VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:MTN • US91879Q1094

138.08 USD
+3.16 (+2.34%)
At close: Mar 3, 2026
139 USD
+0.92 (+0.67%)
After Hours: 3/3/2026, 4:37:13 PM
Fundamental Rating

5

Taking everything into account, MTN scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. MTN was compared to 125 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. MTN has an excellent profitability rating, but there are concerns on its financial health. MTN has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • MTN had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year MTN had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • MTN had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years MTN had a positive operating cash flow.
MTN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMTN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

  • MTN has a Return On Assets of 4.62%. This is in the better half of the industry: MTN outperforms 65.60% of its industry peers.
  • With an excellent Return On Equity value of 170.06%, MTN belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 98.40% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of MTN (10.08%) is better than 71.20% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for MTN is below the industry average of 10.81%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (8.45%) for MTN is below the current ROIC(10.08%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.62%
ROE 170.06%
ROIC 10.08%
ROA(3y)4.47%
ROA(5y)4.19%
ROE(3y)41.74%
ROE(5y)30.96%
ROIC(3y)8.45%
ROIC(5y)7.43%
MTN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMTN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20 40 60

1.3 Margins

  • With a decent Profit Margin value of 8.94%, MTN is doing good in the industry, outperforming 72.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of MTN has grown nicely.
  • The Operating Margin of MTN (17.66%) is better than 76.80% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MTN has grown nicely.
  • With a Gross Margin value of 42.78%, MTN is not doing good in the industry: 60.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • MTN's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 17.66%
PM (TTM) 8.94%
GM 42.78%
OM growth 3Y-7.16%
OM growth 5Y6.96%
PM growth 3Y-11.81%
PM growth 5Y13.43%
GM growth 3Y-3.05%
GM growth 5Y1.31%
MTN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMTN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30 40

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so MTN is still creating some value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, MTN has less shares outstanding
  • The number of shares outstanding for MTN has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • MTN has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
MTN Yearly Shares OutstandingMTN Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10M 20M 30M 40M
MTN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMTN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

  • MTN has an Altman-Z score of 1.26. This is a bad value and indicates that MTN is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • With a Altman-Z score value of 1.26, MTN perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 40.80% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of MTN is 9.00, which is on the high side as it means it would take MTN, 9.00 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • MTN has a Debt to FCF ratio of 9.00. This is in the better half of the industry: MTN outperforms 61.60% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 16.51 is on the high side and indicates that MTN has dependencies on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of MTN (16.51) is worse than 73.60% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 16.51
Debt/FCF 9
Altman-Z 1.26
ROIC/WACC1.42
WACC7.11%
MTN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMTN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • MTN has a Current Ratio of 0.54. This is a bad value and indicates that MTN is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of MTN (0.54) is worse than 78.40% of its industry peers.
  • MTN has a Quick Ratio of 0.54. This is a bad value and indicates that MTN is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • MTN has a worse Quick ratio (0.46) than 78.40% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.54
Quick Ratio 0.46
MTN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMTN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 13.29% over the past year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 20.47% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.06% in the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, MTN shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 8.59% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.29%
EPS 3Y-4.43%
EPS 5Y20.47%
EPS Q2Q%-12.8%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.06%
Revenue growth 3Y5.48%
Revenue growth 5Y8.59%
Sales Q2Q%4.13%

3.2 Future

  • MTN is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 5.39% yearly.
  • MTN is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.75% yearly.
EPS Next Y-8.76%
EPS Next 2Y2.61%
EPS Next 3Y5.39%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year0.5%
Revenue Next 2Y2.29%
Revenue Next 3Y2.75%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
MTN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMTN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1B 2B 3B
MTN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMTN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2 4 6 8

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 20.25, the valuation of MTN can be described as rather expensive.
  • MTN's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. MTN is cheaper than 63.20% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.83, MTN is valued a bit cheaper.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.70 indicates a rather expensive valuation of MTN.
  • MTN's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. MTN is cheaper than 65.60% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MTN to the average of the S&P500 Index (24.95), we can say MTN is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 20.25
Fwd PE 17.7
MTN Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMTN Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • MTN's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. MTN is cheaper than 71.20% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, MTN is valued cheaply inside the industry as 84.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 14.01
EV/EBITDA 9.01
MTN Per share dataMTN EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 -20 40 -40 60 80

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • MTN has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.99
EPS Next 2Y2.61%
EPS Next 3Y5.39%

6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • MTN has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 6.33%, which is a nice return.
  • MTN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.10. MTN pays more dividend than 97.60% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, MTN pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 6.33%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of MTN is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 11.10%!
  • MTN has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • MTN has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)11.1%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years4
MTN Yearly Dividends per shareMTN Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2 4 6 8

5.3 Sustainability

  • MTN pays out 122.08% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of MTN is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP122.08%
EPS Next 2Y2.61%
EPS Next 3Y5.39%
MTN Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendMTN Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M
MTN Dividend Payout.MTN Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.MTN Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

VAIL RESORTS INC

NYSE:MTN (3/3/2026, 4:37:13 PM)

After market: 139 +0.92 (+0.67%)

138.08

+3.16 (+2.34%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)12-10
Earnings (Next)03-09
Inst Owners121.68%
Inst Owner Change-2.41%
Ins Owners1.03%
Ins Owner Change4.16%
Market Cap4.94B
Revenue(TTM)2.98B
Net Income(TTM)266.09M
Analysts72.5
Price Target176.57 (27.88%)
Short Float %11.93%
Short Ratio4.64
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 6.33%
Yearly Dividend8.95
Dividend Growth(5Y)11.1%
DP122.08%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-2.79%
Min EPS beat(2)-6.36%
Max EPS beat(2)0.79%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)0.5%
Min EPS beat(4)-6.36%
Max EPS beat(4)4.65%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-1.05%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-2.87%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)-1.83%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.41%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.88%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.94%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.91%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.88%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.13%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.05%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.37%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.55%
PT rev (1m)-0.86%
PT rev (3m)-0.01%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-2.3%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-8.88%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.73%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.85%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.53%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.76%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.4%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.15%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 20.25
Fwd PE 17.7
P/S 1.66
P/FCF 14.01
P/OCF 8.4
P/B 31.58
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 9.01
EPS(TTM)6.82
EY4.94%
EPS(NY)7.8
Fwd EY5.65%
FCF(TTM)9.85
FCFY7.14%
OCF(TTM)16.44
OCFY11.91%
SpS83.15
BVpS4.37
TBVpS-50.42
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.99
Graham Number25.9
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.62%
ROE 170.06%
ROCE 13.73%
ROIC 10.08%
ROICexc 11.88%
ROICexgc 30.01%
OM 17.66%
PM (TTM) 8.94%
GM 42.78%
FCFM 11.85%
ROA(3y)4.47%
ROA(5y)4.19%
ROE(3y)41.74%
ROE(5y)30.96%
ROIC(3y)8.45%
ROIC(5y)7.43%
ROICexc(3y)9.37%
ROICexc(5y)8.66%
ROICexgc(3y)18.69%
ROICexgc(5y)17.41%
ROCE(3y)11.51%
ROCE(5y)10.13%
ROICexgc growth 3Y3.99%
ROICexgc growth 5Y22.63%
ROICexc growth 3Y1.61%
ROICexc growth 5Y19.6%
OM growth 3Y-7.16%
OM growth 5Y6.96%
PM growth 3Y-11.81%
PM growth 5Y13.43%
GM growth 3Y-3.05%
GM growth 5Y1.31%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.52
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 16.51
Debt/FCF 9
Debt/EBITDA 3.14
Cap/Depr 79.16%
Cap/Sales 7.93%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 71.45%
Profit Quality 132.49%
Current Ratio 0.54
Quick Ratio 0.46
Altman-Z 1.26
F-Score8
WACC7.11%
ROIC/WACC1.42
Cap/Depr(3y)90.77%
Cap/Depr(5y)78.85%
Cap/Sales(3y)8.72%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.96%
Profit Quality(3y)132.92%
Profit Quality(5y)173.66%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.29%
EPS 3Y-4.43%
EPS 5Y20.47%
EPS Q2Q%-12.8%
EPS Next Y-8.76%
EPS Next 2Y2.61%
EPS Next 3Y5.39%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.06%
Revenue growth 3Y5.48%
Revenue growth 5Y8.59%
Sales Q2Q%4.13%
Revenue Next Year0.5%
Revenue Next 2Y2.29%
Revenue Next 3Y2.75%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y7.46%
EBIT growth 3Y-2.07%
EBIT growth 5Y16.14%
EBIT Next Year51.53%
EBIT Next 3Y19.52%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-9.82%
FCF growth 3Y-14.84%
FCF growth 5Y7.5%
OCF growth 1Y-7.35%
OCF growth 3Y-7.91%
OCF growth 5Y7.03%

VAIL RESORTS INC / MTN FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to MTN.


What is the valuation status of VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) stock?

VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for MTN stock?

The financial health rating of VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) is 2 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) is expected to decline by -8.76% in the next year.