Duckhorn Portfolio Inc (NAPA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:NAPAUS26414D1063

Current stock price

11.09 USD
-0.02 (-0.18%)
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This NAPA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. NAPA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year NAPA was profitable.
  • In the past year NAPA had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In the past 5 years NAPA has always been profitable.
  • NAPA had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
NAPA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFNAPA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20M -20M 40M 60M 80M 100M

1.2 Ratios

  • NAPA has a Return On Assets of 2.70%. This is in the lower half of the industry: NAPA underperforms 70.00% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Equity of NAPA (4.02%) is worse than 73.33% of its industry peers.
  • NAPA's Return On Invested Capital of 4.52% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. NAPA is outperformed by 73.33% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for NAPA is significantly below the industry average of 11.89%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.7%
ROE 4.02%
ROIC 4.52%
ROA(3y)4.35%
ROA(5y)4.11%
ROE(3y)6.24%
ROE(5y)6.13%
ROIC(3y)5.17%
ROIC(5y)5.05%
NAPA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICNAPA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2 4 6

1.3 Margins

  • NAPA has a Profit Margin of 12.12%. This is in the better half of the industry: NAPA outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of NAPA has grown nicely.
  • NAPA's Operating Margin of 25.26% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. NAPA outperforms 80.00% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of NAPA has grown nicely.
  • The Gross Margin of NAPA (52.26%) is better than 63.33% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of NAPA has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 25.26%
PM (TTM) 12.12%
GM 52.26%
OM growth 3Y1.23%
OM growth 5Y4.05%
PM growth 3Y-6.01%
PM growth 5Y8.56%
GM growth 3Y2.17%
GM growth 5Y2.5%
NAPA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsNAPA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30 40 50

4

2. NAPA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), NAPA is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for NAPA has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, NAPA has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, NAPA has an improved debt to assets ratio.
NAPA Yearly Shares OutstandingNAPA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M
NAPA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsNAPA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.46 indicates that NAPA is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • NAPA has a Altman-Z score (2.46) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • NAPA has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.22. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • NAPA's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.22 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. NAPA outperforms 70.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.22
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 2.46
ROIC/WACC0.53
WACC8.59%
NAPA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFNAPA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

  • NAPA has a Current Ratio of 3.73. This indicates that NAPA is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With an excellent Current ratio value of 3.73, NAPA belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 93.33% of the companies in the same industry.
  • NAPA has a Quick Ratio of 3.73. This is a bad value and indicates that NAPA is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.61, NAPA is doing worse than 63.33% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.73
Quick Ratio 0.61
NAPA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesNAPA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M

5

3. NAPA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for NAPA have decreased by -8.96% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, NAPA shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 19.00% on average per year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 7.20% in the past year.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 10.95% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-8.96%
EPS 3Y-4.47%
EPS 5Y19%
EPS Q2Q%-43.64%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.2%
Revenue growth 3Y6.4%
Revenue growth 5Y10.95%
Sales Q2Q%19.93%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, NAPA will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 10.38% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, NAPA will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 8.92% on average per year.
EPS Next Y8.86%
EPS Next 2Y6.44%
EPS Next 3Y11.99%
EPS Next 5Y10.38%
Revenue Next Year19.52%
Revenue Next 2Y11.82%
Revenue Next 3Y10.77%
Revenue Next 5Y8.92%

3.3 Evolution

  • The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
NAPA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesNAPA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 200M 400M 600M
NAPA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesNAPA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

3

4. NAPA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 18.18, NAPA is valued on the expensive side.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, NAPA is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 66.67% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of NAPA to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.79), we can say NAPA is valued slightly cheaper.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.05, the valuation of NAPA can be described as correct.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of NAPA indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: NAPA is cheaper than 73.33% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 38.88, NAPA is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.18
Fwd PE 16.05
NAPA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsNAPA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 66.67% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than NAPA, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 12.96
NAPA Per share dataNAPA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6 8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates NAPA does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
PEG (NY)2.05
PEG (5Y)0.96
EPS Next 2Y6.44%
EPS Next 3Y11.99%

0

5. NAPA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • NAPA does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

NAPA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

Duckhorn Portfolio Inc

NYSE:NAPA (12/23/2024, 8:21:17 PM)

After market: 11.09 0 (0%)

11.09

-0.02 (-0.18%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryBeverages
Earnings (Last)12-04
Earnings (Next)N/A
Inst Owners35.21%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.91%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap1.63B
Revenue(TTM)425.91M
Net Income(TTM)51.64M
Analysts78.18
Price Target10.73 (-3.25%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.5%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.82%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.18%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.77%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.82%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.18%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.5%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.34%
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)8.26%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)3.5%
EPS NY rev (1m)2.16%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.84%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.57%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.59%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.96%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.18
Fwd PE 16.05
P/S 3.83
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 122.47
P/B 1.27
P/tB 2.68
EV/EBITDA 12.96
EPS(TTM)0.61
EY5.5%
EPS(NY)0.69
Fwd EY6.23%
FCF(TTM)-0.11
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.09
OCFY0.82%
SpS2.89
BVpS8.73
TBVpS4.14
PEG (NY)2.05
PEG (5Y)0.96
Graham Number0 (-100%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.7%
ROE 4.02%
ROCE 6.18%
ROIC 4.52%
ROICexc 4.53%
ROICexgc 7.41%
OM 25.26%
PM (TTM) 12.12%
GM 52.26%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)4.35%
ROA(5y)4.11%
ROE(3y)6.24%
ROE(5y)6.13%
ROIC(3y)5.17%
ROIC(5y)5.05%
ROICexc(3y)5.19%
ROICexc(5y)5.07%
ROICexgc(3y)9.88%
ROICexgc(5y)10.44%
ROCE(3y)7.07%
ROCE(5y)6.9%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-16.44%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-2.2%
ROICexc growth 3Y-6.93%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.65%
OM growth 3Y1.23%
OM growth 5Y4.05%
PM growth 3Y-6.01%
PM growth 5Y8.56%
GM growth 3Y2.17%
GM growth 5Y2.5%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.22
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.22
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 1.9
Cap/Depr 71.97%
Cap/Sales 6.84%
Interest Coverage 5.71
Cash Conversion 9%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 3.73
Quick Ratio 0.61
Altman-Z 2.46
F-Score4
WACC8.59%
ROIC/WACC0.53
Cap/Depr(3y)176.02%
Cap/Depr(5y)130.41%
Cap/Sales(3y)12.32%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.21%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-8.96%
EPS 3Y-4.47%
EPS 5Y19%
EPS Q2Q%-43.64%
EPS Next Y8.86%
EPS Next 2Y6.44%
EPS Next 3Y11.99%
EPS Next 5Y10.38%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.2%
Revenue growth 3Y6.4%
Revenue growth 5Y10.95%
Sales Q2Q%19.93%
Revenue Next Year19.52%
Revenue Next 2Y11.82%
Revenue Next 3Y10.77%
Revenue Next 5Y8.92%
EBIT growth 1Y5.91%
EBIT growth 3Y7.71%
EBIT growth 5Y15.44%
EBIT Next Year63.82%
EBIT Next 3Y23.22%
EBIT Next 5Y16.13%
FCF growth 1Y-157.77%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-81.6%
OCF growth 3Y-59.85%
OCF growth 5Y-37.16%

Duckhorn Portfolio Inc / NAPA Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for Duckhorn Portfolio Inc?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to NAPA.


Can you provide the valuation status for Duckhorn Portfolio Inc?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to Duckhorn Portfolio Inc (NAPA). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for Duckhorn Portfolio Inc?

Duckhorn Portfolio Inc (NAPA) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the valuation of Duckhorn Portfolio Inc based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for Duckhorn Portfolio Inc (NAPA) is 18.18 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.27.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for NAPA stock?

The dividend rating of Duckhorn Portfolio Inc (NAPA) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.