NORFOLK SOUTHERN CORP (NFS.DE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

FRA:NFS • US6558441084

Current stock price

258 EUR
0 (0%)
Last:

This NFS.DE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. NFS.DE Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • NFS had positive earnings in the past year.
  • NFS had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years NFS has always been profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years NFS had a positive operating cash flow.
NFS.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFNFS.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

1.2 Ratios

  • NFS has a better Return On Assets (6.34%) than 64.29% of its industry peers.
  • With a Return On Equity value of 18.46%, NFS perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 57.14% of the companies in the same industry.
  • NFS has a better Return On Invested Capital (7.97%) than 71.43% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for NFS is in line with the industry average of 10.17%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.34%
ROE 18.46%
ROIC 7.97%
ROA(3y)5.57%
ROA(5y)6.58%
ROE(3y)17.01%
ROE(5y)19.74%
ROIC(3y)8.31%
ROIC(5y)9.01%
NFS.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICNFS.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30

1.3 Margins

  • NFS's Profit Margin of 23.56% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. NFS outperforms 78.57% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of NFS has grown nicely.
  • The Operating Margin of NFS (34.52%) is better than 85.71% of its industry peers.
  • NFS's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 49.40%, NFS is in line with its industry, outperforming 42.86% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of NFS has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 34.52%
PM (TTM) 23.56%
GM 49.4%
OM growth 3Y-2.93%
OM growth 5Y-0.05%
PM growth 3Y-2.78%
PM growth 5Y2.79%
GM growth 3Y-0.48%
GM growth 5Y-0.02%
NFS.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsNFS.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30 40 50

3

2. NFS.DE Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), NFS is destroying value.
  • NFS has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, NFS has less shares outstanding
  • NFS has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
NFS.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingNFS.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
NFS.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsNFS.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B 40B

2.2 Solvency

  • NFS has an Altman-Z score of 2.32. This is not the best score and indicates that NFS is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • NFS has a Altman-Z score of 2.32. This is in the better half of the industry: NFS outperforms 78.57% of its industry peers.
  • NFS has a debt to FCF ratio of 7.92. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as NFS would need 7.92 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • NFS's Debt to FCF ratio of 7.92 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. NFS outperforms 71.43% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.06 is on the high side and indicates that NFS has dependencies on debt financing.
  • NFS has a Debt to Equity ratio (1.06) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.06
Debt/FCF 7.92
Altman-Z 2.32
ROIC/WACC0.77
WACC10.31%
NFS.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFNFS.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.85 indicates that NFS may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • NFS has a Current ratio of 0.85. This is in the lower half of the industry: NFS underperforms 64.29% of its industry peers.
  • NFS has a Quick Ratio of 0.85. This is a bad value and indicates that NFS is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 0.78, NFS is not doing good in the industry: 64.29% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.85
Quick Ratio 0.78
NFS.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesNFS.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

4

3. NFS.DE Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 5.57% over the past year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 6.21% on average over the past years.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 0.47% in the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, NFS shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 4.47% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)5.57%
EPS 3Y-3.48%
EPS 5Y6.21%
EPS Q2Q%5.92%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.47%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.5%
Revenue growth 5Y4.47%
Sales Q2Q%-1.65%

3.2 Future

  • NFS is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 8.05% yearly.
  • NFS is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.58% yearly.
EPS Next Y-2.19%
EPS Next 2Y4.53%
EPS Next 3Y6.19%
EPS Next 5Y8.05%
Revenue Next Year1.99%
Revenue Next 2Y3.38%
Revenue Next 3Y3.69%
Revenue Next 5Y4.58%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
NFS.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesNFS.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 5B 10B 15B
NFS.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesNFS.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 5 10 15

1

4. NFS.DE Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 23.84 indicates a rather expensive valuation of NFS.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of NFS indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: NFS is more expensive than 64.29% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.78, NFS is valued at the same level.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 24.38, NFS is valued on the expensive side.
  • NFS's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. NFS is more expensive than 78.57% of the companies in the same industry.
  • NFS is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.54, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 23.84
Fwd PE 24.38
NFS.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsNFS.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as NFS.
  • 64.29% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than NFS, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 31.04
EV/EBITDA 14.74
NFS.DE Per share dataNFS.DE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40 50

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • NFS has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)3.84
EPS Next 2Y4.53%
EPS Next 3Y6.19%

4

5. NFS.DE Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • NFS has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.94%.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.61, NFS has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
  • NFS's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 1.89.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.94%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of NFS is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 7.45%!
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.45%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
NFS.DE Yearly Dividends per shareNFS.DE Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2020 2021 2022 2023 2025 2026 1 2 3 4

5.3 Sustainability

  • 42.33% of the earnings are spent on dividend by NFS. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • NFS's earnings are growing around the same pace than its dividend. As long as the earnings growth is kept the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP42.33%
EPS Next 2Y4.53%
EPS Next 3Y6.19%
NFS.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendNFS.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B
NFS.DE Dividend Payout.NFS.DE Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.NFS.DE Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

NFS.DE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

NORFOLK SOUTHERN CORP

FRA:NFS (3/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

258

0 (0%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryGround Transportation
Earnings (Last)01-29
Earnings (Next)04-21
Inst Owners78.12%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.03%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap57.94B
Revenue(TTM)12.18B
Net Income(TTM)2.87B
Analysts69.63
Price Target265.85 (3.04%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.94%
Yearly Dividend4.67
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.45%
DP42.33%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)8.97%
Min EPS beat(2)2.49%
Max EPS beat(2)15.45%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)3.89%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.39%
Max EPS beat(4)15.45%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)2.73%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)1.36%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)1.52%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.53%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.88%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.18%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.28%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.88%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.43%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.45%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.45%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.65%
PT rev (1m)27%
PT rev (3m)27%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.1%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-9.99%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.31%
EPS NY rev (3m)-7.8%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.1%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.2%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.21%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.56%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 23.84
Fwd PE 24.38
P/S 5.5
P/FCF 31.04
P/OCF 15.35
P/B 4.31
P/tB 4.31
EV/EBITDA 14.74
EPS(TTM)10.82
EY4.19%
EPS(NY)10.58
Fwd EY4.1%
FCF(TTM)8.31
FCFY3.22%
OCF(TTM)16.81
OCFY6.51%
SpS46.94
BVpS59.91
TBVpS59.91
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)3.84
Graham Number120.77
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.34%
ROE 18.46%
ROCE 10.14%
ROIC 7.97%
ROICexc 8.27%
ROICexgc 8.27%
OM 34.52%
PM (TTM) 23.56%
GM 49.4%
FCFM 17.71%
ROA(3y)5.57%
ROA(5y)6.58%
ROE(3y)17.01%
ROE(5y)19.74%
ROIC(3y)8.31%
ROIC(5y)9.01%
ROICexc(3y)8.65%
ROICexc(5y)9.29%
ROICexgc(3y)8.65%
ROICexgc(5y)9.29%
ROCE(3y)10.57%
ROCE(5y)11.47%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-7.82%
ROICexgc growth 5Y1.52%
ROICexc growth 3Y-7.82%
ROICexc growth 5Y1.52%
OM growth 3Y-2.93%
OM growth 5Y-0.05%
PM growth 3Y-2.78%
PM growth 5Y2.79%
GM growth 3Y-0.48%
GM growth 5Y-0.02%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.27
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.06
Debt/FCF 7.92
Debt/EBITDA 2.94
Cap/Depr 158.22%
Cap/Sales 18.1%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 77.92%
Profit Quality 75.16%
Current Ratio 0.85
Quick Ratio 0.78
Altman-Z 2.32
F-Score6
WACC10.31%
ROIC/WACC0.77
Cap/Depr(3y)212.2%
Cap/Depr(5y)184.12%
Cap/Sales(3y)23.54%
Cap/Sales(5y)19.82%
Profit Quality(3y)40.58%
Profit Quality(5y)56.81%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)5.57%
EPS 3Y-3.48%
EPS 5Y6.21%
EPS Q2Q%5.92%
EPS Next Y-2.19%
EPS Next 2Y4.53%
EPS Next 3Y6.19%
EPS Next 5Y8.05%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.47%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.5%
Revenue growth 5Y4.47%
Sales Q2Q%-1.65%
Revenue Next Year1.99%
Revenue Next 2Y3.38%
Revenue Next 3Y3.69%
Revenue Next 5Y4.58%
EBIT growth 1Y-8.19%
EBIT growth 3Y-4.38%
EBIT growth 5Y4.42%
EBIT Next Year34.01%
EBIT Next 3Y14.92%
EBIT Next 5Y11%
FCF growth 1Y7603.57%
FCF growth 3Y-1.75%
FCF growth 5Y0.13%
OCF growth 1Y7.63%
OCF growth 3Y1.09%
OCF growth 5Y3.7%

NORFOLK SOUTHERN CORP / NFS.DE Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for NFS stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to NFS.DE.


What is the valuation status of NORFOLK SOUTHERN CORP (NFS.DE) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to NORFOLK SOUTHERN CORP (NFS.DE). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of NFS stock?

NORFOLK SOUTHERN CORP (NFS.DE) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


How financially healthy is NORFOLK SOUTHERN CORP?

The financial health rating of NORFOLK SOUTHERN CORP (NFS.DE) is 3 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for NORFOLK SOUTHERN CORP?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of NORFOLK SOUTHERN CORP (NFS.DE) is expected to decline by -2.19% in the next year.