has been reduced compared to a year ago.
NLSN Yearly Shares OutstandingNLSN Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 100M 200M 300M
NLSN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsNLSN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 5B 10B 15B

2.2 Solvency

  • NLSN has an Altman-Z score of 1.46. This is a bad value and indicates that NLSN is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • NLSN has a debt to FCF ratio of 8.68. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as NLSN would need 8.68 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • NLSN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.61. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.61
Debt/FCF 8.68
Altman-Z 1.46
ROIC/WACC0.88
WACC7.27%
NLSN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFNLSN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 2.04 indicates that NLSN has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • A Quick Ratio of 2.04 indicates that NLSN has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.04
Quick Ratio 2.04
NLSN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesNLSN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

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3

3. NLSN Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for NLSN have decreased by -2.15% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, NLSN shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -6.84% on average per year.
  • NLSN shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -28.72%.
  • Measured over the past years, NLSN shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -11.12% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-2.15%
EPS 3Y23.97%
EPS 5Y-6.84%
EPS Q2Q%6.98%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-28.72%
Revenue growth 3Y-18.71%
Revenue growth 5Y-11.12%
Sales Q2Q%2.44%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, NLSN will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 5.62% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, NLSN will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 3.21% on average per year.
EPS Next Y6.17%
EPS Next 2Y5.15%
EPS Next 3Y6.05%
EPS Next 5Y5.62%
Revenue Next Year2.38%
Revenue Next 2Y3.15%
Revenue Next 3Y3.41%
Revenue Next 5Y3.21%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
NLSN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesNLSN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2B 4B 6B
NLSN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesNLSN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

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2

4. NLSN Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 15.37 indicates a correct valuation of NLSN.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of NLSN to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.60), we can say NLSN is valued slightly cheaper.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.98 indicates a correct valuation of NLSN.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.84. NLSN is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.37
Fwd PE 13.98
NLSN Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsNLSN Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 15.56
EV/EBITDA 11.18
NLSN Per share dataNLSN EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 -5 -10 -15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates NLSN does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
PEG (NY)2.49
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y5.15%
EPS Next 3Y6.05%

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3

5. NLSN Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a yearly dividend of 0.86%, NLSN is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.88, NLSN's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.86%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of NLSN decreases each year by -44.32%.
  • NLSN has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-44.32%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
NLSN Yearly Dividends per shareNLSN Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5.3 Sustainability

  • 16.23% of the earnings are spent on dividend by NLSN. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP16.23%
EPS Next 2Y5.15%
EPS Next 3Y6.05%
NLSN Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendNLSN Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 500M -500M
NLSN Dividend Payout.NLSN Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.NLSN Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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NLSN Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

NIELSEN HOLDINGS PLC

NYSE:NLSN (10/11/2022, 8:25:24 PM)

After market: 27.99 +0.01 (+0.04%)

27.98

+0.01 (+0.04%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryProfessional Services
Earnings (Last)07-27
Earnings (Next)11-04
Inst Owners0.01%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners10.9%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap10.07B
Revenue(TTM)3.54B
Net Income(TTM)530.00M
Analysts71.43
Price Target28.56 (2.07%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.86%
Yearly Dividend0.24
Dividend Growth(5Y)-44.32%
DP16.23%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)8.58%
Min EPS beat(2)6.72%
Max EPS beat(2)10.45%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)16.96%
Min EPS beat(4)6.72%
Max EPS beat(4)26.96%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.28%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.35%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.21%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.93%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.41%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.73%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)N/A
PT rev (3m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)N/A
EPS NY rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (3m)N/A
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.37
Fwd PE 13.98
P/S 2.85
P/FCF 15.56
P/OCF 10.25
P/B 2.9
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 11.18
EPS(TTM)1.82
EY6.5%
EPS(NY)2
Fwd EY7.15%
FCF(TTM)1.8
FCFY6.43%
OCF(TTM)2.73
OCFY9.75%
SpS9.82
BVpS9.65
TBVpS-15.24
PEG (NY)2.49
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.86%
ROE 15.26%
ROCE N/A
ROIC 6.42%
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc 51.61%
OM 23.51%
PM (TTM) 14.99%
GM N/A
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y4.08%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-0.34%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y28.76%
OM growth 5Y6.33%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y43.28%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.32
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.61
Debt/FCF 8.68
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 64.92%
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality 122.08%
Current Ratio 2.04
Quick Ratio 2.04
Altman-Z 1.46
F-Score6
WACC7.27%
ROIC/WACC0.88
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-2.15%
EPS 3Y23.97%
EPS 5Y-6.84%
EPS Q2Q%6.98%
EPS Next Y6.17%
EPS Next 2Y5.15%
EPS Next 3Y6.05%
EPS Next 5Y5.62%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-28.72%
Revenue growth 3Y-18.71%
Revenue growth 5Y-11.12%
Sales Q2Q%2.44%
Revenue Next Year2.38%
Revenue Next 2Y3.15%
Revenue Next 3Y3.41%
Revenue Next 5Y3.21%
EBIT growth 1YN/A
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y6.59%
FCF growth 3Y-15.47%
FCF growth 5Y-17.74%
OCF growth 1Y-12.94%
OCF growth 3Y-14.3%
OCF growth 5Y-12.47%

NIELSEN HOLDINGS PLC / NLSN Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of NIELSEN HOLDINGS PLC (NLSN) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to NLSN.


What is the valuation status for NLSN stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to NIELSEN HOLDINGS PLC (NLSN). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is NIELSEN HOLDINGS PLC (NLSN) stock?

NIELSEN HOLDINGS PLC (NLSN) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What is the valuation of NIELSEN HOLDINGS PLC based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for NIELSEN HOLDINGS PLC (NLSN) is 15.37 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.9.


What is the earnings growth outlook for NIELSEN HOLDINGS PLC?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of NIELSEN HOLDINGS PLC (NLSN) is expected to grow by 6.17% in the next year.