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Duckhorn Portfolio Inc (NAPA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:NAPA - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US26414D1063 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

11.09  -0.02 (-0.18%)

After market: 11.09 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

4

Overall NAPA gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated NAPA against 33 industry peers in the Beverages industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of NAPA get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. While showing a medium growth rate, NAPA is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

NAPA had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year NAPA had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years NAPA has been profitable.
NAPA had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
NAPA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFNAPA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20M -20M 40M 60M 80M 100M

1.2 Ratios

With a Return On Assets value of 2.70%, NAPA is not doing good in the industry: 70.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
NAPA's Return On Equity of 4.02% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. NAPA is outperformed by 73.33% of its industry peers.
NAPA has a worse Return On Invested Capital (4.52%) than 73.33% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for NAPA is significantly below the industry average of 11.67%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.7%
ROE 4.02%
ROIC 4.52%
ROA(3y)4.35%
ROA(5y)4.11%
ROE(3y)6.24%
ROE(5y)6.13%
ROIC(3y)5.17%
ROIC(5y)5.05%
NAPA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICNAPA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2 4 6

1.3 Margins

NAPA has a Profit Margin of 12.12%. This is in the better half of the industry: NAPA outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
NAPA's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
NAPA's Operating Margin of 25.26% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. NAPA outperforms 80.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of NAPA has grown nicely.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 52.26%, NAPA is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 63.33% of the companies in the same industry.
NAPA's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 25.26%
PM (TTM) 12.12%
GM 52.26%
OM growth 3Y1.23%
OM growth 5Y4.05%
PM growth 3Y-6.01%
PM growth 5Y8.56%
GM growth 3Y2.17%
GM growth 5Y2.5%
NAPA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsNAPA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30 40 50

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4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), NAPA is destroying value.
NAPA has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for NAPA has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, NAPA has an improved debt to assets ratio.
NAPA Yearly Shares OutstandingNAPA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M
NAPA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsNAPA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 2.46 indicates that NAPA is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
With a Altman-Z score value of 2.46, NAPA perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 43.33% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.22 indicates that NAPA is not too dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.22, NAPA is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 70.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.22
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 2.46
ROIC/WACC0.53
WACC8.59%
NAPA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFNAPA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

NAPA has a Current Ratio of 3.73. This indicates that NAPA is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
NAPA's Current ratio of 3.73 is amongst the best of the industry. NAPA outperforms 93.33% of its industry peers.
NAPA has a Quick Ratio of 3.73. This is a bad value and indicates that NAPA is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of NAPA (0.61) is worse than 63.33% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.73
Quick Ratio 0.61
NAPA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesNAPA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M

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5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for NAPA have decreased by -8.96% in the last year.
NAPA shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 19.00% yearly.
NAPA shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 7.20%.
The Revenue has been growing by 10.95% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-8.96%
EPS 3Y-4.47%
EPS 5Y19%
EPS Q2Q%-43.64%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.2%
Revenue growth 3Y6.4%
Revenue growth 5Y10.95%
Sales Q2Q%19.93%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, NAPA will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 10.38% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 8.92% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y8.86%
EPS Next 2Y6.44%
EPS Next 3Y11.99%
EPS Next 5Y10.38%
Revenue Next Year19.52%
Revenue Next 2Y11.82%
Revenue Next 3Y10.77%
Revenue Next 5Y8.92%

3.3 Evolution

The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
NAPA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesNAPA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 200M 400M 600M
NAPA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesNAPA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

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3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 18.18, NAPA is valued on the expensive side.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, NAPA is valued a bit cheaper than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 24.83. NAPA is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.05 indicates a correct valuation of NAPA.
73.33% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than NAPA, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
NAPA's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 20.94.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.18
Fwd PE 16.05
NAPA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsNAPA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20

4.2 Price Multiples

NAPA's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. NAPA is cheaper than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 12.96
NAPA Per share dataNAPA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6 8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)2.05
PEG (5Y)0.96
EPS Next 2Y6.44%
EPS Next 3Y11.99%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

NAPA does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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Duckhorn Portfolio Inc

NYSE:NAPA (12/23/2024, 8:21:17 PM)

After market: 11.09 0 (0%)

11.09

-0.02 (-0.18%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryBeverages
Earnings (Last)12-04 2024-12-04/amc
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners35.21%
Inst Owner Change-3.98%
Ins Owners0.91%
Ins Owner Change-216.29%
Market Cap1.63B
Analysts78.18
Price Target10.73 (-3.25%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.5%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.82%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.18%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.77%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.82%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.18%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.5%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.34%
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)8.26%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)3.5%
EPS NY rev (1m)2.16%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.84%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.57%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.59%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.96%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.18
Fwd PE 16.05
P/S 3.83
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 122.47
P/B 1.27
P/tB 2.68
EV/EBITDA 12.96
EPS(TTM)0.61
EY5.5%
EPS(NY)0.69
Fwd EY6.23%
FCF(TTM)-0.11
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.09
OCFY0.82%
SpS2.89
BVpS8.73
TBVpS4.14
PEG (NY)2.05
PEG (5Y)0.96
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.7%
ROE 4.02%
ROCE 6.18%
ROIC 4.52%
ROICexc 4.53%
ROICexgc 7.41%
OM 25.26%
PM (TTM) 12.12%
GM 52.26%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)4.35%
ROA(5y)4.11%
ROE(3y)6.24%
ROE(5y)6.13%
ROIC(3y)5.17%
ROIC(5y)5.05%
ROICexc(3y)5.19%
ROICexc(5y)5.07%
ROICexgc(3y)9.88%
ROICexgc(5y)10.44%
ROCE(3y)7.07%
ROCE(5y)6.9%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-16.44%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-2.2%
ROICexc growth 3Y-6.93%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.65%
OM growth 3Y1.23%
OM growth 5Y4.05%
PM growth 3Y-6.01%
PM growth 5Y8.56%
GM growth 3Y2.17%
GM growth 5Y2.5%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.22
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.22
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 1.9
Cap/Depr 71.97%
Cap/Sales 6.84%
Interest Coverage 5.71
Cash Conversion 9%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 3.73
Quick Ratio 0.61
Altman-Z 2.46
F-Score4
WACC8.59%
ROIC/WACC0.53
Cap/Depr(3y)176.02%
Cap/Depr(5y)130.41%
Cap/Sales(3y)12.32%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.21%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-8.96%
EPS 3Y-4.47%
EPS 5Y19%
EPS Q2Q%-43.64%
EPS Next Y8.86%
EPS Next 2Y6.44%
EPS Next 3Y11.99%
EPS Next 5Y10.38%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.2%
Revenue growth 3Y6.4%
Revenue growth 5Y10.95%
Sales Q2Q%19.93%
Revenue Next Year19.52%
Revenue Next 2Y11.82%
Revenue Next 3Y10.77%
Revenue Next 5Y8.92%
EBIT growth 1Y5.91%
EBIT growth 3Y7.71%
EBIT growth 5Y15.44%
EBIT Next Year63.82%
EBIT Next 3Y23.22%
EBIT Next 5Y16.13%
FCF growth 1Y-157.77%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-81.6%
OCF growth 3Y-59.85%
OCF growth 5Y-37.16%