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NATIONAL CINEMEDIA INC (NCMI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:NCMI - US6353092066 - Common Stock

4.32 USD
0 (0%)
Last: 8/27/2025, 8:07:21 PM
4.32 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 8/27/2025, 8:07:21 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to NCMI. NCMI was compared to 100 industry peers in the Media industry. NCMI has a great financial health rating, but its profitability evaluates not so good. While showing a medium growth rate, NCMI is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year NCMI has reported negative net income.
In the past year NCMI had a positive cash flow from operations.
NCMI had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: NCMI reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
NCMI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFNCMI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

With a Return On Assets value of -4.39%, NCMI perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 41.00% of the companies in the same industry.
NCMI has a Return On Equity of -5.80%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: NCMI outperforms 49.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -4.39%
ROE -5.8%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)38.89%
ROA(5y)20.67%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
NCMI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICNCMI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50 100 150

1.3 Margins

NCMI's Gross Margin of 45.62% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. NCMI outperforms 56.00% of its industry peers.
NCMI's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
NCMI does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 45.62%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y13.3%
GM growth 5Y-7.27%
NCMI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsNCMI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100 200 300 400

7

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

NCMI does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
The number of shares outstanding for NCMI has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, NCMI has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for NCMI has remained at the same level compared to a year ago.
NCMI Yearly Shares OutstandingNCMI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M
NCMI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsNCMI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 3.27 indicates that NCMI is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
NCMI has a Altman-Z score of 3.27. This is amongst the best in the industry. NCMI outperforms 86.00% of its industry peers.
NCMI has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Altman-Z 3.27
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC8.86%
NCMI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFNCMI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

NCMI has a Current Ratio of 1.74. This is a normal value and indicates that NCMI is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of NCMI (1.74) is better than 66.00% of its industry peers.
NCMI has a Quick Ratio of 1.74. This is a normal value and indicates that NCMI is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.74, NCMI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 69.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.74
Quick Ratio 1.74
NCMI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesNCMI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 61.82% over the past year.
The Revenue has grown by 13.39% in the past year. This is quite good.
Measured over the past years, NCMI shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -11.55% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)61.82%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-22.22%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)13.39%
Revenue growth 3Y28.08%
Revenue growth 5Y-11.55%
Sales Q2Q%-5.3%

3.2 Future

NCMI is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 41.66% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 8.11% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y25.72%
EPS Next 2Y54.89%
EPS Next 3Y41.66%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year4%
Revenue Next 2Y9.11%
Revenue Next 3Y8.11%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
NCMI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesNCMI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 100M 200M 300M 400M
NCMI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesNCMI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 2 -2 4 -4 -6

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for NCMI. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
NCMI is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 47.06.
NCMI's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
NCMI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 22.80.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 47.06
NCMI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsNCMI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 -20 40

4.2 Price Multiples

The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as NCMI.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, NCMI is valued a bit cheaper than 65.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 16.73
EV/EBITDA 20.89
NCMI Per share dataNCMI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 1 2 3

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
NCMI's earnings are expected to grow with 41.66% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y54.89%
EPS Next 3Y41.66%

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

NCMI has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.80%.
The stock price of NCMI dropped by -20.73% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 4.93, NCMI pays a better dividend. On top of this NCMI pays more dividend than 81.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.34, NCMI has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.8%

5.2 History

The dividend of NCMI decreases each year by -81.95%.
NCMI has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-81.95%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
NCMI Yearly Dividends per shareNCMI Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2025 20 40 60 80

5.3 Sustainability

The earnings of NCMI are negative and hence is the payout ratio. NCMI will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
DP-28.08%
EPS Next 2Y54.89%
EPS Next 3Y41.66%
NCMI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendNCMI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M 600M

NATIONAL CINEMEDIA INC

NASDAQ:NCMI (8/27/2025, 8:07:21 PM)

After market: 4.32 0 (0%)

4.32

0 (0%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorCommunication Services
GICS IndustryGroupMedia & Entertainment
GICS IndustryMedia
Earnings (Last)08-05 2025-08-05/amc
Earnings (Next)11-03 2025-11-03/amc
Inst Owners89.14%
Inst Owner Change-0.07%
Ins Owners0.99%
Ins Owner Change2.67%
Market Cap404.83M
Analysts83.64
Price Target6.94 (60.65%)
Short Float %7.84%
Short Ratio12.17
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.8%
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)-81.95%
DP-28.08%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date08-15 2025-08-15 (0.03)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-28.51%
Min EPS beat(2)-51.8%
Max EPS beat(2)-5.21%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-19.15%
Min EPS beat(4)-51.8%
Max EPS beat(4)27.45%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-52.94%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-21.02%
EPS beat(16)5
Avg EPS beat(16)-15.76%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-4.39%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.81%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.97%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.88%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.81%
Max Revenue beat(4)5.43%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-4.34%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-5.97%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-6.13%
PT rev (1m)-4.23%
PT rev (3m)-9.33%
EPS NQ rev (1m)31.25%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-155%
EPS NY rev (1m)9.46%
EPS NY rev (3m)-286.57%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.2%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-9.02%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.91%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-4.88%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 47.06
P/S 1.72
P/FCF 16.73
P/OCF 13.68
P/B 1.16
P/tB 14.46
EV/EBITDA 20.89
EPS(TTM)-0.21
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.09
Fwd EY2.13%
FCF(TTM)0.26
FCFY5.98%
OCF(TTM)0.32
OCFY7.31%
SpS2.51
BVpS3.73
TBVpS0.3
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -4.39%
ROE -5.8%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 45.62%
FCFM 10.28%
ROA(3y)38.89%
ROA(5y)20.67%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y13.3%
GM growth 5Y-7.27%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.51
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Debt/EBITDA 0
Cap/Depr 13.14%
Cap/Sales 2.29%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion 168.18%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.74
Quick Ratio 1.74
Altman-Z 3.27
F-Score5
WACC8.86%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)11.94%
Cap/Depr(5y)14.61%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.86%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.88%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)61.82%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-22.22%
EPS Next Y25.72%
EPS Next 2Y54.89%
EPS Next 3Y41.66%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)13.39%
Revenue growth 3Y28.08%
Revenue growth 5Y-11.55%
Sales Q2Q%-5.3%
Revenue Next Year4%
Revenue Next 2Y9.11%
Revenue Next 3Y8.11%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y1.67%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year290.44%
EBIT Next 3Y72.26%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y593.88%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-15.91%
OCF growth 1Y1333.33%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-15.93%