NORWEGIAN CRUISE LINE HOLDIN (NCLH) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:NCLH - BMG667211046 - Common Stock
22.43 USD
+0.02 (+0.09%)
22.41 USD
-0.02 (-0.09%)
NCLH gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 133 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. NCLH has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. NCLH has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year NCLH was profitable.
In the past year NCLH had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years NCLH reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: NCLH reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
1.2 Ratios
NCLH's Return On Assets of 2.99% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. NCLH outperforms 54.14% of its industry peers.
NCLH has a Return On Equity of 30.26%. This is amongst the best in the industry. NCLH outperforms 82.71% of its industry peers.
With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 7.44%, NCLH is doing good in the industry, outperforming 61.65% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.99% | ||
| ROE | 30.26% | ||
| ROIC | 7.44% |
ROA(3y)-2.27%
ROA(5y)-10.54%
ROE(3y)-1056.87%
ROE(5y)-689.6%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
NCLH's Profit Margin of 6.85% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. NCLH outperforms 63.91% of its industry peers.
NCLH's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
With a decent Operating Margin value of 16.39%, NCLH is doing good in the industry, outperforming 72.18% of the companies in the same industry.
NCLH's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
NCLH has a worse Gross Margin (41.98%) than 60.90% of its industry peers.
NCLH's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 16.39% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.85% | ||
| GM | 41.98% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-3.24%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-7.78%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5Y-1.58%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so NCLH is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for NCLH has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for NCLH has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
NCLH has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
NCLH has an Altman-Z score of 0.39. This is a bad value and indicates that NCLH is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
NCLH's Altman-Z score of 0.39 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. NCLH is outperformed by 77.44% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 6.22 is on the high side and indicates that NCLH has dependencies on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of NCLH (6.22) is worse than 62.41% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 6.22 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.39 |
ROIC/WACC0.91
WACC8.16%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.19 indicates that NCLH may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
NCLH has a worse Current ratio (0.19) than 93.23% of its industry peers.
NCLH has a Quick Ratio of 0.19. This is a bad value and indicates that NCLH is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
NCLH has a Quick ratio of 0.17. This is amonst the worse of the industry: NCLH underperforms 92.48% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.19 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.17 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
NCLH shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 48.91%, which is quite impressive.
The earnings per share for NCLH have been decreasing by -18.68% on average. This is quite bad
NCLH shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 3.59%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 7.96% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)48.91%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-18.68%
EPS Q2Q%21.21%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.59%
Revenue growth 3Y144.57%
Revenue growth 5Y7.96%
Sales Q2Q%4.69%
3.2 Future
NCLH is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 17.94% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 7.52% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y16.87%
EPS Next 2Y21.38%
EPS Next 3Y19.07%
EPS Next 5Y17.94%
Revenue Next Year4.76%
Revenue Next 2Y7.47%
Revenue Next 3Y7.22%
Revenue Next 5Y7.52%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 11.00 indicates a reasonable valuation of NCLH.
NCLH's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. NCLH is cheaper than 90.98% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.77, NCLH is valued rather cheaply.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 8.41, which indicates a very decent valuation of NCLH.
NCLH's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. NCLH is cheaper than 93.98% of the companies in the same industry.
NCLH is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.35, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.41 |
4.2 Price Multiples
NCLH's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. NCLH is cheaper than 69.92% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.36 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as NCLH's earnings are expected to grow with 19.07% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.65
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y21.38%
EPS Next 3Y19.07%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for NCLH!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
22.43
+0.02 (+0.09%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners84.54%
Inst Owner Change5.98%
Ins Owners0.33%
Ins Owner Change0.32%
Market Cap10.21B
Revenue(TTM)9.69B
Net Income(TTM)663.53M
Analysts80.65
Price Target27.91 (24.43%)
Short Float %8.97%
Short Ratio2.26
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.72%
Min EPS beat(2)-3.06%
Max EPS beat(2)1.63%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)29.09%
Min EPS beat(4)-24.41%
Max EPS beat(4)142.19%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)17.57%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)13.92%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)6.97%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.97%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.54%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.4%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.11%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.54%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.75%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.62%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.79%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-4.78%
PT rev (1m)-2.6%
PT rev (3m)-9.39%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.36%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-12.29%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.04%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.18%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.6%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.25%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.24%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.41 | ||
| P/S | 1.05 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 5.03 | ||
| P/B | 4.66 | ||
| P/tB | 6.56 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.36 |
EPS(TTM)2.04
EY9.09%
EPS(NY)2.67
Fwd EY11.89%
FCF(TTM)-2.27
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)4.46
OCFY19.88%
SpS21.29
BVpS4.82
TBVpS3.42
PEG (NY)0.65
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number14.87
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.99% | ||
| ROE | 30.26% | ||
| ROCE | 9.42% | ||
| ROIC | 7.44% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.52% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.82% | ||
| OM | 16.39% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.85% | ||
| GM | 41.98% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)-2.27%
ROA(5y)-10.54%
ROE(3y)-1056.87%
ROE(5y)-689.6%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y-0.2%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y2.69%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-3.24%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-7.78%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5Y-1.58%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.44
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 6.22 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.2 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 296.35% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 31.63% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 77.38% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.19 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.17 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.39 |
F-Score5
WACC8.16%
ROIC/WACC0.91
Cap/Depr(3y)218.66%
Cap/Depr(5y)176.64%
Cap/Sales(3y)27.26%
Cap/Sales(5y)54.38%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)48.91%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-18.68%
EPS Q2Q%21.21%
EPS Next Y16.87%
EPS Next 2Y21.38%
EPS Next 3Y19.07%
EPS Next 5Y17.94%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.59%
Revenue growth 3Y144.57%
Revenue growth 5Y7.96%
Sales Q2Q%4.69%
Revenue Next Year4.76%
Revenue Next 2Y7.47%
Revenue Next 3Y7.22%
Revenue Next 5Y7.52%
EBIT growth 1Y15.52%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y4.47%
EBIT Next Year79.71%
EBIT Next 3Y30.51%
EBIT Next 5Y21.82%
FCF growth 1Y-276.68%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y35.24%
OCF growth 1Y2.35%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y2.38%
NORWEGIAN CRUISE LINE HOLDIN / NCLH FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of NORWEGIAN CRUISE LINE HOLDIN (NCLH) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to NCLH.
What is the valuation status for NCLH stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to NORWEGIAN CRUISE LINE HOLDIN (NCLH). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for NORWEGIAN CRUISE LINE HOLDIN?
NORWEGIAN CRUISE LINE HOLDIN (NCLH) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for NCLH stock?
The financial health rating of NORWEGIAN CRUISE LINE HOLDIN (NCLH) is 0 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for NORWEGIAN CRUISE LINE HOLDIN?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of NORWEGIAN CRUISE LINE HOLDIN (NCLH) is expected to grow by 16.87% in the next year.