NATIONAL CINEMEDIA INC (NCMI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:NCMI • US6353092066

Current stock price

3.04 USD
-0.08 (-2.56%)
At close:
3.05 USD
+0.01 (+0.33%)
After Hours:

This NCMI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

2

1. NCMI Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • NCMI had negative earnings in the past year.
  • NCMI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • NCMI had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • In multiple years NCMI reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
NCMI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFNCMI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M 400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

  • With a Return On Assets value of -2.14%, NCMI perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 55.43% of the companies in the same industry.
  • NCMI's Return On Equity of -2.80% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. NCMI outperforms 65.22% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -2.14%
ROE -2.8%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)39.38%
ROA(5y)21.71%
ROE(3y)51.35%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
NCMI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICNCMI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50 100 150

1.3 Margins

  • With a Gross Margin value of 45.91%, NCMI perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 57.61% of the companies in the same industry.
  • NCMI's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for NCMI so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 45.91%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.47%
GM growth 5Y-2.41%
NCMI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsNCMI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100 200 300 400

More info and screens

ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

6

2. NCMI Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • NCMI does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • The number of shares outstanding for NCMI has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for NCMI has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for NCMI is higher compared to a year ago.
NCMI Yearly Shares OutstandingNCMI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M
NCMI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsNCMI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.78 indicates that NCMI is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • NCMI's Altman-Z score of 2.78 is amongst the best of the industry. NCMI outperforms 85.87% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of NCMI is 4.29, which is a neutral value as it means it would take NCMI, 4.29 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • NCMI has a Debt to FCF ratio of 4.29. This is in the better half of the industry: NCMI outperforms 78.26% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.03 indicates that NCMI is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.03, NCMI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 76.09% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.03
Debt/FCF 4.29
Altman-Z 2.78
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC8.77%
NCMI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFNCMI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

  • NCMI has a Current Ratio of 2.22. This indicates that NCMI is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • NCMI's Current ratio of 2.22 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. NCMI outperforms 78.26% of its industry peers.
  • NCMI has a Quick Ratio of 2.22. This indicates that NCMI is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • NCMI's Quick ratio of 2.22 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. NCMI outperforms 79.35% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.22
Quick Ratio 2.22
NCMI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesNCMI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

More info and screens

WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. NCMI Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • NCMI shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 56.52%, which is quite impressive.
  • Looking at the last year, NCMI shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 1.04% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 21.89% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)56.52%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%19.23%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.04%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.81%
Revenue growth 5Y21.89%
Sales Q2Q%8%

3.2 Future

  • NCMI is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 59.27% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 7.57% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y178.2%
EPS Next 2Y94.11%
EPS Next 3Y59.27%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year9.95%
Revenue Next 2Y8.6%
Revenue Next 3Y7.57%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
NCMI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesNCMI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 100M 200M 300M 400M
NCMI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesNCMI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 5 -5

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3

4. NCMI Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • NCMI reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 38.87, the valuation of NCMI can be described as expensive.
  • NCMI's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of NCMI to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.19), we can say NCMI is valued expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 38.87
NCMI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsNCMI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 -20

4.2 Price Multiples

  • The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as NCMI.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as NCMI.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 101.12
EV/EBITDA 11.17
NCMI Per share dataNCMI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 1 2 3 4

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as NCMI's earnings are expected to grow with 59.27% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y94.11%
EPS Next 3Y59.27%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

4

5. NCMI Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.68%, NCMI has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • In the last 3 months the price of NCMI has falen by -22.45%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
  • NCMI's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.21. NCMI pays more dividend than 86.96% of the companies in the same industry.
  • NCMI's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.90.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.68%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of NCMI decreases each year by -81.95%.
  • NCMI has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-81.95%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
NCMI Yearly Dividends per shareNCMI Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2025 2026 20 40 60 80

5.3 Sustainability

  • NCMI has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
DP-108.57%
EPS Next 2Y94.11%
EPS Next 3Y59.27%
NCMI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendNCMI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M 400M 600M

More info and screens

Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

NCMI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

NATIONAL CINEMEDIA INC

NASDAQ:NCMI (3/27/2026, 8:00:01 PM)

After market: 3.05 +0.01 (+0.33%)

3.04

-0.08 (-2.56%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupMedia & Entertainment
GICS IndustryMedia
Earnings (Last)02-26
Earnings (Next)05-04
Inst Owners92.67%
Inst Owner Change-7.28%
Ins Owners1.09%
Ins Owner Change1.49%
Market Cap283.15M
Revenue(TTM)243.30M
Net Income(TTM)-10.50M
Analysts83.64
Price Target5.81 (91.12%)
Short Float %8.03%
Short Ratio17.18
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.68%
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)-81.95%
DP-108.57%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date03-09
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)100%
Min EPS beat(2)21.57%
Max EPS beat(2)178.43%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)35.75%
Min EPS beat(4)-51.8%
Max EPS beat(4)178.43%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-32.78%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-22.05%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)0.86%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.48%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.48%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.51%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.94%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.81%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.51%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.95%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-6.46%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-4.26%
PT rev (1m)-3.39%
PT rev (3m)-12.31%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-22.5%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-22.5%
EPS NY rev (1m)-34.28%
EPS NY rev (3m)-14.81%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-19.13%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-19.13%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.87%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.47%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 38.87
P/S 1.16
P/FCF 101.12
P/OCF 33.71
P/B 0.75
P/tB 4.28
EV/EBITDA 11.17
EPS(TTM)-0.1
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.08
Fwd EY2.57%
FCF(TTM)0.03
FCFY0.99%
OCF(TTM)0.09
OCFY2.97%
SpS2.61
BVpS4.03
TBVpS0.71
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -2.14%
ROE -2.8%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 45.91%
FCFM 1.15%
ROA(3y)39.38%
ROA(5y)21.71%
ROE(3y)51.35%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.47%
GM growth 5Y-2.41%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.5
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.03
Debt/FCF 4.29
Debt/EBITDA 0.5
Cap/Depr 14.78%
Cap/Sales 2.3%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion 35%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 2.22
Quick Ratio 2.22
Altman-Z 2.78
F-Score5
WACC8.77%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)13.8%
Cap/Depr(5y)13.32%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.24%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.57%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)56.52%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%19.23%
EPS Next Y178.2%
EPS Next 2Y94.11%
EPS Next 3Y59.27%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.04%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.81%
Revenue growth 5Y21.89%
Sales Q2Q%8%
Revenue Next Year9.95%
Revenue Next 2Y8.6%
Revenue Next 3Y7.57%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y29.08%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year413.74%
EBIT Next 3Y88.77%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-94.86%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-43.19%
OCF growth 1Y-86.07%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-31.4%

NATIONAL CINEMEDIA INC / NCMI Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of NATIONAL CINEMEDIA INC (NCMI) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to NCMI.


What is the valuation status for NCMI stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to NATIONAL CINEMEDIA INC (NCMI). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for NATIONAL CINEMEDIA INC?

NATIONAL CINEMEDIA INC (NCMI) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for NCMI stock?

The financial health rating of NATIONAL CINEMEDIA INC (NCMI) is 6 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for NCMI stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of NATIONAL CINEMEDIA INC (NCMI) is expected to grow by 178.2% in the next year.