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Duckhorn Portfolio Inc (NAPA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:NAPA - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US26414D1063 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

11.09  -0.02 (-0.18%)

After market: 11.09 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

4

We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to NAPA. NAPA was compared to 33 industry peers in the Beverages industry. NAPA has an average financial health and profitability rating. NAPA is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year NAPA was profitable.
In the past year NAPA had a positive cash flow from operations.
NAPA had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years NAPA always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
NAPA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFNAPA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20M -20M 40M 60M 80M 100M

1.2 Ratios

With a Return On Assets value of 2.70%, NAPA is not doing good in the industry: 70.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
NAPA's Return On Equity of 4.02% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. NAPA is outperformed by 73.33% of its industry peers.
NAPA has a Return On Invested Capital of 4.52%. This is in the lower half of the industry: NAPA underperforms 73.33% of its industry peers.
NAPA had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 5.17%. This is significantly below the industry average of 11.23%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.7%
ROE 4.02%
ROIC 4.52%
ROA(3y)4.35%
ROA(5y)4.11%
ROE(3y)6.24%
ROE(5y)6.13%
ROIC(3y)5.17%
ROIC(5y)5.05%
NAPA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICNAPA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2 4 6

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 12.12%, NAPA is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
NAPA's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With a decent Operating Margin value of 25.26%, NAPA is doing good in the industry, outperforming 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
NAPA's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
NAPA's Gross Margin of 52.26% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. NAPA outperforms 63.33% of its industry peers.
NAPA's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 25.26%
PM (TTM) 12.12%
GM 52.26%
OM growth 3Y1.23%
OM growth 5Y4.05%
PM growth 3Y-6.01%
PM growth 5Y8.56%
GM growth 3Y2.17%
GM growth 5Y2.5%
NAPA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsNAPA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30 40 50

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4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so NAPA is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, NAPA has more shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for NAPA has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for NAPA has been reduced compared to a year ago.
NAPA Yearly Shares OutstandingNAPA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M
NAPA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsNAPA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 2.46 indicates that NAPA is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
NAPA has a Altman-Z score of 2.46. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: NAPA outperforms 43.33% of its industry peers.
NAPA has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.22. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
The Debt to Equity ratio of NAPA (0.22) is better than 70.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.22
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 2.46
ROIC/WACC0.53
WACC8.59%
NAPA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFNAPA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 3.73 indicates that NAPA has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
NAPA's Current ratio of 3.73 is amongst the best of the industry. NAPA outperforms 93.33% of its industry peers.
NAPA has a Quick Ratio of 3.73. This is a bad value and indicates that NAPA is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of NAPA (0.61) is worse than 63.33% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.73
Quick Ratio 0.61
NAPA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesNAPA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M

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5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for NAPA have decreased by -8.96% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, NAPA shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 19.00% on average per year.
NAPA shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 7.20%.
Measured over the past years, NAPA shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 10.95% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-8.96%
EPS 3Y-4.47%
EPS 5Y19%
EPS Q2Q%-43.64%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.2%
Revenue growth 3Y6.4%
Revenue growth 5Y10.95%
Sales Q2Q%19.93%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, NAPA will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 10.38% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, NAPA will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 8.92% on average per year.
EPS Next Y8.86%
EPS Next 2Y6.44%
EPS Next 3Y11.99%
EPS Next 5Y10.38%
Revenue Next Year19.52%
Revenue Next 2Y11.82%
Revenue Next 3Y10.77%
Revenue Next 5Y8.92%

3.3 Evolution

Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
NAPA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesNAPA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 200M 400M 600M
NAPA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesNAPA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

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3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 18.18, NAPA is valued on the expensive side.
NAPA's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. NAPA is cheaper than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.52, NAPA is valued a bit cheaper.
NAPA is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.05.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, NAPA is valued a bit cheaper than 73.33% of the companies in the same industry.
NAPA is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 35.58, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.18
Fwd PE 16.05
NAPA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsNAPA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, NAPA is valued a bit cheaper than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 12.96
NAPA Per share dataNAPA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6 8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates NAPA does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
PEG (NY)2.05
PEG (5Y)0.96
EPS Next 2Y6.44%
EPS Next 3Y11.99%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for NAPA!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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Duckhorn Portfolio Inc

NYSE:NAPA (12/23/2024, 8:21:17 PM)

After market: 11.09 0 (0%)

11.09

-0.02 (-0.18%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryBeverages
Earnings (Last)12-04 2024-12-04/amc
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners35.21%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.91%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap1.63B
Analysts78.18
Price Target10.73 (-3.25%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.5%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.82%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.18%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.77%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.82%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.18%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.5%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.34%
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)8.26%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)3.5%
EPS NY rev (1m)2.16%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.84%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.57%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.59%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.96%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.18
Fwd PE 16.05
P/S 3.83
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 122.47
P/B 1.27
P/tB 2.68
EV/EBITDA 12.96
EPS(TTM)0.61
EY5.5%
EPS(NY)0.69
Fwd EY6.23%
FCF(TTM)-0.11
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.09
OCFY0.82%
SpS2.89
BVpS8.73
TBVpS4.14
PEG (NY)2.05
PEG (5Y)0.96
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.7%
ROE 4.02%
ROCE 6.18%
ROIC 4.52%
ROICexc 4.53%
ROICexgc 7.41%
OM 25.26%
PM (TTM) 12.12%
GM 52.26%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)4.35%
ROA(5y)4.11%
ROE(3y)6.24%
ROE(5y)6.13%
ROIC(3y)5.17%
ROIC(5y)5.05%
ROICexc(3y)5.19%
ROICexc(5y)5.07%
ROICexgc(3y)9.88%
ROICexgc(5y)10.44%
ROCE(3y)7.07%
ROCE(5y)6.9%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-16.44%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-2.2%
ROICexc growth 3Y-6.93%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.65%
OM growth 3Y1.23%
OM growth 5Y4.05%
PM growth 3Y-6.01%
PM growth 5Y8.56%
GM growth 3Y2.17%
GM growth 5Y2.5%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.22
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.22
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 1.9
Cap/Depr 71.97%
Cap/Sales 6.84%
Interest Coverage 5.71
Cash Conversion 9%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 3.73
Quick Ratio 0.61
Altman-Z 2.46
F-Score4
WACC8.59%
ROIC/WACC0.53
Cap/Depr(3y)176.02%
Cap/Depr(5y)130.41%
Cap/Sales(3y)12.32%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.21%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-8.96%
EPS 3Y-4.47%
EPS 5Y19%
EPS Q2Q%-43.64%
EPS Next Y8.86%
EPS Next 2Y6.44%
EPS Next 3Y11.99%
EPS Next 5Y10.38%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.2%
Revenue growth 3Y6.4%
Revenue growth 5Y10.95%
Sales Q2Q%19.93%
Revenue Next Year19.52%
Revenue Next 2Y11.82%
Revenue Next 3Y10.77%
Revenue Next 5Y8.92%
EBIT growth 1Y5.91%
EBIT growth 3Y7.71%
EBIT growth 5Y15.44%
EBIT Next Year63.82%
EBIT Next 3Y23.22%
EBIT Next 5Y16.13%
FCF growth 1Y-157.77%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-81.6%
OCF growth 3Y-59.85%
OCF growth 5Y-37.16%