4.31 USD
0 (0%)
4.31 USD
0 (0%)
Overall NCMI gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated NCMI against 98 industry peers in the Media industry. No worries on liquidiy or solvency for NCMI as it has an excellent financial health rating, but there are worries on the profitability. NCMI has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year NCMI has reported negative net income.
NCMI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
NCMI had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
In multiple years NCMI reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
NCMI has a Return On Assets (-3.34%) which is in line with its industry peers.
NCMI's Return On Equity of -4.31% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. NCMI outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -3.34% | ||
| ROE | -4.31% | ||
| ROIC | N/A |
ROA(3y)38.89%
ROA(5y)20.67%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 46.15%, NCMI is in line with its industry, outperforming 55.10% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of NCMI has declined.
The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for NCMI so they could not be analyzed.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 46.15% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y13.3%
GM growth 5Y-7.27%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
NCMI does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
The number of shares outstanding for NCMI has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, NCMI has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, NCMI has about the same debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
NCMI has an Altman-Z score of 3.57. This indicates that NCMI is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
NCMI has a Altman-Z score of 3.57. This is amongst the best in the industry. NCMI outperforms 86.73% of its industry peers.
NCMI has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.57 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC8.62%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.90 indicates that NCMI should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
NCMI has a better Current ratio (1.90) than 75.51% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.90 indicates that NCMI should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a decent Quick ratio value of 1.90, NCMI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.51% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.9 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.9 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
NCMI shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 40.00%, which is quite impressive.
Looking at the last year, NCMI shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -3.63% in the last year.
The Revenue for NCMI have been decreasing by -11.55% on average. This is quite bad
EPS 1Y (TTM)40%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%150%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.63%
Revenue growth 3Y28.08%
Revenue growth 5Y-11.55%
Sales Q2Q%1.6%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 43.60% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue is expected to grow by 7.35% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y20.17%
EPS Next 2Y54.53%
EPS Next 3Y43.6%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year1.95%
Revenue Next 2Y7.38%
Revenue Next 3Y7.35%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for NCMI. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 48.29, which means the current valuation is very expensive for NCMI.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as NCMI.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 36.56, NCMI is valued a bit more expensive.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 48.29 |
4.2 Price Multiples
The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as NCMI.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, NCMI is valued a bit cheaper than 62.24% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 16.57 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 17.34 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates NCMI does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
NCMI's earnings are expected to grow with 43.60% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y54.53%
EPS Next 3Y43.6%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
NCMI has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.78%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 4.50, NCMI pays a better dividend. On top of this NCMI pays more dividend than 81.63% of the companies listed in the same industry.
NCMI's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 2.32.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.78% |
5.2 History
The dividend of NCMI decreases each year by -81.95%.
NCMI has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-81.95%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
The earnings of NCMI are negative and hence is the payout ratio. NCMI will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
DP-56.29%
EPS Next 2Y54.53%
EPS Next 3Y43.6%
4.31
0 (0%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorCommunication Services
GICS IndustryGroupMedia & Entertainment
GICS IndustryMedia
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners89.6%
Inst Owner Change10.85%
Ins Owners1.02%
Ins Owner Change0.92%
Market Cap404.41M
Revenue(TTM)236.40M
Net Income(TTM)-15.10M
Analysts83.64
Price Target6.63 (53.83%)
Short Float %9.1%
Short Ratio17.62
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.78% |
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)-81.95%
DP-56.29%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)86.61%
Min EPS beat(2)-5.21%
Max EPS beat(2)178.43%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)37.22%
Min EPS beat(4)-51.8%
Max EPS beat(4)178.43%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-13.38%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-5.63%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-1.9%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-5.65%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.81%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.48%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.11%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.81%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.19%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.12%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-6.21%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-4.8%
PT rev (1m)-4.41%
PT rev (3m)-4.41%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-25.42%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-25.42%
EPS NY rev (1m)-10.77%
EPS NY rev (3m)-7.46%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-3.17%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.17%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.96%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.96%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 48.29 | ||
| P/S | 1.71 | ||
| P/FCF | 16.57 | ||
| P/OCF | 13.22 | ||
| P/B | 1.15 | ||
| P/tB | 11.2 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 17.34 |
EPS(TTM)-0.15
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.09
Fwd EY2.07%
FCF(TTM)0.26
FCFY6.03%
OCF(TTM)0.33
OCFY7.57%
SpS2.52
BVpS3.74
TBVpS0.38
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -3.34% | ||
| ROE | -4.31% | ||
| ROCE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | N/A | ||
| ROICexc | N/A | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 46.15% | ||
| FCFM | 10.32% |
ROA(3y)38.89%
ROA(5y)20.67%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y13.3%
GM growth 5Y-7.27%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.52
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 15.74% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.62% | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | 141.67% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.9 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.9 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.57 |
F-Score6
WACC8.62%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)11.94%
Cap/Depr(5y)14.61%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.86%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.88%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)40%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%150%
EPS Next Y20.17%
EPS Next 2Y54.53%
EPS Next 3Y43.6%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.63%
Revenue growth 3Y28.08%
Revenue growth 5Y-11.55%
Sales Q2Q%1.6%
Revenue Next Year1.95%
Revenue Next 2Y7.38%
Revenue Next 3Y7.35%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y6.81%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year280.04%
EBIT Next 3Y70.2%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y168.73%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-15.91%
OCF growth 1Y193.01%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-15.93%
NATIONAL CINEMEDIA INC / NCMI FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of NATIONAL CINEMEDIA INC (NCMI) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to NCMI.
Can you provide the valuation status for NATIONAL CINEMEDIA INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to NATIONAL CINEMEDIA INC (NCMI). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of NCMI stock?
NATIONAL CINEMEDIA INC (NCMI) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.
What is the financial health of NATIONAL CINEMEDIA INC (NCMI) stock?
The financial health rating of NATIONAL CINEMEDIA INC (NCMI) is 7 / 10.