Duckhorn Portfolio Inc (NAPA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:NAPA • US26414D1063

11.09 USD
-0.02 (-0.18%)
At close: Dec 23, 2024
11.09 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 12/23/2024, 8:21:17 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

Taking everything into account, NAPA scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. NAPA was compared to 33 industry peers in the Beverages industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of NAPA get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. While showing a medium growth rate, NAPA is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • NAPA had positive earnings in the past year.
  • NAPA had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years NAPA has always been profitable.
  • NAPA had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
NAPA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFNAPA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20M -20M 40M 60M 80M 100M

1.2 Ratios

  • NAPA's Return On Assets of 2.70% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. NAPA is outperformed by 70.00% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 4.02%, NAPA is doing worse than 73.33% of the companies in the same industry.
  • With a Return On Invested Capital value of 4.52%, NAPA is not doing good in the industry: 73.33% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • NAPA had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 5.17%. This is significantly below the industry average of 11.46%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.7%
ROE 4.02%
ROIC 4.52%
ROA(3y)4.35%
ROA(5y)4.11%
ROE(3y)6.24%
ROE(5y)6.13%
ROIC(3y)5.17%
ROIC(5y)5.05%
NAPA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICNAPA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2 4 6

1.3 Margins

  • NAPA has a Profit Margin of 12.12%. This is in the better half of the industry: NAPA outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of NAPA has grown nicely.
  • The Operating Margin of NAPA (25.26%) is better than 80.00% of its industry peers.
  • NAPA's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • NAPA has a better Gross Margin (52.26%) than 63.33% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of NAPA has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 25.26%
PM (TTM) 12.12%
GM 52.26%
OM growth 3Y1.23%
OM growth 5Y4.05%
PM growth 3Y-6.01%
PM growth 5Y8.56%
GM growth 3Y2.17%
GM growth 5Y2.5%
NAPA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsNAPA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30 40 50

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so NAPA is destroying value.
  • NAPA has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for NAPA has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • NAPA has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
NAPA Yearly Shares OutstandingNAPA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M
NAPA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsNAPA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • NAPA has an Altman-Z score of 2.46. This is not the best score and indicates that NAPA is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • NAPA has a Altman-Z score of 2.46. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: NAPA outperforms 43.33% of its industry peers.
  • NAPA has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.22. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of NAPA (0.22) is better than 70.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.22
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 2.46
ROIC/WACC0.53
WACC8.59%
NAPA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFNAPA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 3.73 indicates that NAPA has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • With an excellent Current ratio value of 3.73, NAPA belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 93.33% of the companies in the same industry.
  • NAPA has a Quick Ratio of 3.73. This is a bad value and indicates that NAPA is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • NAPA has a worse Quick ratio (0.61) than 63.33% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.73
Quick Ratio 0.61
NAPA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesNAPA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • NAPA shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -8.96%.
  • NAPA shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 19.00% yearly.
  • Looking at the last year, NAPA shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 7.20% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, NAPA shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 10.95% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-8.96%
EPS 3Y-4.47%
EPS 5Y19%
EPS Q2Q%-43.64%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.2%
Revenue growth 3Y6.4%
Revenue growth 5Y10.95%
Sales Q2Q%19.93%

3.2 Future

  • NAPA is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 10.38% yearly.
  • NAPA is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 8.92% yearly.
EPS Next Y8.86%
EPS Next 2Y6.44%
EPS Next 3Y11.99%
EPS Next 5Y10.38%
Revenue Next Year19.52%
Revenue Next 2Y11.82%
Revenue Next 3Y10.77%
Revenue Next 5Y8.92%

3.3 Evolution

  • Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
NAPA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesNAPA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 200M 400M 600M
NAPA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesNAPA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 18.18, the valuation of NAPA can be described as rather expensive.
  • NAPA's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. NAPA is cheaper than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.99. NAPA is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.05 indicates a correct valuation of NAPA.
  • NAPA's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. NAPA is cheaper than 73.33% of the companies in the same industry.
  • NAPA is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 28.06, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.18
Fwd PE 16.05
NAPA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsNAPA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 66.67% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than NAPA, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 12.96
NAPA Per share dataNAPA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6 8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates NAPA does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
PEG (NY)2.05
PEG (5Y)0.96
EPS Next 2Y6.44%
EPS Next 3Y11.99%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • NAPA does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

Duckhorn Portfolio Inc

NYSE:NAPA (12/23/2024, 8:21:17 PM)

After market: 11.09 0 (0%)

11.09

-0.02 (-0.18%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryBeverages
Earnings (Last)12-04
Earnings (Next)N/A
Inst Owners35.21%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.91%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap1.63B
Revenue(TTM)425.91M
Net Income(TTM)51.64M
Analysts78.18
Price Target10.73 (-3.25%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.5%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.82%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.18%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.77%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.82%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.18%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.5%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.34%
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)8.26%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)3.5%
EPS NY rev (1m)2.16%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.84%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.57%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.59%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.96%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.18
Fwd PE 16.05
P/S 3.83
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 122.47
P/B 1.27
P/tB 2.68
EV/EBITDA 12.96
EPS(TTM)0.61
EY5.5%
EPS(NY)0.69
Fwd EY6.23%
FCF(TTM)-0.11
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.09
OCFY0.82%
SpS2.89
BVpS8.73
TBVpS4.14
PEG (NY)2.05
PEG (5Y)0.96
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.7%
ROE 4.02%
ROCE 6.18%
ROIC 4.52%
ROICexc 4.53%
ROICexgc 7.41%
OM 25.26%
PM (TTM) 12.12%
GM 52.26%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)4.35%
ROA(5y)4.11%
ROE(3y)6.24%
ROE(5y)6.13%
ROIC(3y)5.17%
ROIC(5y)5.05%
ROICexc(3y)5.19%
ROICexc(5y)5.07%
ROICexgc(3y)9.88%
ROICexgc(5y)10.44%
ROCE(3y)7.07%
ROCE(5y)6.9%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-16.44%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-2.2%
ROICexc growth 3Y-6.93%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.65%
OM growth 3Y1.23%
OM growth 5Y4.05%
PM growth 3Y-6.01%
PM growth 5Y8.56%
GM growth 3Y2.17%
GM growth 5Y2.5%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.22
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.22
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 1.9
Cap/Depr 71.97%
Cap/Sales 6.84%
Interest Coverage 5.71
Cash Conversion 9%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 3.73
Quick Ratio 0.61
Altman-Z 2.46
F-Score4
WACC8.59%
ROIC/WACC0.53
Cap/Depr(3y)176.02%
Cap/Depr(5y)130.41%
Cap/Sales(3y)12.32%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.21%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-8.96%
EPS 3Y-4.47%
EPS 5Y19%
EPS Q2Q%-43.64%
EPS Next Y8.86%
EPS Next 2Y6.44%
EPS Next 3Y11.99%
EPS Next 5Y10.38%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.2%
Revenue growth 3Y6.4%
Revenue growth 5Y10.95%
Sales Q2Q%19.93%
Revenue Next Year19.52%
Revenue Next 2Y11.82%
Revenue Next 3Y10.77%
Revenue Next 5Y8.92%
EBIT growth 1Y5.91%
EBIT growth 3Y7.71%
EBIT growth 5Y15.44%
EBIT Next Year63.82%
EBIT Next 3Y23.22%
EBIT Next 5Y16.13%
FCF growth 1Y-157.77%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-81.6%
OCF growth 3Y-59.85%
OCF growth 5Y-37.16%

Duckhorn Portfolio Inc / NAPA FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for Duckhorn Portfolio Inc?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to NAPA.


Can you provide the valuation status for Duckhorn Portfolio Inc?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to Duckhorn Portfolio Inc (NAPA). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is Duckhorn Portfolio Inc (NAPA) stock?

Duckhorn Portfolio Inc (NAPA) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of Duckhorn Portfolio Inc (NAPA) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for Duckhorn Portfolio Inc (NAPA) is 18.18 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.27.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for NAPA stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of Duckhorn Portfolio Inc (NAPA) is expected to grow by 8.86% in the next year.