3.93 USD
0 (0%)
3.93 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to NCMI. NCMI was compared to 94 industry peers in the Media industry. While NCMI has a great health rating, there are worries on its profitability. NCMI is valued expensive and it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year NCMI has reported negative net income.
In the past year NCMI had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years NCMI reported 4 times negative net income.
The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: NCMI reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
1.2 Ratios
NCMI has a Return On Assets of -3.34%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: NCMI outperforms 46.81% of its industry peers.
NCMI has a Return On Equity of -4.31%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: NCMI outperforms 52.13% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -3.34% | ||
| ROE | -4.31% | ||
| ROIC | N/A |
ROA(3y)38.89%
ROA(5y)20.67%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
The Gross Margin of NCMI (46.15%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of NCMI has declined.
The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for NCMI so they could not be analyzed.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 46.15% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y13.3%
GM growth 5Y-7.27%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
NCMI does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
The number of shares outstanding for NCMI has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
NCMI has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for NCMI has remained at the same level compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 3.36 indicates that NCMI is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 3.36, NCMI belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 84.04% of the companies in the same industry.
There is no outstanding debt for NCMI. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.36 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC8.77%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.90 indicates that NCMI should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of NCMI (1.90) is better than 73.40% of its industry peers.
NCMI has a Quick Ratio of 1.90. This is a normal value and indicates that NCMI is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
NCMI has a Quick ratio of 1.90. This is in the better half of the industry: NCMI outperforms 74.47% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.9 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.9 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
NCMI shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 40.00%, which is quite impressive.
Looking at the last year, NCMI shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -3.63% in the last year.
NCMI shows a very negative growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -11.55% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)40%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%150%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.63%
Revenue growth 3Y28.08%
Revenue growth 5Y-11.55%
Sales Q2Q%1.6%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, NCMI will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 42.39% on average per year.
NCMI is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 7.35% yearly.
EPS Next Y12.41%
EPS Next 2Y54.89%
EPS Next 3Y42.39%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year2.28%
Revenue Next 2Y7.11%
Revenue Next 3Y7.35%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
NCMI reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 42.81, the valuation of NCMI can be described as expensive.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of NCMI is on the same level as its industry peers.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of NCMI to the average of the S&P500 Index (24.03), we can say NCMI is valued expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 42.81 |
4.2 Price Multiples
NCMI's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
62.77% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than NCMI, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 15.11 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.69 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as NCMI's earnings are expected to grow with 42.39% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y54.89%
EPS Next 3Y42.39%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
NCMI has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.99%.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.22, NCMI pays a better dividend. On top of this NCMI pays more dividend than 84.04% of the companies listed in the same industry.
NCMI's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.87.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.99% |
5.2 History
The dividend of NCMI decreases each year by -81.95%.
NCMI has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-81.95%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
NCMI has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
DP-56.29%
EPS Next 2Y54.89%
EPS Next 3Y42.39%
3.93
0 (0%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorCommunication Services
GICS IndustryGroupMedia & Entertainment
GICS IndustryMedia
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners90.22%
Inst Owner Change10.85%
Ins Owners1.02%
Ins Owner Change0.92%
Market Cap368.75M
Revenue(TTM)236.40M
Net Income(TTM)-15.10M
Analysts83.64
Price Target6.63 (68.7%)
Short Float %8.5%
Short Ratio16.7
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.99% |
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)-81.95%
DP-56.29%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)86.61%
Min EPS beat(2)-5.21%
Max EPS beat(2)178.43%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)37.22%
Min EPS beat(4)-51.8%
Max EPS beat(4)178.43%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-13.38%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-5.63%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-1.9%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-5.65%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.81%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.48%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.11%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.81%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.19%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.12%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-6.21%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-4.8%
PT rev (1m)-2.99%
PT rev (3m)-4.41%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-25.42%
EPS NY rev (1m)-9.72%
EPS NY rev (3m)-17.91%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.17%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.32%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.65%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 42.81 | ||
| P/S | 1.56 | ||
| P/FCF | 15.11 | ||
| P/OCF | 12.05 | ||
| P/B | 1.05 | ||
| P/tB | 10.21 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.69 |
EPS(TTM)-0.15
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.09
Fwd EY2.34%
FCF(TTM)0.26
FCFY6.62%
OCF(TTM)0.33
OCFY8.3%
SpS2.52
BVpS3.74
TBVpS0.38
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -3.34% | ||
| ROE | -4.31% | ||
| ROCE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | N/A | ||
| ROICexc | N/A | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 46.15% | ||
| FCFM | 10.32% |
ROA(3y)38.89%
ROA(5y)20.67%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y13.3%
GM growth 5Y-7.27%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.52
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 15.74% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.62% | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | 141.67% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.9 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.9 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.36 |
F-Score6
WACC8.77%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)11.94%
Cap/Depr(5y)14.61%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.86%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.88%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)40%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%150%
EPS Next Y12.41%
EPS Next 2Y54.89%
EPS Next 3Y42.39%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.63%
Revenue growth 3Y28.08%
Revenue growth 5Y-11.55%
Sales Q2Q%1.6%
Revenue Next Year2.28%
Revenue Next 2Y7.11%
Revenue Next 3Y7.35%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y6.81%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year249.37%
EBIT Next 3Y68.28%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y168.73%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-15.91%
OCF growth 1Y193.01%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-15.93%
NATIONAL CINEMEDIA INC / NCMI FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of NATIONAL CINEMEDIA INC (NCMI) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to NCMI.
Can you provide the valuation status for NATIONAL CINEMEDIA INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to NATIONAL CINEMEDIA INC (NCMI). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of NCMI stock?
NATIONAL CINEMEDIA INC (NCMI) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.
What is the financial health of NATIONAL CINEMEDIA INC (NCMI) stock?
The financial health rating of NATIONAL CINEMEDIA INC (NCMI) is 7 / 10.