NATIONAL CINEMEDIA INC (NCMI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:NCMI • US6353092066

Current stock price

3.65 USD
+0.02 (+0.55%)
At close:
3.65 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This NCMI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

2

1. NCMI Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year NCMI has reported negative net income.
  • In the past year NCMI had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • NCMI had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • In multiple years NCMI reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
NCMI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFNCMI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M 400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

  • NCMI has a Return On Assets of -2.14%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: NCMI outperforms 52.22% of its industry peers.
  • NCMI's Return On Equity of -2.80% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. NCMI outperforms 63.33% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -2.14%
ROE -2.8%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)39.38%
ROA(5y)21.71%
ROE(3y)51.35%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
NCMI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICNCMI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50 100 150

1.3 Margins

  • NCMI has a Gross Margin (45.91%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of NCMI has declined.
  • NCMI does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 45.91%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.47%
GM growth 5Y-2.41%
NCMI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsNCMI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100 200 300 400

More info and screens

ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

7

2. NCMI Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • NCMI does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • The number of shares outstanding for NCMI has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for NCMI has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, NCMI has a worse debt to assets ratio.
NCMI Yearly Shares OutstandingNCMI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M
NCMI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsNCMI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.2 Solvency

  • NCMI has an Altman-Z score of 3.03. This indicates that NCMI is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • NCMI has a better Altman-Z score (3.03) than 83.33% of its industry peers.
  • NCMI has a debt to FCF ratio of 4.29. This is a neutral value as NCMI would need 4.29 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 4.29, NCMI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 76.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.03 indicates that NCMI is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • NCMI has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.03) than 74.44% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.03
Debt/FCF 4.29
Altman-Z 3.03
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC8.75%
NCMI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFNCMI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

  • NCMI has a Current Ratio of 2.22. This indicates that NCMI is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a decent Current ratio value of 2.22, NCMI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 78.89% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 2.22 indicates that NCMI has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • NCMI's Quick ratio of 2.22 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. NCMI outperforms 80.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.22
Quick Ratio 2.22
NCMI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesNCMI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

More info and screens

WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. NCMI Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 56.52% over the past year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.04% in the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, NCMI shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 21.89% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)56.52%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%19.23%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.04%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.81%
Revenue growth 5Y21.89%
Sales Q2Q%8%

3.2 Future

  • NCMI is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 56.54% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, NCMI will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 7.57% on average per year.
EPS Next Y168%
EPS Next 2Y86.52%
EPS Next 3Y56.54%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year10.01%
Revenue Next 2Y8.1%
Revenue Next 3Y7.57%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
NCMI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesNCMI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 100M 200M 300M 400M
NCMI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesNCMI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 5 -5

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Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

3

4. NCMI Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for NCMI. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 53.67, the valuation of NCMI can be described as expensive.
  • NCMI's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of NCMI to the average of the S&P500 Index (38.68), we can say NCMI is valued slightly more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 53.67
NCMI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsNCMI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 -20 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • NCMI's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as NCMI.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 121.6
EV/EBITDA 13.17
NCMI Per share dataNCMI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 1 2 3 4

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • NCMI's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as NCMI's earnings are expected to grow with 56.54% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y86.52%
EPS Next 3Y56.54%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

4

5. NCMI Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • NCMI has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.45%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • NCMI's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.05. NCMI pays more dividend than 84.44% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.81, NCMI pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.45%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of NCMI decreases each year by -81.95%.
  • NCMI has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-81.95%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
NCMI Yearly Dividends per shareNCMI Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2025 2026 20 40 60 80

5.3 Sustainability

  • The earnings of NCMI are negative and hence is the payout ratio. NCMI will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
DP-108.57%
EPS Next 2Y86.52%
EPS Next 3Y56.54%
NCMI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendNCMI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M 400M 600M

More info and screens

Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

NCMI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

NATIONAL CINEMEDIA INC

NASDAQ:NCMI (4/20/2026, 8:20:42 PM)

After market: 3.65 0 (0%)

3.65

+0.02 (+0.55%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupMedia & Entertainment
GICS IndustryMedia
Earnings (Last)02-26
Earnings (Next)05-04
Inst Owners92.26%
Inst Owner Change-0.02%
Ins Owners1.29%
Ins Owner Change1.74%
Market Cap340.47M
Revenue(TTM)243.30M
Net Income(TTM)-10.50M
Analysts83.64
Price Target5.81 (59.18%)
Short Float %7.71%
Short Ratio14.28
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.45%
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)-81.95%
DP-108.57%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date03-09
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)100%
Min EPS beat(2)21.57%
Max EPS beat(2)178.43%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)35.75%
Min EPS beat(4)-51.8%
Max EPS beat(4)178.43%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-32.78%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-22.05%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)0.86%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.48%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.48%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.51%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.94%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.81%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.51%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.95%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-6.46%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-4.26%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-9.52%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-4.08%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-27.5%
EPS NY rev (1m)-13.04%
EPS NY rev (3m)-25.92%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-19.93%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.06%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.56%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 53.67
P/S 1.4
P/FCF 121.6
P/OCF 40.53
P/B 0.91
P/tB 5.15
EV/EBITDA 13.17
EPS(TTM)-0.1
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.07
Fwd EY1.86%
FCF(TTM)0.03
FCFY0.82%
OCF(TTM)0.09
OCFY2.47%
SpS2.61
BVpS4.02
TBVpS0.71
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number0 (-100%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -2.14%
ROE -2.8%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 45.91%
FCFM 1.15%
ROA(3y)39.38%
ROA(5y)21.71%
ROE(3y)51.35%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.47%
GM growth 5Y-2.41%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.5
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.03
Debt/FCF 4.29
Debt/EBITDA 0.5
Cap/Depr 14.78%
Cap/Sales 2.3%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion 35%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 2.22
Quick Ratio 2.22
Altman-Z 3.03
F-Score5
WACC8.75%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)13.8%
Cap/Depr(5y)13.32%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.24%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.57%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)56.52%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%19.23%
EPS Next Y168%
EPS Next 2Y86.52%
EPS Next 3Y56.54%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.04%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.81%
Revenue growth 5Y21.89%
Sales Q2Q%8%
Revenue Next Year10.01%
Revenue Next 2Y8.1%
Revenue Next 3Y7.57%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y29.08%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year408.57%
EBIT Next 3Y80.9%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-94.86%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-43.19%
OCF growth 1Y-86.07%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-31.4%

NATIONAL CINEMEDIA INC / NCMI Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of NATIONAL CINEMEDIA INC (NCMI) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to NCMI.


What is the valuation status for NCMI stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to NATIONAL CINEMEDIA INC (NCMI). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is NATIONAL CINEMEDIA INC (NCMI) stock?

NATIONAL CINEMEDIA INC (NCMI) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for NATIONAL CINEMEDIA INC (NCMI) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of NATIONAL CINEMEDIA INC (NCMI) is expected to grow by 168% in the next year.