Duckhorn Portfolio Inc (NAPA) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:NAPA - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US26414D1063 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
NAPA gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 33 industry peers in the Beverages industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of NAPA get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. While showing a medium growth rate, NAPA is valued expensive at the moment.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year NAPA was profitable.
NAPA had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
NAPA had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years NAPA had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
NAPA has a worse Return On Assets (2.70%) than 70.00% of its industry peers.
With a Return On Equity value of 4.02%, NAPA is not doing good in the industry: 73.33% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
NAPA has a Return On Invested Capital of 4.52%. This is in the lower half of the industry: NAPA underperforms 73.33% of its industry peers.
NAPA had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 5.17%. This is significantly below the industry average of 11.35%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.7% | ||
| ROE | 4.02% | ||
| ROIC | 4.52% |
ROA(3y)4.35%
ROA(5y)4.11%
ROE(3y)6.24%
ROE(5y)6.13%
ROIC(3y)5.17%
ROIC(5y)5.05%
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of NAPA (12.12%) is better than 66.67% of its industry peers.
NAPA's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
NAPA has a Operating Margin of 25.26%. This is in the better half of the industry: NAPA outperforms 80.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of NAPA has grown nicely.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 52.26%, NAPA is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 63.33% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of NAPA has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 25.26% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.12% | ||
| GM | 52.26% |
OM growth 3Y1.23%
OM growth 5Y4.05%
PM growth 3Y-6.01%
PM growth 5Y8.56%
GM growth 3Y2.17%
GM growth 5Y2.5%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
NAPA has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for NAPA has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
NAPA has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, NAPA has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
NAPA has an Altman-Z score of 2.46. This is not the best score and indicates that NAPA is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
NAPA has a Altman-Z score (2.46) which is in line with its industry peers.
NAPA has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.22. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
NAPA has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.22) than 70.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.22 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.46 |
ROIC/WACC0.53
WACC8.59%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 3.73 indicates that NAPA has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
NAPA has a better Current ratio (3.73) than 93.33% of its industry peers.
NAPA has a Quick Ratio of 3.73. This is a bad value and indicates that NAPA is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
NAPA's Quick ratio of 0.61 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. NAPA is outperformed by 63.33% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 3.73 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.61 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
NAPA shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -8.96%.
NAPA shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 19.00% yearly.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 7.20% in the past year.
The Revenue has been growing by 10.95% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-8.96%
EPS 3Y-4.47%
EPS 5Y19%
EPS Q2Q%-43.64%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.2%
Revenue growth 3Y6.4%
Revenue growth 5Y10.95%
Sales Q2Q%19.93%
3.2 Future
NAPA is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 10.38% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, NAPA will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 8.92% on average per year.
EPS Next Y8.86%
EPS Next 2Y6.44%
EPS Next 3Y11.99%
EPS Next 5Y10.38%
Revenue Next Year19.52%
Revenue Next 2Y11.82%
Revenue Next 3Y10.77%
Revenue Next 5Y8.92%
3.3 Evolution
The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 18.18 indicates a rather expensive valuation of NAPA.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of NAPA indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: NAPA is cheaper than 66.67% of the companies listed in the same industry.
NAPA's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 26.52.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.05 indicates a correct valuation of NAPA.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, NAPA is valued a bit cheaper than 73.33% of the companies in the same industry.
NAPA's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 22.25.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.18 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.05 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of NAPA indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: NAPA is cheaper than 66.67% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.96 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates NAPA does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
PEG (NY)2.05
PEG (5Y)0.96
EPS Next 2Y6.44%
EPS Next 3Y11.99%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
NAPA does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
11.09
-0.02 (-0.18%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryBeverages
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners35.21%
Inst Owner Change-87.76%
Ins Owners0.91%
Ins Owner Change-216.29%
Market Cap1.63B
Analysts78.18
Price Target10.73 (-3.25%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.5%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.82%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.18%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.77%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.82%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.18%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.5%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.34%
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)8.26%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)3.5%
EPS NY rev (1m)2.16%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.84%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.57%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.59%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.96%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.18 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.05 | ||
| P/S | 3.83 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 122.47 | ||
| P/B | 1.27 | ||
| P/tB | 2.68 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.96 |
EPS(TTM)0.61
EY5.5%
EPS(NY)0.69
Fwd EY6.23%
FCF(TTM)-0.11
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.09
OCFY0.82%
SpS2.89
BVpS8.73
TBVpS4.14
PEG (NY)2.05
PEG (5Y)0.96
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.7% | ||
| ROE | 4.02% | ||
| ROCE | 6.18% | ||
| ROIC | 4.52% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.53% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.41% | ||
| OM | 25.26% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.12% | ||
| GM | 52.26% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)4.35%
ROA(5y)4.11%
ROE(3y)6.24%
ROE(5y)6.13%
ROIC(3y)5.17%
ROIC(5y)5.05%
ROICexc(3y)5.19%
ROICexc(5y)5.07%
ROICexgc(3y)9.88%
ROICexgc(5y)10.44%
ROCE(3y)7.07%
ROCE(5y)6.9%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-16.44%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-2.2%
ROICexc growth 3Y-6.93%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.65%
OM growth 3Y1.23%
OM growth 5Y4.05%
PM growth 3Y-6.01%
PM growth 5Y8.56%
GM growth 3Y2.17%
GM growth 5Y2.5%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.22
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.22 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.9 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 71.97% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.84% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 5.71 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 9% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 3.73 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.61 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.46 |
F-Score4
WACC8.59%
ROIC/WACC0.53
Cap/Depr(3y)176.02%
Cap/Depr(5y)130.41%
Cap/Sales(3y)12.32%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.21%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-8.96%
EPS 3Y-4.47%
EPS 5Y19%
EPS Q2Q%-43.64%
EPS Next Y8.86%
EPS Next 2Y6.44%
EPS Next 3Y11.99%
EPS Next 5Y10.38%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.2%
Revenue growth 3Y6.4%
Revenue growth 5Y10.95%
Sales Q2Q%19.93%
Revenue Next Year19.52%
Revenue Next 2Y11.82%
Revenue Next 3Y10.77%
Revenue Next 5Y8.92%
EBIT growth 1Y5.91%
EBIT growth 3Y7.71%
EBIT growth 5Y15.44%
EBIT Next Year63.82%
EBIT Next 3Y23.22%
EBIT Next 5Y16.13%
FCF growth 1Y-157.77%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-81.6%
OCF growth 3Y-59.85%
OCF growth 5Y-37.16%